Emmy Predictions 2011 (Comedy Series)

A quick scan of the potential nominees in the comedy categories suggests we can expect three of last year's candidates to pretty much dominant their respective fields:

  • Modern Family - a likely repeat as the top series for its hilarious sophomore year
  • Glee - whose earnings after the Golden Globes can only help
  • 30 Rock - a once unstoppable force that earned better critical praise this time around after a disappointing fourth season

Something else that's noticeable is the sheer lack of qualified nominees for two of the biggest sections: Outstanding Comedy Series, and more especially, Lead Actor.

With the former, it's more or less guaranteed that the three aforementioned series have their spots locked up, along with The Office. That leaves two vacant spots. Typically, this is a good sign for newer shows on the scene (a la Nurse Jackie), but no freshman series feels like a safe bet. Hot in Cleveland put up some good numbers for TVLand, but is it really an outstanding comedy? The Big C has Emmy darling Laura Linney to bank on, but that may not be enough. Hopefully, an open slot will go to a series that arguably should have been recognized at least once already (The Big Bang Theory, Parks and Recreation).

In regards to the lead actors, it's times like these you realize just how much you miss Monk's Tony Shalhoub, or Curb Your Enthusiasm's Larry David. Expect at least one wild card here, if not more.



OUTSTANDING COMEDY SERIES

(Fox)
(Fox)
  • Glee

(ABC)
(ABC)
  • Modern Family

(Showtime)
(Showtime)
  • Nurse Jackie

(NBC)
(NBC)
  • The Office

(NBC)
(NBC)
  • Parks and Recreation

(NBC)
(NBC)
  • 30 Rock





OFFICIAL NOMINEES: "The Big Bang Theory," "Glee," "Modern Family," "The Office," "Parks and Recreation," "30 Rock"

BIGGEST SURPRISES: "Big Bang" finally made the cut, as did "Parks and Recreation"



LEAD ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES

JIM PARSONS
JIM PARSONS
  • The Big Bang Theory

DANNY McBRIDE
DANNY McBRIDE
  • Eastbound & Down

MATTHEW MORRISON
MATTHEW MORRISON
  • Glee

LOUIS CK
LOUIS CK
  • Louie

STEVE CARELL
STEVE CARELL
  • The Office

ALEC BALDWIN
ALEC BALDWIN
  • 30 Rock





OFFICIAL NOMINEES: "The Big Bang Theory" (Johnny Galecki); "The Big Bang Theory" (Jim Parsons); "Episodes" (Matt LeBlanc); "Louie" (Louis CK); "The Office" (Steve Carell); "30 Rock" (Alec Baldwin)

BIGGEST SURPRISES: Despite making the cut for virtually every other pundits' predictions page, "Community"'s Joel McHale was snubbed again; Galecki finally made the cut; LeBlanc got in for his medicore show.



LEAD ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES

LAURA LINNEY
LAURA LINNEY
  • The Big C

PATRICIA HEATON
PATRICIA HEATON
  • The Middle

EDIE FALCO
EDIE FALCO
  • Nurse Jackie

AMY POEHLER
AMY POEHLER
  • Parks and Recreation

TINA FEY
TINA FEY
  • 30 Rock

TONI COLLETTE
TONI COLLETTE
  • United States of Tara






OFFICIAL NOMINEES: "The Big C" (Laura Linney); "Mike & Molly" (Melissa McCarthy); "Nurse Jackie" (Edie Falco); "Parks and Recreation" (Amy Poehler); "Raising Hope" (Martha Plimpton); "30 Rock" (Tina Fey)

BIGGEST SURPRISES: Nods for both McCarthy and Plimpton; nothing for "United States of Tara"'s lead Toni Collette in her show's final season



SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES

CHRIS COLFER
CHRIS COLFER
  • Glee

NEIL PATRICK HARRIS
NEIL PATRICK HARRIS
  • How I Met Your Mother

TY BURRELL
TY BURRELL
  • Modern Family

JESSE TYLER FERGUSON
JESSE TYLER FERGUSON
  • Modern Family

ED O'NEILL
ED O'NEILL
  • Modern Family

ERIC STONESTREET
ERIC STONESTREET
  • Modern Family





OFFICIAL NOMINEES: "Glee" (Chris Colfer); "Modern Family" (Ty Burrell); "Modern Family" (Jesse Tyler Ferguson); "Modern Family" (Ed O'Neill); "Modern Family" (Eric Stonestreet); "Two and a Half Men" (Jon Cryer)

BIGGEST SURPRISES: Neil Patrick Harris ("How I Met Your Mother") is snubbed



SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES

JANE LYNCH
JANE LYNCH
  • Glee

BETTY WHITE
BETTY WHITE
  • Hot in Cleveland

JULIE BOWEN
JULIE BOWEN
  • Modern Family

SOFIA VERGARA
SOFIA VERGARA
  • Modern Family

KRISTEN WIIG
KRISTEN WIIG
  • Saturday Night Live

JANE KRAKOWSKI
JANE KRAKOWSKI
  • 30 Rock





OFFICIAL NOMINEES: 100% exactly as above



GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES

TIM CONWAY
TIM CONWAY
  • Hot in Cleveland

JOHN LITHGOW
JOHN LITHGOW
  • How I Met Your Mother

NATHAN LANE
NATHAN LANE
  • Modern Family

JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE
JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE
  • Saturday Night Live

JON HAMM
JON HAMM
  • 30 Rock

JOHN SLATTERY
JOHN SLATTERY
  • 30 Rock






OFFICIAL NOMINEES: "The Big C" (Idris Elba); "Modern Family" (Nathan Lane); "Saturday Night Live" (Zach Galifianakis); "Saturday Night Live" (Justin Timberlake); "30 Rock" (Will Arnett); "30 Rock" (Matt Damon)

BIGGEST SURPRISES: John Lithgow ("How I Met Your Mother"), who was positioned as a frontrunner in this category, is overlooked; Elba's notice here makes him a double nominee



GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES

CYNTHIA NIXON
CYNTHIA NIXON
  • The Big C

CAROL BURNETT
CAROL BURNETT
  • Glee

GWYNETH PALTROW
GWYNETH PALTROW
  • Glee

TINA FEY
TINA FEY
  • Saturday Night Live

AMY POEHLER
AMY POEHLER
  • Saturday Night Live

ELAINE STRITCH
ELAINE STRITCH
  • 30 Rock






OFFICIAL NOMINEES: "Glee" (Kristen Chenoweth); "Glee" (Dot-Marie Jones); "Glee" (Gwyneth Paltrow); "Raising Hope" (Cloris Leachman); "Saturday Night Live" (Tina Fey); "30 Rock" (Elizabeth Banks)

BIGGEST SURPRISES: Nothing for Carol Burnett ("Glee"); this marks the first time since the show has aired that "30 Rock"'s Elaine Stritch has not been nominated



DIRECTING FOR A COMEDY SERIES

"The Substitute" (RYAN MURPHY)
"The Substitute" (RYAN MURPHY)
  • Glee

"Halloween" (MICHAEL ALAN SPILLER)
"Halloween" (MICHAEL ALAN SPILLER)
  • Modern Family

"Goodbye, Michael: Part 2" (PAUL FEIG)
"Goodbye, Michael: Part 2" (PAUL FEIG)
  • The Office

"Live Show" (BETH McCARTHY-MILLER)
"Live Show" (BETH McCARTHY-MILLER)
  • 30 Rock

"Queen of Jordan" (KEN WHITTINGHAM)
"Queen of Jordan" (KEN WHITTINGHAM)
  • 30 Rock






OFFICIAL NOMINEES: "How I Met Your Mother" (Subway Wars); "Modern Family" (Halloween); "Modern Family" (Slow Down Your Neighbors); "Modern Family" (See You Next Fall); "30 Rock" (Live Show)

BIGGEST SURPRISES: Nothing for "Glee" or "The Office"; one of "30 Rock"'s best-directed episodes (Queen of Jordan) is snubbed



WRITING FOR A COMEDY SERIES

"The Substitute" (IAN BRENNAN)
"The Substitute" (IAN BRENNAN)
  • Glee

"Halloween" (JEFFREY RICHMAN)
"Halloween" (JEFFREY RICHMAN)
  • Modern Family

"Goodbye, Michael" (GREG DANIELS)
"Goodbye, Michael" (GREG DANIELS)
  • The Office

"Reaganing" (MATT HUBBARD)
"Reaganing" (MATT HUBBARD)
  • 30 Rock

"100" (JACK BURDITT; ROBERT CARLOCK; TINA FEY)
"100" (JACK BURDITT; ROBERT CARLOCK; TINA FEY)
  • 30 Rock






OFFICIAL NOMINEES: "Episodes" (Episode 107); "Louie" (Poker/Divorce); "Modern Family" (Caught in the Act); "The Office" (Good-Bye Michael); "30 Rock" (Reaganing)

BIGGEST SURPRISES: Appearances here by "Episodes" and "Louie"



CASTING FOR A COMEDY SERIES

  • Glee

  • Modern Family

  • Nurse Jackie

  • 30 Rock

  • United States of Tara





OFFICIAL NOMINEES: "The Big C," "Glee," "Modern Family," "Nurse Jackie," "30 Rock"


FINAL TALLY: 37 / 57 [65% accurate]

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