Emmy Predictions 2011 (Miniseries & Movies)

In preparation for the announcement of the 2011 Primetime Emmy nominees on July 14, I've once again compiled a list of what would seem to be the likely nominees in the drama, comedy and miniseries/movie categories, breaking the three sections up into separate articles.

One thing that will be different this year is the combination of the Outstanding Miniseries and Made for Television Movie categories into a single field: Outstanding Miniseries or Movie. While this means HBO's Too Big To Fail will likely lose the top prize to one of the more impressive miniseries, at least there won't be a competition between just two different titles.

Ironically, as weak as the miniseries field has been in the past, this is one of the strongest years for submissions in that category.

For the most part, the projected nominees seem like safe bets. And great as it would be to accurately predict every category, hopefully, a few of them will turn out differently. Luther's Ruth Wilson, for instance, didn't make the shortlist in the supporting actress field, but here's to hoping that the voting board doesn't overlook one of the best performances given by anybody in the past year.



OUTSTANDING MINISERIES OR MOVIE

(IFC Films)
(IFC Films)
  • Carlos

(ITV1)
(ITV1)
  • Downton Abbey

(BBC One)
(BBC One)
  • Luther

(HBO Films)
(HBO Films)
  • Mildred Pierce

(HBO Films)
(HBO Films)
  • Too Big To Fail

(BBC One)
(BBC One)
  • Upstairs Downstairs





OFFICIAL NOMINEES: Cinema Verite; Downton Abbey; The Kennedys; Mildred Pierce; The Pillars of the Earth; Too Big To Fail

BIGGEST SURPRISES: No nomination for a supposed frontrunner, "Carlos." Nominations here for the poorly received "The Kennedys," as well as "The Pillars of the Earth."



LEAD ACTOR IN A MINISERIES OR A MOVIE

EDGAR RAMIREZ
EDGAR RAMIREZ
  • Carlos

IDRIS ELBA
IDRIS ELBA
  • Luther

SAMUEL L. JACKSON
SAMUEL L. JACKSON
  • The Sunset Limited

TOMMY LEE JONES
TOMMY LEE JONES
  • The Sunset Limited

LAURENCE FISHBURNE
LAURENCE FISHBURNE
  • Thurgood






OFFICIAL NOMINEES: "Carlos" (Edgar Ramirez); "The Kennedys" (Greg Kinnear); "The Kennedys" (Barry Pepper); "Luther" (Idris Elba); "Thurgood" (Laurence Fishburne); "Too Big To Fail" (William Hurt)

BIGGEST SURPRISES: No nominations for either lead in "The Sunset Limited" (Samuel L. Jackson, Tommy Lee Jones); Notices for both Greg Kinnear and Barry Pepper.



LEAD ACTRESS IN A MINISERIES OR A MOVIE

DIANE LANE
DIANE LANE
  • Cinema Verite

ELIZABETH MCGOVERN
ELIZABETH MCGOVERN
  • Downton Abbey

KATE WINSLET
KATE WINSLET
  • Mildred Pierce

TARAJI P. HENSON
TARAJI P. HENSON
  • Taken From Me: The Tiffany Rubin Story

JEAN MARSH
JEAN MARSH
  • Upstairs Downstairs





OFFICIAL NOMINEES: 100% exactly as above.



SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A MINISERIES OR A MOVIE

JAMES GANDOLFINI
JAMES GANDOLFINI
  • Cinema Verite

TOM WILKINSON
TOM WILKINSON
  • The Kennedys

GUY PEARCE
GUY PEARCE
  • Mildred Pierce

PAUL GIAMATTI
PAUL GIAMATTI
  • Too Big To Fail

JAMES WOODS
JAMES WOODS
  • Too Big To Fail





OFFICIAL NOMINEES: "The Kennedys" (Tom Wilkinson); "Mildred Pierce" (Brian F. O'Byrne); "Mildred Pierce" (Guy Pearce); "Too Big To Fail" (Paul Giamatti); "Too Big To Fail" (James Woods)



SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A MINISERIES OR A MOVIE

GILLIAN ANDERSON
GILLIAN ANDERSON
  • Any Human Heart

MAGGIE SMITH
MAGGIE SMITH
  • Downton Abbey

MELISSA LEO
MELISSA LEO
  • Mildred Pierce

EVAN RACHEL WOOD
EVAN RACHEL WOOD
  • Mildred Pierce

EILEEN ATKINS
EILEEN ATKINS
  • Upstairs Downstairs





OFFICIAL NOMINEES: "Downton Abbey" (Maggie Smith); "Mildred Pierce" (Melissa Leo); "Mildred Pierce" (Mare Winningham); "Mildred Pierce" (Evan Rachel Wood); "Upstairs Downstairs" (Eileen Atkins)



DIRECTING FOR A MINISERIES, MOVIE OR A DRAMATIC SPECIAL

OLIVIER ASSAYAS
OLIVIER ASSAYAS
  • Carlos

BRIAN PERCIVAL
BRIAN PERCIVAL
  • Downton Abbey

BRIAN KIRK
BRIAN KIRK
  • Luther

TODD HAYNES
TODD HAYNES
  • Mildred Pierce

CURTIS HANSON
CURTIS HANSON
  • Too Big To Fail





OFFICIAL NOMINEES: "Carlos" (Olivier Assayas); "Cinema Verite" (Shari Springer Bergman & Robert Pulcini); "Downton Abbey" (Brian Percival); "Mildred Pierce" (Todd Haynes); "Too Big To Fail" (Curtis Hanson)



WRITING FOR A MINISERIES, MOVIE OR A DRAMATIC SPECIAL

JULIAN FELLOWES
JULIAN FELLOWES
  • Downton Abbey

NEIL CROSS
NEIL CROSS
  • Luther

JAMES M. CAIN; TODD HAYNES; JON RAYMOND; JONATHAN RAYMOND
JAMES M. CAIN; TODD HAYNES; JON RAYMOND; JONATHAN RAYMOND
  • Mildred Pierce

PETER GOULD
PETER GOULD
  • Too Big To Fail

EILEEN ATKINS; JOHN HAWKESWORTH; JEAN MARSH; HEIDI THOMAS; JOHN WHITNEY
EILEEN ATKINS; JOHN HAWKESWORTH; JEAN MARSH; HEIDI THOMAS; JOHN WHITNEY
  • Upstairs Downstairs





OFFICIAL NOMINEES: "Downton Abbey," "Mildred Pierce," "Sherlock: A Study in Pink," "Too Big To Fail," "Upstairs Downstairs"



CASTING FOR A MINISERIES, MOVIE OR A SPECIAL

  • Any Human Heart

  • Downton Abbey

  • Mildred Pierce

  • Too Big To Fail

  • Upstairs Downstairs





OFFICIAL NOMINEES: "Cinema Verite," "Downton Abbey," "Mildred Pierce," "Too Big To Fail," "Upstairs Downstairs"


FINAL TALLY: 32 / 42 [76% accurate]

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Comments 1 comment

Kamini 5 years ago

Great predictions. I think Lead Actor might have 6 nominees this year bc there are a lot of top contenders looking for a nom this year. Watch out for some smaller character actors to breakthrough (like the husband or work pal from Mildred Pierce). I too hope Ruth Wilson is recognized. My theory is that if voters even watch a single part of LUTHER, they will nominate her, so lets just hope they watch it!

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