Official Oscar Predictions 2011

On Tuesday, February 25, the nominations for the 83rd Annual Academy Awards will finally be unveiled. Although it typically helps when films score accolades from other well-known venues like the Golden Globes, the DGA, the PGA, the SAG, the BFCA, and the BAFTAS, ultimately, this is the one that really counts.

Essentially, all of the precursor awards are just signposts to the Oscars.

One thing that is interesting about this year is how many categories are practically all sewn up, except for one or two slots, which could easily go to some left-field choices.

Best Picture would appear to have nine spots filled, but will the remaining slot go to The Town, Winter's Bone or something else entirely? Four ladies seem destined to earn Oscar nominations in the Best Actress category, but it's anybody's guess as to whether Sally Hawkins, Lesley Manville, Hailee Steinfeld, Hilary Swank or Michelle Williams takes that last spot. No matter what happens in the Supporting Actor field, it's quite likely that one of my favorite character actors (John Hawkes, Sam Rockwell or Mark Ruffalo) will earn their very first Academy Award nomination.

So, without further adieu, here is how I think the nominations will go on Tuesday. I've predicted each category except for Short Film (Live Action). Unless I overlooked it, no official shortlist was ever released, and without that, I have no clue which films are even in the running.




                                         - Best Picture -

                                                   (9 out of 10 correct)

BLACK SWAN

THE FIGHTER

INCEPTION

THE KIDS ARE ALL RIGHT

THE KING'S SPEECH

127 HOURS

THE SOCIAL NETWORK

***THE TOWN***


TOY STORY 3

TRUE GRIT






                                            - Direction -

                                                     (4 out of 5 correct)

BLACK SWAN
BLACK SWAN

Darren Aronofsky

THE FIGHTER
THE FIGHTER

David O. Russell

INCEPTION
INCEPTION

***Christopher Nolan*** 

THE KING'S SPEECH
THE KING'S SPEECH

Tom Hooper

THE SOCIAL NETWORK
THE SOCIAL NETWORK

David Fincher






                                              - Actor -

                                                    (4 out of 5 correct)

TRUE GRIT
TRUE GRIT

Jeff Bridges

GET LOW
GET LOW

***Robert Duvall***


THE SOCIAL NETWORK
THE SOCIAL NETWORK

Jesse Eisenberg

THE KING'S SPEECH
THE KING'S SPEECH

Colin Firth

127 HOURS
127 HOURS

James Franco






                                             - Actress -

                                                     (4 out of 5 correct)

THE KIDS ARE ALL RIGHT
THE KIDS ARE ALL RIGHT

Annette Bening

RABBIT HOLE
RABBIT HOLE

Nicole Kidman

WINTER'S BONE
WINTER'S BONE

Jennifer Lawrence

BLACK SWAN
BLACK SWAN

Natalie Portman

CONVICTION
CONVICTION

***Hilary Swank***






                                      - Supporting Actor -

                                                    (4 out of 5 correct)

THE FIGHTER
THE FIGHTER

Christian Bale

THE SOCIAL NETWORK
THE SOCIAL NETWORK

***Andrew Garfield***

WINTER'S BONE
WINTER'S BONE

John Hawkes

THE TOWN
THE TOWN

Jeremy Renner

THE KING'S SPEECH
THE KING'S SPEECH

Geoffrey Rush






                                   - Supporting Actress -

                                                   (4 out of 5 correct)

THE FIGHTER
THE FIGHTER

Amy Adams

THE KING'S SPEECH
THE KING'S SPEECH

Helena Bonham Carter

BLACK SWAN
BLACK SWAN

***Mila Kunis***

THE FIGHTER
THE FIGHTER

Melissa Leo

ANIMAL KINGDOM
ANIMAL KINGDOM

Jacki Weaver






                                    - Original Screenplay -

                                                     (5 out of 5 correct)

ANOTHER YEAR
ANOTHER YEAR

Mike Leigh

THE FIGHTER
THE FIGHTER

Scott Silver; Paul Tamsay; Eric Johnson; Keith Dorrington

INCEPTION
INCEPTION

Christopher Nolan

THE KIDS ARE ALL RIGHT
THE KIDS ARE ALL RIGHT

Lisa Cholodenko; Stuart Blumberg

THE KING'S SPEECH
THE KING'S SPEECH

David Seidler






                                   - Adapted Screenplay -

                                                    (4 out of 5 correct)

THE GHOST WRITER
THE GHOST WRITER

***Robert Harris; Roman Polanski***

THE SOCIAL NETWORK
THE SOCIAL NETWORK

Aaron Sorkin

TOY STORY 3
TOY STORY 3

John Lasseter; Andrew Stanton; Lee Unkrich; Michael Arndt

TRUE GRIT
TRUE GRIT

Joel Coen; Ethan Coen

WINTER'S BONE
WINTER'S BONE

Debra Granik; Anne Rosellini





                                  - Animated Feature Film -

                                                    (2 out of 3 correct)

***DESPICABLE ME***

HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON

TOY STORY 3







                              - Art Direction / Set Decoration -

                                                     (4 out of 5 correct)

ALICE IN WONDERLAND
ALICE IN WONDERLAND

Robert Stromberg; Karen O'Hara

INCEPTION
INCEPTION

Guy Hendrix Dyas; Larry Dias; Douglas A. Mowat

THE KING'S SPEECH
THE KING'S SPEECH

Eve Stewart; Judy Farr

SHUTTER ISLAND
SHUTTER ISLAND

***Dante Ferretti; Francesca Lo Schiavo***

TRUE GRIT
TRUE GRIT

Jess Gonchor; Nancy Haigh





                                     - Cinematography -

                                                  (4 out of 5 correct)

BLACK SWAN
BLACK SWAN

Matthew Libatique

INCEPTION
INCEPTION

Wally Pfister

THE KING'S SPEECH
THE KING'S SPEECH

Danny Cohen

SHUTTER ISLAND
SHUTTER ISLAND

***Robert Richardson***

TRUE GRIT
TRUE GRIT

Roger Deakins






                                      - Costume Design -

                                                   (3 out of 5 correct)


ALICE IN WONDERLAND
ALICE IN WONDERLAND

Colleen Atwood

BLACK SWAN
BLACK SWAN

***Amy Westcott***

THE KING'S SPEECH
THE KING'S SPEECH

Jenny Beavan

MADE IN DAGENHAM
MADE IN DAGENHAM

***Louise Stjernsward***

THE TEMPEST
THE TEMPEST

Sandy Powell






                                - Documentary Feature -

                                                  (4 out of 5 correct)


EXIT THROUGH THE GIFT SHOP

GASLAND

INSIDE JOB

***WAITING FOR "SUPERMAN"***

WASTE LAND






                               - Documentary Short Subject -

                                                       (3 out of 5 correct)


***BORN SWEET***

KILLING IN THE NAME

***ONE THOUSAND PICTURES: RFK'S LAST JOURNEY***

SUN COME UP

THE WARRIORS OF QUIGANG







                                          - Film Editing -

                                                    (3 out of 5 correct)

THE FIGHTER
THE FIGHTER

Pamela Martin

INCEPTION
INCEPTION

***Lee Smith***

127 HOURS
127 HOURS

Jon Harris

THE SOCIAL NETWORK
THE SOCIAL NETWORK

Kirk Baxter; Angus Wall

TRUE GRIT
TRUE GRIT

***Ethan Coen; Joel Coen***






                                  - Foreign Language Film -

                                                     (4 out of 5 correct)


Mexico
Mexico

BIUTIFUL

Greece
Greece

DOGTOOTH

Denmark
Denmark

IN A BETTER WORLD

Canada
Canada

INCENDIES

South Africa
South Africa

***LIFE, ABOVE ALL***





                                              - Makeup -

                                                      (1 out of 3 correct)

ALICE IN WONDERLAND
ALICE IN WONDERLAND

***Valli O'Reilly***

JONAH HEX
JONAH HEX

***Gerald Quist***

THE WOLFMAN
THE WOLFMAN

Rick Baker






                                         - Music Score -

                                                   (4 out of 5 correct)

HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS - PART I
HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS - PART I

***Alexandre Desplat***

INCEPTION
INCEPTION

Hans Zimmer

THE KING'S SPEECH
THE KING'S SPEECH

Alexandre Desplat

127 HOURS
127 HOURS

A.R. Rahman

THE SOCIAL NETWORK
THE SOCIAL NETWORK

Trent Reznor; Atticus Ross









                                          - Original Song -

                                                     (2 out of 4 correct)

BURLESQUE
BURLESQUE

***"Bound to You"***

BURLESQUE
BURLESQUE

***"You Haven't Seen the Last of Me"***

TANGLED
TANGLED

"I See the Light"

TOY STORY 3
TOY STORY 3

"We Belong Together"

WRETCHES & JABBERERS
WRETCHES & JABBERERS

***"The Reasons Why"***









                                  - Short Film (Animated) -

                                                     (3 out of 5 correct)

***COYOTE FALLS***

DAY & NIGHT

LET'S POLLUTE!

MADAGASCAR, CARNET DE VOYAGE

***THE SILENCE BENEATH THE BARK***







                                        - Sound Editing -

                                                    (4 out of 5 correct)


INCEPTION

***127 HOURS***

TOY STORY 3

TRON: LEGACY

TRUE GRIT







                                        - Sound Mixing -

                                                   (2 out of 5 correct)

***BLACK SWAN***

INCEPTION

***127 HOURS***

***TRON: LEGACY***

TRUE GRIT






                                        - Visual Effects -

                                                    (4 out of 5 correct)

ALICE IN WONDERLAND

HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS - PART I

INCEPTION

IRON MAN 2

***TRON: LEGACY***





Predicted Tally

  • 10 Nominations: Inception, The King's Speech


  • 8 Nominations: True Grit


  • 7 Nominations: Black Swan, The Fighter, The Social Network


  • 6 Nominations: 127 Hours


  • 5 Nominations: Toy Story 3


  • 4 Nominations: Alice in Wonderland


  • 3 Nominations: The Kids Are All Right, Tron: Legacy, Winter's Bone


  • 2 Nominations: Burlesque, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part I, Shutter Island, The Town

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Comments 2 comments

Megavitamin profile image

Megavitamin 5 years ago

Love it! Can't wait to see how many you've gotten right. I think it's a very solid list.


mandawg9 profile image

mandawg9 5 years ago Author

Thank you, ma'am. Of course, there's bound to be a few that NOBODY got right, but that's part of the fun.

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