Predicting the 2010 Emmy Winners - Part 1 of 3 (THE COMEDIES)
Sunday, August 29th, the awards will be handed out for the 62nd Primetime Emmys. As I've done in the past, I'll try to see if I can correctly guess who all of the winners will be. And by "all," of course, I don't mean literally every category the television academy plans on handing out (there are too many to even count). Instead, I'll stick to what I've been doing, covering the major categories (the series, their performers, and the episodes nominated for directing and writing).
Unlike what I've done with previous hubs, however, I'm pleased to announce that this predictions article will be a little different. I'm including the thoughts of a friend and fellow awards enthusiast, Kaison Amini. I'm utilizing him as a source for a few reasons, aside from the obvious (it's fun to compare notes with someone else).
For one, he's actually viewed the majority of the nominated series, something I can't even claim I've done. I have watched a good number of the episodes in their entirety, and I've glimpsed a few clips here and there, but he's probably seen more than I have. For another, as far as I know, Kaison is the ONLY person I remember who called The Blind Side's Best Picture nomination for last year's Academy Awards. Trust me, he knows his stuff.
So let's compare and contrast our predictions. For the most part, they're pretty similar, although our runner-up choices differ frequently. It'll be interesting to see who got more right two weeks from now.
If you need a quick refresher on who the nominees are (in terms of the categories in discussion), you can find them all here.
OUTSTANDING COMEDY SERIES
- Kaison's Pick: MODERN FAMILY (Runner-up: GLEE)
- My Pick: MODERN FAMILY (Runner-up: GLEE or 30 ROCK)
K.A.: A new show will win this year. Modern Family, I feel, has more industry support, while Glee has more general support. Glee has won the Golden Globe for Best Comedy Series, the SAG for Best Comedy Ensemble and the TCA Award for Program of the Year. Both could win, but I'll give the edge to the underdog and more conservative choice: Modern Family.
ME: In my opinion, Modern Family was far and away the best comedy of the past season, and handing it the top prize should be a no-brainer for Emmy voters. Still, Glee’s wins at the Globes and the SAGs, in particular, make it a force to be reckoned with. And while it’s time for someone new to claim the Comedy Series trophy, 30 Rock is still plenty funny, and, as a result, still a threat.
LEAD ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
- Kaison's Pick: Tony Shalhoub, MONK (Runner-up: Larry David)
- My Pick: Jim Parsons, THE BIG BANG THEORY (Runner-up: Tony Shalhoub)
K.A.: For Shalhoub’s submission, the comedy is minimal, but that hasn't stopped him from winning three times previously for this role. I think voters will give him one last Emmy to say goodbye to his character. Many people seem to think Jim Parsons will win, but I find his character to be a little too silly. I think that if anyone is going to surprise and win, it will be the long-time nominated Larry David (Curb Your Enthusiasm), as a way for the Academy to award an overdue actor.
ME: Shalhoub is definitely a major threat, given his past wins and the fact that he submitted a lengthy episode. Still, he hasn’t won since 2006, and Parsons (along with his show) continues to heat up. I was actually laughing out loud when I watched "The Pants Alternative," and if enough Emmy voters had the same reaction, it could be a good night for Jim.
LEAD ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
- Kaison's Pick: Edie Falco, NURSE JACKIE (Runner-up: Tina Fey)
- My Pick: Edie Falco, NURSE JACKIE (Runner-up: Toni Collette)
K.A.: Edie Falco is an Emmy favorite, having won 3 times for The Sopranos. Plus, Nurse Jackie was unexpectedly nominated for Outstanding Comedy Series, showing that it has a lot of support amongst the voters. Next in line for the award is probably Tina Fey (30 Rock). Personally, my favorite performance was Amy Poehler in Parks & Recreation. The one to look out for in this category is last year’s winner, Toni Collette (United States of Tara).
ME: I, too, thought Amy Poehler was the funniest lady here, hands down. However, I’m going with Falco. I didn't think she was particularly funny in the pilot, but nonetheless, she has all the buzz right now. Collette could repeat, but no actress has won back-to-back in this category since 2001.
SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
- Kaison's Pick: Eric Stonestreet, MODERN FAMILY (Runner-up: Ty Burrell)
- My Pick: Eric Stonestreet, MODERN FAMILY (Runner-up: Ty Burrell)
K.A.: For me, Eric Stonestreet gave the best performance out of all three of his castmates on Modern Family. Ty Burrell's tape is really good too, but one thing that could hurt his chances is that he doesn't make much of an impact in his two co-star’s tapes. Chris Colfer is the dark horse in this category, because he gives a big showy performance, but it’s a little too dramatic (plus, voters don’t typically vote for younger actors).
ME: Burrell is my personal favorite from Modern Family, but Stonestreet’s submission is just way too strong. How do you not give the award to a guy who threatens to beat somebody up while fully decked out in a clown outfit? And then pulling out that giant clock in the end. . .yeah, this has got to go to Eric. Although many pundits see Chris Colfer as a potential upset, I just don't get it. Don't get me wrong, he's great on Glee, but I think his reward will be the nomination.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
- Kaison's Pick: Jane Lynch, GLEE (Runner-up: Jane Krakowski)
- My Pick: Jane Lynch, GLEE
K.A.: This is where Glee will get its main award if it doesn't win Comedy Series. Jane Lynch is an industry veteran who has yet to garner an award, and she delivers an amazing, much-talked about performance on Glee. Jane Krakowski is really funny in her episode, and I felt it was one of the best tapes submitted.
ME: Whether you like, love or loathe Glee, one thing is undeniable: Jane Lynch is absolutely hilarious as Sue Sylvester. By the time you get to the third episode of the show, you automatically smile when she shows up on screen. You can't help it. At that point, it’s involuntary. Although she lost the Golden Globe to an actress from a drama, proving she is vulnerable, I just can’t imagine Lynch losing to anyone. Another name picking up the trophy here would be a complete and total shock.
GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
- Kaison's Pick: Neil Patrick Harris, GLEE (Runner-up: Jon Hamm)
- My Pick: Neil Patrick Harris, GLEE (Runner-up: Will Arnett)
K.A.: Neil Patrick Harris is nominated for a whopping three Emmys this year (Comedy Supporting Actor, this category & Special Class Program for hosting the Tony Awards). I think he will finally score his first Emmy Award here. Jon Hamm is hysterical in his guest appearance on 30 Rock, but it only lasts 2 minutes. The dark horse in this category is Eli Wallach, simply because he’s an old industry veteran and Emmy loves to award those. He’s decent on his guest turn on Nurse Jackie, but doesn’t really stand out.
ME: This is definitely one of the toughest races to call. Basically, any of the actors could win. With three nods to his credit, though, Harris has to win somewhere, right? Arnett is always golden as Devon Banks, and I definitely wouldn’t mind seeing him finally win. Hamm was hilarious, but the limited screen time will probably work against him. Mike O’Malley has really impressed me with what he does on Glee, but his performance falls under the wrong genre.
GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
- Kaison's Pick: Betty White, SNL (Runner-up: Kristin Chenoweth)
- My Pick: Betty White, SNL (Runner-up: Kristin Chenoweth)
K.A.: This is probably the easiest category to predict. Betty White has so much industry buzz right now that it’s ridiculous! There is no way in hell Betty could lose this Emmy. Had she not had the amazing year she did, Kristin Chenoweth (Glee) would be going home with Emmy #2.
ME: Heads: it goes to Betty White. Tails: it goes to Betty White. I like that she’s relevant again, and I don’t really have a problem with her winning, but I didn’t think the Saturday Night Live sketches were as funny as they had been hyped up to be. Regardless, Betty’s got this in the bag. Although they’ve both won for their guest spots in the past, Tina Fey (SNL) and Elaine Stritch (30 Rock) are my favorites here.
DIRECTING IN A COMEDY SERIES
- Kaison's Pick: GLEE, Pilot (Runner-up: GLEE, "Wheels")
- My Pick: GLEE, Pilot (Runner-up: MODERN FAMILY, Pilot)
K.A.: Glee is easily the best-directed series of the nominees here. With all the dance numbers and musical performances, voters will have to give the show one of its first major Emmy wins in this category, specifically to show-runner and creator Ryan Murphy for the pilot.
ME: Directing a show isn’t easy. Directing a musical is doubly hard. It seems unlikely that any other series would win here. However, if there is an overflow of support for Modern Family (which I wouldn’t bank on), it could upset here. But who are we kidding? This is Glee’s to lose.
WRITING IN A COMEDY SERIES
- Kaison's Pick: THE OFFICE, "Niagara" (Runner-up: MODERN FAMILY, Pilot)
- My Pick: MODERN FAMILY, Pilot (Runner-up: 30 ROCK, "Lee Marvin vs. Derek Jeter")
K.A.: For some reason, I feel like a curveball might be thrown here. The Office’s "Niagara" was a great one-hour long episode. Pilots typically win here though, so more than likely, either Glee or Modern Family will take this. Modern Family has the edge, given that it is most likely to win Comedy Series.
ME: This better go to Modern Family, which should have scored another nomination here for Stonestreet’s submitted episode, "Fizbo." Not seeing any immediate threats, but 30 Rock has performed well here in the past.
HOW WE DID
Kaison's Tally: 7 of 9 correct - 78% correct (TOTAL CORRECT = 15 of 26)
My Tally: 9 of 9 correct - 100% correct! (TOTAL CORRECT = 15 of 26) - what do you know, we tied!
- The montage of all the comedies
- Neil Patrick Harris imitating Betty White
- Modern Family's sketch with the cast <--- this alone proves why it's the funniest show of the past season
- Jim Parsons winning Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
- Neil Patrick Harris thanking the academy for "allowing two gay hosts in a row" (speaking, of course, of Jimmy Fallon)
- Will Arnett introducing the reality-competition nominees in an incredibly dramatic voice
- Modern Family winning Comedy Series over Glee and 30 Rock
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