@mariapoo - I just wrote a hub about this too...I'm going to go and read yours...
Basically, IMHO, if there are any talented cute boys in the running, I really don't think anyone else has much of a chance. Idol is about finding talent, but I don't think who wins really matters at the end of the day!
Pia did go home pretty early in my opinion, but with James Durbin, Scotty Mc Creery and Stefano Langone in the running, the girls don't have much of a chance in my opinion.
Idol voting is driven by teenage girls - a teenage girl is not likely to choose someone like, uber-talented, bluesy hippy, Crystal Bowersox, over charming, cute and moderately talented Lee Dewyze. They won't be into someone like Crystal, until someone like Lee breaks their hearts!