Having a Baby Over 40 - My Research Statistics

Where do the Pregnancy Stats Come From Anyway?

So I have been reading lots of articles about the chances of getting pregnant over 40 what the statistics are regarding the chances, and some things I read - particularly forum posts - give lots of details of women who have got pregnant over the age of 40, but most of the news articles I read have seriously depressing statistics about the chances of getting pregnant particularly at my age of 43 and it all gets very depressing.

But my thoughts have always been how do they do the research on numbers and changes of getting pregnant anyway? Surely they don't register everyone who goes into their doctors and says they want to get pregnant and then see if they do? In any case I'm sure a huge number of women would not go to their doctors and would just start trying. And then what about those who just get pregnant by mistake?! So my thought are that if it is about the people who do go to the doctors then are those people more likely to think they have some sort of issue or problem that might stop them and that is why they go to the doctor in the first place? And hence they might be the women less likely to conceive anyway.

I reckon I have a 25% to 50% chance of getting pregnant according to the stats of my facebook friends.
I reckon I have a 25% to 50% chance of getting pregnant according to the stats of my facebook friends.

Analysis of My Facebook Friends

So I thought to myself that I seemed to know quite a few women who had had babies over 40 - and for most of those women this was their first baby. I also know a couple of women who had had 2 babies over 40 so to me my facebook friends seemed to have bucked the stats.

So this is my analysis of my facebook friends:

Women under 40 - 47

Women over 40 who did not have a baby in their 40's - 48
(however, this stat might be misleading as a significant number of them already have children so their family may already be complete)

Women who had a baby over the age of 40 - 8

So that makes the percentage of my female friends over 40 who have had a baby at around 14%. Now that statistic is probably better than any of the ones that I have read from the doctors. And of course it does not take into account that I would estimate that the majority of the rest of them were not even trying! Let's say that 50% of them were trying (very unlikely to be honest) then that still means a percentage success rate of 25%.

What Can We Take From This?

Well in my mind I think I have to go with what I know is reality - a minimum figure of 25% of those who were trying were able to have at least one baby over 40. But the more likely figure is over 50% I would say as I struggle to find 8 women in my facebook friends who are over 40 and likely to be trying.

Maybe it is just my group of friends but I think they are a reasonable set of statistics so I will take heart from that.

I think that we are all too often led to believe, not only by the press but also by some doctors, that it is impossible to get pregnant once you reach 40. OK there are people who will struggle but it really looks like the odds are not stacked against us as much as we might think.

Post Script

So after writing this article I did actually manage to get pregnant at the age of 44. Unfortunately I had a miscarriage (and this seems to be very common in your 40s) but the fact was I did manage to conceive naturally. Further to this i decided to go down the route of donor egg IVF and got pregnant on the first try. As I thought time was of the essence and this would reduce the time and the risk of miscarriage, it seemed a logical step to take.

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Comments 5 comments

Butterfly67 profile image

Butterfly67 4 years ago from UK Author

So I just found out recently that a friend's wife got pregnant at the age of 40 in the first month of trying. Interesting!


N2exotic 4 years ago

I just turned 42. I have never been pregnant. My long term boyfriend left ten days before my birthday. We never used birth control, but never really tried to get pregnant. I decided that I did not have time to fall in love and have a baby. I called an X and asked if he would knock me up. To my shock and amazement it worked the first month. I also read all of the statistics on over 40 pregnancy and was depressed and discouraged. I read that Mirena might also effect my ability....well...Nature seems more powerful than statistics....my suggestion...hot orgasmic sex


Butterfly67 profile image

Butterfly67 4 years ago from UK Author

Wow N2, congrats and well done for taking the initiative. That is pretty good that it worked the first month and yes, it just goes to show that the stats are not always right!


Jennifer 4 years ago

I am 42 and just found out I am pregnant. was not trying but am happy about it. It apparently took awhile since i have been in this relationship for 8 months and have not used protection, I really thought it would not happen!


Butterfly67 profile image

Butterfly67 4 years ago from UK Author

Wow Jennifer congratulations that is brilliant news!

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