2009 NFL Football Week Seven Preview and Picks
61Who Will Win Each Game, and More Importantly, Who Will Cover the Spread
Last week was another of those weeks where I didn't do particularly bad, but I certainly could have done better. The Eagles losing to the Raiders didn't help me at all, although I doubt anyone picked that to happen. Nor did the Jets losing to Buffalo or the Bengals dropping the ball against Houston. However I did take a lot of satisfaction in the fact that the Cardinals and Broncos both won outright as an underdog, which made no sense to me that either one of them was getting points in games I felt they should win. Also, Baltimore, the other team I picked to win as a dog, covered even though they came up short (wide left actually) on the field.
I ended being 9-5 straight up and 7-7 against the spread. For the season, that leaves me with a record of 58-31 straight up and 44-45 (that sound you hear is me hitting my head against a wall) against the spread. It seems like all season long the point spreads have been enormous each week. I don't ever recall having so many lines that were more than a touchdown or even double digits every single week. Unfortunately, this week is no different in that respect. Fortunately for me however, there are several underdogs this week that I think have inflated numbers. The one thing that is making me real nervous though is that just about every team I like to win is a visiting team. It's hard to pick against almost every home team and feel good about it.
John Riggins Gives Some Advice to the Redskins
Have Your Say
What did you like most about week six?
See results without votingWhat I Liked in Week Six
- Atlanta Establishing a Home Field Advantage Over the Past Two Seasons - The Falcons have done a lot of good things over the past two years. Winning 15 out of 21 games (and counting) is one of those things. Another is being on the verge of having two consecutive winning seasons for the first time in team history. A big part of the reason for those first two milestones is the fact that they have finally established a legitimate home field advantage for the first time in years. After beating Chicago in week six, Atlanta is now 10-1 the past two seasons at home including all three games this season.
- The Broncos/Chargers Kick
Return Teams - It's not every day you see a kick return for
a touchdown. So when three are returned all the way in a single
game, including two by the same player that's truly a rarity. In
fact, Eddie Royal's 93 yard and 71 yard returns along with Darren
Sproles' 77 yard punt return tied the record for most return TD's in
an NFL game. People who like to get up for snacks during kickoffs
learned a painful lesson on Monday night. Together, Royal and Sproles combined for more return yardage (461) than either the Broncos or Chargers offense.
- Ben Roethlisberger - The days of Big Ben throwing 8 or 9 passes a game while te defense and running game win the game are long over with. Roethisberger is not just a capable quarterback he is the focus of the Steelers' offense. The 417 yards he threw for against the Browns in week six put him in second place among league QB's. The lack of a consistent running game has pushed the offense in that direction, but it doesn't hurt to have receivers like Hines Ward (8 catches for 159 yards) and Santana Holmes (5 catches for 104 yards) to throw to.
- Pittsburgh's Liquored Up Idiot Kicker - As
much as the NFL is trying to clean up its image and all, sometimes
the craziness is just funny. Jeff Reed is one of those guys that
does a lot of really stupid shit that usually only ends up hurting
himself. Actually, he does kinda hurt my stomach a bit from
laughing. The latest was his attempt to intercede between the police
and one of his drinking buddies by jumping out of a car and
"assuming a fighting stance." In case that visual isn't
enough to inspire laughter, he was promptly slammed to the concrete
and arrested with very little actual fight involved. Previously,
Jeff has entertained us by taking pictures of his wiener in the
bathroom of a bar and picking a fight with a towel holder in the
bathroom of a store (I'm sensing a theme) and various other drunken
exploits usually commemorated on film.
Have Your Say
What did you like the least about week six?
See results without votingWhat I Didn't Like in Week Six
- The Ravens Settling for a Missed Field Goal - Baltimore managed to stage an amazing second half comeback against Minnesota Sunday. After being down 27-10 in the fourth quarter, they manged to pull ahead 31-30 with just 3:37 to play. Then things got a little silly for both teams. First Minnesota marched right down the field until they got down to the Ravens' 18 yard line with 2:46 to play. At that point, they ran three short run plays to force Baltimore to use up their time outs and kicked a field goal for a two point lead instead of even trying to score a touchdown. Next the Ravens took over with just under two minutes to play and proceeded to go straight down the field as they had throughout the fourth quarter. That is until they got within scoring distance with almost a full minute remaining, at which point they ran a short running play, waiting for the clock to run down before spiking the ball, and missed a 44 yard field goal as time ran out. Granted, an NFL kicker should be able to make it from 44 yards, but to not even try to at least pick up some more yards when you've been moving the ball at will all day is ludicrous.
- Andy Reid Refusing to Run the Ball - There aren't a lot of words that fit neatly into a description of the performance put on by the Eagles against the Raiders in week six as much s pathetic does. It was an all around crappy game from the defense that allowed JaMarcus Russell to play like an actual professional quarterback right down to the offensive line that allowed Donovan Mcnabb to get sacked six times and David Akers missing two field goals. Admittedly, the Eagles also got a raw deal when the refs failed to call a penalty on Oakland for having 12 men on the field during a kickoff. But the crowning achievement was Andy Reid's utter refusal to call running plays against Oakland's 31st ranked run defense. Instead he called 46 passes and just 14 runs in a game they never trailed by more than a touchdown and in which they gained 4.8 yards per rush and just 4.7 per pass. That's pretty much the recipe for becoming the first team not to score a touchdown against the Raiders in three years. Good news Philly fans, Andy Reid is currently working on a contract extension.
- Matt Forte Fumbling Twice on the Goal Line - Call it a sophomore slump or what's come to be expected for running backs in Chicago these days or whatever you will, but Matt Forte isn't exactly setting the orld on fire this season. Against Atlanta he managed to gain 23 yards on 15 carries for a whopping 1.5 yard per carry average. That wasn't even enough to measure up to his less than stellar 3.4 yard season average. Worse yet, he fumbled the ball on consecutive plays, losing it after getting the first fumble back, at the one yard line in a game the Bears lost by seven points. Not a good time to have twice as many fumbles in one drive as you had all last season.
- Mark Sanchez Throwing Interceptions - Boy, how the mighty have fallen and in a hurry too. The Jets from being a popular pick to win it all at 3-0 to a team that can't get out of its own way at 3-3. A lot of it has to do with their quarterback's sudden struggles and his recent tendency to throw interceptions like he's giving out candy on Halloween. All of which is a scenario that sounds fairly familiar for some reason. Of course, Sanchez isn't entirely responsible for the tailspin the Jets are currently trapped in, but his sudden realization that he's a rookie isn't helping things at all.
Have Your Say
What is the most significant thing you learned in week six?
See results without votingWhat I Learned in Week Six
- The Broncos Own the Second Half This Season - First of all, anybody that is still harboring doubt about the Broncos needs to accept that they are not going to crumble and disappear this season. They are past the point where the offseason turmoil might affect them and they all but wrapped up the division in week six against San Diego. The most striking thing about the Broncos this season is the way they have dominated teams in the second half. They've outscored opponents 74-10, outgained them 1368-605, and only allowed 2 out of 35 conversions by the other teams on third down during the second half (none in the last four games) . That's just unheard of for a team to play that much better from one half to the next. They might score 50 points in the fourth quarter against the Steelers on Nov. 9th.
- The Colts are the Least Celebrated Undefeated Team in the NFL - It's not so much that the Colts are underrated as it is just that people seem to be used to them always being good. They are typically mentioned among the best teams and they get their due in the rankings for the most part. However, whenever the subject of who the best team is comes up you typically have heard New York (either one), New Orleans, Denver, or Minnesota. It just seems like Indy is always the no. 2 team in the conversation. And yet they keep just plugging along winning every game and starting out undefeated deep into the season yet again.
- The Chiefs Have Some Low Expectations this Season - The Kansas City players topped off a less than compelling victory against the Redskins by dumping Gatorade on head coach Todd Haley. First of all, it's funny because this glorious victory gave them a 1-5 record. Secondly, it's funny because it reminds me of the time when the Long Beach State football team killed George Allen, who ironically had coached the Redskins, by dunking a Gatorade bucket filled with ice water over his head. At least they waited until they had secured a winning record before they put him on his death bed.
- The Trade Deadline Comes Way Too Early in the NFL - Maybe it's just me, but I think the trade deadline comes way to soon. There are rarely any meaningful trades because the season is barely underway before the deadline hits. I know the theory behind it is that they want to avoid losing teams having a fire sale and shipping off all their players once they are out of contention like sometimes happens in baseball, but that doesn't really seem to have ever been an issue in the NFL. It would be nice if teams had some options once the injuries started to pile up in the second half of the season.
Have Your Say
What is the thing you were least surprised by in week six?
See results without votingWhat I already Knew
- The Giants Incredible Stats Had as Much To Do With Who They Were Playing as How Great They Actually are - The Giants are a pretty solid team in spite of their convincing loss to New Orleans in week six. They are still the favorites to win the NFC East and could go pretty far into the playoffs at the end of the season, barring some significant injuries. However, the reason that they were so dominant statistically in the first five games of the season, especially on defense, was because they played Washington, Kansas City, Tampa Bay, and Oakland. In the one game they played previously against a decent offense they gave up 31 points to the Cowboys in a game that Tony Romo didn't play particularly well. The fact New Orleans was able to score on them wasn't shocking although how many they scored was a bit surprising. The point of doubt going in was whether the Giants could match the Saints in scoring. Unfortunately, they couldn't.
- It's Pretty Safe to Say Tom Brady is Back At This Point - Speaking of scoring a lot of points, not too long ago the Patriots were having a bit of a problem doing that. But the combination of the Titans coming to town and Wes Welker getting back on the field has changed that just a bit. That was pretty much the worst beating any NFL team has taken in recent history. This game was effectively in the first quarter and amazingly it wasn't even as close as the 59-0 final score. New England could have easily scored a few more touchdowns and Tennessee never indicated at any time that they might even come close to scoring one. In fa ct it reminds me of an old quote from Sammy Baugh after the Redskins lost 73-0 to the Bears in the 1940 NFL Championship. Asked if things would have maybe gone differently if one of his receivers hadn't dropped a ass in the first quarter that would have tied the game 7-7, Baugh replied, "Sure. The final score would have been 73-7." That's the kinda day it was in Boston last Sunday for the Titans.
- Sunday's Debacle May Have Been the Beginning of the End for the Jeff Fisher Era in Tennessee- The saddest thing about that game was that the Titans never appeared to even want to put up any sort of fight. The Titans created a perfect storm of missed tackles, dropped passes, and blown coverages that guaranteed they would be blown off of the field by the Patriots. It was just sad to watch the way the Titans just rolled over and quit. And it might not bode well for Jeff Fisher. As much as I've pointed out that Albert Haynesworth leaving is really responsible for their epic collapse, they can't fire Haynesworth and having the team completely give up just six games into the season is the recipe for a new address for Fisher. Plus, his record is 40-46 over the last seven seasons with only two winning seasons. If their losing ways continue or get worse that 13-3 season last year might not be enough to keep the wolves at bay.
- The Jim Zorn Era is All Over Except for the Screaming and Gnashing of Teeth - As lon as we are discussing coaches on the dead Coach Walking list, Jim Zorn is all but history in Washington. If it wasn't bad enough that he had to accept an "offensive consultant" two weeks ago and then give up play calling duties to him after week six, he's now officially received the dreaded vote of confidence from General Manager Vinny Cerrato. In addition, rumor has it that Mike Shanahan was already offered the job, but turned it down. So, it's obviously only a matter of time at this point. Personally, I think they are just trying to sweat him out and see if they can make him miserable enough to quit so they don't have to pay him that final year of his contract.
Have Your Say
Which Prediction Do You Think is Most Likely to Happen?
See results without votingPredictions for Week Seven
- Things are About to Get a Lot Worse for the Redskins - The amazing thing about the Redskins horrible start is that this is the easy portion of their schedule. In a bit of an odd anomaly Washington's first six opponents came into the game winless. Four of the six managed to get their first victory courtesy of the Redskins. Now comes the hard part for Washington. Starting Monday, they play the Eagles (twice), Cowboys (twice), Giants, Falcons, Saints, Broncos, Chargers, and Raiders. Which means they will ave one game (Oakland) in which they might be favored to win the rest of the season and that's not even guaranteed. They'll be lucky to win five games this year.
- The Jets Defense is Going to Miss Kris Jenkins - When it rains it pours. Not only is Mark Sanchez struggling at this point, but the defense hasn't played great the past two weeks either. On top of that nose tackle Kris Jenkins, the best player on New York's defense, was injured against Buffalo and is gone for the season. Jenkins, who is 6-4 and weighs 360 pounds, was responsible for much of the pressure from the defensive line that allowed the Jets defense to thrive in the first three games of the season. This loss will create a huge hole and the Jets ability (or inability) to fill that hole could very well decide how far they go this season.
- Expect to See a Lot of Frank Gore Against the Texans - San Francisco running back Frank Gore is back after missing two games with an ankle injury. While the Texans' defense have gotten a little better against the run, they are still toward the bottom of the heap. Meanwhile, the 49ers are going to be looking to get back on track after the 45-10 beating they took from the Falcons prior to their bye in week five. The thing that the Niners used to do back before week five was hand off to Frank Gore and watch him run down the field all day long. Expect them to return to that formula against Houston.
- Expect a Lot of Points in the Fourth Quarter of the Pittsburgh/Minnesota Game - If you are a betting man, take the over in the second half of the Steelers game against the Vikings. First, both teams have injury problems in their defensive backfields which have made them vulnerable against passing teams. Second, both teams quarterbacks have been playing extremely well, so they will have the capability to take advantage of the first issue. Finally, both of them have had a habit of giving up points late. Pittsburgh has a habit of letting teams sneak back into games. Even against Cleveland they let them get all the way down to the one yard line late, while trailing 27-14, before Ryan Clark prevented them from getting back into it with an interception. I expect this to be a shootout and I think Adrian Peterson will be the ultimate difference for Minnesota, while both Favre and Roethlisberger will have big days.
My Picks for the 2009 Week Seven NFL Games
Sun, Oct. 25
| 10:00 AM (PDT)
| 11:00 AM (MDT)
| 12:00 PM (CDT)
| 1:00 PM (EDT)
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
Favorite
| Underdog
| Point Spread
| Straight Up
| Against the Spread
|
Green Bay
| Cleveland
| 9.0
| Green Bay
| Green Bay
|
San Diego
| Kansas City
| 4.5
| San Diego
| San Diego
|
Indianapolis
| St. Louis
| 13.0
| Indianapolis
| Indianapolis
|
Pittsburgh
| Minnesota
| 4.5
| Minnesota
| Minnesota
|
New England
| Tampa Bay
| 14.5
| New England
| New England
|
Houston
| San Francisco
| 3.0
| San Francisco
| San Francisco
|
Sun, Oct. 25
| 1:00 PM (PDT)
| 2:00 PM (MDT)
| 3:00 PM (CDT)
| 4:00 PM (EDT)
|
New York Jets
| Oakland
| 6.0
| New York Jets
| New York Jets
|
Carolina
| Buffalo
| 7.0
| Carolina
| Buffalo
|
Cincinnati
| Chicago
| 1.0
| Cincinnati
| Cincinnati
|
Dallas
| Atlanta
| 4.0
| Atlanta
| Atlanta
|
New Orleans
| Miami
| 6.0
| New Orleans
| New Orleans
|
Sun, Oct. 25
| 5:20 PM (PDT)
| 6:20 PM (MDT)
| 7:20 PM (CDT)
| 8:20 PM (EDT)
|
New York Giants
| Arizona
| 7.0
| New York Giants
| Arizona
|
Mon, Oct. 26
| 5:30 PM (PDT)
| 6:30 PM (MDT)
| 7:30 PM (CDT)
| 8:30 PM (EDT)
|
Philadelphia
| Washington
| 7.0
| Philadelphia
| Philadelphia
|
Related Hubs
- 2009 NFL Football Week Six Preview and Picks
A review of the week five games and preview of the week six games in the 2009 NFL season. Includes my picks for each game both straight up (winners) and against the spread... - 2009 NFL Football Week Five Preview and Picks
A review of the week four games and preview of the week five games in the 2009 NFL season. Includes my picks for each game both straight up (winners) and against the spread... - 2009 NFL Football Week Four Preview and Picks
A review of the week three games and preview of the week four games in the 2009 NFL season. Includes my picks for each game both straight up (winners) and against the spread... - 2009 NFL Football Week Three Preview and Picks
A review of week two's games and preview of week three's games in the 2009 NFL season. Includes my picks for each game both straight up (winners) and against the spread... - 2009 NFL Football Preview and Week One Picks
My preview and predictions for the 2009 season and picks for the week one games both straight up and against the spread. The previews cover each division as well as playoff and Superbowl pedictions. - My Picks for Superbowl XLIII
My picks for Superbowl XLIII, featuring the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. the Arizona Cardinals. Who will win and why, both straight up and against the spread. Also, predictions for the over/under, Superbowl MVP, and the opening coin flip. - My Picks for the Conference Championship Round of the 2009 NFL Playoffs
Another week of reruns, but of course, both of these retreads are going to be well worth watching. One is a genuine grudge match; with no hyperbole needed to sell it as such. The other is the most unlikely conference championship matchup ever; featur - 2009 NFL Football Week Two Preview and Picks
A review of week one's games and preview of week two's games in the 2009 NFL season. Includes my picks for each game both straight up (winners) and against the spread...
NFL Products on Amazon.com
|
The Greatest NFL Players and Coaches
Price: $2.47
List Price: $14.98 |
|
Brett Favre Purple Reebok NFL Premier Minnesota Vikings Jersey - Large
Price: $36.90
List Price: $110.00 |
|
NFL: New York Giants - 10 Greatest Games
Price: $24.49
List Price: $49.98 |
|
NFL Colts Infant Snap Front Sleep 'N Play, 0-3 Months
Price: $12.99
List Price: $12.99 |
NFL Products on Ebay
|
|
09 UD NFL Football Cards Box Set + Valuable FREE Items
Current Bid: $16.70
|
|
|
WILSON OFFICIAL NFL GAME FOOTBALL THE DUKE GOODELL NEW
Current Bid: $69.99
|
|
|
NFL 2008 Colts Original Signed Football with Cert.
Current Bid: $175.00
|
|
|
08 UD Icons NFL Football Cards Box +Valuable FREE Items
Current Bid: $16.90
|
|
|
NEW MEN'S NFL THORPE LOW D FOOTBALL CLEATS #131925 13M
Current Bid: $30.89
|
PrintShare it! — Rate it: up down flag this hub
Thanks. You know what they say, "great mimes think alike." Or something like that anyway.
Yeppers. Man kick off can't come fast enough
This is one of the best recaps and analysis I've read on the NFL. Awesome. I think I'd go with Chicago over Cincinnati, but I can't argue about your picks. NFL points spreads are so good, it's really tough to be over 500 against the spread. See if you can pull ahead this week. Good luck.
Looks like Favre remembered the art of the game ending turnover that he had forgotten about so far this season. So you got me again this week Shyne.
Thanks Paul,
Football is my one major vice, so I eat it up during the season. It doesn't hurt living in Vegas, where I can go to the casino and watch every game on big screen TV's, either.
I may pull myself back over the edge this week against the spread since I'm 4-1-1 in the morning games. It is tough to pick every game against the spread. There are a lot of games I'm not sure about or I just don't like how many points the favorite is giving. When I'm actually betting I would stay away from those games, but since I'm picking every game, I don't have that option. Knowing which games to avoid is actually a skill in its own rite.
Good call on Cinci...looks like they are destroying the Bears.
Yeah, I can't actually say I expected it to be that lopsided, but I figured the Bengals would be hungry after last week.
Good hub series, I'll pass it along to my husband. I don't know alot about football, but I did enjoy this and know a bit more now.
Thanks Carmen. It's never too late to learn.
NFL Football in the News
- NFL Replay: Aggressive tactics boost mighty Saints to first titleUSA Today15 hours ago
Alas, on the heels of the New Orleans Saints' 31-17 victory against the Indianapolis Colts in Super Bowl XLIV, one more installment of our NFL Replay awards.
- Madden NFL Super Bowl simulation picks another winnerGamePro2 days ago
EA's Madden NFL franchise has successfully predicted another winner, and its sixth out of seven, as the official Super Bowl simulation held this past Tuesday predicted a championship win for the Saints.
- Possible draft picks for Arizona Cardinals at No. 26The Arizona Republic14 hours ago
The NFL draft doesn't kick off until April 22, but here is a look at some of the players the Cardinals could select with their first pick.
- Baltimore Sun Super Bowl picksBaltimore Sun3 days ago
Sun sportswriters and WJZ's Mark Viviano predict the winner Baltimore Sun picks Each week, Sun columnists and NFL reporters, plus WJZ's Mark Viviano, will pick NFL games (not against the spread).
- USA TODAY's picks for Super Bowl XLIVUSA Today2 days ago
USA TODAY's NFL analysts project the winners for all of this week's NFL games.
- Who'll be the top 2 NFL picks?Detroit Free Press2 days ago
With Pick No. 1 ... The Rams have the top pick, thanks to beating the Lions, of course. The top pick is Nebraska DT Ndamukong Suh, but the Rams could follow the Lions and take a QB like Jimmy Clausen or San Bradford. With Pick No. 2 Detroit Lions
- NFL: Peppers doesn't want long-term deal with PanthersHonolulu Advertiser8 hours ago
CHARLOTTE, N.C. — Julius Peppers no longer wants a long-term contract with Carolina, saying the Panthers have ignored him this offseason.
- Football Pick'em ContestElk Grove Citizen25 hours ago
Members of the Elk Grove community and sports editor Jon Gudel will compete in weekly picks of high school, college and NFL football games. Wins and losses will be tabulated throughout the season and concludes with the Super Bowl on Feb. 7. Scott Gradin is the defending champion.
NFL News Feed
- Seahawks O.C. likes Hasselbeck, mum on Jones
RENTON, Wash. (AP) -- New Seahawks offensive coordinator Jeremy Bates says quarterback Matt Hasselbeck "has been incredible'' learning his new system. He says running backs Julius Jones and Justin Forsett will fit Seattle's new offense well. - 8 hours ago
- N.O. honors Saints, Mardi Gras style
NEW ORLEANS (AP) -- The Super Bowl champion New Orleans Saints are celebrating Mardi Gras-style. - 11 hours ago
- Super Bowl bettors earn Nevada casinos $6.86M
LAS VEGAS (AP) -- Nevada casinos won almost $6.9 million on this year's Super Bowl as bettors wagered $82.7 million on the NFL title game, gambling regulators said Tuesday. - 15 hours ago
- White Stripes upset over song in Super Bowl ad
DETROIT (AP) -- The White Stripes say the Air Force Reserve used one of their songs without permission in an American football championship Super Bowl ad, and that they are insulted their song was used to encourage recruitment during a war they don't support. - 17 hours ago
- Las Vegas police close case on Rams RB Jackson
LAS VEGAS (AP) -- Police say they found a lack of evidence that St. Louis Rams running back Steven Jackson beat a girlfriend who was nine months pregnant with the couple's child at his Las Vegas home last year. - 17 hours ago
- Peter King: Bold moves paved Saints' path to Super Bowl win
In 2006, the Saints had the makings of the NFL's worst team. Now they are the league champions. SI.com's Peter King traces a path to greatness paved with risky, but smart, moves. - 20 hours ago
- Miffed Peppers backs off desire for Panthers deal
CHARLOTTE, N.C. (AP) -- Julius Peppers no longer wants a long-term contract with Carolina, saying the Panthers have ignored him this offseason. - 24 hours ago
- What lies ahead for the Saints and the Colts
With the Super Bowl in the rear-view mirror, what better time to focus on the offseason plans for the Colts and Saints, writes Don Banks. It could be a tricky process minus a salary cap. - 33 hours ago







ShyneIV says:
4 months ago
Great hub dude as usual. Our picks are pretty much the same except I picked the Steelers to win. Should be a great game; get ready to battle me in picks lol