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Bearish Share Market

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By easegiri


19th April 2009

 

Don't fall into the trap seeing the sensex's rise day by day.   It is only temporary until the election.

 It is time to sell and come out of market. The congress Party's leaders black-money is being poured in share market through the traders and institutional investors.

The Congress party wants the sensex to sustain a high level defying the bearish market just to show that the Government has taken the country into a strong growth.

The Congress leaders also has the opportunity to pledge the shares purchased and get 50% to 75% loans on it and re-invest in shares.

Immediately after elections there will be huge selling all over and as the sensex falls the banks to recover the loans advanced would sell off the shares pledged, which further will force the market downwards.

Crash after crash the sensex will reach 7000 index and will remain there for sometime and thereafter from 10 months from now the sensex will touch 2000 index.

So take this opportunity to sell-off your shares before the crash occurs. 

SELL NOW AND PUT THE BLACK MARKETEERS TO LOSS.

Playing around 8000 index

Dear share investors last week I told you that you should sell your shares since the market will go down. The market, as expected has gone down and is now hovering around 8000. But the 8000 base is very weak and 7000 is the index which the share prices should fall about and take rest there. On Monday 9th you may see some up in shares for few hours and you should use that opportunity to sell off your shares.

This week's close

Nifty - 2620 - Down

Sensex - 8325 - Down

6th March 2009 -Sensex
6th March 2009 - Nifty
6th March 2009 - Nifty

20th June 2008 - Week's close - Down

Nifty - 4347 - Down

Sensex - 14571 - Down

In the hub-link that you find below a prediction was made long back that this share market is a bearish market and asked all investors to keep off from investing in share market.

The prediction has come true finally -- that prediction was made keeping in mind the trends of share market indices that used to happen decades long and not on the economic growth, because a bullish share market invariably has to turn bearish after every four years. But rather unusually the bearish trend never came by since there was I.T. boom and all round economic growth which lifted the share index to unbelievable dissy height of more than 20000 points. If not this boom then the share market index would have stopped somewhere near around 9000 points.

Now in this bearish turnaround share market, all it needs is some little bad news here and there and it will go on crashing, crashing and crashing until it reaches the 2000 points index. This will not happen overnight but may take about one year or two years from now. But slowly and steadily the bear market operators will take the share prices to that level of 2000 points keeping their losses to the minimum. The bear marketers still do profits from the - new investors who do not know much about this type of market. Then there are the past solid investors who still are waiting not selling their stocks thinking that the market will revive, and finally they lose and the bear market operators profit from them too. Lastly there are these mutual funds investors who form the bulk investors. All the loss that happens in the share market will be passed on to the Mutual Fund investors. A real trap indeed. It is time for Mutual Fund investors to ask their fund managers to shift their investments to fixed deposits. This has to be done the sooner the better.

The next expected level where you will find the index to rest is around 11000 points. At this level you can try your luck entering before cunningly coming out off the market selling off. But still keep off from Mutual funds, it is dangerous to invest in Mutual funds.

27th June 2008 - Week's close - Down

Nifty - 4136 - Down

Sensex - 13802 - Down

11th July 2008 - Week's close - Down

Nifty - 4049 - Down

Sensex - 13469 - Down

The other day when I said to one of the investor that the share market sensex will touch 3000 index he did not believe me. This prediction was made in the earlier hubpage itself.

Every looser in this bearish sharemarket will try to enter the market on its every downfall vigoursly. He will sell his property and will put all his money in sharemarket thinking this is the best opportunity to enter, and make a kill. He would have read in some newspaper that the Indian Economy is strong. But if he had read my previous hubpage he would have saved his money.

Time and again I have told investors to keep out of this bearish share market. As said above nobody will believe me if I tell that the market sensex will touch 3000 index.

To reach 3000 points the market has to move upon various ups and downs and finally in about a year or two we will see this.

So your opportunity lies when the sensex touches 3000 points to invest safely. I can even bodly say that it may touch even 2000 points by one or two years time.

Presently if you still want to invest then try entering when the sensex index is around 11000 points. The market may do its correction and consolidation process here. It could be a risky entry, where you should come out as soon as it rebounds back to 12000 points or so.

18th July 2008 - Week's close - Up

Nifty - 4092 - Up

Sensex - 13635 - Up

Market is just making a correction here and consolidating before it will go down further. Avoid buying fresh stocks either Blue Chip stocks or the Low price stocks. Bear operators have already taken control of the indices. The instability of the Central Government and such news is all just supporting it in its long bearish trend that is happening.

25th July 2008 - Week's close - Up

Nifty - 4311 - Up

Sensex - 14274 - Up

8th August 2008 - Week's Close - Up

Nifty - 4529 - Up

Sensex - 15168 - Up

The market operators are pulling investors so that they can sell off and make profits, so beware, wait till the sensex touches 11,000 index.

22th August 2008 - Week's close - Down

Nifty - 4327 - Down

Sensex - 14401 - Down

The sensex is hovering around this 2000 points between 12000 and 14000 or 15000, expect it to crash further to 11000 in which time you can enter the market investing 25% of your savings.

10th October 2008 - Week's close - Down

Nifty - 3279 - Down

Sensex - 10527 - Down

When I told people that the share market is going to reach 11000 sensex points, and further it is going to reach 2000 points, people just said a big 'No' to me and were uninterested to listen to me. Very long back when the share market was booming with high volumes and was at its peak, I advised all investors to keep off from the market and off-load whatever shares they have. (See my previous hubpage). Now, finally the share prices have breached the 11000 share indices. Now what? Either you can now make a low investment and try your luck - but it has to be only for off-loading it in the next upsurge. But the strong advise always is, and will be, that in this market, play safe just be off from it. Wait until the sensex reaches 3000 or even 2000 index points. Now you may say, it will never. But it will, that is what share market is. So wait till the share market reaches 2000 sensex points in a year or so from now.

17th october 2008 - Week's Close - Down

Nifty - 3074 - Down

Sensex - 9975 - Down

Sensex has had a free and drastic fall. Now probably - this could be a buying opportunity. But any buying has to be sold, profit booking is a must on an upsurge. The upsurge could touch 11000 sensex or if operators play their game of attracting the gullible investors they may take it to even 12000 sensex. So beware. On the downer side the market seems to be fast going down, hence it should touch 2000 sensex within one year from now. Strong advise is to keep off from this market and wait till the sensex touches 2000 index.

Strong Prediction:- The strong prediction is that the market has to go down and touch the 2000 index.

There is a genuine selling in the market. Meaning the actual sellers of shares are people who because of their losses in business have fallen short of funds and they are liquidating the shares for hard cash. The buyers are none other who are gullible investors and people having enough cash. There are other people who think the shares are cheap and they too enter the market.

But think of this situation, in a bearish market the market will never see for the economy and the people who are long players in the share market know this. By this time they might have off-loaded almost 70% of their holdings. Now if everybody wants to sell in the bearish market and if there are no buyers what will happen? Naturally the market has to go down and touch the 2000 sensex which is the markets indices bottom line.

During that period there will be lot of unemployment in the country, there will be closing down of loss making companies. No new companies will take birth. Investors will shun the market.

General Prediction:- The general prediction is the market should see some ups here, only to go down and crash later. So a little investment and a patience waiting for the next upsurge to 10500 or 11000 at which point you must sell is wanted. You can only try your luck if you have any.

27th February 2009

I  started predicting the share Index since last March 2008 and in this last one year my predictions have come true.

I  started predicting the downfall when the share index was hovering around 15000. At that time I predicted that the share price index will touch 2000 sensex by 2 years. Once again you are requested to go through it.

You will now observe that my prediction is half way through, the sensex having fallen from 15000 to 7700 index. So my prediction is 100% accurate. The market is now hovering around 8500 index and is in 8900. You can expect even a crash to take down the market to 7000 index or even 6500.

To those gullible new investors who have fallen trap to the rise in share prices and are holding on to their shares I request you to come out of the market now. Sell your shares as soon as possible before the next crash in the share prices occurs. Your next investment opportunity is one year from now when the share price index is around 1500 or 2000 index.

Don't go analysing the companies and do not believe the politicians. They are liars and they talk keeping in mind the oncoming elections. The control of share prices and share price index is neither in the hands of politicians nor in the hands of enterprenuers now. All new companies will fail within no time of its opening. Big companies will suffer losses after losses. People will go without jobs. The purchasing power of the people will go down, hence the demand for goods and services will go down, this in turn will result in less produce of those goods and services which will result in closure of those industries. Closure of industries means more job cuts and more cut in the purchasing power of the common man.

To see uptrends and reversal of these you will have to wait for 2 years from now.

20th June 2008
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11th July 2008
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20th June 2008
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27th February 2009
27th February 2009

Comments

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Trsmd profile image

Trsmd  says:
18 months ago

I hope this will continue till 2009.. is this correct?

easegiri profile image

easegiri  says:
18 months ago

It has to.

Indian Share Market  says:
7 months ago

Worse for equity markets is over. Its time to accumulate the bluechips

stock Market  says:
5 months ago

I feel that your projection of sensex going back to 7000 is too pesimistic. While I agree that 2000 point jump in sensex after congress came to power is hard to justify and some manpulation might have been done.. But still I feel that sensex will sustain 10,000 + levels

easegiri profile image

easegiri  says:
4 months ago

Strange has it may seem the sensex has rebounded strongly with strong supports from all quarters. The poor results may bring the sensex down.

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