Global Warming Causes Human Migration

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By Patty Inglish, MS



Ice boulders after a flood caused by lake overflow in Greenland. Photo by Uriel Sinai/Getty images
Ice boulders after a flood caused by lake overflow in Greenland. Photo by Uriel Sinai/Getty images
Water shortages in Kazakhstan. Photo by Victor Vasenin/EPA.
Water shortages in Kazakhstan. Photo by Victor Vasenin/EPA.

Eroding Shore Lines and Floods Cause Migration

Climate change in the late 20th and early 21st centuries caused considerable human migration away from areas that became too hostile for living. This migration included First Nations and Native Americans that moved away from the area around the Alaskan North Shore because the shore line was eroded up to there villages. They needed to move at least 60 miles inland to escape the flooding and to find new food sources.

The United Nations and the leaders of the EU state that migration also includes peoples along the northern shorelines of the Eastern Hempshere, migrating southward into the Economic Union countries of Europe to escape such occurences as the ice-boulder field left after the large flood of a Greenand lake in the photo above form 2008.

Europe is expected by 2050 to have a base population, on average, at age 47 tears - up from 39 in 2008. Senior citizens are expected to outnumber children so that there will be twice as many elderly as children in Europe. Into this population, people will migrate form Greenland, the MIddle East, Northern Africa, and possibly India and even as far away as China. As the shorelines erode and thre deserts widen, people will move inward toward the EU.

Particularly interesting is that while the Arab world is rich in oil, it is poor in water and growing poorer, relying on Israel and otehr nations for fresh, clean water.


National Population Clocks Available Online

Check population statistics on several continents at these links:

United States of America

Canada

China

India

New Zealand

Most Populous US States (2005 Census)

  1. California 36,132,147

  2. Texas 22,859,968

  3. New York 19,254,630

  4. Florida 17,789,864

  5. Illinois 12,763,371

  6. Pennsylvania 12,429,616

  7. Ohio 11,464,042

  8. Michigan 10,120,860

  9. Georgia 9,072,576

  10. New Jersey 8,717,925



USA Is #3 in Global Population Size

US CENSUS BUREAU REGIONS (public domain)
US CENSUS BUREAU REGIONS (public domain)

US Census Bureau

Monthly World Population Figures, 2007 - 2008:

07/01/07 6,602,274,812

08/01/07 6,608,818,475

09/01/07 6,615,362,139

10/01/07 6,621,694,717

11/01/07 6,628,238,381

12/01/07 6,634,570,959

01/01/08 6,641,114,623

02/01/08 6,647,658,287

03/01/08 6,653,779,780

04/01/08 6,660,323,443

05/01/08 6,666,656,022

06/01/08 6,673,199,685

07/01/08 6,679,532,264

In the year 2050, the Top 10 Populated Countries

are expected to be:

  1. India - 1,628,000,000 (1.628 billion)
  2. China - 1,437,000,000 (1.437 billion)
  3. United States - 420,000,000 (4.2 million)
  4. Nigeria - 299,000,000 (<1 billion)
  5. Pakistan - 295,000,000
  6. Indonesia - 285,000,000
  7. Brazil - 260,000,000
  8. Bangladesh - 231,000,000
  9. Democratic Republic of Congo - 183,000,000
  10. Ethiopia - 145,000,000

Overwhelming Data

In researching the current populations of the nations of the world, one finds conflicting data on the Internet. Some of this data is that available from the CIA World Factbook. Other figures come from United Nations estimates. Still others originate with the US Census Bureau.

While the United States government and private sectors can boast of some of the world's leading scientists, mathematicians and statisticians, this fact does not mean that America has accurate access to the numbers of all people living in all foreign countries. This fact is borne out in the conflicting data found. Howewver, there is enough information avaialable and the poplation clocks are excellent enough to provide some convinceing evidence of population sizes and growth trends.

In addition, people are being born and killed every minute all around the globe and this cannot be stopped. This makes population counts almost a "continuous variable" like blood pressure -- Blood pressure is different second by second, but if you stop it to take an accurate never-changing count, the patient dies. This is simply a source of statistical error in population counts and accounts for some of the conflict.

However, some of the data found for July 16, 2007 [see the table] shows that certain populations in particular nations decreased in just one or two months or even less time. This cannot be a looseness in the figures, but indicates that something else is happening. This could be mistakes in estimates, deaths from famine or war, mass migrations, or a number of other possibilities.

It does seem certain that France dropped off the Top 20 list into 21st place, though. Where are the French going?


The Eastern Hemisphere, estimates 2005 - 2007

Most Populous Countries in Africa

  1. Nigeria 125,750,356
  2. Egypt 76,117,421
  3. Ethiopia 71,336,571
  4. Congo 58,317,930
  5. South Africa 44,448,470

Most Populous Countries in Asia

  1. China 1,298,847,624
  2. India 1,065,070,607
  3. Indonesia 238,452,952
  4. Pakistan 159,196,336
  5. Bangladesh 141,340,476

Most Populous Countries in Europe

  1. Russia 143,974,059
  2. Germany 82,424,609
  3. France 60,424,213
  4. United Kingdom 60,270,708
  5. Italy 58,057,477
  6. Ukraine 47,732,079
  7. Spain 40,280,780
  8. Poland 38,626,349
  9. Romania 22,355,551
  10. Netherlands 16,318,199

Most Populous Countries in the Middle East

  1. Iran 67,503,205
  2. Saudi Arabia 25,795,938
  3. Iraq 25,374,691
  4. Yemen 20,024,867
  5. Syria 18,016,874

Most Populous Countries in Oceania

  1. Australia 19,913,144
  2. New Zealand 3,993,817
  3. Fiji 880,874
  4. Solomon Islands 523,617

Nations with the Largest Economies (GDP)

  1. United States $11,750,000,000,000
  2. China $7,262,000,000,000
  3. Japan $3,745,000,000,000
  4. India $3,319,000,000,000
  5. Germany $2,362,000,000,000
  6. United Kingdom $1,782,000,000,000
  7. France $1,737,000,000,000
  8. Italy $1,609,000,000,000
  9. Brazil $1,492,000,000,000
  10. Russia $1,408,000,000,000
  11. Canada $1,023,000,000,000
  12. Mexico $1,006,000,000,000
  13. Spain $937,600,000,000
  14. South Korea $925,100,000,000
  15. Indonesia $827,400,000,000

Western Hemisphere, estimates 2005 - 2007

Most Populous Countries in the Caribbean

  1. Cuba 11,308,764
  2. Dominican Republic 8,833,634
  3. Haiti 7,942,419
  4. Jamaica 2,713,130
  5. Trinidad and Tobago 1,096,585

Most Populous Countries in Central America

  1. Guatemala 14,280,596
  2. Honduras 6,823,568
  3. El Salvador 6,587,541

Most Populous Countries in South America

  1. Brazil 184,101,109
  2. Colombia 42,310,775
  3. Argentina 39,144,753
  4. Peru 27,544,305
  5. Venezuela 25,017,387


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MARS FLAG

Chosen for the future of Mars Exploration
Chosen for the future of Mars Exploration

Moving to Luna and Mars

Whatever the most accurate numbers for the leading top 20 nations in population, it is a certainty that the world is filling up with people. If it continues to do so, it will one day be able to support no more people - not even one more.

This has been the topic of science fiction and science research for decades.

In the 1980s, a group of American doctors drew up a proposal for a Medical Moon Base for chronic victims of uncontrollable hypertension and related maladies. That might be a lot of people, acting as an escape valve to siphon off the populations of the Earth to some extent. On the Moon, with 1/5 the gravity of the Earth, blood pressures would decrease for these patients, However, they might not be able to get back to Earth, because returning, if they survived the G-forces of re-entry, would raise their blood pressures so quickly and dramatically that they would have strokes.

At the same time as this proposal, other interested parties decided that the Moon should become a penal colony just as Australia was when she was first settled by prisoners. This is likely not a workable solution to overpopulation, either. However, a good story about it is The Moon is a Harsh Mistress, by Robert Heinlein and published in 1966. It is also about about the penal colony's revolt against Earth, filled with interesting and libertarian views, as well as an English language laced with Russian terms. Written in the Cold War, this was a pointed conceptual focus - colonies combining elements from former enemies. It's a good piece of science fiction with an interesting ending. It won the famous HUGO award for Sci-Fi.

The Mars Society is pushing for Marttian colonization in part to ease Earth's population woes. They do some fascinating things, like having volunteers living in Mars-scapes of a sort in the desert of the American West as a training and research mission. Other groups are being created to think of additional ideas for population overgrowth on our planet.

The Mars Society, founded in 1998, with websites for various countries:

.

Comments

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ipsism profile image

ipsism  says:
6 months ago

Global warming is real. Only thing is, global warming is a transient trend in the cycles of earth's history.

If one reviews the temperature history that scientists have obtained, There can be no conclusion other than that our current climate is a natural cycle, no worse than prior cycles. See, http://hubpages.com/hub/The-Global-Warming-Forest orhttp://Ipsism.com

Climatologists ignore the affects of geological events, such as sub-oceanic volcanoes and astrogocial findings. Everyone takes a small sampling of data to support their pet hypothesis, rather than examining the globe in a unified approach. As such, there is rancor and duplicity to force an agenda that will make a few super-rich while making the majority poorer.

Patty Inglish, MS profile image

Patty Inglish, MS  says:
4 months ago

I hope it does not make the poor poorer. There is a rising trend in green industries that should provide plenty of jobs. If not, then it's been a bogus plan.

Global warming unites people with a common threat like the UFO scares in the 50s and 60s brought communists and capitalists together in study.

Job Nigeria  says:
3 weeks ago

GLobal warming is our responbility....

so let's stop talking and do some action....

the simple way is don't use a plastic.....

Regards,

Job NIgeria

http://www.job-nigeria.com

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