Campaign 2008: My Message for Senator Clinton
56Senator Clinton,
First, I would like to congratulate you on your victories in Rhode Island, Ohio, and the Texas Primary. It is clear that you want to be President and that you believe you are the best person for the job. Through your years of service in the public and private sectors, you have worked hard toward that goal for a long time, and that is deserving of respect.
Second, I need to issue a disclaimer. I am a proud Obama supporter. I understand that there is little daylight between your actual policy agendas. My support for Obama is based largely on two key elements. First, I like Senator Obama's vision of uniting the country. I embrace his vision of hope. I am not naive. I know that hope is nothing without hard work. I know that there will be serious opposition. But I believe that Senator Obama has the ability to appeal to the angels of our better nature and pull together a coalition that transcends the old labels that characterize our political discourse. Second, I believe that you are a poor strategic choice. You are a candidate that appeals to the party base. You are clearly the candidate that the Republicans want to run against. They have spent the better part of two decades preparing to run against you. They will unleash every absurd accusation of the 90's. They will force you and Senator McCain to refight the Vietnam War...again. And the electorate will tune out. Senator Obama brings possibilities in red states. He can bring all those new voters and add them to organizations that elect Democrats like Kathleen Sibelius in Kansas, or Byron Dorgan in North Dakota, or John Tester in Montana. He will force the Republicans to move resources from the battleground states to core red states. You just don't have a comparable impact.
So this brings us to the primary season. Senator, I would never call you to abandon your campaign on the day after these crucial victories, but I do call on you to think very carefully about what you are doing. For all your success last night, the delegate math remains the same, but the clock has run down substantially. When it comes down to it, it is unlikely that either you or Senator Obama will reach 2025 delegates based only on pledged delegates. The superdelegates will come into play. It is also highly unlikely that you will be able to overtake Senator Obama's lead in pledged delegates. This means that you cannot win the nomination without using superdelegates to overturn the will of Democratic voters all across the country. If all the new voters that Senator Obama has mobilized see their success overturned by a bunch or party insiders, it would be absolutely catastrophic to our efforts in November.
And November is what it's all about. We must defeat Senator McCain and set our nation on a new course. If you take the nomination over the objection of the voters, you severely threaten your ability, our abiltiy as Democrats,to win the election. And Senator, you have worked tirelessly to help people over your years in public life. You love this country. You have stood against the dismantling of the social achievements of your generation. But Senator, if you enable a John McCain victory, if you allow his agenda of war and trickle down economics and religious fundamentalism to continue, you threaten to destroy everything you have worked for over a lifetime.
So Senator, please ask yourself if you can win without either destroying the enthusiasm of Democrats by reserving your "right" to win with superdelegates or without weakening Senator Obama's candidacy through negative campaign tactics. If you cannot, please think very carefully about what your nomination could cost our nation and our world.
Sincerely,
Andrew "Bluedrew" Viertel
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Comments
Amen. I actually have come to respect and like Hillary much more as a candidate over the course of the campaign. Her tenancity is admirable and she is a very capable candidate and would make a great President. But I agreewith you, for all the reasons you listed.
I have no doubts about Clinton's ability to be an excellent president, but I don't believe this is her time. There's no doubt that America is willing to elect a female president, or an African-American one for that matter, (at this point it almost seems absurd to even mention the race or gender of the Democratic candidates) but I don't believe it will be Hillary Clinton. I do have real disagreements with her, particularly about the war, but she would still be orders of magnitude better than McCain.
As for the cross-over voters, in open and semi-open primaries, that's their right. It doesn't make it right, but I'm pretty sure that Democrats are not innocent of such things. I've heard stories about the 1996 Washington Governor's race. Short of requiring party regstration before the election, there's not much you can do about it.
Well argued, bluedrew, although I don't agree that Clinton's nomination without taking the lead in pledged delegates would undermine electing a Democrat in November. Here in Pennsylvania, we are seeing an unprecedented rise in new Democratic party registrations and in party affiliation changes from Republican to Democratic (you can read more about the mayhem this activity is causing at http://www.philly.com/philly/news and enter Voter Interest Surges in Pennsylvania Suburbs in the search box at the top of the page). I think the message is clear, regardless of who wins the Democratic primary: both old and new Democrats don't want to see a Republican in the White House.
Thanks Sally (wild guess there). Welcome to the spotlight. It sounds like the kind of mayhem that is good. Do you have a closed primary in Pennsylvania? I have about six weeks of analysis ahead, so I should learn a bit more about your state.
Anyway, I believe that there is a huge movement for change in this country, and it should result in Democratic landslides up and down the ballot. I just think that if there's a way for our party to cough it up, a superdelegate flip is it. I think there are times when doing such a thing could be justified, but those times involve genuine scandals, indictments, maybe catastrophic illness, but simple preference or personal loyalty don't rise to the appripriate level.
Thanks for the feedback.
Yes, Pennsylvania's primary is closed. You must be affiliated with a party in order to vote for candidates on election day. If you are not affiliated with a party, the only votes you can cast on that day are for ballot questions. Here's another good source for your research: http://www.philly.com/inquirer/politics/pa and search for PA Primary Registered in the search box at the top of the page.
Keep up the good work! (It's really Sherri, but Sally is fine, too!)











jormins says:
2 years ago
Excellent article. I keep hearing different numbers, but for Hillary's huge victories I am hearing she has only netted a delegate gain of 4-13 on Obama's 150+ pledged delegate lead. With so few pledged delegates left she'd have to win all the remaining states by huge margins so it does look like potential disaster. Part of me thinks she can win this and then assign Obama as her VP and everything will be forgiven but I think if the Super's 'steal' this nomination in even the slightest way droves of voters will be really angry and McCain can start Bush's 3rd term for him.
Did you hear the reports out of Texas? One number I heard was that 8% of Sen. Clinton's vote was Republicans crossing over, basically a call to arms from Rush Limbaugh to keep the Dem's in turmoil for the next 3+ months. I'm curious how true/false it might be.