Effects of inflation
95Effects of inflation in the News
- Hungary’s Inflation Rate Rises More Than Forecast (Update2)Bloomberg5 hours ago
Dec. 11 (Bloomberg) -- Hungary’s annual inflation rate rose more than economists forecast in November as an increase in food and fuel costs outweighed the price-blunting effect of the country’s worst recession in 18 years.
- Ghana’s November Inflation Slows to 16.9% From 18% in OctoberBloomberg6 hours ago
Dec. 11 (Bloomberg) -- Ghana’s inflation rate fell to 16.9 percent in November, the fifth consecutive decline, fueling expectations of another interest rate cut by the central bank.
- Inflation Declined to 16.9% in NovemberGhanaweb.com1 second ago
Ghana’s inflation rate fell to 16.9 percent in November, the fifth consecutive decline and the lowest since May 2008, fueling expectations of another interest rate cut by the central bank.
- CPI(M) blames corporates for rising food price inflationThe Hindu1 second ago
NEW DELHI: The Communist Party of India (Marxist) has blamed corporates and big traders for the galloping food price inflation that has crossed 19 per cent and said it has exposed the UPA government’s failure. “The galloping ...
- Food inflation rises to 19.05 pc on high vegetable ratesHindustan Times24 minutes ago
Rising prices of potatoes, onions and pulses pushed food inflation to a high of 19.05 per cent in the fourth week of November, mounting pressure on the government to rein in rates of essential items.
- China Economy Improves In November, Inflation BackFox News14 hours ago
China Economy Improves In November, Inflation Back
- Inflation could hit 4%Straits Times4 hours ago
INFLATION could hit a high of 4 per cent in the next six months on account of the surge in asset prices here, according to a new report by HSBC. It said investors feeling rich from the stock market rally are likely to spend more, raising demand - and prices - for goods and services.
- China's output soars, inflation returnsNational Post3 hours ago
Chinese industrial output surged in November to its fastest pace since June 2007, underlining the economy’s brisk recovery from the global downturn and accompanying the return of consumer inflation and import growth.
Effects of inflation
Before going more in depth about the positives and negatives of inflation, the term "inflation" must be defined.
There are two major types of inflation; core inflation and inflation in the broader sense. Core inflation is a measure of average. In this case a very carefully selected group of goods' (in economics it is called "basket of goods") change in consumer price over a period of time is observed, and then those consumer prices are averaged. Consumer prices are simply that people pay for the product (there is also an industrial price and inflation measuring supplier price changes). The most widely used periods over which inflation is measured are: 1 month, quarterly, semi-annual, and annual. Core inflation means only the very basic products's prices are monitored, such as bread for example. When there is a high inflation, its an indicator that the economy is booming, as the price of products goes up, jet people are still buying them.
Probably the most significant effect of inflation is its effect on the revenues of the government. When inflation is higher than previously thought and planned with, the revenues of the government increases, which is good as the budget balance of the government improves. The reason why revenues of the government increases when inflation incrases is because the government has higher tax revenues. For example a company sells its products and services at higher prices, which increases the total income of the company, which in turn increases the gross (before tax) profits of the company (provided that all other factors influencing profits remain constant). Greater before tax profits result in greater taxes paid to the government.
Inflation also slows the economy, thus serving as a natural economy balancer, as well as a crucial indicator. The reason why growing inflation moderates economic growth, and also potential overheating of the economy, is because, when prices increase and increase people, as well as companies from their suppliers, start to buy less and less. This function of inflation decreases the needs of central bank base rates' hikes, which in itself has many negative side effects (like increasing the interest payment obligations of governments).
Most of the times inflation and exchange rate of the currency of a country move more or less parallelly. This means that if inflation increases, and the official statistical office of a country publishes the figures of the speeding up of inflation, the exchange rate of the currency of the country against foreign currency is also expected to, and in reality it really does more often than not, devaluate. The reason why exchange rates are so important is because they affect the compatitiveness of exporting companies of a company. The importance of exporting lies in the arrival of new money into the economy of a country. For example, if a country has, say, 100 billion dollars of national economic output, 1 billion more means that companies have 1 billion more to spend in the country, and also the government has more tax income which it can spend on spending more on social matters. This means that inflation, in this aspect also, is a significant indicator.
Inflation, on the other hand, can also be quite destructive. For example, a slow in inflation make importers' products cheaper, whereas domestic manufacturers' product prices remain the same. A sudden slow in inflation causes lower imported pruduct prices, meaning two things. First, because of the lower import prices, more people will by imports opposed to domestically manufactured products. This hurts domestic production, which in turn may result in rising unemployment (domestic producers fire employees to keep up with shrinking sales revenue).
Another problem with rising inflation arises when inflation starts to increase excessively. For example, when inflation surpasses 10 percent, that has two effects. People will start spending more, hurting companies, especially those companies that are domestic companies and are selling their products domestically. Also the real value of savings of both people and organisations also decrease, having a negative effect on CDs (certificate of deposits), and other fixed rate investment instruments.
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Comments
I think that in the coming few years, like next five or so years, the world has to cope with high levels of inflation. there are 2 primary reasons for it, printing cash to finance all the debts created (bail outs), an as growth in the economy picks up, it will also create rising prices (which companies largely postponed last and this year). After these few years the level of inflation, in my oppinion, will stabilise at a high level for the following five years or so.











Kapitall says:
2 months ago
Do you think inflation in the next 10 years will continue to grow at a normal rate or exponential?