Continuation of a team by team look through the NFL teams from a fantasy perspective regarding key fantasy football offensive situations, news, forecasts and expectations. We start with a link to the fantasy football team analysis provided by ESPN, and then do a brief highlight snippet of the most important parts of these articles and add my own Fantasy Football Wizard expert analysis and thoughts on top of each.

Teams G (Green Bay Packers) through K (Kansas City)

With links at the bottom to the rest of the teams alphabetically

Hi here are some key excerpts from Scott Engel's Green Bay Packers Fantasy Football Outlook article for espn.com.

Please note, my thoughts/opinions are added in this bold heading text...

For full article please click here:

http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/2007draftkit/story?id=2927915

"The Packers won their final four games in 2006 and missed the NFC playoffs on a tiebreaker...Brett Favre is back for another season, but he's no longer a standout and his receiving crew is thin. The running game is unstable. Young players are expected to step forward and make more significant contributions at key positions..."

Pretty amazing that this team battled for a playoff spot overall. Not too much to like here from a fantasy perspective but here's what they do have.

Key Offensive Additions

RB Brandon Jackson

PK Mason Crosby

Key Offensive Position Fantasy Summary

Quarterback

"...Favre still led the league in "near-interceptions...his receivers did not help him with their regular drops..Favre is no longer a dependable fantasy starter..."

Again, not a lot of skill players to get excited about here. I like Favre as this team will need to score some points and he will need to carry them there to do so for the most part. But I agree that he will not be consistent, is really old, and lacks good weapons. If I were to draft Favre (not likely to get him where I would have him ranked), I would try and trade him after he gets off to a fast start.

Running Backs

"Vernand Morency tops the depth chart for now, but he won't be able to handle a full-time load. Morency displays some nifty moves and speed in the open field but lacks the strength and bulk to absorb regular pounding and he is not a reliable inside runner. He is ideally suited to be a backup and is a place-holder. Rookie Brandon Jackson has much more upside and is more suited for the Packers' zone-blocking schemes. He has excellent vision, hits holes quickly and is very elusive. Jackson doesn't have classic speed, but he can use his quickness and smarts to make defenders miss in the open field. However, he doesn't have the look of a running back who can handle a significant workload..."

The Packs best bet as a fantasy starter I would say. Watch him in preseason as everything I hear about him is great so far! But great as a rookie on this team is all relative. I would draft him and hope for the best and would think he is worthy of your 3rd RB slot. I dont think they will mix and match too much unless he underperforms, so I see 2nd RB potential with a 3rd RB pick.

Wide Receivers

"Donald Driver should have another outstanding year. He and Favre are on the same wavelength. Driver may not have ideal size and strength, but he compensates with a great work ethic, good route running and the ability to regularly find the soft spots in defenses. We project Driver for 1,270 receiving yards and seven touchdown receptions in 2007. Greg Jennings was an early revelation as a rookie last year, but an ankle problem slowed his progress. In his second season, the Packers are expecting big things from Jennings. He gets open regularly downfield and can make defenders miss after the catch. Jennings has already earned the confidence of Favre and you will see the second-year wideout take the next step in 2007..."

Again, Favre will be chucking the ball and these two guys are the likely recipients of most of those chucks, but I think less of Driver than the above ranks and more of Jennings who should move up your draft charts a bit. Neither are top receivers though.

Tight Ends

"Bubba Franks will remain the starter because of his blocking skills. Donald Lee has more athleticism, yet has never emerged as a dependable target for Favre..."

I think Bubba ia not worth much for any fantasy teams at this point.

Kickers

" Rayner scored 109 points in 2006, yet his job security is anything but assured. Green Bay drafted Mason Crosby in the sixth round, a selection many draft experts considered a bargain. Crosby, who has a very strong leg, was originally projected to be a second or third-round pick by some NFL draft prognosticators. When a team spends a draft choice on a kicker, they generally intend to give him a very good chance for the job. Rayner has only made 10-of-16 attempts at Lambeau Field and Crosby has the better accuracy and range from deep. Crosby will win the job in the preseason..."

Good bold analysis - Crosby will be the guy and should put up numbers around the same as Rayner did.

Bottom Line

"Green Bay's offense will go as far as Favre takes it, and he won't stop being a gunslinger. He'll be erratic again this year, with some very good outings and others laden with turnovers. Driver will continue to be his dependable, go-to guy. Jennings will make some important plays downfield, but there simply aren't enough weapons overall to warrant high draft picks for this offense. Jackson will be explosive at times, and disappear on other occasions. Inconsistency in the red zone will lead to a healthy amount of field goal opportunities for Crosby. The Pack will be tougher than expected on defense, and that unit will force a good amount of turnovers. Green Bay will remain in contention for a playoff spot all year long in the wide-open NFC, and their top players will be very useful during the fantasy postseason thanks to three games against weaker teams offsetting a Week 16 showdown with the Bears..."

I do not see any sort of playoff run for this team unless the Defense really turns it on and carries them. I like the point about Crosby and I am high on Jackson, but not too high on either.

Hmmmm.... ESPN is doing these alphabetically - but Houston we have a problem! They completely skipped over the Houston team - Wonder how long it will take ESPN's experts to realize the oversight and post their fantasy analysis? Or could it be they just have no expertise on this team???? Keep you posted

UPDATE - It is now posted - so here we go:

http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/2007draftkit/story?id=2932411

"I have to admit: I had to check twice. The Texans really went 6-10 last year? Really? Considering the multiple injuries they suffered on their already shaky offensive line, the running back wheel-of-fortune that landed on (of all people) Ron Dayne, the game planning and the defense that produced just 24 turnovers, third-fewest in the league, a 6-10 record is actually rather shocking...Sure, Houston skimped from beginning to end on offense, investing nothing in the running back position, never getting a decent tight end or a running mate for Andre Johnson, and that offensive line has been bad forever. But Carr plays like his hair's on fire, Kyle Boller style. He needed to go..."

Good writing with the Hair on fire Kyle Boller analysis, but I wonder how much of it is really Carr's fault and not the O-line and lack of running game? Carr will do will in some systems I believe, but let's get to some fantasy stuff please Mr. Harris...

Key Offensive Skill Position Additions

RB Ahman Green

QB Matt Schaub

Key Offensive Position Outlook

Quarterback

Sorry to say that Mr. Harris basically skipped any analysis of Schaub since he "has no track record" If that is all we base projections on - we would be wasting your time! I have seen a fair amount of Schaub in preseason and a little in regular season for the Falcons to understand why he is coveted as a starter. I think his skills are solid, his arm is strong and he is pretty smart. I also think being the starter on this team will not make him anything better than an inconsistent scorer for fantasy and worthy only as a last ditch back up pick at QB.

Running Backs

"If you believe Green is ready to be a fantasy stud again, you can skip this paragraph. Now that the sillier readers among you have gone, let's talk turkey: Despite the fact that Houston nominally spent $23 million on Green, they're still going pretty cheap in the backfield. Green is guaranteed "only" $6.5 million from his four-year contract (and I think he's still overpaid), proof positive that the league no longer sees him as a top back. Dayne was shockingly effective during the fantasy playoffs last year, was hardly ever thrown for a loss, and will probably be the short-yardage guy. There's also second-year man Wali Lundy, who started half of Houston's games last season and caught 33 passes; Chris Taylor, who was effective in limited 2006 action and could play some fullback; and good old Samkon Gado, whose presence indicates that offensive coordinator Mike Sherman is really intent on putting the band back together...this team is looking to be a run focused team ,but who'll take advantage of that? I find it hard to believe Green will be a fantasy force this year, despite the fact that he's coming off 1,059 yards in 14 games last season for the Packers. He's on the wrong side of 30, he was far worse in the second half of '06 than in the first (only one game over 79 yards in Green Bay's final 10 contests), and he scored only six times, a far cry from the guy who posted 20 scores in 2003. Green has the name recognition that'll get him selected far too early in your draft; I'd put him right around 25th or so among running backs, and there's little question he'll be taken earlier than that in most leagues. I think Dayne winds up vulturing touchdowns, Lundy steals some third-down plays, and none of Houston's running backs provide much consistent fantasy value. Again..."

Interesting here, I am much more positive on Ahman Green, I do not think he will lose vulture TDs or too many carries, but I think I still have him around 25th at RB. So I would say a very solid back up RB for you in a 10 team two starting RB league.

Wide Receivers

"Andre Johnson reversed the curse and turned his horrid 2005 (63 catches for 688 yards) into a very good '06: 103 receptions for 1,147 yards. Outside of him, though, there isn't much else..."

Can stop this analysis right there. How good is Andre Johnson? very, very good. The guy is very likely the only starter from Houston to be starting in Fantasy Lineups, and he will somehow manage to put up good stats despite the lack of other options and the massive defensive focus he will face. Of the flotsam they have picked up to go with him, I like Andre Davis and think he has potential someday somewhere, but will not draft him here and now.

Tight Ends

"As a rookie, Owen Daniels was a nice story, catching five scores in the first half of the season, and though he tailed off at season's end, he's still the man..."

Hard to think he is worth drafting despite his talent and the likelihood that Schaub will help him do better than last year - but still where does that rank him? top 20 at TE probably and that means he's outside the draft board for me as I'm sure I can get one of my top 15 TEs as my backup if I draft a back up there toward the end of the draft.

Bottom Line

"For a team that appears set to try and pound the ball, there's precious little value to be found among the running backs. Green will cost you too much, and the other guys won't be fantasy starters unless Green gets hurt. With a season of professional training under his belt, Lundy shapes up to me as an interesting deep-league deep sleeper, but a whole heck of a lot would have to go right. Johnson will be the only Houston player owned in all leagues, and rightly so, though again, I'm skeptical that the offensive line, the quarterback, the other receivers and the runners will distract opposing defenses enough to give Johnson his full fantasy value. I wish I could report that this is a team on the rise, bursting with potential fantasy starts. I really do..."

Safe and boring analysis here of a team that is pretty boring for fantasy purposes. I would draft Andre Johnson, Ahman Green and even possibly Matt Schaub if the price for all of them is rgiht - and I do think they will all slide down draft boards more than expected. But that's it here.

----------------Fantasy Football Expert Wizard----------------------------------------------

Hi here are some key excerpts from Scott Engel's Colts Fantasy Football Outlook article for espn.com.

Please note, my thoughts/opinions are added in this bold heading text...

For full article please click here:

http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/2007draftkit/story?id=2930750

"Peyton Manning has led many fantasy teams to championships during his illustrious career. In 2006, Manning finally found his own path to glory, as he led the Colts to victory over Chicago in Super Bowl XLI. The Colts' roster has long been a great source of fantasy production. The defending champs didn't make many major changes during the off-season, so it will be business as usual for one of the league's most powerful offenses...The Colts will again be one of the elite teams in the NFL and their best offensive players will be among the top players at their respective positions..."

Welcome to the Glen Gary list of Fantasy Football Gold that has been the Colts skill players! Their kicker is always among the top, they two of the top receivers, an RB poised for greatness and the #1 QB in all of fantasy land. Pretty good stuff here.

Key Offensive Skill Player Additions

WR Anthony Gonzalez

Key Position by Position Offensive Analysis

Quarterbacks

"Manning is the safest pick in fantasy football, and that won't change. He has not missed a game in nine seasons and is always among the best players at his position. Running backs come and go, and often disappoint. Manning never frustrates fantasy owners. He has a great on-field relationship with his top pass-catchers, steady blocking, and he's one of the smartest players in the league. In addition, Manning has impeccable timing, accuracy and the ability to thread the ball into the tightest spots. When defenses try to take away the deep ball, he eats them up underneath. He is the only quarterback listed in the top 15 of ESPN's 2007 player rankings, and that's a well-deserved honor..."

I have never drafted Manning as I look more for, and generally find good value at the QB position, but last year is probably the only year I wish I had spent my first round pick on Peyton. Of course last year there were supposed to be a long list of cant miss RBs for the first round (most of whom disappointed save the top few). This year I think the RB position has more questions (save the top few), so expect Manning to go pretty early in all drafts. He has been rock solid and consistent as heck! That is really what you want in a first round pick, so I think if the top few RBs are gone, Manning becomes the way to go this year.

Running Backs

"Joseph Addai is the next big thing at the all-important running back position, and he's set to take over as the Colts' featured back with the loss of Rhodes. Addai was progressively groomed for the role during his rookie year, and ESPN ranks him No. 6 overall. He is projected for 1,472 rushing yards and nine touchdowns in his second pro campaign. Addai hits holes quickly and makes defenders miss with nifty cutback moves, and he's not afraid to battle for extra yardage. He also has a lot of upside as a pass-catcher. Fantasy owners are expecting outstanding all-around production from Addai with an expanded workload, however he still has to prove he can handle the regular pounding a featured ball-carrier takes..."

I love the Addai situation as it currently stands. He's young and upcoming, the offense is extremely potent and they have no other reliable options to put in the RB mix in Indy (this is the only piece that could change at all). So to me, this looks like the start of something really big and makes Addai a top 5 pick in my mind!

Wide Receivers

"Marvin Harrison is still one of the very best wide receivers in fantasy football, with no signs of slowing down at age 34. His 1,366 receiving yards in 2006 were his most in the past four years, and he has reached double figures in touchdowns in eight consecutive seasons...Harrison is the most complete receiver in pro football and one of the safest picks you can make at wide receiver..

I agree and think Harrison deserves the #1 WR ranking this year - all things considered.

"Reggie Wayne is the best No. 2 receiver in the game, and a No. 1 fantasy receiver in any format. He set career highs with 86 catches and 1,310 yards in 2006, and he has caught 26 touchdown passes in the past three seasons. Wayne is especially dangerous in the red zone, as he caught seven touchdown passes inside the opposing 20-yard line last year..."

Yep - great receiver who should even improve on last year. Definite top 10 guy and can be your #1 receiver in fantasy (and what a great #2 option for your team).

"Rookie Anthony Gonzalez becomes an instant replacement for the departed Brandon Stokley, and he is younger and fresher. Gonzalez is smart, runs good routes for a young player and can make things happen after the catch. He will be an instant impact player as a rookie and you can expect him to have a few impressive outings as one of the best No. 3 receivers in the AFC...."

He may become a red zone target, but I'm not that sold on him yet and would no draft him, but I think he does make the TE position here even more tenious.

Tight Ends

"Dallas Clark does have durability concerns, so fantasy owners can't fully overlook Ben Utecht. Listed at 6-6 and 251 pounds, he's a big target with good quickness and red zone potential..."

Utecht, Gonzalez and injuries lead me to not draft Dallas Clark - too many other red zone targets here.

Kicker

"Adam Vinatieri is ESPN's top-ranked kicker for fantasy purposes, and he's a very safe pick as the Colts will continue to pump out the points in 2007..."

Wanted to include this. For some reason Adam was a bargain in last year's drafts, will have to pay a premium for him this year, but like Manning, he may just be worth it (all depends on how high that premium is - check out the average draft positions and weigh having a rock solid kicker vs. what else is available - for me I have a feeling the what else is available will be too tempting to pass up and I can grab what will become a top scoring kicker later).

Bottom Line

"When you pick a Colt this year, you'll enjoy peace of mind. The great passing game remains mostly intact, and is destined to lead the team to another AFC South championship. Addai is on the verge of becoming a fantasy superstar. The Colts' best players certainly can take you deep into your fantasy playoffs, but be wary of losing their services late in the regular season..."

I love this peace of mind comment! While Fantasy Football is all about risk and reward and fun and excitement of pretending to build your own team and start your own lineup, there still is something to be said for some peace of mind decision making mixed in there.

Here are some key excerpts from Ken Daub's Jaguars Fantasy Football Outlook article for espn.com.

Please note, my thoughts/opinions are added in this bold heading text...

For full article please click here:

http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/2007draftkit/story?id=2935495

"It just might have been a perfect storm of opportunity that permitted Maurice Joned-Drew to be the fantasy wunderkind of 2006...opportunities presented themselves when power back Greg Jones suffered a season-ending ACL tear and Fred Taylor failed to capitalize on the goal-line carries allocated to him in Jones' absence. In stepped MJD and he never looked back...As brilliant as the running game was in 2006 for the Jags, the passing game was equally as disappointing..."

Key Offensive Skill Player Additions

WR Dennis Northcutt

TE Jermaine Wiggins

Key Offensive Position Fantasy Outlooks

Quarterbacks

"For a player whose draft stock was defined by playing through a broken ankle in college, the brittle nature of Leftwich is surprising. The question isn't if, but when Garrard will be called upon to step in. From a fantasy perspective, the disappointing receiving corps is enough to prevent Leftwich from being a solid No. 1 quarterback on your squad. Add in the injury concerns and Leftwich's fantasy value plummets..."

Leftwhich has been pretty unreliable as a Fantasy QB so I would expect more of the same and not draft him at a starter QB level.

Running Backs

"Taylor will start the season as the primary ball carrier, likely being featured on two out of every three drives. Jones-Drew will spell Taylor on third downs during those drives and will be the primary ball carrier during series when Taylor rests. Those expecting Jones-Drew to improve upon last year's success may be disappointed if Greg Jones reclaims his role as the short-yardage back on this team. Six of Jones-Drew's 13 touchdowns came inside the opponent's 5-yard line; losing those carries would be a significant hit to Maurice's value. Keep an eye on Jones-Drew's role during the preseason..."

This is a very interesting situation. Strong running team, that should have a pretty good D (a little bit down from last year), so someone will have a lot of fantasy potential as an RB here. Past years that potential has ment high draft spots for Fred Taylor (spots he has never lived up to). MJD had 13!!!!!! TDs last year so I say again some one has a lot of potential here. I want to see how Greg Jones is worked in the preseason, as I think that someone will again be MJD, but he is currently being drafted too high based on his huge year, and not based on a somewhat ify role right now. I do love him long term, and I expect that the future will be now, but let's look at some action first on this one.

Wide Receivers

"That very disappointment could provide fantasy owners some decent value this year. Matt Jones is still the same freak of nature who is 6-6, ran a sub-4.4 40-yard dash and displayed nearly a 40-inch vertical jump at the NFL combine in 2005. Williams also has all the skills, including 4.45 40-yard speed, to be an effective NFL wide receiver....Look for Leftwich to spread the ball around to all of his receivers, especially in the red zone as he has so many weapons with above-average size. None of the Jaguars' receivers should be treated as a top-two wideout on your fantasy squad, but if you get stuck for a receiver in any given week, being able to start Wilford, Matt Jones or Williams isn't necessarily a bad thing. Just remember that when it comes to drafting these guys, they should be no better than your fourth or fifth wide receiver..."

Agreed, and most of us will never even draft anyone we rank as low as a 4th or 5th receiver, as 3rd receiver quality will generally make it to the end of the draft, based on differing values of owners once you get into the receiver also ran rankings. So there is a #1 NFL receiver here that could offer some value, the problem is there's no way to really think it will be any of the 3 vs. the other 2 so I say avoid and hope that one of the one or two that don't get drafted is the one that emerges with fantasy stats and you can grab him on waivers after a few weeks. I just think Leftwhich is too inconsistant and these WRs are too unproven to make any of this bunch worth drafting.

Tiht Ends

"Marcedes Lewis was selected in last year's NFL draft to be the tight end of the future for the Jaguars, but that future might not be here yet. During the offseason, Jacksonville signed veteran tight end Jermaine Wiggins to provide depth at the position. Wiggins is a capable receiver and a better-than-average blocker..."

Wiggins has had a few productive fantasy seasons, but I think this TE position is one not to draft. Lewis and Wiggins will likely both see action and the red zone targeting will get spread amongst all receivers

Kicker

"Josh Scobee returns as the starting kicker. He's a fairly accurate kicker and assured of being the starter after signing a five-year deal that included a $3 million signing bonus in March. Over the past two seasons, Scobee has missed just two kicks from inside 40 yards and has hit on 79 percent of field goal attempts overall. Scobee is very draftable, but is someone you can likely grab near the end of your draft..."

Good draft value here as he is a good kicker with a pretty good offense and a team that should be in the mix in most games. So I agree draft him at the end if you need a kicker then.

The Bottom Line

"As the running game goes, so go the Jaguars. In most leagues, look for Jones-Drew to be selected in the second round. I am very concerned about the impact Greg Jones' return will have on Jones-Drew, so much so that on my personal draft board, I have dropped Maurice so far that I will not have an opportunity to draft him. If you believe this is the year the Jags put together a good passing game, feel free to buy Leftwich. Before you come to that conclusion, you should ask yourself why you think Leftwich will stay healthy, why you think Matt Jones or Williams will suddenly emerge and why you think a tight end could be a valuable fantasy threat. Without all three of those situations occurring, Leftwich will remain a borderline No. 2 quarterback in the fantasy world. The Jags will be competitive all season, as their defense and running game are strong enough to keep them in the playoff hunt. For fantasy leaguers, if you are going to be rewarded for owning any Jags, weak opponents in Weeks 16 and 17 make those matchups prime opportunities for those rewards to be realized..."

Good bottomline and to synopsize it in my terms - Leftwhich, WRs and TEs not worth starting in fantasy football and only Leftwhich and one WR even worht drafting. RB is where it is at here and I think MJD will step up again, but am concerned about making him my 2nd pick given the questions around his role. So if I drafted today I would not end up with him.

Here are some key excerpts from Scott Engel's Chiefs Fantasy Football Outlook article for espn.com.

Please note, my thoughts/opinions are added in this bold heading text...

For full article please click here:

http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/2007draftkit/story?id=2939795

"In their first season under Herm Edwards, the Chiefs managed to make the playoffs. Kansas City stayed afloat despite the retirement of All-Pro tackle Willie Roaf and the absence of Trent Green for eight games because of a concussion. Green was sent to Miami during the offseason, and Edwards hopes to usher in a new era under second-year quarterback Brodie Croyle. It won't be an easy transition, though. There will be questions about Croyle's inexperience, a thin wide receiver corps and more changes on the offensive line. The biggest problem could be Larry Johnson holding out for a new contract..."

Going to Kansas City, Kansas City here we come....got some prett little....Sorry I digress. Any one else think the offensive machine that has been KC for the past many seasons is about to come to and end? Here's why I think so 1) lack of top level talent at too many skill positions now 2) The slow demise of the O Line 3) Herm Edwards can suck the lifwe out of any team.

Key Offensive Skill Player Additions

WR Dwayne Bowe

Key Offensive Position Summaries:

Quarterbacks

Edwards has made it clear he wants to give Croyle every opportunity to win the starting job during the preseason. Croyle looked sharp during recent minicamps; he's a natural leader who makes quick decisions; he displays good accuracy, puts a lot of zip on his passes and also played in a pro-style offense at Alabama. There are concerns about his durability and strength, though. Croyle is listed at 203 pounds and missed much of training camp last year with a shoulder problem...There will be natural growing pains if he begins the season as the starter, and he won't post good fantasy numbers playing in a conservative offense. Croyle should not be drafted in fantasy leagues...Croyle doesn't have the weaponry needed to help him move the ball consistently, and this is not the type of offense to hand over to a quarterback with limited pro experience. It will be only a matter of time before Huard takes the job back, even if Croyle opens the season as the No. 1 guy. Huard will be a respectable fantasy starter when he gets back in driver's seat.

Wow bold prediction about Huard taking over - I don't think he'll be worth starting even if he does take over (all the same Croyle concerns above still hold except for the lack of experience, so replace that with mediocre talent and we're still talking nothing much here worth drafting).

Running Backs

"The uncertainties surrounding Johnson will hurt his fantasy outlook. Many owners won't be willing to spend a No. 2 overall pick on him when they consider the possible holdout, along with last year's record-setting workload and a shaky supporting cast. His 416 carries last year raise well-documented fears that he will be an injury risk in 2007 after undertaking such a grueling workload. On the positive side, Johnson has been a full-time starter for fewer than two years and the Chiefs plan to give him more breathers this season. They also want to use him more as a pass-catcher to get him the ball in open space...The retirement of Shields is another devastating blow to the offensive line. McIntosh is a minor improvement over the departed Black at left tackle...Even if he gets his contract situation settled, Johnson is going to have to battle harder for yardage in 2007. Veteran Michael Bennett would be the starter if Johnson makes good on his holdout threat, but he is an infamous injury risk who missed considerable time last year because of hamstring troubles.

3 things can happen here

1) his status stays uncertain and everyone knows it so he becomes a good draft day value at some price

2) he signs and shows up in preseason and everyone knows it in which case I think he is over valued as the #2 pick and would pass on him based on Herm's useless offensive schemes, a worse O-Line and a new QB so D's can stomp on the run

3) The whole thing remains mirky so it is equally possible he goes #2 in the draft or drops as a good value because there is sketchy owner knowledge of the situation - this is where the savvy researcher may benefit depending on when you draft is!

At this early point, I would say he is top 5 material but not top 3 - it is really too early to make a good call though.

Wide Receivers

"Eddie Kennison is no longer dependable and he is starting to slow down at age 34. He doesn't get enough chances to make big plays in a conservative offense, and is often overmatched against top cover cornerbacks. Bowe is the future No. 1 wideout, but the team's top pass-catcher is still tight end Tony Gonzalez. Parker never blossomed as hoped. He caught only one touchdown pass in 2006. Bowe will take the starting job from him and should be one of the best rookie receivers in this year's class. He's a solid possession guy who can make things happen after the catch and will be an asset in the red zone. Bowe is worth a late-round pick and will be a top fantasy reserve in his first pro season as he shows a lot of promise..."

What Fast Eddie Kennison is no longer reliable? That's like saying Red Lobster is no longer a gourmet eating establishment! Kennison has never shown any reliability and the black hole of KC WRs have all gone the same route for years. I hope Bowe can change all that, but I'm not sold on it happening soon enough so I will pass on all KC WRs save maybe a last round jaunt into the Bowe option.

Tight End

Tony G has been burning some fantasy owners of late with a lack of TD's. I think the double teams will continue to slow him down, and think that his name carries a higher draft position than his results warrant. Only exception would be if he really clicks somehow with Croyle and becomes a crutch. I say not that likely and pass unless he drops down into lower than the 5th TE slot on draft day.

Kicker

"Medlock set a UCLA record with six career field goals of 50-plus yards and he made 28 of 32 field goal attempts in 2006. He's a sleeper candidate..."

I'll have to look back at how many points Tynes scored last year. I would say slot in the new guy for a few less and if that equates to "sleeper" than take him as a sleeper, but I think there is better value likely elsewhere since this offense, as I said seems like it is going in a downward spiral!

Bottom Line

"The Chiefs will struggle early if they insist on using Croyle and don't work out a deal with Johnson in timely fashion. If they can deploy the Huard/Johnson combination for most of the season, the offense should be respectable. Opening the season at Houston could cover up some problems, but reality will strike hard in a week two game at Chicago. With teams like the Bears, Bengals and Colts on the schedule, plus two matchups each with the Chargers and Broncos, the Chiefs need to come together quickly on offense to avoid a bumpy ride..."

Expect the bumpy ride!