Georgia On My Mind
65Georgia On My Mind
While I deplore the Russian actions against Georgia, this is not a new conflict - it merely has reached the point of open warfare. Georgia has been trying to keep the two would-be breakaway areas of South Ossetia and Abkhazan within her Internationally recognized borders, and finally, against the better advice of her allies, decided to send troops into South Ossetia.
It was the wrong decision. What many fail to realize is that this precipitated the recent invasion by Russian forces.
However, that said, why did Russia keep such a large army on the border, ready to pounce within a moment's notice? Did they bait the Georgians into war, knowing that the tiny, fragile democracy would be hard pressed to fight back? Indeed, the immediate rout of the Georgian forces leaves us wondering about their ability to secure their own borders, much less any threat they posed to the Russian border areas.
As far as I can tell, this fight over South Ossetia and Abkhazan has more to do more with the old Soviet Union philosophy of populating the "Near Abroad" regions with ethnic Russians, thereby suppressing the local populations. In a way it was much like Apartheid except that the majority was to be found among the outsiders.
The history of Russia, first as an Imperial Power over the centuries, and later as the Soviet Union and now as a growing power of apparent nationalistic fascism under Vladimir Putin, is filled with distrust and hatred of people in other lands. While arguably Russians have an inherent right to feel paranoia and have deep feelings of distrust about their nearest neighbors' intentions, I find there is no excuse for the massive, crushing of a neighbor who would be like a gnat fighting a bear, to use the analogy to explain the size and power differences between these two nations.
Has Russia gone too far? I would like to think that the nations of the world will condemn Russia, and especially Vladimir Putin, the real architect behind this overwhelming reason to the gnat-bite Georgia presented in moving into its own territory, namely South Ossetia. But I am a realist.
Nobody will confront the Russian government under the puppet Medvedev any more than we in the U.S. will be able to "force" Russia to take back its actions.
Our own inability to act will cause other nations to hesitate. Europe may protest, but not too greatly, because of the need for the natural gas and oil that Russia now monopolizes. Even the former Soviet states in the Russian dominated Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) will not be able to do much. A few may heed Georgian president Mikhail Saakashvili's call to leave the CIS, but apart from the Ukraine, most of them live under the shadow of the Russian bear and will now think twice before doing anything to anger the Russian government.
Our own politicians have weighed in on the matter, with presidential candidate John McCain calling for forceful actions to be taken against Russia. However, his calls for action are somewhat suspect because of the close ties of former Georgian lobbyist Randy Scheunemann, a man who now acts as a top policy advisor to McCain.
Still, what will the U.S. and the world do, and indeed what can we do? We do not have a large army, even though we are a powerful nation. And with a good part of armed forced in Iraq, not to mention Europe, South Korea and various other places from which they can not easily be deployed elsewhere, we would be unable to back up any ratcheted up rhetoric with military force.
And of course, there are many who are first asking - isn't this how we got ourselves into quagmires in the recent past? Indeed, it is beginning to look as if some of our leaders and potential leaders are calling for military solutions to just about every problem that comes along.
Fortunately, there are other ways to meet this challenge, starting with a call for strong, united multi-national diplomacy. If the United States is to take the lead, then we must be willing to work with other nations on terms that will produce results. By going in with guns blaze as we did in Iraq, we will immediately lose both our credibility as well as our ability to get positive, lasting results.
But the bottom line is this: We either we lead, follow or get out of the way. And no matter which course we take, we must be willing to act responsibly and accept that any solution will be a compromise of our ideas blended with the ideas of many other nations. We must at all costs avoid the "You are either with us or against us" mentality - it will not lead to success.
- Who Got Georgia Into This?
From the Los Angeles Times, Rosa Brooks August 14, 2008 - Goergia Crisis Helps McCain for now
From The Christian Science Monitor, By Linda Feldmann | Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor from the August 15, 2008 edition - McCain's on Georgia's Side (So Is Obama)
From PolitiFactCheck.com of the St. Petersburg Times
CBS News Coverage
Aljazeera English News Coverage.
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Comments
Thanks, Robie2, I agree that oil figures large in this picture. I decided to skirt that issue for now and look at the things the Russians & Goergians think are the issues. There has never been any great love between Russia and Goergia. Different cultures, languages, customs, etc.
The Russians made it their policy to incorporate many ethnic Russians into the areas they controlled after WWII. That way they believed nobody could claim the areas were ethnically anything but Russian.
One thing I learned long ago was that the old Soviet Union was really just a new form of Russian Imperialism. One of my best friends in Spain was a former diplomat to Russia, and he spent hours telling us about the things he saw and knew from his time in Russia.
The fact is that Russia is a nation often attacked, often brutalized, and such folk memories die hard. The reach of NATO into former Soviet Block nations has to have them crapping in their pants, so to speak.
I understand their fears, and since we have not proven to always live up to our promises, I understand their disbelief of our "good intentions" regarding those anti-missle deployments.
I still believe Georgia got advise telling them to stay out but that it was given with a wink and a nod. We have often not sent clear messages, such as when Saddam Hussein thought we gave the go-ahead for him to capture Kuwait. Later we denied that happened, but it did.
Thanks for the thoughtful and intelligent reply, fellow political junkie!
I have been following the news about thsi conflict and your hub has helped put events into a clearer perspective, thanks.
Thanks, Bob. We are all rightly worried about this conflict, knowing from recent history how such small events can flare up into major wars.
and it just keeps going on...no one is telling the full story, not Russia nor Georgia -
<If the United States is to take the lead, then we must be willing to work with other nations on terms that will produce results. >
I agree, we've got a wonderful opportunity to lead and be a " uniter" now where have we heard THAT word before? course the uniter won't be Bush, but the US certainly should lead and help solve this problem instead of being the bully on the block.
It is something to watch with care... great article, Chef Jeff...
Just my two cents worth. I don't think the neocons are at all unhappy with the thought of a revitalized Soviet Union. We need all the enemies we can get to sustain perpetual war.
When Bush looked, Putin in the eye, did he see that Russia was still smarting form the defeat in Afganistan. Or that if they ever had an oppertunity to repay the kindness, they would not hesitate to do so.
If Russia is not planing for future conflict- then smart missles in Poland would not be a problem.
So lets Add up.
Iran's going Nulear, Russia is ploting revenge, Best guess is that Pakistan is in Bed with Alqiada, and Ben Laden, and no doubt if North Korea Sees an oppertunity to take a bite out of us they will.
So lets pretend these are all Pit Bulls with a Locked, Jaw on one of Americas limbs. This only leaves the Head un-protected and open to whatever, attack comes are way.
And lastly they say that Cyber warfare helped to defeat Georgia, so why if we know how vulnerable a computerized, military is; do we continue to seek to computerize everything?
Great Hub Chef keep serving up that, Gourmet Literary Cuisine.
Thanks for an interesting hub. I agree that the US acting with caution in a carefully thought out plan, together with other countries, is the best way to go. All of our leaders need to learn from past mistakes.
CWB, I agree that the NeoCons seem to be reminiscing for the "Bad Old Cold War Days" when they had an actual country to target! After all, blowing a cave in the wilderness of Pakistan-Afghanistan is not as dramatic as taking out Moscow or Tehran.
Jeremeo, I am still stunned into verbal silence by that odd comment Bush made about looking Putin in the eye and seeing a man we can trust and do business with. Although, if he meant trust to stab us in the back and keep up the antics of the Soviet regime, then I guess he was right, But somehow I believe that gives Bush too much credit for brains, intuition & political savvy.
Moon Daisy, I fully expect the current administration will botch this as they botched so many things in the recent past. And it will be left up to whichever of the two major candidates to cleanup the mess - which means we can all expect to pay bilions more for the downside Bush Legacy.
Bush sends missle defenses to Poland, McCain seems to be calling for the Marines to be sent in, while Obama seems not to be calling for anything concrete. I swear, these two wanna-be boys better get their acts together because it will be a rough ride for whoever we elect to be the next president.
And of course that means it will be even more rough on We, the People.
As of now I have no high hopes. Maybe we should just surrender and let good old "clear-eyes" Putin take over. After all, when you look into his eyes you can see a man we can trust and do business with, which is more than we can say about Bush or Cheney.
Thanks for this informative hub on a topic that has been of great debate in that part of the world.
Great hub, Jeff. I agree that multi-national, worldwide diplomacy is the best tactic, and I believe Obama will make just that call.
Multi-national, worldwide diplomacy is a great ideal, but achieving that would be another story -- in a very complex world.
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robie2 says:
16 months ago
Hi Chef Jeff-- nice to read the thoughts of a fellow political junke on this:-) I think it is really all about oil and the pipelines that go through Georgia carrying oil to the West. I don't think it has anything to do with nationalism or freedom or democracy. It's about oil and national defense. Russia doesn't want to be ringed by NATO members and Bush has just proposed Georgia for NATO membership. Many think that the current Georgian President is an American pawn. He sure walks like a duck and quacks like a duck. Wonder how much Washington is paying him?
Russia doesn't want ICBMs trained on it in Poland and it wants to control the flow of oil into the West. Georgia was stupid to invade South Ossetia in the first place and is now going to pay for that mistake. I kind of spelled out my view here
http://hubpages.com/hub/Russia-Georgia-South-Osset
I'm with you on the fact that the USA has limited options and has to either lead, follow or get out of the way. I only hope that we don't lead the world to a nuclear standoff....and I hope we have enough sense to get out of the way. Good hub. Thumbs up!