TREASURY BAILOUT A WORKABLE SOLUTION
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Is The Bailout A Solution?
The real concern about the financial sector is that it is undercapitalized with severe shortage of luquidity as the losses it has sustained and the growing risk-aversion of lenders in the free market. To avoid the credit contraction to do any further damage, financial institutions need more capital to continue lending and be in the business. The current secnario makes the treasury plans to recapitalize financial institutions in phases. The first phase would have paying above the current market value for mortgage-backed assets, second phase would be creating a market for these assets and allowing prices to be established and thirdly the treasury hopes that once the illiquid assets are off the balance sheets, institutions can raise capital and will become more willing to lend and eneter into more stable and sustainable business growth.
Though these are very sound intentions, it can sustain in present run down market conditions is the big question and proper risk analysis of the total plan. The downside is that If the government
overpays, it is not going to help the market discover the true price that
traders are willing to pay. Which in turn will cause in every way of course taxpayers to bear
the burnt.
Ultimately, the
authorities will have to focus on recapitalizing the banking sector in
addition to asset purchases, a quick audit of the large financial institutions,
speedy closure of those that are beyond revival and a recapitalization plan for
those that can survive, are all priorities of what needs to be done.These are standrads procedure which have stood the test of time and been used by many countries to get out of the a stiff finicial situation.
Impact on Global Economy
As the US represents about a third of the world economy it concerns to the world too on how well does the US comes out of this finicial soup. The matters get even more complex as US routinely spends more than it produces. Thus If US demand shrinks, global demand will also be affected which will lead to another big spillover in many other foreign financial institutions, largely in Europe which hold substantial quantities of US securities. .
What Are The Lessons To Be Learnt?
As a consequence of this sub-prime crisis every country needs to learn to be careful about excessively low interest rates and excessive credit growth. Firstly, the consequences of unstable interest rate policy should be scrutinized . Secondly, they should worry about incentive structures in the financial system. Bonuses based on short-term performance should be avoided, but instead longer-term performance incentives should be provided based on actual materialization. A regulatory system has to be kept in place above all the which needs to make sure that their systems are resilient enough to market fluctuations.
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