Considering the upswings and downward movements of share prices, exercise caution in share tips that comes your way.  In this market LUCK seems to be the sheer factor.

Bearish trend will emerge

Absolutely I find no logic in the movement of share prices upwards. Day in and day out we find one or the other banks being closed in America. Investors in these banks loose their money. Employed people in these banks are thrown out. As for India the planning commission has predicted slump in growth. Exports have declined by more than 30%. Recession is right there in front of you.

It is now, not far from, that all industries will start showing low EPS (Earning per share). Dividends declared by companies are going to dry up. There will be no bonus issues by companies, no issue of new share, rights issue etc. In these conditions is it advisable to invest? Think!!!

You may now ask, why then is the stock prices are rising. People having huge money have found investing in stocks as good option even if there are no returns. You can't invest in banks when bank's are flowing with heavy funds and there are less borrowers now. You are not interested in Real Estate too since property rates are falling and there is no demand for properties from common man.

So these stock investors will hold on to their investments even under loss and the share prices sensex indices had to go down not taking into account their investments and it has to touch 2500 to 3000. Until this happens there will be no fresh investments from common man and the left over investors may say good-bye to share investments.

Bear operators will not look over silently for a long time, since they have to make profits.

The fall in market may start showing its head anytime now.

 I had been advising and telling people that the market will touch 2000 indices.  But having touched around 7500  the sensex  is now hovering around 15000.  It will cross 16000 too.   The question is how this happened?

Instead of going down it has shot up.   During recession period the market has to go down and not like this.  

It happened so when the congress government in order to win elections by showing uptrend in share market pumped in more money, the share market rose.  Catching on the tail other foreign investors entered in.   Seeing the uptrend a lot many people again started investing. 

Now what? 

There are many investors now waiting to enter the market when it goes down and reaches 7500 indices and not until then.   There are still who are waiting to enter when the market reaches 5000 sensex indices.   Whether it will go down to touch these points... the answer is... it may or may not.   Having such a doubt whether it is advisable to invest now... now it all depends on once own luck.    The sensex is not moving according to the economic scenerio but has taken its own way... so no one can now predict its movement.   

Don't fall into the trap seeing the sensex's rise day by day.   It is only temporary until the election.

 It is time to sell and come out of market. The congress Party's leaders black-money is being poured in share market through the traders and institutional investors.

The Congress party wants the sensex to sustain a high level defying the bearish market just to show that the Government has taken the country into a strong growth.

The Congress leaders also has the opportunity to pledge the shares purchased and get 50% to 75% loans on it and re-invest in shares.

Immediately after elections there will be huge selling all over and as the sensex falls the banks to recover the loans advanced would sell off the shares pledged, which further will force the market downwards.

Crash after crash the sensex will reach 7000 index and will remain there for sometime and thereafter from 10 months from now the sensex will touch 2000 index.

So take this opportunity to sell-off your shares before the crash occurs. 

SELL NOW AND PUT THE BLACK MARKETEERS TO LOSS.

Sensex -- Getting support at 15000 .-- On 20th March 2008.

People in India are advised to sell off any shares that you hold and keep off the Share Market.

You have to wait until the Market's Sensex touches 2000.

And this will happen from 2 years from now. That is a long wait for people who are eager to invest in shares.

You can see in Media and newspapers saying that this is the Best time to invest when the shares are now available for cheap etc.

Don't ever go behind anybody's advice even if it is an expert's one. Since no expert can predict correctly the market moves.

Till now the bulls were having a good run on the bourses. Now the time has come for the bears to show their power.

In this market some bad news here and there are manipulated, and then there is huge sell-off's. People think that the market fell because of this bad news and they wait that all is going to be well in the long run.

You should know that the market players cannot make money always when the shares are selling at high prices and when the sensex is 21000 points. It has to be brought down and bringing down to not just 15000 index that they prefer, they eye more low and that is 2000, 2500 to 3000 index. Gradually the bear operators will bring it down to this level.

Many common people, small time investor's will go bankrupt. All those people who were floating in dreams of being a rich man will see their dreams shattered if you do not come out off the market.

Majority of people will not accept, for them Indian Economy is good and so there is no reason why should people be not invested. They will go thus far to advise people, telling them that this is the best time/opportunity to invest. Some will ask you to invest a percentage of money in shares. Everyone are hired by market players. Never come under anybody's advice. Do not think that all the companies like the I.T. companies are doing good. These software companies now are facing recession. You will see a cycle of things happenning. One software company which is depended on another will start closing its business. There will be chain of reactions.

No Government will be able to stop the closing of Software companies. Making use of the good marketing conditions many Software companies had opened their office expecting orders. They had hired people ready to take up the orders. Now as the shares are falling and as there is gloom atmosphere, orders will start drying up. At first people will not get salary. Then, the compnay itself will start closing down. First the small and first time companies will close down. Then the big software companies will ask some of their employees to retire.

All fresh Engineering Graduates will have no jobs. Only experienced Software people will be given jobs and that there will be plenty available.

You can see students shunning Engineering Colleges. Just doing computer science and to get a B.Sc degree might be fine now. People will start looking for Job security and that is Government Jobs.

Latest tip -- Sensex is up for some days - 28-03-08

This is the best time to offload all your shares and book profits and come out.

3rd April 2008

You can see the chart below where the Nifty had reached upto 4970 and has started moving down, now this point 4970 will never be broken upwards and the market will go down somewhere upto 4500. In the next cycle the Nifty will or may touch upto 4900 and may not go up. So who have missed selling or offloading your shares when the Nifty was around 4950 can next try to offload when the nifty is around 4900 or less.

Off loading the share when the sexsex is around 16000 is advisable. The sensex will get support for some days around 15000 and then may go down to 14000. Still further in about a month or two or even six months from now it may go down to 11000 when it may rest here for a long time to come. So now is the best time to offload your shares and come out of it.

4th April 2008

After start of this Hub page on 20th March 2008 those who have taken my advice would sigh a relief that you had.

Now that you can see the sensex is hovering around 15000 and is waiting for a bad news on any front to crash it down. Any good news on economic front will have no effect on it. But bad news not only economic but on any other matter is sufficient to crash the sexsex down.

The sensex is likely to settle down at 14000 index in a few days from now and the nifty around 4575 or 4545

5th April 2008

To those people who are eager to enter market now is not the time. The best time is to wait for another market crash. If you still cannot wait then invest when the nifty is around 4545 and sell off when it reaches 4600. At this time suppose there is a market crash because of some bad news somewhere then be prepared for loss of around 25% of your investment. The people who invest in low priced stocks are the maximum loosers. At the same time these investors do get higher profits when the shares move upwards.

There are market players who manipulate share prices of certain stocks and when you and others become fond of this stock, then they suddenly will offload all of their holdings and you will end loosing nearly 80 to 90% of your investments. Later this stock will never see its ups any more. So beware on these stocks. If you too are a good market player then you should pick up these shares and come out when you see that it is consolidating somewhere.

7th April 2008

Virtually its a selling market you have to wait for the sensex to touch 14000 and the nifty around 4545 to enter the market and try your luck.

Mutual Funds

Mutual Funds will start seeing their Net Asset Value eroded. No longer will you get money from Mutual Funds. Never invest in Mutual Funds, either old or new. Every Mutual Funds will end up with loses. And already they are seeing it.

8th April 2008

Nifty - 4710

Sensex - 15588

The sensex and Nifty has closed down. The Market is falling. Those of you who are holding shares in the fond hope of getting higher price for it try to sell off your stocks now. You will be lucky if the sensex will touch 16000 in the next session and the Nifty 4800. Very grim situation, as for my prediction market has to settle around 15000 - Sensex and 4590 - Nifty for some days before going down to 14000 and then 11000. Good Luck.

For positive minded people - who are bent upon investing

Though I have advised you to be off from share market by off loading all your stocks, still there are some people who are habituated to be in share market. They cannot lead life without playing in share market.

For these people I will give the correct times to enter market and the time for exiting.

Be watching this column for investing opportunities. To be on safer side I always recommend that at this market if you still want to be invested then be invested in big index oriented shares like, Reliance, Banks, etc., Be off from small company stocks whose profits may tumble due to setting in of recession in the economy.

Options Trading - Avoid it totally at all times.

Never venture into Options trading. There are call option and put options trading where for a very low investments you could get huge profits, but on the other side you will loose all your money. Just buy shares and sell shares in an ordinary way and try to make profit even though it would be small compared to options trading. Not to lag behind NSE has recently started Volatility Index also known as fear index. This is nothing but to lure you more to share market and make you loose any money that is left with you. Beware. beware, if you want to invest just invest your money in stocks. In options trading some big players are involved they purposefully will either boost the price or lower it so that you loose all your money. Option trading usually is not controlled by the index. It's price will suddenly go sideways and reflect the opposite of index. These are the handi-work of some big operators who corner you. Better if you still want to have a go into it buy only shares like Reliance and SBI where huge volumes of shares are traded and you can come out easily.

Some tips - Those of you are holding SBI shares beware, the stock is going to tumble and may rest around Rs.1100 price range.

9th April 2008

Nifty - 4747

Sensex - 15790

The market is waiting for some bad news to come from somewhere to tumble down. If there are good news its not going to move upwards in any substantial way. But if any minor bad news is sufficient to bring it down drastically. This is now the best time to sell stocks and if you are interested you can buy it when the sensex touches 14950 or th Nifty around 4545.

10th April 2008 - Down

Nifty - 4733

Sensex - 15695

Best opportunity to sell if you are holding any stocks. If you are invested in Mutual Funds transfer it to Fixed Deposit to avoid losses in Mututal Funds.

11th April 2008 - Up - Week's Close

Nifty - 4777 - Week's Close

Sensex - 15807 - Week's Close

You have been given opportunities after opportunities to sell all your stocks at the market's prevailing best prices, I doubt if you would be able to get such an opportunity in the next week. Market never could break above 16000 sensex. So buying will be ridiculous now. At the most you could enter market when it is around 14000 or 14300 or even 14500. Nifty around 4545. With a caution that a crash could be seen around this level too i.e., 14000 sensex.

15th April 2008 - Up

Nifty - 4879

Sensex - 16153

The sensex in the opening tried to go down, when the news of favourable results of Infosys came in, the sensex was lifted up breaking above the important 16000 index level. Again this is the best opportunity to sell off shares at this level and profit out. The market will at any time start going down upto 15000 and from there to 11000.

16th April 2008 - Up

Nifty - 4887

Sensex - 16244

The market opened very strong people rushed in thinking the market should now move upwards after good economic results. As the results of almost all companies are good this quarter the market's sensex should have touched 17000 but it did not, gradually as the time passed the market started showing weakness and just closed almost at par to yesterday's close. This itself is the proof that there is no confidence in this market. By investing in this market you are giving opportunities for the markets players to sell and book profits.

17th April 2008 - Up - Week's Close

Nifty - 4958

Sensex - 16481

Caution needed - Keep away from share market, enter only when market's sensex is around 14000 or 14500 and the Nifty at 4545.

21st April 2008 - Up

Nifty - 5037

Sensex - 16739

Market is overly bought anytime now you should expect huge sellings.

23rd April 2008 - Down

Nifty - 5022

Sensex - 16698

The Market saw some upsides due the buying of strong shares by fund managers. There were some improved quarterly results. Today the market as started going down due to selling from all quarters including the fund managers. It is now difficult to say if the market may ever touch 17000 sensex. On the other hand there is more possibility of the sensex moving down to 15000 or 14500 where the support there will hold it for some days before continuing its downtrend.

24th April 2008

Nifty - 4999 - down

Sensex - 16721 - up

The market is saturated here it will never see the upside but the market anytime will move downwards.

25th April 2008 - Week's close - UP

Nifty - 5111 - UP

Sensex - 17125 - up

Market players are holding the market up to induce more buys from the laymen public. Hence public should maintain cautious attitude and stay away from this market. You should invest only when the market is around 14500 sensex and not now. The nifty should be around 1450.

2nd May 2008 - Week's close - UP

Nifty - 5228 - UP

Sensex - 17600 - up

Market is rising in order to attract the innocent gullible investors. Once there are enough investors then the axe will fall on them. Those foreign investors, fund managers etc., who were till now investing will start offloading their shares heavyly and plunge the market to a level of 14000 sensex or so and the nifty around 1450. So the new investors beware the market is just waiting for you to invest and then put you into great loss.

9th May 2008 - Week's close - Down

Nifty - 4982 - Down

Sensex - 16737 - Down

The market is bearish but it took inflation has a reason for falling, it will but further go down. So sell if you have to now before it further drifts to 15000 sensex and the nifty to 4545, where it will have support for some time before going down further upto 11000 sensex.

16th May 2008 - Week's close - Down

Nifty - 5157 - Up

Sensex - 17434 - Up

New investors are entering the market now and the market 

players have been just waiting for this.  Maintain patience

until the market goes down to atleast 14000 points.