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Trading systems - Your Guide to Success in Trading the Market

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By Darren2010


There number of considerations when either trading the markets for the first time or attempting to start an exploration into trading. There are about as many different trading systems as there are flavors of ice cream and it can be overwhelming. Everyone claims to have the: best trading system, top trading system, new trading system that will blow your socks off! Before buying or studying and implimenting it's important to understand the landscape. It will help to understand what you're getting yourself into and the best first step is to have a general idea of the scope of subject. Whether you trading stocks, bonds, futures or any other financial instrument a number of the principles remain the same, it's important to have the right trading system. Choosing the right trading system and to decide how you will approach your interactions with the market itself. This hub will discuss types of trading systems that are out there and also help you to choose the right trading system by looking at some of the key features and benefits of each. This will help you to choose from the many trading systems to best match the right trading system to your objectives and personality.


The Scope

First step in understanding different trading systems is to understand some of the terms that are associated with trading or investing itself. Within a trading system there's a beginning, middle and an end. For our discussion here will define the beginning is doing an analysis of the market, the middle is making a purchase of security or securities and the end being exiting a position where the sale of security. When referring to the market I'll be using the stock market to which confusion however these principles will apply generally to most securities and markets. This Hubble focus on trading systems with the assumption that you have decided your goals in terms of your investment timeframe, your tolerance to risk and volatility, as well as tax applications from the execution of the buying and selling of different securities.

Fundamental Analysis

their two main types of analysis, the first being fundamental analysis and the second being technical analysis.

Fundamental Analysis focuses on looking outside of the market that the underlying investment trades in and deals with the 'asset' the investment represents. Things included are: company accounting evaluation, economic conditions, social trends and even the weather, just to name a few. One obvious question is: the weather is one of those factors? I know it sounds like it doesn’t belong but it really does. Many investments are based on commodities and many of those commodities are agricultural in nature. So if a crop is destroyed due to weather conditions (like frost, hurricane or flood) than the total expected supply will drop and the demand for that commodity may not. That goes back to one of the very basic concepts of the balance between supply and demand for something. Company accounting evaluation is looking at the company’s accounting statements (aka financial statements). Things like balance sheets, gross revenue, and profit/loss statements (P&L). All this information is available in a company’s annual report, and is filed with the Securities Exchange Commission (in the United States).The economic conditions are another factor that many have debated about in terms of its influence on the market. Some believe that a depression or recession is a primary influence on the trading and prices in the market. Another view is that economic conditions are the effect of what happens in the market. If the stock market ‘crashes’ or corrects then that cause the depression or rescission. Both have merit and both do have an effect, the real debate comes down to which has more influence than the other. Either way, explore both and decide which or how much of the two to use when you factor your investment decisions.


Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis is a style of evaluating investments within the market they are traded, and has been around for a very long time. When talking to people the reaction is usually confusion. They usually don’t understand what Technical Analysis really is. People will often confuse Fundamental Analysis and start talking about a company that has a new product or the economic conditions, this really has very little to do with Technical Analysis. Technical Analysis deals with patterns in price and volume to try to anticipate where prices are going in the market or instrument. People often get confused when a Technical Analysts talks about a stock having a price patterned ‘memory’. It also sounds live they are referring to the stock has an entity unto itself. What most of them are referring to is the emotional memory of the people trading the stock itself. They try to determine through a multitude of ways where the stock may move next. The very basic tools of a Technical analyst are stock charts and a computer. They will study charts for hours, days weeks and even years to try to determine an investment decision. Using a computer they will incorporate indicators based on simple to complex mathematics to make sense of the stock data on the chart. Two of the oldest and still most common methods are identifying trends, and the support and resistance of a stocks movement.

Generic Trading/Investing Systems

Once you've figured out the tip of analysis you'll primarily be using the next step is to look at the actual buying and selling of security. There two types trading systems, one is a generic type and the other is non-generic type. The difference is simple and non-generic type is a trading system that was developed, copyrighted and marketed usually by one company. However non-generic trading systems usually include elements of established generic trading systems in one form or another. We will be looking at some of the generic type trading systems which include Position Trading and Daytrading.

Position Trading

Position trading is a type of investing where one has a longer timeframe and makes more of their decisions based on fundamental analysis. This type of trading is prevalent with people that deal with larger portfolios like mutual fund managers. It involves taking a position in a security and holding that position over months or years. The benefit of position trading is there is less concern over the day-to-day or week to week fluctuations in the price of the security. This is due to the fact that investment is held over a longer timeframe in the short term volatility is less of a concern than the longer-term growth of the asset that underlies a security.


Swing Trading

Swing trading is a type of investing or trading where an investor considers the company's fundamentals on a more superficial level then a position trader. This type of system would also look at technical analysis where position trader mostly ignores the 'technicals'. A swing trader's investment timeline is one that is of days or weeks as opposed to months or years.

Day Trading

Day trading is a type of investing or trading where the focus is more on the internal influences of security. A day trader will spends most if not all of their time analyzing the technicals of the security rather than the fundamentals of that security. They also invest in a security over shorter time frame than both the position and swing trader. A daytraders timeframe ranges from minutes and in some cases few days. Generally speaking a day trader doesn't invest for more than one day and will exit a security or investment by the end of the regular trading day.

Developing a System

A common approach is to develop your own trading system and it becomes quite evident if you start to explore all of the difference versions and flavors of trading systems, that have been created involved over the years.their a few key questions to ask yourself before you start a project like this and they will help guide you in choosing which elements to include in your system and to avoid setbacks when implementing your system.

What is your goal from trading the market? What is my time-frame for being invested?How much time are you willing to spend researching, developing and testing your system?How much energy and time will you have to maintain a working system? how often will you be executing a trade?

Answering these questions will guide you to choosing the right system to match your personality and your lifestyle. They will help you quantify the cost of your system so you can determine if the equitable by comparing the potential profits.

Changing Your System

The real key is to find a system that works for you and stick with it making minor adjustments when needed. One rule that has served me is: when working with a system, never make adjustments to in the ‘heat of the moment. This means never ever make changes while you’re trading real money, real time. Do your research and test the system out before you real money. Any adjustments you have to make should be made outside the emotion of the market, when you have a clear head.

Conclusion

In the end choosing the right trading system is only a piece of a larger puzzle. It's important to do the right research and always consult with a professional, or at least until you're comfortable and have a proven track record to go it alone. The next logical step would be to research the different types of brokers where you'll be executing your trades. It always helps to have a general understanding before you talk to professional so you can ask the right questions and be able to set the proper expectations. Luckily this is a road more traveled and there is tons of information to help you move in the right direction.

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