What is Peak Oil?

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By JOReilly


Is the end of oil a myth or reality?

A few years ago, I read an article on Salon.com about a phenomenon called "Peak Oil". Basically, it followed a group of activists who believed that oil production in the world had already or would soon reach its peak and that the declining supply of oil would soon provoke energy wars that would plunge the world into a chaos of sorts. Not a pretty picture, right? However the things they were predicting in the article seemed outlandish and unlikely, and after a day or two of worrying and obsessing over the possibility of an oil-less world, I put it out of my mind.

Recently, as oil prices spiked higher than most had ever dreamed, I remembered the article. I went back and read it again and saw that a lot of the predictions the peak oil "conspiracists" had made were coming eerily true. Supply was down, demand was up. These people were learning how to plant gardens, how to farm the land, how to defend themselves, and making every preparation for a world without oil. They were preparing for Peak Oil.

So who are these believers in Peak Oil? Nutjobs with tinfoil hats? Or smart, prescient observers of the world who we will all rely on in the near future. For me, the jury is still out. My very rational family tells me not to worry about the end of oil. After all, there's supposedly oil in Alaska and the Gulf of Mexico and years and years of oil shale deposits in the US alone.

But Peak Oil theorists seem to believe that all these potential sources of oil will only be sufficient to extend the world's oil use by a few years at best. They believe that oil is on the decline, no matter what, and that we're just not advanced enough in our technology of alternate energy sources yet to replace it.

Oil isn't just a liquid that we use to fuel up our gas tanks. Oil is, surprisingly, involved in almost all of the food production in the world. Pesticides, fertilizers, food storage, tractors and trailers used in farming are all made using oil. Plastics are made with oil.

One blog predicts that we are only 9 meals away from world chaos. That is, if trucks stop delivering our food to supermarkets, and there is no food left, we have 9 meals until people starting looting and inciting in violent activities to get their food.

So should we freak out? I've considered this question a lot lately. I'm not positive that Peak Oil is all its cracked up to be. Unfortunately for me, however, I'm a worrier. The type of worrier that stays up at night imagining how things will be when Peak Oil hits. I hope that these people preparing for the end of oil are just tinfoil hat crazies, but I also, grudgingly, can't stop wondering whether or not maybe they're right.

So there's no harm in preparing a little bit. Recently I ordered the SAS Survival Handbook. It teaches you how to light fires, hunt, which plants are edible and which aren't, etc. etc. I also ordered an emergency food kit with water and energy bars packed with calories. If I had the money, I would order a bunch of solar powered generators, etc., as well.

I live in the city, so I can't really learn how to garden, but if I had a backyard, I definitely would be out there digging in the dirt. We've come a long way in technology in the past hundred years, but as a result, we've lost some of the essential knowledge of life, like how to grow our own food, and how to provide for ourselves.

If I lived in the suburbs, I think I would also buy probably ten or so of those huge Poland Spring water jugs and put them in my cellar. I would also buy (again, if I had the funds, which clearly I don't) a years worth of food reserves.

So don't bug out just yet. But be aware. There's a lot of reading and preparation you can do in case these crazy theories are real. If Peak Oil never comes, you'll have gotten a great education in alternative energy, gardening, and other topics.



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Dan Varella profile image

Dan Varella  says:
18 months ago

JOReilly-

Very interesting article. I live in Missouri where there are a lot of caves and places for protection away from the public. Every once in a while someone will bring up a conversation similiar to your Hub and talk about these types of issues. I am as you with the verdict still out and continue to hear more. I appreciate you being so open and up front with this issue.

Dan

Bob Ewing profile image

Bob Ewing  says:
18 months ago

Be prepared and you won't be surprised.

foran Singh  says:
18 months ago

Foreign Market Research is a long time goal for international trade.In a fast growing and changing economy the market shifted towards the economic power where the large options are available with theconsumers or buyers.

Amanda Severn profile image

Amanda Severn  says:
16 months ago

Hi JOReilly. I just read your hub, and it's content was similar to a recent one of mine. I think yours was more measured though, and less of a full-on rant. (I tend to get carried away!)

City dwellers are very vulnerable in the kind of scenario you're outlining. i don't know whether this peak oil stuff is true or not, but I'm increasingly aware of how de-skilled we've all become. We have a museum in Sussex not so far from where I live, which comprises of very old buildings (400 years plus) that have been rescued from the path of developers and re-created in their original style in a rural setting. It's absolutely charming, and a joy to visit, but I have to ask myself how well I would do if I were thrown in at the deepend and expected to survive off the land as our ancestors once did, tilling the soil for food, shearing sheep, spinning and weaving. Most of my contempories can scarcely prepare a home-cooked meal, or sew a missing button on. The breakdown of society, quite aside from the accompanting anarchy, is a very scary prospect.

riversedge profile image

riversedge  says:
16 months ago

Hi JO,

We moved out of New York City a bunch of years ago, but though my wife now always has a garden, we're not any better prepared for a real emergency.  Hard to do on your own.  Though if you're storing water, I'd use good old New York City tap water -- who needs Poland Spring?

Ah, doing crossword puzzles in the park -- you still use a pen, don't you?

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