Why The S&P 500 Matters More Than The Down Jones Average
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There's practically no one that can escape hearing about how the stock
market is doing. The numbers are announced in news broadcasts around
the globe every day. In the United States often times people will talk
about how the Dow Jones Average is doing. This is the average most
quoted but actually professional traders will not spend much time with
that number and focus most of their attention on the S&P 500. Why
is that?
Understanding Stock Indexes and Averages
Stock indexes and averages are simply groupings of stocks put together
to generate an indication of change within that grouping. Since the
stock market represents thousands of stocks, indexes and averages
provide a quick overall gauge to direction the overall market is
heading in. Another important reason these indexes and averages exist
are to give investors a method of measuring their performance against
the overall markets.
So we know why we have them but what's the difference between the two? (This gets a bit technical)
Stock Index
- a time series of numbers used to calculate a percentage change of
this series over any period of time. The number is derived by using
the market value of all stocks in the index relative to a base period.
A change in the market capitalization of a large company will have a
greater impact on the value of the index than a comparable change in
the market capitalization of a smaller company. This concept is
referred to as value-weighted. The S&P 500 is a value-weighted
index.
Stock Average - an arithmetic average of the
current prices of a group of stocks designed to represent the overall
market or some part of it. These stock averages are price-weighted
meaning that the change in the average is related to the changes in the
prices of their stock (not the market value of the company). The Dow
Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average.
The Downside of the Dow Jones
More and more the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has come under
criticism for a few reasons. Primarily, because there are very few
companies that represented in the average and as such doesn't
necessarily reflect the actual movement of the overall markets.
Because of this reason the DJIA isn't really meeting the expectations
of being a true stock market average.
The other concern about
the average is that it is price-weighted and not value weighted. Since
the prices of the stocks on the DJIA could trade in a large range when
a higher priced stock moves it will affect the average more than and
cheaper priced stock when in reality the actual price of the stock
doesn't matter to investors. In fact, there can be a lot more money
made from cheaper stocks making only small moves but representing a
larger percentage move.
The S&P 500 Index
Because of the downfalls of the DJIA there was a need to create a more
representative measure of the broader market. Many different indexes
arose but the Standard & Poor's
500 Stock Composite Index is the most commonly used today. It is the
benchmark to which professional investors measure their performance.
It provides wide market coverage by including many stock over more
sectors and calculates the index based on the value-weighted approach
of their market capitalization. By measuring stocks by their market
capitalization, the larger companies have a larger effect on the value
of the index instead of higher-priced stocks.
By understanding
the differences between stock indexes and averages you will be able to
better understand how the overall market is performing and why the Dow
Jones averages are not necessarily the best indicators. The difference
between value-weighted and price-weighted calculations is not difficult
but may not be initially obvious, but by understanding the difference
between price and market capitalization it should be clear why the pro
money manager choose to use the S&P 500.
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