Hyperinflation, What Effect It Will Have on The United States
70Hyperinflation – Historical Examples and Their Implications
We mentioned a concept called 'fiat currency' before. Fiat currency serves as a
medium of exchange where the medium itself either has no intrinsic value, or
cannot be redeemed for a commonly exchanged backing (such as gold or silver).
The United States (and much of the world) has shifted from specie (money that's
backed up by the promise of an exchange for gold, silver, copper or some other
commodity stored by the government) to fiat currencies.
The earliest use of fiat currency on record is the 11th century Song Dynasty,
which offered paper notes backed by silk reserves. About three years after its
institution, regulations requiring that only a percentage of taxes could be
paid with such notes, by ten years, the number of notes in circulation vastly
exceeded the amount of reserves available to back them with, and the value of
the notes plummeted.
Similar experiences with credit notes drawn on governments were instrumental in
the Colonial period of the New
World, with the Carolinas
and New England experiencing runaway inflation, and the Middle
Atlantic colonies avoiding it for the most part. These experiences with runaway
inflation were important fixtures in the minds of many of the Framers of the
Constitution, and were one of the chief hindrances of the Federalists as they
tried to expand the power of the Federal Government. Thomas Jefferson and
Andrew Jackson were both hard currency absolutists. In spite of the financial
chaos it would inflict on the country, Andrew Jackson allowed the Bank of the United States to fail, largely because he wanted to keep the power
to shift to fiat money out of the hands of Congress.
Experiments with fiat money have always ended in an inflationary spiral, but it
takes several countries using fiat money to create a hyperinflationary
situation. Where 'normal' inflation is measured in percentage points per year,
and usually reported as single digit percentage points in a year,
hyperinflation is reported as double digits (and sometimes triple digits) in a
shorter period of time, like weeks and months.
Hyperinflation, coming to a town near you
Economic Hyperinflation Government Debt
The US narrowly avoided hyperinflation during the 1970s,
after Nixon went off of the gold standard in 1971, and the subsequent
devaluation of the US Dollar, followed by strong inflationary pressures during
the Ford and Carter administrations. However, history has shown several bouts
of hyperinflation since the Great Depression, first with the WiemarRepublic, where, to save money, Reichsmark notes were printed
on a single side, and you can still find stamps that have been overprinted to
add zeroes to the mount.
Hungary in the 1950s, Brazil in the 1970s, and countless countries in Africa
have experienced hyperinflation; the principle cause of hyperinflation is
government debts. When a government borrows money, it has to make commitments
to paying it back, just like you do when you borrow money on a credit card. As
the debt levels rise, those commitments take up an increasing fraction of the US budget. When money is backed up by specie (gold and
silver) there is a finite amount of debt that the government can take out, much
like there's a credit limit on your card. When the portion of the budget that
must be spent on financial services becomes the majority of the discretionary
budget that's available, history has shown that hyperinflation is the next
step.
The government usually has two choices – to repudiate its debts, or to devalue
the currency in a mad frenzy to pay off the debts in devalued dollars. They
effectively amount to the same thing – the government will not be paying back
the debt to the same value of what was borrowed.
Hyperinflation leads to common effects: When paychecks come in, they get spent
immediately, before the next currency devaluation strikes and prices rise
again. This leads to a breakdown of the fundamental element of trust in the
underpinnings of the economy, that a fair day's work will give a fair day's
wage, and can lead to the economy seizing up.
This economic seizure can be seen as a market correction writ large, with no
easy fixes. It can be liked to a hyperinflationary Great Depression.
Economic Article Directory
This is one article of a five part series on the economy. Please use the links below to view the other economic articles in this series.
Truth About Hyperinflation
Hyperinflation in the News
- The Hindu Business Line : Soaring food prices — Failure of supply managementThe Hindu6 hours ago
Serious effortsare needed to address food security. The new system of presenting inflation data of primary articles and fuels separately on a weekly basis introduced by the Government with effect from November 5, 2009, has brought the relentless price fever in food articles to the fore.
- Arctic Blast Likely To Increase Food PricesWCBS-TV New York1 second ago
The widespread Arctic freeze will have an impact on more than just your heating bill. Prepare for sticker shock at the grocery store. From produce to meat, juice to bread, the sharp drop in temperatures blanketing most of the U.S. could add up to a spike in prices at the grocery store.
- Jerry Lackey: Food price increase is predicted for 2010Abilene Reporter-News3 days ago
There are some mixed signals coming from several economists as they predict what consumers will pay for food at the grocery store once they return to normal routines of shopping in this new year. Although the latest Texas Farm Bureau Grocery Price Watch shows food prices fell in the fourth quarter of 2009, a survey conducted by Wells Fargo & Co. predicts retail food prices may jump as much as 6 ...
- USDA expects food prices to jump 3-4%Temple Daily Telegram3 days ago
While no cost-of-living increases will be in the paychecks for thousands of Bell County residents this new year, the cost of eating is nevertheless going up, according to a new federal report.
- Shop prices jump 2.2% in DecemberShareCast2 days ago
LONDON (SHARECAST) - Annual shop price inflation jumped to a 13-month high of 2.2% in December, the first and only month where the 15% VAT rate was the same as the previous year.
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hello one2get2no,
History only repeats itself because we either fail to remember or refuse to learn from the past.
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one2get2no says:
4 months ago
Great hub. You have good insights into what is happening. Thanks.
http://hubpages.com/_3f3buf4wlgc6/hub/hyperinflati