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Property Investments - The Imbalance in the Market

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By Mark Knowles


Property investments always sound so appealing in the sales brochures don’t they? Things like “guaranteed returns,” and “assured income,” sound especially re-assuring, but it is vital to look at who is making these claims. A lot of people got stung all over the world making property investments when the real estate market crashed.

And I am talking about normal, middle class people who lost their entire life savings in one fell swoop. This rarely gets talked about in the traditional media. Sure – they do the occasional “isn’t it awful,” special – and then the next day they are filled with “guaranteed returns,” all over again. Whether we are talking about the TV, the newspapers or any of the magazines. Why? Simple – they need the money. The only thing keeping the “traditional,” media in business is advertising from companies that rode the credit bubble.

But – the bubble has burst and what we have now is a sort of one-sided “recovery” going on that involves the stock market inflating while unemployment is rising. This is what is called a “jobless recovery,” and is possibly the scariest thing I have seen come out of the current credit crisis. The powers-that-be seem to be managing to inflate a very small section of the economy and call it a recovery. Does it really matter to the typical unemployed guy in the street if Wall Street is recovering?


One sided recovery in property investments
One sided recovery in property investments

Key to this recovery is the property investment business and what we also have is a one sided recovery going on there. The desperate need by the Government Inc to inflate real estate prices is causing yet another issue. And it is not exclusive to any one country. This is worldwide. In France, thanks to major tax incentives, the government Inc managed to squeeze a slight increase in new home sales. Ignoring the fact that this involves a repayment of almost 20% VAT to anyone buying a new home, the fact is that existing home sales have stopped almost completely. So there are literally millions of unsold properties sitting for sale, and the one sided recovery is benefiting the very few construction companies and creating a massive imbalance in the marketplace that means anyone already invested cannot sell their property.

The imbalance in the US is slightly different, but an imbalance nonetheless. The US banks are now the biggest property owners in the country and are sitting on millions of unsold foreclosures, with millions more foreclosures in the pipeline. So almost everyone with property is looking at a loss because these foreclosures will dominate the sales for the next 5-10 years and new builds are almost at a standstill – yet the Dow Jones rises on the news that Luxury home builders, Toll Brothers, only lost $472 million last quarter?

The so-called property investments I get offered in my email in box every day are sounding more and more desperate by the minute. There is something seriously wrong with this picture. Petty crime in France is going through the roof and a lot of it is to do with the widening gap between the haves and the have-nots.

The son of French President, Nicolas Sarkozy - at 23 years old – has just been nominated as prime candidate for the job of Chairman of EPAD, a quasi-government agency that oversees business development in La Defense, Paris’ premier financial district that handles billions of Euros of commercial investment – much of which comes from government sources – and my Taxe D’habitation (living tax) has just been doubled for this year.

“Let them eat cake,” is the phrase that comes to mind……..

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stvrich profile image

stvrich  says:
5 weeks ago

Funny you mention this, (or... NOT funny) but I spent the night looking at nasdaq just for the reasons you're mentioning. (and wrote a couple funny hubs while I was in between browsing stocks)

Hello, hello, profile image

Hello, hello,  says:
5 weeks ago

Thank you for your infomative hub.

Nancy's Niche profile image

Nancy's Niche  says:
5 weeks ago

Very informative and thanks for keeping us up on the real estate market.

GusTheRedneck profile image

GusTheRedneck  says:
5 weeks ago

Mark - Good info and fine perception. By the way, Sarkosy is now all bent out of shape because they put the kibosh on his kid. Gus

Carol the Writer profile image

Carol the Writer  says:
5 weeks ago

Yep, it's a pretty iffy recovery to me, too. - Carol

Quilligrapher profile image

Quilligrapher  says:
5 weeks ago

"Petty crime in France is going through the roof and a lot of it is to do with the widening gap between the haves and the have-nots."

It seems that there is always a correlation between rising crime levels and a declining economy. Thanks for your take on the real estate front.

Q.

jiberish profile image

jiberish  says:
5 weeks ago

I come here to learn, thanks. I do have a question about something thats been bugging me. House Hunters LLC, a subdivision of R-House is buying up houses left and right, I can't seem to find who could possibly have this kind of money. They advertise in 48 states, and I ran across them in the want ads where they are looking for recruits to tour neighborhoods and submit info on homes for sale. Kinda wierd. Just currious if you've seen it?

Carmen Borthwick profile image

Carmen Borthwick  says:
5 weeks ago

Good hub and good info for US buyers Mark. In Canada we seem to be recovering according to a hub Vancouver Realtor just wrote on a similar topic. I'd be interested in reading a reply to jiberish's question if you have one. It does sound strange. Off shore investors maybe?

Mark Knowles profile image

Mark Knowles  says:
5 weeks ago

I am not familiar with that company. But - I am a natural cynic and would hazard a guess they are targeting people in financial difficulty and offering a "solution".

As for a Canadian recovery - new builds are very, very low. Don't believe the hype. Pay cash - offer low. :)

Tom Cornett profile image

Tom Cornett  says:
5 weeks ago

The main property difference I've seen here in Ohio is that slum lords are replacing home owners. Empty homes are everywhere. Families are moving in with families. There is very little new construction except for government projects.

Mark Knowles profile image

Mark Knowles  says:
5 weeks ago

Tom - it is a mess regardless of what anyone tells you. Imbalanced is the best I can come up with. :(

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