A Triple Crown Winner in 2012 Politics?
Can one party win the Triple Crown of politics?
Can one party win control of The Senate, The House of Representatives, and The White House in 2012?
The last time that happened was in the 2008 Election which gave Democrats the Triple Crown with The White House, 55 Democrats for the majority in The Senate, and 256 seats for the majority in The House of Representatives.
In 2010, however, dissatisfaction with those numbers cut the Democrats’ numbers in the Senate to a narrow control with only 51 seats, and won Republicans the control of The House with 242 seats. The White House was not up for election in 2010.
If we start with the current balances, the Republicans would need to hold the numbers they have, or lose no more than 15 seats in The House, gain two more Senate seats , and win the White House.
The Democrats would have to gain 25 seats in The House of Representatives and lose no seats in The Senate to hold their control of The Senate, plus keep Obama in The White House.
What are the chances that the Republicans or The Democrats can do just that?
The key question may be “What influence will Romney and Obama have on the races for Congress? If they have to focus solely on their own races because the election is close right up to the day for voting, they won’t have much time for supporting congressional candidates.
In the meantime, the Democrats are concentrating on registering as many eligible Hispanic, minority, and young new voters as possible, hoping for their votes, while the Republicans are trying to make inroads in those three groups and maximizing their efforts to woo America’s independent voters they will need in every race.
If, on the other hand, the race seems settled in the next few months, a lot of Romney and Obama’s time can be devoted to supporting congressional candidates in the key races which can secure the outcome they need to be a Triple Crown Winner in 2012 politics.
As it stands now, six months before the actual voting, any Triple Crown Winner will probably win “by a nose.”
© 2012 Demas W. Jasper All rights reserved.
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