Arab conspiracies, world conspiracies!

Arab conspiracy theories continue as popular protests have engulfed the region starting from Morocco, Tunisia, Libya, Egypt, Bahrain, Yemen, Oman, Kuwait and United Arab Emirates. Even Saudi Arabia is having its share and Syria and Jordan have joined the "demonstrative' fray .

It's unprecedented, probably never happened in the history of the modern Middle East. For a long time, since at least the 1970s, 1980s and 1990s, and more recent in the last 10 years, the region laid dormant while revolutions and popular raisings peaked in different areas of the world.

This region was probably one of the most stable internationally, despite the "hot issue" of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict which was termed manageable and contained. But no more, its a roller-coaster of protests, from the west to the east of the region; literally everyone is up-in-arms with a distinct feeling that you "have to be with the crowds".

This is also why many especially in the region see the protests as the work of outside forces and cryptic external interventions, manipulating external forces for change. These forces are deliberately manipulating the bad mainly economic situations in Arab countries, and "gearing" people against their own governments, either for all removal or want drastic political reforms as is the case in Bahrain, Oman Jordan and now Syria.

Yemeni President Ali Abdallah Saleh who has been facing constant protests for his removal since last February not only used the same argument, but went a step further. He told a gathering of loyal supporters, it is Israel and the United States clamoring for his removal through supporting the daily street protestors in the different cities of the country. The Americans didn't blinker, they knew this was for public consumption though they didn't like it one bit. However, because of the mass demos on the streets, that began in January 2011, he at last to stand down after 10 months.

But Why would the United States want to remove Mr Saleh is anybody's guess especially since he had long become a pro-American loyalist fighting Washington's war against Al Qaeda. Why wouldn't Israel want the Yemeni President is also is a guess up for grabs. But this was words and politics being played out.

Conspiracies and conspiratorial thinking has continued to gain greater grounds especially as protests marooned Arab cities, and in countries where protests have never been heard of like Oman or the UAE. Most of the protests are happening in the backyards of regimes that are staunchly pro-West and pro-American. No body is saying who is the mysterious shadow is, but what is complicating the reading as well, protests--take Syria for instance which has flaired up-are taking place in posts that are not pro but anti-American.

But if it is the Americans who are behind it, as if they had nothing better to do in the world, why would they want to create instability for instance in Bahrain, the home of her fifth fleet for the whole of the Gulf, for instance. Why jeopardize a regime by supporting Shiite protestors who in all probability might become strongly pro-Iranian once it gained the kind of reforms it wants in that tiny kingdom. There are already saber-ratlling whimperings for Iran warning the Bahraini regimes to lay off their Shia citizens or else!

It doesn't add up especially since America still doesn't believe in rocking the boat in countries like Kuwait, Oman, United Arab Emirates which are regarded as pillars of western alliances. America saved Kuwait from Saddam! If these regimes leave, American foreign policy would deffinitly be in tatters.

But the general undercurrent persists that there are outside forces who want to create an unstable situation in the region for their own ends. We are not told by whom, why and who are the culprits are, but finger-pointing is I am affraid the Americans who tried to talk about the emergence of a new Middle East after, they got rid of Saddam Hussain in 2003. Their general view was that greater democracy must be introduced in the region, but it was stopped at that, save for the 'enlighted' programs and workshops introduced in the region; plus Arab regimes continued as they were.

Now it can be argued that the culprit lie again in the shadows. It could well be the Americans, but also the Europeans, Russians or even Chinese, or maybe it’s the Japanese or Koreans, Indians and Pakistanis! The situation is unnerving as one touble spot seems to follow another.

Even the people who had longed for change in the regime systems in the Arab world are now questioning their comprehension. Is It becoming fashionable to protests, demonstrating en masse in the Arab world, but this can't be, they have never done it before, not on this scale as in the millions in Tunisia and Egypt openly calling for the removal of their regimes. No, this must be wrong, something, somebody, someone is pushing from outside.

What foreign power or force can sustain an 18-day uprising in Egypt is impossible to predict or we are not told lest we spill the secret beans. From a strategic point of view America had lost a great ally with the removal of Husni Mubarak from power. The West lost an important friend in Zein Al Abedine Ben Ali.

In the end it is the will of the people. Why can't people, Arabs in the region accept that point of view is a source of worry that tells much of the Arab conspiratorial mentalities. Why can't the popular protests happening in the Arab world be accepted at face value that people have become sick of unrepresentative, dictatorial, repressive governments and regimes and of rulers who far outstayed their welcome.

We in the Arab world need to change our way of thinking and perspectives. We need to realize the changes happening in society, in economy, and even politics as a result of development, underdevelopment, globalization and powerful international alliances.

We need to accept the internet, the new dynamic youth culture of young people demanding new rights and more positive expectations from their governments, and that the new struggles are no longer along the classical class lines of rich and poor but much more delineated and overlapping.

We need to accept rulers like Colonel Moammar Gadaffi, who has been in power for 40 years, has to stop and end. We need to get used to the fact that fixed presidential chairs are not there forever, and not fear the change itself because there is a grand design on the Arab world, and we must show a united stance and pull down the shutters.

Conspiratorial theories in the Arab world are being challenged by other world conspiracies from the West with one saying what makes the Arab masses rise has to do with the Russian KGB, the old remnants of which are doing the biddings for the removal of Arab regimes.

This is a good one indeed, for Russia has long lost its glory, and the KGB is definitely a minuscule of its former self. It would be good to stop thinking conspiratorially and a little bit rationally—scientific reason.

But still there is an unnerving shadow, manipulating events for an ultimate aim is to create chaos and further instability in the region


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Comments 11 comments

Rasheed Roussan 5 years ago

The key player here is the economy. Egypt still offers gas to Israel, receives wheat alms from the US and its military machine is still wired to US and Israeli plocies in the region. The fact is whether or not these dictators go is not really a conern of the West as long as corporate interests are fulfilled. The corporate dictatorships of the West still breathe beneath the debris of toppled regimes in the region. The journey for freedom, however, has started.


marwan asmar profile image

marwan asmar 5 years ago from Amman, Jordan Author

Rashid the West do care after all these dictatorships are supported by them like in Egypt under Mubarak--Here we are still to see if everything remains honky dory. If the status quo is upset in the region then it messes things up for western countries and they need to start again. That's why the USA decided to jump on the bandwagon, in favor of the Egyptian Revolution when it was in full swing, so they could appear to stand with the people and there wouldn't be too much rocking of the boat and traditional alliances remain.


amillar profile image

amillar 5 years ago from Scotland, UK

This seems a clear and balanced view to me - and well written.

Up and useful.


marwan asmar profile image

marwan asmar 5 years ago from Amman, Jordan Author

Cheers amillar, although with the continuing demonstrations, I am begining I am afraid, to join the 'collective view' and think someone out there, is out to get us! Conspiracies are catching, they can become viral...........


gg.zaino profile image

gg.zaino 5 years ago from L'America

Marwan- thank you for the insight into the land of your fathers.

it is a dilemma - the world watches and waits- i cringe at the larger picture. Hatred and treachery are unacceptable in any culture-

this universe in which we are a part of and connected to, wonders at the comedy of Humankind- we are pitiable at best for the most part.

every now and again we humans accomplish so much- we are the chisel of sculptors- the paintbrush of artisans... not the daggers of conspiracy, the roadside bombs of sensationalism or the lovers of ignorance and manipulation.

It will sort itself out for ill or the better- no need to fret over what is in the grand design of the cosmos.

peace my friend.

greg

Many times a dog about to die will bite and snarl- when something ends - something else takes a new beginning.


sligobay profile image

sligobay 5 years ago from east of the equator

This is an excellent article which poses a question that resists an answer. Many have an interest in instability but few have the resources to orchestrate the broad social upheavel.

My own suspicion falls into the "divide and conquer" strategem. The Sunni-Shiite dichotomy is the flame that is being fanned. Moslem unity is being assaulted. Let freedom ring in the hearts and minds of the young. A house divided against itself cannot stand. The benificiary of chaos is Israel. The Israelis' secret service may be complicit. War is the hope and prayer of the military industrial complex.


marwan asmar profile image

marwan asmar 5 years ago from Amman, Jordan Author

Actually a lot of people say Israel has a hand in all this.


sligobay profile image

sligobay 5 years ago from east of the equator

There are many who say that the Mossad had a hand in 9-11.


marwan asmar profile image

marwan asmar 5 years ago from Amman, Jordan Author

Yes, I agree


sligobay profile image

sligobay 5 years ago from east of the equator

Why has Israel never officially declared itself to be a nuclear power though the fact is common knowledge? Would that subject their facilities to world scrutiny and inspection? Are they a signatory to the nuclear nonproliferation treaty? I wonder.


marwan asmar profile image

marwan asmar 5 years ago from Amman, Jordan Author

Dear....

Thanks for your interest. Back in 2003 I wrote a piece on the issue, Maybe you'd like to read:

http://gulfnews.com/news/gulf/uae/general/is-iran-...

Is Iran a major threat?

By Dr Marwan Asmar

Published: 00:00 July 28, 2003

.Many people in the Middle East wonder about the fuss over Iran's nuclear programme, which is for peaceful purposes, when it is known Israel is a major nuclear power. As party to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, NPT, Iran signed in 1968 when the NPT came into existence, Iran has repeatedly stated said it is compelled to develop a nuclear programme for peaceful purposes only.

It is Israel that introduced nuclear weapons into the Middle East. As early as 1948, it began scientific research with the help of France to acquire a nuclear capability. With a suggested capability of between 200 and 400 thermonuclear and nuclear weapons, Israel today stands as one of the leading nuclear powers in terms of an offensive military arsenal.

Israel has always been highly secretive about its nuclear weapons. In fact, the first to blow the whistle on Israel's nuclear industry was Mordechi Vannu who was subsequently abducted from Rome by Mossad agents, illegally brought back to Israel and jailed in 1987 for 17 years for revealing pictures of the Dimona reactor in Israel, and remains there today.

However, Israel's nuclear weapons have always been an open secret. This ambiguity stands as the essence of Israel's nuclear policy. Israeli officials are bound not to reveal or acknowledge anything about its nuclear activity, even if they and the world know otherwise.

Indeed, a report by the eminent Federation of American Scientists suggested in 2001 that Israel had enough plutonium for 200 nuclear weapons. The report stated the number was based on new satellite photographs.

Israel's nuclear programme started in 1965 when the Dimona reactor became fully operational. While figures vary from one study to another, a detailed report by Warner D. Farr of the U.S. army, documents the history of Israel's nuclear bomb-making. He reports that by 1967, Israel had at least two bombs and certainly could have had more.

Avner Cohen, an Israeli writer and expert on the Israeli nuclear bomb who has written a book on the subject and now lives in the U.S., also suggests Israel had a "deliverable nuclear capability in the 1967 war". In an appendix at the end of his report, Farr provides a chronology of dates suggesting the upward swing of Israel's nuclear arsenal.

Based on documentary evidence, he says in 1976, Israel had between 10 and 20 nuclear weapons, increasing to 200 bombs in 1980. A lesser figure of 100 was suggested in 1985 and a number of 200 was put out in 1992. However, in 1997, it was suggested Israel had 400 deliverable thermonuclear and nuclear weapons.

Israeli policy-makers say the nuclear bomb was a matter of survival for Israel, being encircled by what it perceives as hostile Arab states. Such a view was held even in the era of the peace process in the 1990s and more so today.

However, many Arab states reject this and have repeatedly called for a check on the arms race in the Middle East as a way to prevent proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.

Israel appears to see any move on the nuclear front, even if it's for peaceful means such as generating electricity, as a threat to its security and had previously gone to great lengths to maintain itself as the sole power in the region with a nuclear capability. Its bombing of the Osiraq reactor in Iraq in 1981 suggested that it is ready to maintain a nuclear monopoly through the use of force.

And what is being played out today in international circles by Israeli politicians shows their offensive posture could be happen again against Iran if Tehran does not accept more on-the-spot inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency.

This is a view demanded by the U.S., Europe and Israel which openly says Iran is using the NPT to develop its own nuclear weapons.

This is because, under NPT rules, nuclear material can be imported into the country for peaceful purposes like electricity generation. However, the U.S. is pressing Iran to sign an additional protocol or addendum to the NPT which will allow the IAEA to make unnannouced, on-the-spot inspections, which are deemed to be more searching than the regular inspections.

So far, Iran has refused, deeming the present agreement adequate, thus causing them additional pressure from the West and Israel.

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