Concerns For The Trump Campaign
Diluting the votes
leaves Trump in the lead for now.
"Don't quit....right away!"
The party voting is underway!
Three Current Concerns
With Iowa and New Hampshire settled, with Nevada, South Carolina, and Super Tuesday all in less than three weeks, what is front runner Trump's campaign trying to handle? Why is doing so important?
It's a long journey to Cleveland, Ohio and the Republican Convention in mid-July. So far the Trump Campaign has not only survived the Iowa Caucuses and the New Hampshire Primary, but has exceeded all expectations with ongoing momentum.
With roughly one third of Republican and Independent voters casting their New Hampshire votes for Mr. Trump, his Trump Campaign can clearly see that a majority of the New Hampshire votes went to his opposing candidates.
The key to getting to Cleveland at the head of the pack and winning the Republican nomination is a careful balancing of keeping his current momentum going, while not terminally alienating voters who presently favor one of the other Republican candidates.
Brashness coupled with careless abandon for the sake of free publicity is one thing. Alienating voters you are going to need later on is a losing strategy that requires a course correction.
Presently that opposing majority of "someone other than Trump" voters are spread out over the remaining number of candidates following Carly Fiorina's withdrawal from the 2016 race.
That works to Trump's advantage while he remains controversial.
The current concern for the Trump Campaign is to somehow keep the field of candidates from shrinking too far, while at the same time picking up a major share of those voters who presently prefer one of the other candidates.
That will involve choosing which opposing candidates are strong contenders and which opposing candidates can be given some slack going into the three weeks since New Hampshire and including Nevada, South Carolina, and the voting on Super Tuesday.
Expect the Trump Campaign's energy to focus on Governor Kasich, Senator Cruz, and Senator Rubio. Governor Christie becomes the new wild card, while the Trump Campaign will want to ease off on Governor Bush who has become a wounded duck still fluttering in the water.
The Trump Campaign needs to somehow preserve enough Senator Rubio supporters to block Governor Bush;s possible resurgence when the more distant (3/10/2016) GOP debate in Miami, Florida on NBC follows this Saturday's South Carolina GOP debate hosted by CBS, and the debates in Houston, Texas (2/25/2016) and Detroit, Michigan on March 3, 2016.
Then the remaining GOP candidates can one by one fall by the wayside and the GOP Convention in Cleveland can take place with an eye toward who can best insure a victory over The Democrats' nominee and wealthy Mayor Michael Bloomberg who seems likely to run as an independent candidate, if Senator Bernie Sanders is the standard bearer for the Democrats.
There are still 48 states to go!
© 2016 Demas W. Jasper All rights reserved.
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