Concerns For The Trump Campaign

Trumping 2016

Diluting the votes

leaves Trump in the lead for now.

"Don't quit....right away!"

The party voting is underway!


Three Current Concerns

With Iowa and New Hampshire settled, with Nevada, South Carolina, and Super Tuesday all in less than three weeks, what is front runner Trump's campaign trying to handle? Why is doing so important?

It's a long journey to Cleveland, Ohio and the Republican Convention in mid-July. So far the Trump Campaign has not only survived the Iowa Caucuses and the New Hampshire Primary, but has exceeded all expectations with ongoing momentum.

With roughly one third of Republican and Independent voters casting their New Hampshire votes for Mr. Trump, his Trump Campaign can clearly see that a majority of the New Hampshire votes went to his opposing candidates.

The key to getting to Cleveland at the head of the pack and winning the Republican nomination is a careful balancing of keeping his current momentum going, while not terminally alienating voters who presently favor one of the other Republican candidates.

Brashness coupled with careless abandon for the sake of free publicity is one thing. Alienating voters you are going to need later on is a losing strategy that requires a course correction.

Presently that opposing majority of "someone other than Trump" voters are spread out over the remaining number of candidates following Carly Fiorina's withdrawal from the 2016 race.

That works to Trump's advantage while he remains controversial.

The current concern for the Trump Campaign is to somehow keep the field of candidates from shrinking too far, while at the same time picking up a major share of those voters who presently prefer one of the other candidates.

That will involve choosing which opposing candidates are strong contenders and which opposing candidates can be given some slack going into the three weeks since New Hampshire and including Nevada, South Carolina, and the voting on Super Tuesday.

Expect the Trump Campaign's energy to focus on Governor Kasich, Senator Cruz, and Senator Rubio. Governor Christie becomes the new wild card, while the Trump Campaign will want to ease off on Governor Bush who has become a wounded duck still fluttering in the water.

The Trump Campaign needs to somehow preserve enough Senator Rubio supporters to block Governor Bush;s possible resurgence when the more distant (3/10/2016) GOP debate in Miami, Florida on NBC follows this Saturday's South Carolina GOP debate hosted by CBS, and the debates in Houston, Texas (2/25/2016) and Detroit, Michigan on March 3, 2016.

Then the remaining GOP candidates can one by one fall by the wayside and the GOP Convention in Cleveland can take place with an eye toward who can best insure a victory over The Democrats' nominee and wealthy Mayor Michael Bloomberg who seems likely to run as an independent candidate, if Senator Bernie Sanders is the standard bearer for the Democrats.

There are still 48 states to go!



© 2016 Demas W. Jasper All rights reserved.

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Comments 13 comments

shanmarie profile image

shanmarie 12 months ago from Texas

I've never liked politics much. Most of them are not even diplomatic nor do they try to be. They are not about winning for the good of the people, but rather about furthering their own careers for the sake of themselves. As I get older, however, it seems like the elections become more and more interesting each time they roll around. Wh0 would have thought Trump of all people would actually stand a chance?

Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 12 months ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

shanmarie - Sanders is up against a stacked deck. The "dedicated" delegates (members of Congress, state legislators, etc.) who automatically get to vote at the Democrat Convention without having to be there because of popular caucuses or votes in the states' primaries. Character should always count for more than political experience. As to past election cycles, you can't be faulted for your negative impressions.

Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 12 months ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

Now the buzz is that Governor Christie is also quitting the race due to his 7th place finish in New Hampshire's voting. Of the initial 17 candidates field, that will leave seven with Doctor Carson the next most likely to withdraw.

It was interesting that President Carter has publicly stated that he finds Donald Trump more acceptable than Senator Cruz because Carter sees Trump as "more malleable" thnt Cruz, anticipating that Trump will soften some of his rhetoric and embrace better policies as he goes along in the 2016 campaign, whereas Carter feels Cruz is less flexible and will stick to Cruz' current outlook and intentions.

bradmasterOCcal profile image

bradmasterOCcal 12 months ago from Orange County California

I just don't know why we should care about the plans of the candidates. Can't we just let them do their thing, and then make decisions on their actions?

Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 12 months ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

bradmasterOCcal - To each his own for Freedom of Speech is also freedom not to listen and/or freedom not to write or read, though reading and writing are fundamental to a strong republic. I'm glad you stopped by and commented.

RJ Schwartz profile image

RJ Schwartz 12 months ago from Idaho Falls, Idaho

Christie is out

bradmasterOCcal profile image

bradmasterOCcal 12 months ago from Orange County California


The US is not a strong Republic, and it doesn't really quality for the words, "United", "Democracy", or "Republic" except on the most technical terms.

I suggest that freedom of speech as you mentioned is probably the most important reason for the continued decline of the US.

The people are less informed and more likely to be manipulated by reading and listening to the TV, Media and other expressions of the 1st Amendment.


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 12 months ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

Today's AP article outlined Governor Kasich's plan to obtain the Republican nomination. You may want to check his plan to know how to interpret his efforts going forward as to whether or not he is "on schedule."

Dr. Ben Carson is slated to be the next to announce....something.

Rush Limbaugh is backing Ted Cruz as being Reaganesque.

Meanwhile the Trump Campaign chugs on craftily. Senator Rubio hangs on by his teeth. Jeb Bush's campaign seems in keeping with Ash Wednesday, while Senator Sanders gears up for the his next challenge to Mrs. Clinton in tonight's debate from Milwaukee. She scrambles for the endorsements she hopes will stem Sanders' tide before Nevada's caucuses, South Carolina's votes, and Saturday's next Republican debate by whoever is left on stage.

Ken Burgess profile image

Ken Burgess 12 months ago from Florida

I like Trump more and more, first he seemed bombastic and in it for some publicity. But it has become clear to me he is pretty smart, in addition to being bombastic, straight forward and un-apologetic for being un-PC.

While no one was really paying attention to the race, he was out there making wild and belligerent statements, that got him a lot of free publicity. Now that the real race is on, and the votes are being cast, he is being more positive in his speeches and interviews, he is refraining from saying anything too outlandish, and he isn't attacking other Reps so much as he is staying on point with his message(s).

Trump is more experienced than half the politicians in the race now, based off his life's worth of successes and failures and national and international business dealings. Cruz is a typical politician, Rubio is an inexperienced politician, and Clinton is the ultimate evil embodiment of all that is wrong with Washington and politics.

Trump is fast becoming my preferred candidate, if for no other reason than more of the same old politics and Washington insiders will only get us more of the same declining of American jobs, wages, national power, etc. at least with Trump, there is hope that a new, outside perspective and approach might do this country some good.

Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 12 months ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

If this has interested you, and if you watched Saturday night's debate from South Carolina, please comment on my question about the debate and what you took away from it as to winners (if any) and losers.

Ken Burgess profile image

Ken Burgess 12 months ago from Florida

@ Perspy

In regards to the SC debate, Trump stepped in it, instead of pulling himself away from the pack, he sunk to lows that weren't necessary, he didn't have to attack Bush for 9/11...

If anything, he set up Rubio time and again to make the best comments of the night countering his statements. Rubio was able to undo the damage from NH ... and yet he hasn't, because he still seems weak, and more inexperienced than he did before NH.

Bottom line is it seems more uncertain than ever... Rubio, Cruz and Trump I will pay more attention to... Bush would never get my vote, he is part of the establishment that has allowed so much to go wrong, that his brother never fought to stop or reverse, and Jeb is just as weak of a 'yes man' as his brother... he's a more liberal version.

aviannovice profile image

aviannovice 12 months ago from Stillwater, OK

I'm really not that political and there are certain issues that I care for (climate and animal related, of course). All we can do is see what happens.

Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 12 months ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

Dear Ken and Deb - If we are all still around in November, we will surely see what our nation faces and who is supposed to lead our attack on the nation's problems and challenges here and abroad. It's not a foreign idea to pray for the best possible outcome.

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