Election 2012 - Are We Looking At A Sweep?

Can the Democrats pull off a Sweep in Election 2012?

What will it take for the Democrats to pull of a Sweep in November 2012?
What will it take for the Democrats to pull of a Sweep in November 2012? | Source

This is what it looks like to me:

The theme of Candidate Obama's anti-Romney ads until now (35 days before the November 6 voting) has been to link Romney with three things: (1) George W. Bush, (2) a stone walling Republican Party, and (3) America's "fat cats" including the banks and investment sharks.

The theme the Democrats adopted at their convention was: "given the 'Bush mess,' an uncooperative Republican Party, and their philosophy of 'more for those who already make the most,' no president, including Candidate Obama could have solved America's problems he inherited (in just four years) give him 'Four More Years!'" (end of quotes.)

Their tactic is to hammer home (1) the past (prior to 2009), (2) the claim that Romney is tied to failed policies from the past, and (3) given a choice, the only candidate for president who is looking 'Forward' is their candidate.

How well is that selling?

Certainly we won't know for sure until the votes are all counted, but we might know as soon as the polling places on the east coast have closed.

Will the debates have made a difference? The Republicans surely hope so, and the Democrats are sure they won't. They like to portray them as "Romney's last chance" to diminish expectations, even if Romney does very well, or anything less than very well.

Stop and try to think as clearly about what the Romney Campaign's tactics have been.

Can you express them in as few words and phrases as the tactics the Democrats are using? The major failing I sense in the Romney campaign is that it is not telling you great reasons for why you should vote for Romney, but the negative of that, namely why you should not vote for Obama.

I suspect you cannot glean the repetitive themes that should be making Romney's case, and that is what raises the possibility that the Democrats can "sweep" Election 2012.

Election 2012 could turn out to be the equivalent of a mid-term election in favor of the Democrats, if voters make the connections the Democrats hope they will make.

Does anyone want a deadlocked congress? Certainly not.

Does anyone want to go back to policies which got us into the deepest recession since the Depression? Certainly not, even though those were not so much bad policies as a failure of Congressional oversight

Does anyone really want to jump from a candidate they already know, to a candidate so many are still confused about?

We will see that answer sometime, probably early, on November 6, 2012.

My guess? I can see the possibility of a "sweep" by the Democrats, riding on the coattails of Candidate Obama. I will, however, be voting for a new face, a new leader, and new policies in the White House, and Congress, even if that means we all have to sacrifice to dig ourselves out of the hole the current administration has dug for us.

_______

© 2012 Demas W. Jasper All rights reserved.

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Comments 24 comments

sportsfather profile image

sportsfather 4 years ago

After the last week or two, it seems that the race for the White House is leaning more towards President Obama's re-election. Plus, the stock market has picked up a huge head of steam and there isn't really any pending market adjustment that most analysts forsee between now and election day. And you better believe the presidents campaign staff will be churning out those January 2009 - October 2012 performance numbers between now and election day.

Romney's hope is that he nails the debates. He is a strong debator and the White House Press Secretary has even said so. The debates are all about managing expectations though and it's no wonder the White House is setting Romney up for high expectations at the debates. That way if he comes away looking okay, but not great, it's a win for the president.

I have no idea how Congress will turn out. There are so many seats in play that the margin of error looks like my 30 year retirement projections right now.


carol7777 profile image

carol7777 4 years ago from Arizona

Who knows what will happen. But your analysis seems pretty accurate. It is easy to make excuses for behavior and not have to plan ahead. People are often comfortable with what is after all for many nothing terrible has happened except rising prices...well at least they won't admit anything has happened.


Attikos profile image

Attikos 4 years ago from East Cackalacky

It may be you're right, Perspycacious. In order to stay in control themselves, the retardican party's professional insiders threw elections to the demwits by ramming Dole and McCain down the gagging throats of the conservatives and libertarians who make up the base of the right in America. It's starting to look as if they've done it a third time.

Romney is looking tired and desperate. Obama is beginning to talk a bit less about himself (that isn't saying much where he's concerned, of course, but it's noticeable) and a bit more meant to help fellow demwits running for congress. The retardicans' pundits have begun attacking critics in their own camp, the demwits' to crow about the destruction of the right and a new era of progressive domination. None of that would be happening were the internal polling in both parties not showing a hard turn against Romney and his party's other candidates. It's not yet showing up sharply in the public polls, but it may in the next week or two.

If it turns out the retardicans blow this election, in a year Daffy Duck would beat the incumbent president with an armchair campaign, they should hang it up, disband the party and start over. I suspect that may be exactly the conclusion those conservatives and libertarians out in the hustings come to as well.


cleaner3 profile image

cleaner3 4 years ago from Pueblo, Colorado

The media is so biased that not even a rational peson like you Persy could believe the propaganda they put out. they have sold their soul to the leftist liberals and many people who think that this election is over are in for a big suprise .. Remeber Wisconsin, the media kept saying that it would be a close contest and the "union state slate got destroyed." The American public should be more afraid of how the media spins everything for the president and attacks Romney at every turn. This could lead to dictatorial leadership for obama in a second term .. We are headed down that that road.

When even Perspy starts to believe the left wing propa ganda , it's time for me to reading his hubs .. Sorry!


nanderson500 profile image

nanderson500 4 years ago from Seattle, WA

Things definitely seem to be going Obama's way at the moment. Romney is a weak candidate who has run a weak campaign. It takes more than that to beat any incumbent president. But yeah the debates will be interesting. I think Romney would have to do REALLY well in them to make a difference though. Kerry destroyed Bush in the debates and still lost.


Chad Thiele profile image

Chad Thiele 4 years ago from Hudson, Wisconsin

Interesting hub.

You state, "Does anyone want a deadlocked congress? Certainly not."

However, as I pointed out in my hub, titled, "Why I Hope That Democrats and Republicans Do Well in November," I actually think it is in the best interest of the country for the Democrats to control either the Executive Branch or at least one of the two chambers of the Legislative Branch, but not to have control over all three (President, House of Representatives and Senate.)

Sometimes, a deadlock is in the best interest if the policies go to far too the right or the left. Compromise is good. If both sides can't compromise, then it might be better if nothing gets done until we get leaders who can. In other words, everyone's opinion needs to be represented in the government.

Just a thought.


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 4 years ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

cleaner3: The Romney campaign should be in turmoil. Blame the media all you want, and certainly there are distorting ads on both sides. The fault I find is not with Romney, but with his campaign. The funds raised have been reasonably even, but the drum beat of the Dems has been consistent and on point. Except for a claim (right or not) that this country cannot stand another four years of Obama-style leadership, I cannot identify the Romney campaign theme. Where is that mantra. Tell me what quality plan they have laid out as to why Romney is the man. You don't need to convince me. I believe he is the better choice. What is his campaign doing to press home the point and get him elected? We need to see his vision. where is it showing up?


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 4 years ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

Chad Thiele: I was taught that, if you ask enough people "What time is it?" you will get the right time (as the median time) within 30 seconds of the actual correct time. On that basis, the right man for the Oval Office should be the winner in November, but I have my doubts. You are correct that we don't want an all-powerful landslide. While steamrollers make smooth roads, it is leadership which defines where the road is supposed to go, and see to it that it does, if it is good leadership. When one party controls the elective branches, they have also been known to pack the Supreme Court, and then we have problems that endure.


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 4 years ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

nanderson500: What will it take, with 41 days left to go, to cause Blue States to become Swing States? Short of that happening, the numbers are already enough to cause an Obama win. Bring on the debates (all four of them, which icludes the Minority Debate that both candidates have agreed to. Deal with the issues, or expect too many voters to vote based on charisma and not substance.


prospectboy profile image

prospectboy 4 years ago from Texas

Interesting write up. I personally just think that Romney is a weak candidate. Like you mentioned, he hasn't provided any significant reasons why voters should give him a shot. He is still unknown to many Americans, and the feeling is that people don't trust him too much. He is really going to have to do well in the debates to have a shot at winning. He still has time to sway people's minds, but he needs to provide more substance. Again, great article. Voted up, interesting, and shared.


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 4 years ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

prospectboy: Thanks for sharing and for seconding the notion that "significant reasons why voters should give him a shot" are important, if Romney is to gain ground and be elected. In the absence of that, the numbers keep piling up in favor of the known versus the less known.


sportsfather profile image

sportsfather 4 years ago

I personally think Romney was doomed for two reasons.

#1 He's rich. A rich candidate running for the presidency during the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression has the deck stacked against him from the get-go. Personally, I could care less how much money a candidate has and how much money he made as a businessman. If he did so within the scope of the law and was successful at it, then good for him. But unfortunately for him, a large portion of voters in this country are not too fond of someone who makes 8 figures a year.

#2 He really hasn't been able to run on his record as Governer of Massechusetts. Mainly because he was more of a moderate than the party base would prefer. And he can't win this election without the parties base. Turns out, the parties base still ate him alive. As a moderate Republican, that tends to be my biggest peave about the party. The far right has WAYYYY too much power.


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 4 years ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

sportsfather: I smiled over your line that assets " a large portion of voters in this country are not too fond of someone who makes 8 figures a year.' (Incidentally a fire purposely fanned by the Democrats in every election in my lifetime.) My immediate thought was about actors and athletes! That aside, what he has done with his income and with the freedoms it provides for him says a lot about the man and his values. His record in Massachusetts does have some liberal elements (such as his crackdown on corporate tax loopholes) and those are to Romney's credit His record there on women's representation at decision levels is admirable and probably indicates that that approach would be followed, if he becomes the nation's chief executive. Pulling his party, if he has or can, more toward the mainstream is long, long overdue, and also commendable. Is all of this good for the USA, I think so. Is he a worthy opponent? Yes. Could a different conduct of the Romney comapign have presented him more clearly to those who will vote this year? Definitely. Can all of this make a difference in the next 41 days? Time and the voters will tell.


ImKarn23 profile image

ImKarn23 4 years ago

Sweep - i couldn't agree more! I've already written a hub called 'president obama - may i be the first to congratulate you on your second term in office'

i predicted a landslide months ago - during the primaries in fact..

the only thing that's changed is that i'm even more confident with every passing day!

Well done!


SommerDalton profile image

SommerDalton 4 years ago

Voted up and more! I think your right on with that prediction!


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 4 years ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

ImKarn23: What stands in the way of a "Sweep" is the dominance of Republican sentiment in the growing number of "Red States". At last count, before any of the "Swing States" tilted solidly one way or the other, and when all we could say about other states was that they were "Leaning States," Romney had 21 and Obama had 13. The contest then is for control of the Senate where each state gets 2 senators. Even with coattails, if they turn out to be strong, the races for control of the Senate will be close.

SommerDalton: Voters may need to keep in mind that a "Sweep" of all three branches, with 3 or 4 Supreme Court justices aging toward retirement, could mean Obama could pack the court, in effect giving a single party control of all three branches of government...and that is something to be rightly concerned about allowing to happen.


Shenonymous 4 years ago

Highly likely the Democrats will sweep the filthy Republicans out...of everything!


cleaner3 profile image

cleaner3 4 years ago from Pueblo, Colorado

Perspy, these are your words.....what he has done with his income and with the freedoms it provides for him says a lot about the man and his values. His record in Massachusetts does have some liberal elements (such as his crackdown on corporate tax loopholes) and those are to Romney's credit His record there on women's representation at decision levels is admirable and probably indicates that that approach would be followed, if he becomes the nation's chief executive. Now you tell me that he has to make it clearer than that . you been drinking the Lefty Koolaid my friend

Sportsfather says out of one side of his mouth that he has nothing against the rich, then out of the other side of his mouth insinuates Romney got his money in a crooked way .. A wolf in sheeps clothing is still a wolf.


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 4 years ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

Shenonymous: Americaqns of any party who vote their consciences are not anyone I would want to call "filthy." Vote your conscience, and others may vote theirs, sweep or no sweep; we are all in this together, though historically "dirty politics" is not the exclusive record of either party. Let's hope historians will be able to see this election as one of the cleaner ones.


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 4 years ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

There are pundits on either side predicting "a sweep." Is it that close that only the Independents could make a sweep? The Caesar's Palance odds maker makes a good case for a Romney/Ryan sweep, and the Electoral College votes had looked to be stacking up for Obama. But the 1st Debate showed such a lack luster Obama that it had people thinking "Wait a minute now!" Will the VP debate seal the deal, or leave it all up in the air and for grabs?


cleaner 3 4 years ago

the game has changed , the liberals are on the run , but a desperate dog is a dangerous dog . watch out for the october surprise . obama is scared now . when a dictator is about to lose power the losers are the rights of the people .


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 4 years ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

cleaner 3: Following the 1st Debate, there is now a rush for Obama supporters to "vote now!"....so voters "won't have to stand in line on November 6, 2012." I think that more than that "convenience," "the bus for voting early is right outsidee" because of concern about the change in the numbers, the slippage. Why take a chance on another poor debate performance, if you can get your present supporters to vote early before they have a change of heart?


cleaner3 profile image

cleaner3 4 years ago from Pueblo, Colorado

good point about voting early..! i am just worried that the closer it gets to the election and obama knows he will lose these radicals on the left will cry foul and might even do something radical .. it is a dangerous time my friend .


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 4 years ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

October of an election year. The time of October Surprises. You are right to feel concerned, and my whole point for why the Electoral College is not outdated, for it is the only safeguard against a bogus attempt to manipulate the election, especially if the candidate himself is not directly involved but a surrogate or surrogate group is. We can't impeach a winner who was not directly involved, but the Electoral College can still vote a correction to a wrongly influenced outcome.

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