ArtsAutosBooksBusinessEducationEntertainmentFamilyFashionFoodGamesGenderHealthHolidaysHomeHubPagesPersonal FinancePetsPoliticsReligionSportsTechnologyTravel

Election 2012: It's the numbers, Governor Romney.

Updated on February 12, 2016

Figures are inert, they don't lie. But liars sure can figure out how to distort them!

Is it already too late for a Romney Victory Ball?
Is it already too late for a Romney Victory Ball? | Source

Pundits have been wrong, but not lately.


Like two lions roaring at each other over the remaining scraps.

That is how the candidates look as they each prepare for the only thing that really counts, the mood and votes of the voters on November 6, 2012..

As it stands now, the conventions have taken place, and the three TV "debates" which start on October 3rd will put the final nail in one candidate's hopes to be president in January 2013.

The conventions, the negative ads, the debates, and the country's crises will, however, affect the politics of the next four years primarily because they will affect the influence the races for the Senate and the House of Representatives can have on America's future.

Is the race for the presidency really over?

Polling, which becomes more mathematically compelling with each election (provided that the sampling and the questions are not skewed, indicates that it might be. The debate over electoral votes vs. popular votes seems muted at this point.

The current polling says that President Obama "has a lock" on 13 states and Governor Romney has a similar lock on 21 states. That disparity, however, does not seem to be in favor of Governor Romney, yet.

One of the "solid for Obama" states is California, and several other "giants in the Electoral College balloting" which polling currently suggests are presently "solid for Obama" include Illinois, New York, Michigan, and New Jersey.

Those "solid for Obama" states account for this part of the U. S. population:


Estimated Populations (Top 5 of Obama)

37,691,900 California

19,465,200 New York

12,869,300 Illinois

9,876,200 Michigan

8,821,200 New Jersey


The "solid for Romney" states have populations with these numbers:


Estimated Populations (Top 5 of Romney)

25,674,700 Texas

9,815,200 Georgia

6,830,038 Washington

6,403,353 Tennessee

4,802,740 Alabama


The states for which the struggle continues are these:


Estimated Populations Both Candidates Are Courting

2,723,300 Nevada

5,116,800 Colorado

3,062,300 Iowa

8,096,600 Virginia

9,656,400 North Carolina

19,057,500 Florida

12,742,900 Pennsylvania

11,545,000 Ohio


Americans will speak at their ballot boxes on November 6, 2012. Between now and then the fundraisers will continue, the lions will continue to roar, the staffs will be paid, and the polling by both sides and some truly independent, professional pollers, will continue. The conventions have been held with all their hoopla, some TV debates will be aired, and the spin doctors will try to tell Americans what they should have seen and heard for themselves.

It's all in the numbers, Governor Romney and Candidate Obama.

Could there be an upset, and Governor Romney win? It might seem an upset at this point, and that will seem to some to be unlikely. Besides the "solids" and the "leanings" and even with some states still in doubt, the writing on the wall is becoming clearer as the campaigning days dwindle down to their precious few.

What remains to be done?

The record low ratings for Congress' performance should mean a flood of new faces being sworn in after the congressional races are decided. Incumbent name recognition and fundraising ability will, however, mean we are more likely to see more of the same faces, same arguments, and same stalemates continue.

The debates can make a difference in the congressional races. Some difference is needed, if America is to unify enough to resolve the problems of a growing National Debt and a crippled economy. Those numbers are the real key issues of Election 2012. Charisma won't solve those issues, bipartisanship can, but will we see it improve with what we voted for?

Time, and the voters who actually vote, will write the final story of Election 2012.

_______

Copyright 2012 Demas W. Jasper All rights reserved.

working

This website uses cookies

As a user in the EEA, your approval is needed on a few things. To provide a better website experience, hubpages.com uses cookies (and other similar technologies) and may collect, process, and share personal data. Please choose which areas of our service you consent to our doing so.

For more information on managing or withdrawing consents and how we handle data, visit our Privacy Policy at: https://corp.maven.io/privacy-policy

Show Details
Necessary
HubPages Device IDThis is used to identify particular browsers or devices when the access the service, and is used for security reasons.
LoginThis is necessary to sign in to the HubPages Service.
Google RecaptchaThis is used to prevent bots and spam. (Privacy Policy)
AkismetThis is used to detect comment spam. (Privacy Policy)
HubPages Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide data on traffic to our website, all personally identifyable data is anonymized. (Privacy Policy)
HubPages Traffic PixelThis is used to collect data on traffic to articles and other pages on our site. Unless you are signed in to a HubPages account, all personally identifiable information is anonymized.
Amazon Web ServicesThis is a cloud services platform that we used to host our service. (Privacy Policy)
CloudflareThis is a cloud CDN service that we use to efficiently deliver files required for our service to operate such as javascript, cascading style sheets, images, and videos. (Privacy Policy)
Google Hosted LibrariesJavascript software libraries such as jQuery are loaded at endpoints on the googleapis.com or gstatic.com domains, for performance and efficiency reasons. (Privacy Policy)
Features
Google Custom SearchThis is feature allows you to search the site. (Privacy Policy)
Google MapsSome articles have Google Maps embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
Google ChartsThis is used to display charts and graphs on articles and the author center. (Privacy Policy)
Google AdSense Host APIThis service allows you to sign up for or associate a Google AdSense account with HubPages, so that you can earn money from ads on your articles. No data is shared unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
Google YouTubeSome articles have YouTube videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
VimeoSome articles have Vimeo videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
PaypalThis is used for a registered author who enrolls in the HubPages Earnings program and requests to be paid via PayPal. No data is shared with Paypal unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
Facebook LoginYou can use this to streamline signing up for, or signing in to your Hubpages account. No data is shared with Facebook unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
MavenThis supports the Maven widget and search functionality. (Privacy Policy)
Marketing
Google AdSenseThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Google DoubleClickGoogle provides ad serving technology and runs an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Index ExchangeThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
SovrnThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Facebook AdsThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Amazon Unified Ad MarketplaceThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
AppNexusThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
OpenxThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Rubicon ProjectThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
TripleLiftThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
Say MediaWe partner with Say Media to deliver ad campaigns on our sites. (Privacy Policy)
Remarketing PixelsWe may use remarketing pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to advertise the HubPages Service to people that have visited our sites.
Conversion Tracking PixelsWe may use conversion tracking pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to identify when an advertisement has successfully resulted in the desired action, such as signing up for the HubPages Service or publishing an article on the HubPages Service.
Statistics
Author Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide traffic data and reports to the authors of articles on the HubPages Service. (Privacy Policy)
ComscoreComScore is a media measurement and analytics company providing marketing data and analytics to enterprises, media and advertising agencies, and publishers. Non-consent will result in ComScore only processing obfuscated personal data. (Privacy Policy)
Amazon Tracking PixelSome articles display amazon products as part of the Amazon Affiliate program, this pixel provides traffic statistics for those products (Privacy Policy)
ClickscoThis is a data management platform studying reader behavior (Privacy Policy)