Election 2012: It's the numbers, Governor Romney.
Figures are inert, they don't lie. But liars sure can figure out how to distort them!
Pundits have been wrong, but not lately.
Like two lions roaring at each other over the remaining scraps.
That is how the candidates look as they each prepare for the only thing that really counts, the mood and votes of the voters on November 6, 2012..
As it stands now, the conventions have taken place, and the three TV "debates" which start on October 3rd will put the final nail in one candidate's hopes to be president in January 2013.
The conventions, the negative ads, the debates, and the country's crises will, however, affect the politics of the next four years primarily because they will affect the influence the races for the Senate and the House of Representatives can have on America's future.
Is the race for the presidency really over?
Polling, which becomes more mathematically compelling with each election (provided that the sampling and the questions are not skewed, indicates that it might be. The debate over electoral votes vs. popular votes seems muted at this point.
The current polling says that President Obama "has a lock" on 13 states and Governor Romney has a similar lock on 21 states. That disparity, however, does not seem to be in favor of Governor Romney, yet.
One of the "solid for Obama" states is California, and several other "giants in the Electoral College balloting" which polling currently suggests are presently "solid for Obama" include Illinois, New York, Michigan, and New Jersey.
Those "solid for Obama" states account for this part of the U. S. population:
Estimated Populations (Top 5 of Obama)
19,465,200 New York
8,821,200 New Jersey
The "solid for Romney" states have populations with these numbers:
Estimated Populations (Top 5 of Romney)
The states for which the struggle continues are these:
Estimated Populations Both Candidates Are Courting
9,656,400 North Carolina
Americans will speak at their ballot boxes on November 6, 2012. Between now and then the fundraisers will continue, the lions will continue to roar, the staffs will be paid, and the polling by both sides and some truly independent, professional pollers, will continue. The conventions have been held with all their hoopla, some TV debates will be aired, and the spin doctors will try to tell Americans what they should have seen and heard for themselves.
It's all in the numbers, Governor Romney and Candidate Obama.
Could there be an upset, and Governor Romney win? It might seem an upset at this point, and that will seem to some to be unlikely. Besides the "solids" and the "leanings" and even with some states still in doubt, the writing on the wall is becoming clearer as the campaigning days dwindle down to their precious few.
What remains to be done?
The record low ratings for Congress' performance should mean a flood of new faces being sworn in after the congressional races are decided. Incumbent name recognition and fundraising ability will, however, mean we are more likely to see more of the same faces, same arguments, and same stalemates continue.
The debates can make a difference in the congressional races. Some difference is needed, if America is to unify enough to resolve the problems of a growing National Debt and a crippled economy. Those numbers are the real key issues of Election 2012. Charisma won't solve those issues, bipartisanship can, but will we see it improve with what we voted for?
Time, and the voters who actually vote, will write the final story of Election 2012.
Copyright 2012 Demas W. Jasper All rights reserved.
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