GOP Eyes Brokered Convention
If there is one conclusion an objective observer can draw from the ongoing GOP’s Primary/Caucus events, it is there is no decisive frontrunner. The results and the polling data seems to support this palpable takeaway. The fractured Republican Party has been divided into a geographical battle of the states. Each of the enduring factions is essentially pulling the GOP apart.
Rick Santorum’s victories in Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri and Colorado give him the frontrunner status in the Midwestern States. The former Pennsylvania Senator maintains his self proclaimed status as the true conservative in the remaining field, in addition to being the Anti-Romney candidate. He presently has garnered the most state Primary/Caucus wins as he strives to build on his current momentum as well as advance his financial support.
Mitt Romney can best be characterized by his favorable/unfavorable upside down poll rating. Additionally, market research specifies the more voters find out about the former Governor of Massachusetts, the less likely they are to vote for him. Mr. Romney currently leads the field with delegates allotted from the 8 states that have voiced their opinion. Mitt seemed to have the support of the Northeastern geographic states.
Newt Gingrich holds the key to the direction of the GOP. With the upcoming march events, if Newt holds the south as expected, it will be a virtual free for all at the Tampa Convention.
Ron Paul is a wild card and only adds to the distribution of delegates if he continues collecting proportional votes along the way.
This leads to the very real possibility of none of the candidates securing the 1144 majority of delegates required to mandate a Nominee at the Tampa Republican Convention. When a candidate does not have a majority at the first ballot of the nominating convention, it becomes a Brokered Convention.
Today the Conservative Political Action Conference kicked off its annual event for activist conservatives. Prior to addressing the CPAC conference today, Tea Party Senator Jim DeMint of South Carolina acknowledged the possibility of a Brokered Convention.
Real Clear Politics summed up the conservative republican frustration as follows; “For many conservative Republicans, the dream outcome of the primary season is a brokered convention. Disappointed in the four remaining choices, they hope to change horses in August, and draft their preferred candidate, be it Jeb Bush, Mitch Daniels, Chris Christie, or Paul Ryan”.