Iran's Charm Offensive for Nuclear Capabilities
The position of Israel and America about Iran's capability to produce nuclear grade material in order to make nuclear bombs is against the wall. Geographically, Iran is very hard to hit militarily for the USA or even Israel. Doing so, would ignite a regional war, no doubt, even if Iran's nuclear processing sites were fully known. But, since some of the sites are not known and some are hidden underground mountains, a military strike becomes one of luck and a shell game, Then, there is the cost and loss, repercussions throughout the Middle East, other proxy soldiers, like Hezbollah, attacking Israel etc. This is not even dealing with the precariousness of dealing with Syria's civil war.
President Obama may settle for less than what he wanted a year ago, far less, this is a form of appeasement. Iran's President Rouhani is doing what Hitler did before WW2, used PR and charm to please his innocence and intentions. All while he continued to build up his Nazi war machine throughout the 1930's. Hitler sent new weapons to be tested in Spain's civil war between 1936-38, new techniques were tested, troops trained in supporting the Nationalists under Franco. France and England were allergic to the notion of another war and were appeasing Hitler on numerous issues just so the world might be safer-if Hitler meant what he said.
Of course, Hitler did not. Rouhani is no different. He is telling Obama and others what they want so desperately want to hear- Iran will never develop a nuclear weapon. I suppose, they could always buy one from North Korea or Russia, so that is true statement. Obama seems to leaning to allowing Iran to continue refining uranium for peaceful uses or needs or allowing to keep its nuclear refining equipment. Rouhani claims the whole nuclear issue can be resolved in months, after so many years of trying to conceal it. Interesting.
Iran is being crippled by the effects of the sanctions. Its charm offensive is to get Obama to lighten them by December because otherwise the population could rebel and protest. Iran fears that the sanctions will cause its population to rise up against them, If it were not for the sanctions, Iran would still be what it always has been- untrustworthy. Rouhani made no concessions on Tehran’s fundamentals: Acceptance of and respect for implementation of the right to enrichment inside Iran and enjoyment of other related nuclear rights provides “the only path to the framework to manage our differences."
One can see how Iran is dictating terms and the West, so eager to contain Iran, agrees. iran may be able to keep the already refined uranium that is near weapons grade, their thousands of centrifuges that create it, their facilities intact. Iran will limit their number of them and sign additional nuclear accords for inspections.
Obama's hang up on full transparency is silly. Iran has and still does fool the inspectors and US intelligence, so what may appear as full transparency to inspectors is not. This has happened before in other countries.
The Rouhani charm offensive is probably to also buy time in negotiations as the centrifuges continue to spin. Remember, some feel that Iran already has enough nuclear material for a few bombs, so material already created is exempt. Iran is developing its three stage ballistic missile. Rouhani would also like to de-nuke Israel of its 100 or so nuclear weapons as part of the deal.
I think the West is being duped just as it was in 1938 because there are no options left. The only harmless one is what has been effective-sanctions. No sanctions should be lifted until Iran proves itself.
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