Obama Is Still In Trouble
It had looked like a second term....
Results are needed at a time when simply campaigning isn't solving real problems, or even making answers clearer.
What is stacking up against a second term for President/Candidate Obama?
$ Unemployment remains too high.
$ Congress is coming back in session still deadlocked.
$ The Euro-zone Crisis is unresolved and looking worse.
$ German willingness to act as Europe's stabilizer is fading.
$ Israel sees Iran's nuclear ambitions accelerating dangerously.
$ England and France have transitioned to new leadership less partnered with the U. S.
$ The National Debt remains out of control with a second recession looming and no balanced budget on the table.
$ Candidate Willard Mitt Romney's campaign is gaining steam as Romney becomes better respected as an individual and donations flow in.
$ Candidate Obama is vulnerable in the upcoming debates due to his party's choice to run such negative ad distortions about his opponent.
$ Goodwill toward America in the Middle East which arose from the Arab Spring has been damaged by a perceived American insult to the Muslim prophet resulting in anti-American riots.
$ Guantanamo Prison Camp remains open and the judicial process there is moving as slow as cold molasses.
$ Afghanistan remains an unstable and corrupt sinkhole for scarce American dollars with allies pulling out and American casualties continuously in the day's news.
$ The Syrian Civil War is worsening while the Syrian Free Army remains fragmented and accused of the type of atrocities characteristic of the Syrian Government as Turkey struggles to shelter the influx of Syrian Refugees.
$ Foreign policy inexperience, once the Romney/Paul glaring weakness, is now wounding Candidate Obama at a time when for all her outstanding efforts Secretary Hillary Clinton also appears less able to control events overseas; and, the United Nations remains a joke of ineffectiveness as Russia and China continue their support of the Syrian dictator.
$ Support for Obamacare, Obama's signal achievement, remains divided and insufficient to secure a victory given all the remaining unresolved problems and 2008 promises voters can hold Obama responsible for as the "Blame Bush strategy" wears thin.
$ The Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) is at such a low level as to predict no second term for the incumbent based on the history of past elections where defeated incumbents reached election day with much higher CCI's. No incomubent has ever been elected with such a low CCI.
In what has become a cliche about American elections, "It's the economy, stupid!", the combination of the out-of-control National Debt, continuing high unemployment, instability abroad, a looming second recession, a deadlocked Congress which could see Republican gains in the House and the Senate...all these have now combined to find a Candidate Obama seeking to create some new good news, or an "event" that might give him some aura of leadership he presently seems to lack.
In short: Obama is still in trouble.
Copyright 2012 Demas W. Jasper All rights reserved.
This article was first published 3/26/2012 and is still valid today.
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