Port Mubarak: The Spark for the Next War?

If researched, one would find that in every case, minor and major wars have begun over what seem to be "minor" issues between countries.

On August 26. 2011, three Scud missiles were fired from Iraq into Kuwait. They exploded harmlessly in the desert, but it was a warning shot. Iraq was freed by the US, however, many elements of Iran's Hezbollah remain there and under Iran's command and influence. It was also the first time any Middle East terrorist group had used Scud missiles. Until Friday, there was no confirmation of the group's claim to have recovered most of the inventory of 250 Scuds held by Saddam Hussein before the US invasion of 2003. Well, obviously, they do have many of them and Iraq's army or police are powerless over them.

How can this happen? American troops are still there. How did we miss finding them?

The dispute, and it is serious, is between Iraq and Kuwait. All three countries are all using the same waterway for critical shipping needs and oil. The three countries all share it and have their borders on it. Kuwait is building a huge port, Port Mubarak, on its sovereign territory of Boubiyan Island. They have spent 1.6 billion on it and deployed their 6th Brigade to defend it. Iraq's port is further of the waterway and Iran's is also. But, Kuwait's port will not impede or block either countries access as they are claiming. Kuwait is like saying, "what exactly is your problem"?

Iraq remains furious. The Iraqi Shiite radical Ketaeb Hizballah, an arm of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Al-Qods Brigades, has many more scud missiles to fire from Iraq upon Iran's command. It does not take much foresight to see how this simple item could escalate into a regional war drawing in the US, Israel, Saudi Arabia, all countries out to get Iran and stop their nuclear bombs. It is a war waiting for ignition.

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swordsbane profile image

swordsbane 5 years ago from Wisconsin

I don't think that's the way things are done anymore. If Arch-duke Ferdinand was assassinated today, there would be a scandal, and an international call for the perpetrators to be held accountable, a white-wash by those sympathetic to the assassins, and outrage that a recognized country was supporting murder. Then the world would turn on American Idol and the whole thing would be forgotten.

Contrary to popular opinion, the Apocalypse is NOT on it's way and the world is not a powder keg waiting to go off. None of the players involved in this mess have any intention of going to war to stop what they see as injustice. Those who fired the SCUDS did so because they could, and will continue if they feel they can get away with it, regardless of whether they are supported by Iran or not. No one will use nukes and there will never be open warfare in the region because that will close ALL three ports and no one wants that. Commerce is the reason there is a dispute and commerce will dictate the actions of all involved. If the Iranians (or terrorists) think they can knock out Kuwait's port without risk to their own interests, then they will do it. The United States will attempt to make sure that will not happen, but not by invading Iran, or creating another "surge" in Iraq. Iran won't nuke Kuwait's port because then their own shipping will be virtually destroyed in the process (if not by retribution then by the nuke itself)

Don't forget that a LOT of nations use those ports, and they will (collectively and individually) do ANYTHING necessary to keep those ports open, which includes NOT getting into a huge war over it.

If you're looking for grand wars to begin, such as World War II, then you need to look at the growing dissatisfaction that people have with those that govern them, the disconnect between rulers and the ruled. The domino effect in the recent Middle East rebellion sweep, etc.

Next to these growing concerns, Port Mubarak is a small issue.


perrya profile image

perrya 5 years ago Author

I agree, but regional wars in this area begin for really silly reasons based upon the bad blood flowing thru this area. I was talking another middle east war, which I think will happen sooner than later. This is simply another point of contention.

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