The Remaining 2012 Election Debate Will Have Some Surprises

Surprises in store, but for who?

Real surprises?  How can that possibly be?
Real surprises? How can that possibly be? | Source

And you thought all the issues have already been discussed? Balderdash!


It has all boiled down to the two man race for the leadership of America in the next four years. Willard Mitt Romney the Republican candidate, and Barack Hussein Obama the beleaguered incumbent seeking a second term.

While there will have been only three of the televised national debates between the two men, many Americans think the issues are already quite clear, I am predicting some surprises.

The Republicans' nominating process was protracted and nasty. A slew of Republicans thought they had a shot at the nomination, and were convinced that the Democrats are vulnerable this year, particularly President Obama and the Congress with its 10% approval rating. One by one the several candidates fell by the wayside as a better organized and funded Romney Campaign scuttled their boats

It finally came down to a contest, such as it was, between a poorly organized and poorly funded Rick Santorum, who by April 10th had announced the suspension of his campaign, versus the Romney steamroller. Santorum hung on as long as he could with supporters supporting him until his campaign's suspension. Newt Gingrich who expected a momentary jump in his chances, had already cut his travel, staff, and his scheduled appearances.

With all of the issues raised in those GOP primaries, how could there be anything left to debate when the Romney Campaign took on Candidate Obama?

Let me list a few you may not have thought of, and which the two candidates may not have thought too much about either:

Law Enforcement

Despite a drop in the levels of violent crime in America, more law enforcement personnel are getting killed lately. Gangs are proliferating with street gangs literally in tacit control of some parts of America's major cities, pushing drugs, prostitution, protection threats, arson, and rival killings, as well as links to foreign gangs and drug syndicates. Romney is immune to charges that he is responsible, President Obama is not. It became a subject only touched on in the debates.

Foreign Policy

Romney seemed vulnerable on the issue of foreign policy, for lack of visible foreign policy experience, but his opponent will have to defend his very visible foreign policy record and what he has done to make the world a safer place for Americans. While he has supported the war in Afghanistan, looked across the DMZ in Korea, and gave a rousing speech in Egypt early in his presidency, if anything the world is less safe for Americans traveling abroad and seeking to bring a better balance to America's huge trade deficits. European allies are in a financial crisis, Japan feels under increasing threats from North Korea and an expanding China, while Thailand and the Philippines are dealing with their own in-country terrorists. India and Pakistan are still one hostile act away from nuclear war. President Obama's Nobel Peace Prize, from very early in his presidency, now has a weight of irony attached to it. You can expect the Romney Campaign to point to every deficiency in the final debate between the two candidates, including Obama's frustrations in handling Iran's nuclear concerns which trouble the U.S. and Israel, as well as the Syrian dictator's brutal killings of fellow Syrians.

The Still Growing National Debt

If there is one loose boulder which can crush the Democrats across the board during the 2012 Election, it has to be their handling of the still growing National Debt. Romney's strength is that Republicans feel he can lead them in doing a better job to secure a future in which the National Debt is not an increasingly heavy drag on every social program the United States has been so proud of in the past, but cannot sustain concurrent with the growing debt the Democrats seemingly ignore. Candidate Obama seems bent on turning it into a "haves and have nots" issue which the Republicans will point out is not in keeping with the American spirit of individualism coupled with a fraying national safety net. The growing debt is also handicapping our muscle power in foreign policy.

Unemployment

The weak employment outlook is one Candidate Obama has long hoped would resolve itself before any national debates with Romney, while Romney has long contended that Obama's efforts to get Americans back to work were doomed to failure because of Obama's clear lack of any leadership experience in the private sector. The debates took place with continuing high unemployment well above 7% and possibly remaining as high as 8%+, and Romney (as well as other Republican candidates for Congress) will argue that from 2009 to 2011 Obama and the Democrats controlled the Congress and the White House and failed miserably in making the solid efforts needed to get Americans back to work, while given similar control of Congress and the White House they will have the leadership and know how to solve what Obama and the Democrats haven't. (For a fine article on the 7 million Americans working multiple jobs, while even some of those are on the edge from paycheck to paycheck click here: http://aufait.hubpages.com/hub/Working-2-or-More-Jobs The lack of quality jobs available in the USA is driving some of our talented workers overseas to better paying jobs. While this is not a major foreign policy issue, foreign policy affects their security abroad.

Energy

Going into the televised debates between Romney and Obama, Americans have just come through a summer and fall in which gas prices have fluctuated higher during the peak travel seasons, including getting students back to universities they find harder and harder to afford. For an America which has long powered its industries and all its infrastructure on an abundance of reasonably priced energy these shocks to the system were current events for the debates, and we are still not energy independent from the turmoil of the Middle East.

The Military and Veterans

Continuing heavy demands on America's all volunteer military dispatched overseas in response to international objectives, only to come home to higher than national rates of unemployment, will be termed a national disgrace. That along with an insufficient response to PTSD and a generally decaying health system for veterans, have made the military and veterans a hot issue for the debates. Veterans are among groups seriously affected in the housing market collapse, and diminished retirement funds. Multiple combat tours, and the lack of available civilian jobs for those leaving the services are combining to weaken our military.

Reforming The Tax Code

Corporate and individual taxes still provide funding for our overseas foreign policy from our participation in the World Bank, and the International Monetary Fund, to direct foreign aid at a time when Russia and China handcuff the United Nations. Without tax reform our international goals and policies are similarly handcuffed (including the needs for greater security of our embassies and consulates in foreign countries where they are likely terrorist targets.

Education

Reforms in public education are needed to insure the needed numbers of quality teachers, quality and safe schools with the resources to make our public education the best in the world. Romney will argue that our present system of public education gets failing grades, and that to remain a Super Power and compete in all areas of international life, we need to invest more heavily in education. A detailed study of public education will be cited which asserts that our poor educational system is a threat to our national security as all manner of scientific, biological, and cyber threats proliferate and our schools and schools' performance deteriorate.

World Trade Balance

Will be called for to gain a better balance of exports to imports and end the drain on dollars going overseas and not coming back except in the form of foreign loans with interest. This debate topic will be coupled by Republicans to the lowering of America's credit rating under the Obama Administration which means those interest rates will be higher in the future, if something isn't done to correct the National Debt and the trade imbalance.

Terrorism, Guantanamo, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Syria, Lebanon, NATO, China, Russia


The foreign policy debate will touch on all these problem areas and a final 90-minutes debate is hardly enough time to meaningfully cover this country's foreign policy challenges.

Yes, there are surprises in store, and we are likely to hear the expression more than once that the years ahead will have "good news, and bad news" while we listen carefully to see whose vision of the future offers the best chances for the future we want to see for ourselves, our families, all Americans, and our struggling allies.

_______


© 2012 Demas W. Jasper All rights reserved.



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Comments 14 comments

win-winresources 4 years ago from Colorado

Hello Perspycacious-

Nicely presented.

May I add a few thoughts?

First, I get really wound up over "entitlements". I, like most Americans, paid into the Social Security and Medicare funds for 40+ years. Now, some people just love calling them "entitlements", like they are welfare. Bull. Heck, just give me my own money back (with or with out interest) and I'll agree to never file for Social Security.

Second, and pretty darn important, is what we have heard during the GOP primaries. Every right-wing challenger to Romney continually complained that Romney was not conservative enough. They are right. He is not an ultra conservative. He represents a much more middle ground that both conservatives and conservative democrats can embrace.

The beatings Romney took from the right wing nuts simply demonstrate his more reasonable, and more broadly desired, conservative positions.

Presidents are elected not from the left wing or the right wing, but from the middle where the majority of Americans reside.

-DW


Perspycacious 4 years ago

win-winresources: You are right that having paid in for 40+ years, and in my case for almost 62 years we do feel "entitled" to the benefits we have been promised all those years. You are also right that the president we elect in 2012 should be able to govern in the best interests of the whole country not some pie slice of it. We will see how many American voters agree with us by November 7, 2012. I predict even more surprises than those I list in this Hub, but these look likely without the additional unpredictables.


b. Malin profile image

b. Malin 4 years ago

A very Enlightening Hub on the Facts as they stand. I am behind Romney 100%. and feel he would be better for our Country, than Obama has been. Obama is not a Friend to Israel, and I fear if he was to get re-elected, for their safety against Iran.

I did NOT vote for Obama the first time, for I was not comfortable with his background, his friends, or lack of Experience.

I think People are fed up with the so called "changes" and more to come, as well as Gas Prices and the Economy, and so called Jobs growth. They will quietly go to the polls in November and we will have a New President, Mitt Romney. Just my opinion.


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 4 years ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

b.Malin: "Enlightening" is a wonderful comment. Romney's greatest risk in a head-to-head with President Obama may come from the fact that Romney is not a politician! He can upset so many individuals and groups by simply "telling it like it is". The truth can hurt and politicians are inclned to sell dreams, such as the "Change" slogan. We got the changes! We needed the truth, and a leader who tells us the truth and challenges us to follow. Politicians have ruled the roost for too long already, and it is a fine mess they have gotten us into. Let's hope sanity prevails in November.


Credence2 profile image

Credence2 4 years ago from Florida (Space Coast)

All I see from the GOP and the right are a return to the period prior to the Obama president which are not exactly days of wine and roses as well as resistance to any attempt of the administration to address the problems. Yes, most interesting indeed, whether an on the fencer like Romney can win the support of an ever more radically conservative GOP to present a unified front against Obama in the fall.


win-winresources 4 years ago from Colorado

Credence 2-

Your last sentence is precisely the point I was trying to make in my earlier comment. Romney, as a moderate, will appeal to a very large number of moderate voters (democrats and republicans) and the more conservative republicians (they certainly aren't going to go for a liberal of any sort much less one like Obama).

As a moderate myself I would not have been able to vote for any of the right wing nuts, and I could not have voted for Obama. Had Romney not been the GOP candidate I would have,sadly, been forced to sit the election out and take my lumps.

A middle of the roader was just what I needed.

-DW


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 4 years ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

Credence2: Watch the selection of the Romney runningmate for clues on the unity issue, and also for clues as to how active that VP candidate can be post-election (i.e. window dressing or active partner.) I still prefer Condoleezza Rice, if she would agree to be a candidate for the balance she could bring to the ticket.


Credence2 profile image

Credence2 4 years ago from Florida (Space Coast)

Winwinresources, thanks for sharing your point of view here. I don't trust Romney adherence to anything of substance, but as you say we will let the show go on and find out this coming November who is left standing.

Perspy, Former Secy Rice would be an inspired choice. Would she be willing to work with Romney? Lets face it he does need a 'game changer' at his present state. I thought that he would get someone of more reliable conservative credentials to balance out his moderation and unify the party...


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 4 years ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

Credence2: I am sorry to just be getting back to you. Add this to the discussion. the balance of control in the US Senate is wobbly at best with a one vote difference at present in favor of the Democrats. The Republicans can ill afford to choose a sitting Republican Senator to be the Vice Presidential running mate. Secretary Rice is a patriotic American at a time when we continue to face some of the most critical challenges in the lifetimes of a majority of Americans. I believe that despite her own previous statements, if called upon she would accept. She would not only bring more balance to the ticket, experience to the office, and zest to the campaign, she is also "one smart cookie" and a team player.


phdast7 profile image

phdast7 4 years ago from Atlanta, Georgia

Wonderful Hub, well written and very informative. Reading the exchange through out the comments was educational and interesting as well. Thanks for doing the hard work. :) SHARING


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 4 years ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

phdast7: This latest issue of "Time Magazine" has a list of potential VP choices and Condolleezza is not on it. We have already had the surprise of President Obama throwing his presidential support behind gay marriages (that was a whopper) and the idea that Ann Romney as First Lady would lack the needed empathy with working moms despite her empathy for persons with so many of her own struggles! The European Union may be the next big one, and bomb makers are still trying to have an impact.


Ken Burgess profile image

Ken Burgess 4 years ago from Florida

Perspycacious, very well written, let me make one point to counter one of your assumptions however. You feel Obama will have an edge in Foreign (International) relations during the debates... however if Romney really is willing to expose Obama's connections to the Muslim Brotherhood and their take-over of Egypt, and their involvement in the riots and attacks on Americans just weeks ago (and the cover up by the White House).. Obama would be exposed and not have a leg to stand on, and would be sure to lose the election.

But that is a lot to ask of Romney, because he would surely be vilified and called a liar throughout most of the media, for telling the truth.


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 22 months ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

Ken Burgess - It didn't happen. He lost. But keep in mind that Obama quickly won the Nobel Peace Prize essentially for a fine speech in Egypt.

You told the wrong person, if you only told me.


Perspycacious profile image

Perspycacious 9 months ago from Today's America and The World Beyond Author

Here we are four years later (not quite yet) and I haven't heard of any agreement on how many debates there will be by the nominees this time around.

That aside, many of the same, still unresolved issues, face this year's final nominees.

For many of this year's potential voters, Mr. Trump's position papers have not been read but are available online as are some of Mrs. Clinton's.

Former nominee Romney has just taken his best shot at Mr. Trump without commenting on Mrs. Clinton, and his remarks seem intended not only to destroy Mr. Trump's campaign efforts, and are in stark contrast to his statements about Mr. Trump when Romney was effusive in his praise of Mr. Trump when he wanted his personal and financial support for his own 2012 campaign!

President Carter has stated his preference for the "more malleable" Mr. Trump, and Mr. Trump's supporters find qualities of leadership in him that they feel Cruz, Rubio, Carson, and Kasich lack. (Though in my own opinion Kasich has those and far more experience related to being president than any candidate from either party. Kasich's drawback is that he is an "insider" and is not drawing the fervor the other Republican candidates do.)

Romney's talk before the Hinckley Institute was preaching to the choir in a state where 60% of Utahns view Mr. Trump with deep concerns. Utah's caucuses take place on March 20th and will have little impact on the final outcome of Campaign 2016.

To Mr. Trump's credit, 1 out of 10 of his supporters haven't voted in any campaign for 10 years, and he is drawing in the extra participants Republicans will need, if their ultimate nominee is to go on to a victory in November 2016.

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