Why Democrats Will Lose The Midterm Elections

Why Democrats will lose the midterm elections
Why Democrats will lose the midterm elections

The Midterms Are Coming

Anyone who follows politics knows that the midterm elections are coming in November. Almost every political pundit, and everyone on Fox News, predicts that Democrats will lose a substantial amount of seats in November. They are predicting that the Democrats will lose their super majority and if Fox News is to be believed, the Democrats will lose the majority and once again in Republicans will be the majority in Congress.

So what happened? Barack Obama and the democrats gained overwhelming victories in November of 2008. George Bushleft the country in a mess. The economic world was ending, two wars were waging without purpose or leadership, America's respect around the world was lost, etc, ect, etc. Now, the economy is slowly improving, one war actually has ended its combat mission and the other war is better managed and respect around the world is back. So why are democrats in retreat. Why are predictions so bad?

 

Opposition Party Generally Get It Together After A Big Loss and Come Back Ready To Fight
Opposition Party Generally Get It Together After A Big Loss and Come Back Ready To Fight

History

The first reason why Democrats will lose the midterm elections is because historically the party that wins a Presidential election loses the next midterm elections.  The cause of this is somewhat complex however.  Some of it has to do with internal checks and balances.  Americans historically have shown that they prefer a split government and never allow supermajorities to exist too long.  Bill Clinton won the Presidential Election in 1992 and by 1995 his party lost huge in the midterm elections.  History shows this trend over and over again.

But this ties to the second reason, generally the party that loses regroups and refocuses, and comes out stronger.  And it is always easier to be the opposition party, all you have to do in point out anything bad that has happened.  But generally the opposition party gets it together and is ready to go.  After Bill Clinton was in 1992, the Republicans developed the Contract with America, got some young blood into the party and were an opposition party will a clear plan.  They were a force to be reckoned with and the democrats were not ready and the Republicans won the majority.

Republicans Have No Plan But to Say No Yet Are Still Predicted To Win
Republicans Have No Plan But to Say No Yet Are Still Predicted To Win

Odd

But what is the reason for the predictions that Democrats will lose so big this year? The historical trend will surely play a role, but the opposition party this year does not have its stuff together. They have no clear plan to move the Country forward like they did in 1994. There is internal fighting in the Republican Party between moderates and conservatives. Tea Party members are claiming that many Republicans are not true Republicans. The Republican primaries have been some of the nastiest elections in History.

So if it is not the opposition party that is causing the democratic loss, what is? The answer is painfully simple: Democrats right now are just that bad.

Canidate Obama inspired the Country and took Down The Clinton Machine
Canidate Obama inspired the Country and took Down The Clinton Machine
President Obama is Still Trying To Convince People That He Can Do The Job Instead of Just Doing The Job.
President Obama is Still Trying To Convince People That He Can Do The Job Instead of Just Doing The Job.
Stop Trying To Act Presidential And Just Be The President
Stop Trying To Act Presidential And Just Be The President

President Obama

Harry Truman remarked that "the Buck Stops Here" when speaking about the Presidency. So President Obama deserves some of the blame for the fact that the Democrats are in disarray. The real problem is that you don't have to look very hard to figure out why Obama deserves some blame. Candidate Obama was a sight to see. First he took down the Clinton Machine and against the wishes of the Democratic establishment. He was the candidate with a funny name that spoke about hope and who gave speeches that moved mountains. He inspired young and old, black and white, even many conservatives because listening to him simply made people feel good again.

But something happened on the way to the White House. Somebody convinced candidate Obama that he needed to sound Presidential. Somebody convinced Obama that he needed to act Presidential. So Obama began to try to act Presidential and speak with a "president's" voice. No longer was he inspirational. No longer was he the candidate of hope. He began to sound like every other politician.

And this is President Obama's greatest flaw and biggest disappointment. Instead of being himself, he is trying to act the way people think a President should act. He is trying to sound Presidential. He is still trying to convince people that he can be President, instead of just doing the job. And the people around him are trying very hard not to make anyone mad. This is simply not the way it is done. Presidents are paid to make hard decisions. They are paid to get the job done. Nobody respects someone who won't make decisions, won't accept blame, doesn't take risks. So the candidate of hope is the President of fluff, and this is why his mojo is gone. He better find it quick or his majority will be gone and his job will be gone in 2012. Mr. President, instead of trying to act like a leader, just lead and convince people your way is the right way to go.

Seriously, who would follow this guy?
Seriously, who would follow this guy?

The Congressional Democrats

It is sad to say but is there are more inept and incompetent group that Congressional Democrats? Seriously, who do these people think they are? They appear to believe that the democratic victory in 2008 had something to do with them when in fact it had nothing to do with them. They believe you can lead without making hard decisions and taking sides. They honestly believe that they are answerable to no one and are entitled to be there. November will teach them they are wrong unless they change their story quickly.

The two leaders of this junior varsity team are Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid. And each in their own way have managed to undermine the President and cause Americans to lose faith in the democratic party without actually doing anything. Pelosi's work on the HealthCare bill is the work that made Republican strategists smile. Reid with his complete inability to garner support for anything is the perfect example of democratic spinelessness. Seriously, who put these people in charge?

Democrats Used to Be Tought And Fight To The End; What Happened?
Democrats Used to Be Tought And Fight To The End; What Happened?
You Can't Blame Bush If You Lose Now
You Can't Blame Bush If You Lose Now

Can I Have My Change That I Can Believe In Please?

In nearly two years Democrats have halted the economic crisis and the economy is on the rise again. The combat mission in Iraq is over and because the President didn't land on an aircraft carrier and declare mission accomplished so is American moral superiority. The war in Afghanistan is still waging but there is a clear mission and an exit strategy. Jobs are coming back. The environment is a priority again. Education is a priority again. Yet, the perception is that Democrats are going to lose, why?

Because they deserve to lose. Because Democrats are no longer tough. Because Democrats are no longer willing to fight for what they believe. They have abandoned democratic principles are have gone way to the right, yet still let the other side call them Socialists. There hasn't been one terrorist attack under Obama's first two years, a claim his predecessor cannot make, and yet they let Republicans call them weak on defense. Teddy Kennedy fought for universal health care his entire career, yet Democrats were too afraid to even introduce it so now there is a reform package in place that doesn't really reform anything and helps corporate interests, yet they still allow Republicans to call it a government takeover. Democrats have simply allowed the Republicans to characterize them anyway they want without a fight.

Republicans are willing to say or do anything to win and they are not afraid of a fight. They will even tear each other down for what they believe. Democrats right now refuse to fight. They refuse to stand up for what they believe, in fact, they won't even state what they believe in. Democrats are afraid to make anyone mad. They don't want to say no. They don't want to make hard decisions. If you are not willing to fight, how can we be called upon to trust you. How can voters believe you if you don't act like it is important? Get it together democrats, or you will lose, and for that you cannot blame George Bush.

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Comments 26 comments

tony0724 profile image

tony0724 6 years ago from san diego calif

And bgpappa you forgot to mention that when Democrats gave Calderon a standing ovation at the house of Congress as he slammed American immigration policies and that was seen by many Americans as they will support others before they supported their own people. And when they keep preaching tolerance to us as an Imam wants to build a Mosque at a sight that is whoilly inappropriate they insulted Americans even further.

It Is more then just economics. Many Americans that do not live in Blue state populations view Democrats as elitist and anti American, and it is hard to argue with them.


bgpappa profile image

bgpappa 6 years ago from Sacramento, California Author

Well, the whole Mosque thing is a joke Tony (have another hub on that). And our immigration policies deserve to be slammed, and the right slams them every day as do I. And since when is tolerance not ok?

My problem is that they are not leading and are cowards and won't fight for anything. Policy only takes you so far.

Thanks for stopping by


tony0724 profile image

tony0724 6 years ago from san diego calif

Are you familiar with Mexicos immigration policies ? Way rougher then ours. The immigration policy we have is no policy everybody come on in !n And people are finally saying enough ! Quite frankly middle America sees Democrats as anti American and that is another reason for their disfavor and deservedly so.


bgpappa profile image

bgpappa 6 years ago from Sacramento, California Author

We have policies in place. We deport people everyday. Why all the hate against Mexico? They didn't attack us. Middle America sees Democrats as anti-American? Where is that coming from. Conservatives see Democrats that way, you know, those people who claim to love america as long as you are Christian, White, and rich.


tony0724 profile image

tony0724 6 years ago from san diego calif

I am not white Bgpappa nor rich


bgpappa profile image

bgpappa 6 years ago from Sacramento, California Author

Me neither, but my guess is neither of us are that welcome in those ranks. Which is a shame, they would like you and would gain a smart, funny guy (me not so much, but very few actually like me - bit of a grump).


tony0724 profile image

tony0724 6 years ago from san diego calif

u wanna hug ?


bgpappa profile image

bgpappa 6 years ago from Sacramento, California Author

Sure, as long as it is a guy hug: one arm and no more than three pats on the back.


eovery profile image

eovery 6 years ago from MIddle of the Boondocks of Iowa

The republicans do have a plan. I wish people would pay attention. Their plan is to repeal all the bad laws that have been pass over the las 20 months. They plan to get government out of the way, and let things to stabilize so people confidence will return.

Beside, if you look at when the country started going down hill, and the recession started, it was in 2007 when the democrats took control of congress again. Remember the congress method. Bush did not write the bills at this time. They were being written by the democrats. So all the laws and governing was controlled by congress. So people need to realize the democrats stated the problems and they are continuing with them driving.

Also, the republicans tried to introduce a bill early to fix the problems with fannie mae and freddie mac, but the democrats would not have any of this. Dodd and Fwank promised everything was in order. Well they lied.

So using a phrase from our beloved president. The democrat got the car keys, and drove us off the cliff. The facts are their.

The democrats and our beloved president wanted to change and rebuild the country the it has made so much unconfidence, that the economy is stillj struggling. All this chance they wanted hurts the business and no one is hiring or investing. Everything is in standstill. The republicans will put an assurance to no big change and things will start taking off again.

Keep on hubbing!


eovery profile image

eovery 6 years ago from MIddle of the Boondocks of Iowa

On the immigration problem, it is more on a drug problem than immigration. The problem is Americans are using illegal drugs and creating a market for it. If we would quit using the drugs, the market would go away, and so would the problems. It is a problem we have created and we are not owning up to. everyone who uses illegal drugs have blood on their hands.

Keep on hubbing!


bgpappa profile image

bgpappa 6 years ago from Sacramento, California Author

Eovery,

Saying Obama is bad is not a plan. You say the same thing when Dems blame Bush. Bush was President, his policies were in place. Conservatives only cite timeframes, not policies that led to the destruction of the economy. Facts show that the economy was already in trouble in 2005 and 2006. Banks had no cash reserves, the real estate market was already collapsing. Nobody noticed or did anything. Have to include Dems in that, but Bush and the Republicans and the lack of regulations and oversight were in charge.

As for immigration, we are in total agreement. Drugs are the problem, but you are the only conservative who raises that as the issue. If I hear about terrorism and Mexico one more time my head is going to explode. But illegal drugs don't just come from Mexico, much of it is American made. So the problem isn't immigration, it is, as you say, internal. So what is the fix? Treatment or crimilization or decrimilization. Mine is a middle ground but I really don't know.

As always thanks for the comment


KKalmes profile image

KKalmes 6 years ago from Chicago, Illinois

Hello BG, nicely written, but I guess I look at Obama, Pelosi, and Reid and see different people. It's not the rose colored glasses, I just see respectful, hard-working, intelligent political leaders who are trying to gentrify if you will the process and maintain respect for the system when others around them would tear it down and build it in their own image.

I don't believe democrats will lose either house... it will be interesting to see if the quiet faith that I believe exists in the Obama administration will prevail without the bluster and demagoguery of the Republican party's bravado.

I believe voters already changed history once and to believe that history will dictate the November elections is a "self-fulfilling prophecy" only if we acquiesce to it.

Faith my friend can move mountains...


LRCBlogger profile image

LRCBlogger 6 years ago

BG, interesting comments. I agree strongly with a point you were making. In my opinion, it seems like the Dems were passing bills that Republicans would normally support instead of what they believed in (HC with no public option as an example). The HC reform bill that passed could have essentially been written by the GOP. It is a giveaway to insurance companies, pharma, etc. Instead, the Dems passed a very "pro republican" type of bill and then let the GOP blast them for being socialists. It's pretty laughable.

There are some great things in the HC reform but it really is the bill that Republicans were willing to live with and not the bill that Dems wanted (even though no republicans supported it)...confusing...Yes!


bgpappa profile image

bgpappa 6 years ago from Sacramento, California Author

KKalmes,

I agree with you on Obama, I think he is ok but he needs to toughen up and start leading a bit more. I have no faith in Pelosi and Reid, they have squandered a great opportunity to make some real changes.

But my problem is about perception. Some great things have happened, and yet that isn't the story. Progress has been made, and that isn't the story. The story is what ever the Republicans want it to be, from The Ground Zero mosque to birthers, to burning the Quoran to Michelle Obama's "vacations" the Republicans are setting the policy and the focus. Why, because they go out there and fight. It drives me crazy when democrats cower under such pressure. Democratic policies are better, better for everyone, better for the future. Say it loud, say it proud, when people disagree, fight on through 250 comments. Try to find middle ground, yes, but don't start there and hope. That is the point of this article: fight, you are winning, now you need to say why?

Thanks for the comment KKalmes, always a pleasure.


bgpappa profile image

bgpappa 6 years ago from Sacramento, California Author

LRC,

I totally agree with your point. The Republicans were going to say no to anything that came out of the White House at first, didn't matter what it was. So why start off so weak, giving ground so easily? That I put on Pelosi and Reid. Compromise is great, all for it, but the other side has to give up something for it to be a compromise. Otherwise, you are just giving things away.

Thanks for the comment.


James A Watkins profile image

James A Watkins 6 years ago from Chicago

Much of what you say here is true, particularly in your first two sections and the part about Pelosi and Reid. I don't think Progressives can rule much longer for the simple reason that their ideology is based on lies. Eventually, people see that the emperor has no clothes on. Planned Parenthood—based on lies. The Homosexual Movement—admittedly based on lies. Abortion—based on lies. Multiculturalism—all about lies. Comprehensive Immigration Reform—based on lies. Socialism—based on lies.


bgpappa profile image

bgpappa 6 years ago from Sacramento, California Author

Well, I would hope that all of what I said is based on truth and I disagree that those movements are based on lies. And my list of conservative lies is just as long.

But all of that is besides the point. Democrats had an opportunity and they blew it. Not because they did too much, but because they haven't done enough, not near enough and there is no reason for it other than the fact they have cowered in the corner and said don't hurt me now more.

I liken it to football: All the prevent defense does is prevent you from winning. Giving an inferior team twenty yard dump passes down the middle eventually leads to the goal.

Thanks for stopping by James.


valeriebelew profile image

valeriebelew 6 years ago from Metro Atlanta, GA, USA

The republicans only have a plan that will benefit the rich. The idea that you can just allow capitalism to go wherever it wishes is what caused this recession. When regulation was lifted, big busiiness went mad with way too much power and the result if that the middle class is ceasing to exist. Obama may not defend what is right strongly enough to suit many, but at least he supports what is right. If the repubicans get in office, it will be back to George Bush days. The rich get richer, the poor get poorer, and we keep passing legislation to speed the process up. It will be a dark day if that happens, as many of us are slaves to big business, forced to work on jobs that offer no benefits or stability, and have no ladders to climb. (:v


bgpappa profile image

bgpappa 6 years ago from Sacramento, California Author

Valerie, I agree with you. But the problem isn't just Obama, its the democratic leadership in Congress. They have given up way too much, for nothing, in an attept to appease the "moderate" democrats who are in my opinion Republicans in sheep's clothing. They don't fight for anything, except their jobs and that is a problem. So they leave the perception that they have no principles, no vision. I wish it weren't true, and I hope it changes, but right now that is the truth and democrats will suffer because of it.

Thanks for the comment.


KKalmes profile image

KKalmes 6 years ago from Chicago, Illinois

Hello BG, I'm still fighting the good fight to get Democrats elected all over the country... I am so determined and dedicated to the task that even out of work, and out of money, I keep on giving my pennies, my time, my trust, hope and determination to the good fight.

Democrats are about vision and principles and Main Stream America... no one is more concerned about the plight of the 98% barely making it these days than Barack and Michelle Obama and many, many, many democrats.

If you want to choose a few slackers go ahead, but they are definitely out-numbered by slacker republicans who are not only divisive, but completely ambivalent to the concerns, plight and needs of the bottom 98%.

Therefore, Republicans send not to know

For whom the bell tolls,

It tolls for thee!


bgpappa profile image

bgpappa 6 years ago from Sacramento, California Author

I agree with you KKalmes,

To say that these Tea Party people like Christine from Deleware and the New York Governor's race are the answer is just a joke.

Some democrats are starting to take the fight at the Republicans and it is good to see. The democratic plan is better than the Republican plan of no.

THanks for the comment.


sir slave profile image

sir slave 5 years ago from Trinity county CA.

The democrats are a sorry a bunch compared with 08'.

keep in mind though, way more people vote in the presidential elections, than do in the mid terms.

Obama got 69 million votes to the republicans 44mil in 10'.!

the dems got 44mil in 06'!


Sanctuary 2 years ago

I think you need to change your hub to why are the Republicans getting their butts kicked. Could it be their destruction of Unions? There lack of any good ideas besides the ones that got us in this mess? The fact that they are a bunch of rich people supporting low wages and hours? Really we hate the other guys to, we just hate your guys more. Get rid of the people you have now and maybe some people who give a crap about us might give us some Representation.


bgpappa profile image

bgpappa 2 years ago from Sacramento, California Author

Sanctuary, I don't disagree with you. This is an old hub. Written before the 2010 Midterms. Think it still applies in some ways though. Republicans have been terrible, but where are the Democrats other than the President? Are they leading or trying to appease the right.


Sanxuary 2 years ago

Where is a third party? The two we have now are weak and terrible. Just a bunch of fat rich guys playing money games and calling the majority stupid.


bgpappa profile image

bgpappa 2 years ago from Sacramento, California Author

No argument here. Question is, will a third party come from the left or right? Can't come from the middle I don't think, considering the two parties are so close to each other.

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