Sorry, but I have to chuckle when reading this question and some of the responses. No offense intended, but when you aren't apprised of the process as to how these numbers you talk about with such certitude are actually derived, I have no choice but to chuckle.
To tie the timing of the release of the unemployment rate and jobs added to occurance of the Presidential debate and how well Obama did or didn't do is simply an indication of being uninformed. The unemployment rate is ALWAYS released the first Friday of EACH month and the jobs added is EVERY Friday. First time unemployment numbers are released every Thursday. While the latter is an actual number, I believe, the former two are the results from two different surveys taken over a period of time prior to the release and the initial release are PRELIMINARY numbers and are ALWAYS revised the next month.
Further, the process is constructed in such a way as to be immune from political pressure, neither George Bush nor Barack Obama were or are able to effect the outcome.
As to believability, the first time jobless claims and jobs added can be quite believable, there are only a couple of variables involved. The unemployment rate can never be believed "in isolation" only as a trend line, because there are way too many factors that get in the way of making any single number meaningful. Even comparing the 7.8% today to the 7.8% Bush left Obama has no particular meaning except when one considers the rate was rapidly rising under Bush and the rate is slowly falling under Obama.