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Global warming is here: Russia bans grain exports

  1. William R. Wilson profile image61
    William R. Wilsonposted 6 years ago

    http://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/06/world … amp;emc=th

    Time to stop pretending it's not real folks - grain prices are going to go up around the world, and this sort of thing will only be more frequent in the years to come.

  2. ledefensetech profile image82
    ledefensetechposted 6 years ago

    It's a drought.  Happens all the time in one part of the world or another.  Jeez, you're acting like my sister does when she sees a spider.  Chill out.

    1. William R. Wilson profile image61
      William R. Wilsonposted 6 years ago in reply to this

      Happens all the time?


      "temperatures in Moscow were forecast to exceed 100 degrees, about 25 degrees higher than usual."

      "....worst heat wave since record-keeping began here more than 130 years ago."

      http://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/07/world … amp;emc=th

      1. Misha profile image74
        Mishaposted 6 years ago in reply to this

        Yeah, that's about right. Does it prove human induced global warming? No. smile

        1. William R. Wilson profile image61
          William R. Wilsonposted 6 years ago in reply to this

          What will it take to prove it Misha?

          1. Misha profile image74
            Mishaposted 6 years ago in reply to this

            That's not my job William, to simplify your task. Keep trying smile

            1. William R. Wilson profile image61
              William R. Wilsonposted 6 years ago in reply to this

              But I'm serious Misha.  If what is going on can be linked to human activity, don't we have a responsibility to change our actions?  Especially if it's going to get worse? 

              Brushing it off because some guy on the internet said it "can't be proven" doesn't seem very reasonable to me, given the risks involved.

              1. Misha profile image74
                Mishaposted 6 years ago in reply to this

                You need to try harder if you want to scare me, William smile

                I don't have any interest in going in circles with you on the matter, I just chimed in because Moscow was mentioned, and I am currently in Moscow. smile

                1. William R. Wilson profile image61
                  William R. Wilsonposted 6 years ago in reply to this

                  You don't have to go in circles with me about whether or not it's real.  My question is, what would it take to prove to you that human activities affect the climate? 

                  I mean, at some point you just have to accept that there's no such thing as 100% certainty on anything, and act appropriately anyway.

              2. IntimatEvolution profile image82
                IntimatEvolutionposted 6 years ago in reply to this

                I think it does prove the link to human activity.  Humans raise the cattle, humans drive the cars, humans do a lot of farting...., so yeah it can be blamed on human activity.  To think otherwise, is like being a redneck without the slang.  It is absurd.

          2. WryLilt profile image87
            WryLiltposted 6 years ago in reply to this

            William you'd be surprised at the number of people (including scientists) who disagree with global warming as a result of human pollution.

            1. William R. Wilson profile image61
              William R. Wilsonposted 6 years ago in reply to this

              I wouldn't be surprised, because I've been studying the science of global warming and writing about it for years.  I've got a nice long series of hubs about the evidence that it is real and that it's caused by humans. 

              I've seen all the arguments by the deniers.  They don't hold water.  Most of them are 15 year old talking points that keep getting recycled and overplayed by the right wing blogosphere and talking heads.

            2. Ralph Deeds profile image68
              Ralph Deedsposted 6 years ago in reply to this

              Most of the few scientists who are skeptics or deniers are financed by Exxon, coal companies and electric power companies.

      2. Evan G Rogers profile image83
        Evan G Rogersposted 6 years ago in reply to this

        So, one area of the world is hot... and you're claiming it's GLOBAL warming?

        interesting logic.

        1. William R. Wilson profile image61
          William R. Wilsonposted 6 years ago in reply to this

          LOL Evan.  It's called providing a relevant example.  I could continue with more if you'd like. 

          Worst floods in China in decades.  "More than 1,400 people are believed to have been killed this year in unusually severe flooding in central and southern China."

          http://drpinna.com/global-warming-breaking-news-2-8295

          It's happening all over the world:

          http://dailyqi.com/?p=22171

          2010 tied with 2007 as the year with the most national extreme heat records:

          http://climateprogress.org/2010/08/02/t … l-warming/

          Etc.

        2. kerryg profile image87
          kerrygposted 6 years ago in reply to this

          So, when one area of the world is cold, it's evidence that global warming isn't happening, but when one area of the world is hot, it's ridiculous to claim it's evidence that global warming is happening. LOL. Okay.

          It's not just one area anyway. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the planet has just come through the warmest decade, the warmest 12 months, the warmest six months, and the warmest April, May, and June on record.

          Snowpocalypse and the cold snap in Russia were just localized anomalies, by the way. Globally, January and February were both among the warmest on record.

    2. Mark Knowles profile image60
      Mark Knowlesposted 6 years ago in reply to this

      Sez the man who wants the Government Inc to spray everything with chemicals in case he catches West Nile disease. lol lol

      1. Pcunix profile image90
        Pcunixposted 6 years ago in reply to this

        Yeah, that it a bit inconsistent.

      2. ledefensetech profile image82
        ledefensetechposted 6 years ago in reply to this

        Nice job getting what I said wrong.  pcunix is just pissy because his neighbors want to spray for bugs and he's a nusto environmentalist who wants to see people die from mosquito borne illness rather than pollute his precious "ecosystem".  Given the track record of scientists over things like Climategate, I'd be very wary of putting my faith in such obviously biased studies, like the ones they've been releasing.

        1. Mark Knowles profile image60
          Mark Knowlesposted 6 years ago in reply to this

          No. Pretty sure you said you are in favor of the government Inc spraying just in case you get West Nile virus. You even had figures to prove that there were two dead people that could have been saved by spraying:





          LOL

          1. ledefensetech profile image82
            ledefensetechposted 6 years ago in reply to this

            Nice job cherrypicking what I wrote.



            pcunix was pissy because he wanted his local government to ban the use of those pesticides because he didn't like them.  Apparently the majority of his neighbors could care less and encourage the spraying.

            By the by, did you hear about the new outbreak of dengue fever?

            http://www.doh.state.fl.us/environment/ … aKeys.html

            1. Mark Knowles profile image60
              Mark Knowlesposted 6 years ago in reply to this

              LOLO

              Nice job of cherry picking what you said. LOLOLOL

              So - you are scared of getting a disease. Now you have switched from being scared of West Nile to Dengue fever.

              You sound like my little sister when she hears there is a snake in the next door neighbor's garden.

              "Pleeze Mr. Government - spray everything and save me from the nasty Mosquitoes. I trust you to use chemicals that are safe, and I know none of the illnesses and diseases around could possibly have been caused by Big Business which pays you to do wot they sez."  lol

            2. Pcunix profile image90
              Pcunixposted 6 years ago in reply to this

              It is hardly just me who thinks pesticides are dangerous.  If any of these diseases were killing hundreds of people, I might have a different opinion - though I would rather see bats encouraged because it costs less and works better long term. 

              But the actual percentages are miniscule, so I think it is beyond stupid to keep poisoning other animals and interfering with food chains.   

              And again, none of the people would vote to spend that much money on road safety improvements, caring for malnutrished children or anything like it.  Nor would they even entertain the idea that maybe little Johnny doesn't need to play sports at night.  They wouldn't vote a dime for a program to put up bat houses either and I guarantee that if there was a grant to study bats and how we might encourage the populations here, they would all hoot it down as "wasteful spending".

              But sure, I'm just being "pissy".

  3. lovemychris profile image81
    lovemychrisposted 6 years ago

    Military: Global Warming may Cause War
    Associated Press  |  April 17, 2007

    Military Analysts Say Global Warming Is A Threat To Our Security
    Jay Yarow | Aug. 8, 2009, 7:35 PM
    Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/military … z0vrz9sI2x

    Military considers global warming threat
    By Ty Tagami
    The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

    on and on....pages of it.

  4. ReuVera profile image86
    ReuVeraposted 6 years ago

    The only real sign of global warming is on the picture. All the rest are speculations. cool
    http://static.rcgroups.com/forums/attachments/6/4/8/1/3/a1281269-222-positive%2520proof%2520of%2520global%2520warming.jpg?d=1177586413

    1. Misha profile image74
      Mishaposted 6 years ago in reply to this

      LOL Loving it Vera smile

      1. ReuVera profile image86
        ReuVeraposted 6 years ago in reply to this

        I knew you would! big_smile

    2. Richieb799 profile image64
      Richieb799posted 6 years ago in reply to this

      Who hangs their briefs in front of a huge field lol

      1. Ralph Deeds profile image68
        Ralph Deedsposted 6 years ago in reply to this

        All we need is another degree of warming!

  5. rebekahELLE profile image91
    rebekahELLEposted 6 years ago

    people choose to believe what they want to believe, it will never change. it can be raining outside and someone standing next to you will say its sprinkling..

  6. Dame Scribe profile image59
    Dame Scribeposted 6 years ago

    Grain prices go up then we will have to learn gardening and grow our own food. smile

  7. Misha profile image74
    Mishaposted 6 years ago

    LOL Luckily here all mosquitoes either died out or hid out until cooler times smile

  8. rlaframboise profile image60
    rlaframboiseposted 6 years ago

    Global Warming is real. Man made Global Warming is a huge lie perpetrated to shift more power to governments. In the 70's it was global cooling that was gonna kill us all!

    The cave men didn't end the ice age by driving there SUV's and using incandescent bulbs... the Earth fluctuates in cycles and this whole "green" scam is making a lot of people rich.

    I advocate limiting our environmental impact, I don't advocate alarm-ism. Didn't you see those leaked papers from those scientists who were cooking the books? Its more grant money.

    1. William R. Wilson profile image61
      William R. Wilsonposted 6 years ago in reply to this

      I did see those emails, and that was a big controversy and media storm over nothing.  Several different scientific organizations have looked over the emails and found no evidence of fraud. 

      I urge you to take a closer look at the science behind global warming and the effects that it will have on the planet.  Global cooling was something that appeared in a few newspapers back in the 70s.  Global warming has been studied for 150 years, and the evidence is only increasing.

      1. rlaframboise profile image60
        rlaframboiseposted 6 years ago in reply to this

        Well I doubt that all of the true believers would want the 150 years of research to go to waste, even if the facts say other wise. I think the over all shift away from environmentally damaging habits is a good thing I just don't like the politicization of the whole phenomenon.

        What struck me odd about those papers was not that I suspected fraud, I generally saw scientists who believed so strongly in their idea that if evidence wasn't matching there idea they were puzzled and though they had made errors.

        This really bothers me coming from the scientific community. That is something you are more likely to see in a southern baptist church.

        1. rlaframboise profile image60
          rlaframboiseposted 6 years ago in reply to this

          Further more if the Earths atmospheric make up were represented by 1000 marbles, 1/3 of a single marble would be CO2.

        2. William R. Wilson profile image61
          William R. Wilsonposted 6 years ago in reply to this

          Like I said, look at the science, not the talking heads.

      2. ledefensetech profile image82
        ledefensetechposted 6 years ago in reply to this

        You may very well by right about warming (or cooling, I'm not sure what the cause du jour is these days) but the fact remains that nobody is really talking about the important stuff.  Mitigation.  What if it turns out that humans aren't responsible for the warming (or cooling) of the planet and we've just wasted decades of energy, time and treasure on frivolous stuff?  Wouldn't our energy be better spent on finding ways to keep warming (or cooling) from being the disaster is currently is?

        1. William R. Wilson profile image61
          William R. Wilsonposted 6 years ago in reply to this

          So you have reached the 3rd stage of denial?

          http://www.treehugger.com/files/2006/06 … denial.php

      3. Pcunix profile image90
        Pcunixposted 6 years ago in reply to this

        Conservatives don't like global warming because it might hurt business.  Religious conservatives thing some creator thing gave them the Earth to screw up and that it will be ending soon anyway (for millenia it is "ending soon") so it doesn't matter.

    2. Ralph Deeds profile image68
      Ralph Deedsposted 6 years ago in reply to this

      The scientists were absolved of "cooking the books."

      http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/08/scien … ef=science

  9. kerryg profile image87
    kerrygposted 6 years ago

    What amuses me is that when the Eastern US had Snowpocalypse a few months back and Russia had the coldest winter in years, that was proof that global warming wasn't happening, but now that the East Coast and Russia are both broiling through record-breaking summers, it's "just a heat wave." LOL.

    In truth, it is just a heat wave, but Snowpocalypse was just a cold snap. Deniers apparently only recognize the difference between weather and climate when it's convenient for their arguments.

    That said, both are indicative of a pattern of exactly the kind of increase in extreme weather events that climate scientists have been predicting for decades would result from global warming.

    A couple more fun facts about 2010:

    * According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the planet has just come through the warmest decade, the warmest 12 months, the warmest six months, and the warmest April, May, and June on record.

    * Nine nations have so far set their all-time temperature records in 2010, including Russia (111 degrees), Niger (118), Sudan (121), Saudi Arabia and Iraq (126 apiece), and Pakistan, which also set the new all-time Asia record in May: a hair under 130 degrees.

    1. Misha profile image74
      Mishaposted 6 years ago in reply to this

      And those records are of a whopping duration of 200-300 years at least, which definitely covers most of the age of our planet lol

      1. William R. Wilson profile image61
        William R. Wilsonposted 6 years ago in reply to this

        It definitely covers the time when 8 billion humans depend on industrial agriculture to survive...

      2. kerryg profile image87
        kerrygposted 6 years ago in reply to this

        If 200-300 years of data was all we had, a single record breaking year (or even ten) would be insignificant. However, 200-300 years of data is not all we have.

        1. Misha profile image74
          Mishaposted 6 years ago in reply to this

          If you want to talk about the whole body of temp data available (even though it is indirect data and therefore not as reliable as the last 200 years), then there were no record highs established this year. There were times with much higher temps during Earth history. This is about your first "fact". Your second "fact" is clearly based on 200 years of data or so, and therefore is insignificant as you yourself just mentioned. smile

          1. kerryg profile image87
            kerrygposted 6 years ago in reply to this

            Misha, I am well aware that climate has changed in the past and will change again. I simply consider it monumentally stupid (and possibly suicidal) to change it deliberately for the worse. And I do believe that is what the human race is doing.

            We're never going to agree on this, so I'm not sure it's worth arguing any more.

            1. Misha profile image74
              Mishaposted 6 years ago in reply to this

              I am not arguing, I am just exposing the fact that what you called "facts" in fact are not facts, even by your own definition. tongue

              Therefore your beliefs based on those "facts" likely are not true, as Cagsil shows on a neighbor thread. smile

              1. kerryg profile image87
                kerrygposted 6 years ago in reply to this

                I know English isn't your first language, but please don't deliberately twist my words. I said the hottest on record, not the hottest ever.

                The fact that there were higher temps prior to the industrial revolution (and even the existence of humans as a species) is irrelevant, because the factors (such as solar activity) involved in causing those high temperatures are not currently active at a level consistent with the degree of warming that we're seeing.

                1. Misha profile image74
                  Mishaposted 6 years ago in reply to this

                  I just leave it here Kerry, I did not expect you to go that far as questioning my English. You brought up "facts" that do not support human pollution induced gw - yet you tried to dupe unsuspecting readers they do, my English has nothing to do with it. See you on other threads. smile

          2. William R. Wilson profile image61
            William R. Wilsonposted 6 years ago in reply to this

            The periods of extreme high and low temperatures in earth's prehistory were also associated with mass extinctions. 

            You can be flippant about it, but there are 8 billion humans and growing on this planet.  Human history, human civilization, began during an age of climate stability.  That stability is over.

          3. ledefensetech profile image82
            ledefensetechposted 6 years ago in reply to this

            I'd be careful using current temp data, there are apparently problems with where these observatories are placing their sensors:

            http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/image … change.pdf

            http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/image … e_temp.pdf

            You also rightly suggested that the accuracy of our climate data decreases dramatically as we go backwards in time.  Not only have our sensors become more and more accurate and our ability to measure temperature around the world grown, tree rings aren't a very accurate way to date temperature change and once you go back far enough, all you have is tree rings.

            If you don't have accurate data, you can't draw an accurate conclusion.

            1. William R. Wilson profile image61
              William R. Wilsonposted 6 years ago in reply to this

              Climate scientists are not amateurs, LE.  They adjust for these sorts of things:

              http://wires.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WiresAr … WCC21.html

              http://www.skepticalscience.com/Does-Ur … trend.html

              "Two thirds of global temperature data comes from ocean records, free of UHI effect. For land records, urban trends are compared to nearby rural data - anomalous urban trends are homogenized to match rural records (Hansen 2001). However, in most cases, the urban temperature trend is observed to be little different to the rural trend. "

              Temperature is not measured solely by mercury thermometers in backyard stations.  It is measured by satellites.  It is measured in Antarctica, in the oceans.  And the data is unequivocal - average global temperature is rising.



              Accuracy of climate data does decrease over time, but we have multiple streams of data.  And in fact, tree ring data only takes us back a few thousand years at most.  After that we have many other datasets that can be compared.

              http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paleoclimatology




              So true!

    2. Ralph Deeds profile image68
      Ralph Deedsposted 6 years ago in reply to this

      A few facts are worth 100 opinions.

  10. Misha profile image74
    Mishaposted 6 years ago

    All what I possibly could say Milla said here smile

    http://hubpages.com/forum/topic/9928

  11. ledefensetech profile image82
    ledefensetechposted 6 years ago

    They may not be amateurs, but consider the fact that many of these guys have made this their life's work.  They now have an economic incentive to push this stuff, especially when you consider many of the top-down solutions to our "climate problem".

    Have you seen the posts I've mad about recent breakthroughs in solar technology?  http://hubpages.com/forum/topic/49820

    It remains to be seen if this breakthrough will really allow solar power to compete with oil, but if it does we might really see an all electric future. 

    At least if we decentralize the power generation system.  That's one of the things that makes the Internet such a powerful communications tool.  Unlike movies, media and telecommunications, you can't censor what is on the Internet.  Likewise, with people generating their own power with solar, it puts them in the driver's seat, not some arbitrary third party like we have now with "public-private" electric companies.

    1. William R. Wilson profile image61
      William R. Wilsonposted 6 years ago in reply to this

      I don't see the financial incentive.  Scientists can find work regardless of their findings.  Those who work at universities can get tenure.  Climatologists are paid to study climate, not to push one particular theory or another. 



      I think I saw it already but I will check out your post again.  I agree with you that decentralizing power generation will help us all in many ways.  Part of the reason we are so addicted to coal and nuclear power in this country is that it is centralized and thus easy to bill people for.  If everyone could produce their own power it would be a major profit killer for the utilities, coal companies, etc.

      This is one situation where I see the market incentive as holding back innovation and positive change, not encouraging it.

  12. ledefensetech profile image82
    ledefensetechposted 6 years ago

    The centralization feature is part and parcel of using something like coal or oil.  Because not every spot on Earth has deposits of oil or coal, you have to ship from the places that do have coal and oil to places who don't.  In order to simplify the logistics, large power generating plants are more cost effective than a lot of little power generating plants.  Since you can use solar power pretty much anywhere, that eliminates the logistical part of power generation.

    I also think there will be something of a market for power.  Remember, with solar generation you only have power for as long as the sun shines.  You can use battery power, but there are still issues with that.  You'd still need some long distance power transportation, although the load would be nothing like we see today.  Cities in particular would be massive energy hogs.  The power load increases dramatically when you consider that if you have an electric car, you'll be pulling off your grid to power it too, probably at night, when the sun isn't out.  So there are practical considerations we need to answer before we claim the advent of the renewable power grid. 

    I have to admit that one thing I'm looking forward to is the elimination of smog.  I'd always wondered what LA and places like Mexico City looked like before smog.  We may get a chance to experience that before too much longer.

 
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