I sometimes believe in signs, but I don't put too much thought into them. It is a sign, or is your heart and/or instinct telling you what to do? Have you applied for the same number of positions in both locations? If you are applying for more back in your home town, maybe your heart is telling you to move back home. It seems like your gut instinct is telling to stay where you are currently since you keep putting aside the desire to move back home.
When it comes to jobs and relocating, sometimes it is best to put most of your emotions aside and go back to the classic pros and cons list. Where do you have a better chance of landing a job? Compare the cost of living, they types of jobs that are available, cost of living, etc. After you have this list, then think about where you would be happier. If you believe you would be happier in a place that has more cons, then you have a hard decision trying to determine if your overall happiness is more important than career opportunities at this time in your life.