2009 NFL Football Week Nine Preview and Picks

2009 NFL Football Week Nine Preview and Picks
2009 NFL Football Week Nine Preview and Picks

Who Will Win Each Game, and More Importantly, Who Will Cover the Spread

I took a bit of a beating last week, especially against the spread. After I finally had decided that Denver was worthy of respect, they went out and got destroyed by Baltimore. Then the Saints made me want to jump off a roof by allowing Atlanta to kick a field goal in the waning minutes of their Monday night game while leading by eleven as ten point favorites. I had regained a little hope for the Jets after they put the hurt on the Raiders. I really should have known better than to have judged any team based on a victory over Oakland.

I ended up playing opposites again finishing 8-5 straight up (winners) but only 5-8 against the spread. Which leaves me with and overall record of 74-41 straight up and 59-55-1 against the spread. So, I'm still in the positive against the casino, even if it is by a fairly slim margin at the moment.

Saints vs. Falcons Monday Night Game Highlights

Guess who's back...
Guess who's back...

Have Your Say

What did you like most about week eight?

  • The Ravens defense returning just in the nick of time.
  • The Eagles putting the Giants away in the last two minutes of the first half.
  • New Orleans perfecting other teams' methods
  • Ted Ginn Jr.'s returns in the face of harsh criticisms
  • Something else. (Put it in the comments.)
See results without voting

What I Liked in Week Eight

  1. The Return of the Ravens Defense - After being M.I.A. during the Ravens' three game losing streak, Baltimore's defense finally made an appearance last week against Denver. They even managed to reverse the season's biggest trend by outplaying the Broncos during the second half. They completely shut Denver down holding them to 200 yards of total offense. Then they outscored the Broncos 24-7 in the second half to turn a slim 6-0 halftime lead into a total rout. The timing couldn't be much better with them making a trip to Cincinnati next week.
  2. The Philadelphia Eagles Closing Out the First Half Against the Giants - With 1:54 remaining in the first half the Giants scored a touchdown to cut the Eagles lead from 16-0 to 16-7 and putting themselves back into the game before it completely got away from them. Sixteen seconds later Desean Jackson broke into the clear on a 54 yard touchdown reception to put the Eagles back up by sixteen. Eli Manning threw an interception on the next Giants possession and the Eagles proceeded to slam the door shut on New York with a 23 yard TD reception by Jeremy Maclin. At the end of the half the Eagles led 30-7 and never led by less than 16 points the rest of the game. Even with Michael Westbrook missing time with various injuries this season, Philadelphia is loaded with weapons on offense and can score in a hurry.
  3. New Orleans is the Led Zeppelin of the NFL - Apparently, the key to the Saints' success is their ability to collect plays from other teams and perform them even better than the coaches who originally drew them up. In reality, all the amazing innovation of the New Orleans offense is actually owed to copying other teams. Their coaches scour hours of videos to discover the perfect plays and then wait like a silent film villain for the opportunity to spring them on unsuspecting defenses. It's no wonder that they are averaging more points than the rest of the NFL combined (almost).
  4. Ted Ginn Jr.'s Response to Critics - Maybe the Dolphins should spend the days between games recruiting people to criticize Ted Ginn Jr. After being benched and because of ineffectiveness and getting called an embarrassment and coward by former Dolphins great Bob Kuechenberg, Ginn had one of just a few great games he has posted as a member of the Dolphins. Ted Ginn Jr. posted kick off returns of 100 and 101 yards during the third quarter to register his share of the 37 combined points the Jets and Dolphins scored in the third quarter.

Kinda like when a girlfriend breaks up with you and then gets jealous when she sees you with someone else
Kinda like when a girlfriend breaks up with you and then gets jealous when she sees you with someone else

Have Your Say

What did you like the least about week eight?

  • Green Bay's separation anxiety after telling Favre to take a hike.
  • The Packers coaches inability to adjust their blockin schemes to protect Aaron Rodgers.
  • The Bills terrible record at home.
  • Miami going for two when they would be just as good off kicking the PAT.
  • Something else. (Put it in the comments.)
See results without voting

What I Didn't Like in Week Eight

  1. Favre Wasn't the Only Drama Queen in Green Bay Last Week - As annoying as the yearly Favre retirement tour has been for the past ten years, all the betrayal drama in Green Bay last week was just silly. Green Bay fans have every right to boo Favre until their voices give out and in fact they should do just that, but all of the Benedict Arnold imagery is very much misplaced. The simple fact is that Brett Favre would still be playing for the Packers if they hadn't decided to "move forward with Aaron Rodgers." There was nothing preventing the Packers from keeping him on their team for as long as he was under contract except their own decision to anoint Rodgers as the undisputed starter.
  2. The Packers' QB "Protection" - Meanwhile,speaking of moving forward with Aaron Rodgers, that never going to happen as long as their offensive line is giving up five sacks a game. Against the Vikings alone Green Bay gave up fourteen sacks in two games. What's more the Packer coaching staff did absolutely nothing to adjust between the first game, when Rodgers was sacked eight times, and the second game, when he was sacked six more times. Instead of shifting the line toward Jared Allen, who had 7.5 of those sacks by himself, or using a running back to chip him, they left Allen Barbre one on one against him and Rodgers payed the price for it. So long as Aaron Rodgers is playing a game of Russian roulette with every snap, the Packers are never going to be successful.
  3. The Bills' Home Field Disadvantage - Buffalo has now lost eight of their last nine home games. In more than half (five) of those nine games they have failed to score a touchdown. It might actually be to their advantage to play some of their home games in a different city.
  4. Miami Going for Two While Leading by Eleven - Apparently, Tony Sporano needs one of those little sheets that tells you when to try for a two point conversion. After scoring a touchdown to increase their lead to eleven points, the Dolphins lined up for the two point attempt. They promptly missed leaving the Jets within a field goal and TD of potentially tying the score. Had they made it they would have been up 13 points which would have required two TD's for the Jets to catch them. Of course, had they just kicked the extra point they would have been up by twelve, which also would have required two TD's.

"We're number 32!"
"We're number 32!"

Have Your Say

What is the most significant thing you learned in week eight?

  • Sometimes two teams are so bad that it should be possible to have two losers.
  • Maybe the Jets and their quarterbacks are just cursed.
  • The Texans have a pretty barren team history in the won-loss column.
  • Derek Anderson is gaining fast on JaMarcus Russell in the fight to be the worst starting QB ever.
  • Something else. (Put it in the comments.)
See results without voting

What I Learned in Week Eight

  1. Sometimes It's Just a Matter Of the Worse Team Losing - There's an old saying that sometimes it's just a matter of the better team winning. Which is a nice way of saying that all the tricks in the world sometimes isn't enough to overcome superior talent. The other side of that coin is that sometimes two teams are so bad that it's just a case of one team losing by default, rather than either of them actually playing well. A perfect example of that would be week eight's game featuring the Lions vs. the Rams. The epitome of this was when James Butler intercepted a pass to end a Lions drive ran it out of the end zone, turned around and ran back into the end zone where he was tackled for a safety.
  2. Maybe It Wasn't Favre's Fault After All - Last year the Jets roared out of the gate and unexpectedly beat New England to appear like they were the team to beat in the AFC East. At that point, they fell apart down the stretch in large part because their celebrated QB began throwing a ton of interceptions. This year the Jets sprinted out to a 3-0 record including an unexpected victory over New England to look like the team to beat in the AFC East. From that point, they have fallen apart, largely because their newly celebrated QB started throwing tons of interceptions. Maybe it's just something in the water.
  3. This is Only the First Time the Texans Have Been Two Games Over .500 - The Texans are finally starting to play like they might actually finish better than 8-8 this season after all. However, the most stunning stat about the franchise is that their current 5-3 record represents the first time in their seven years of existence that the team has ever been two games above .500 (not at the end of the season, but at any point in the season). So hope of yet another mediocre season is very much alive and well in Houston.
  4. JaMarcus Russell Might Have Some Competition From Derek Anderson - For most of the season JaMarcus Russell had a pretty solid grip on the title of worst quarterback in the NFL. His 48.3 QB rating and sub-fifty percent accuracy were hard to match. However, in the past few weeks a new contender has burst upon the scene. Derek Anderson's 6 of 17 passing performance in week eight might even have put him in the lead in the race to the bottom. Anderson's 36.2 QB rating and lower 40's passing accuracy is hard to match even for someone as inept as Russell. In fact, if a QB just dropped back and threw the ball straight into the ground on every pass play his rating would be 39.6. The Saints defense has actually scored more points while running back turnovers than the Browns offense has scored.

Neither one of these guys are real accurate right now
Neither one of these guys are real accurate right now

Have Your Say

What is the thing you were least surprised by in week eight?

  • Eli Manning's mechanics are being affected by his injury.
  • The Giants defense has been exposed for what it was all along.
  • Carolina would be better off basing their offense around the running game.
  • Michael Vick has been nothing but a waste of a roster spot for Philadelphia.
  • Something else. (Put it in the comments.)
See results without voting

What I Already Knew

  1. Eli Manning's Heel Injury is Putting a Hurting on the Giants Offense - I said a few weeks ago that the plantar fasciitis injury could be a lingering problem for Eli Manning. He looked to be okay against Oakland, but then who doesn't. Since then Manning has been off badly and the main problem has been his tendency to overthrow receivers. One of the main causes of that is not planting your foot properly, which just happens to be one of the things foot pain can cause.
  2. The Giants' Defensive Problems are Nothing New - The other thing that has contributed to the Giants sudden vulnerability is more of a situation of something that has been bad all along, but only recently was exposed. In particular, New York's defense has been vulnerable to the long pass all season long, they just hadn't faced anyone that could take advantage of that weakness prior to facing New Orleans. The real reason that the Giants had such dominant stats was because four of the first five teams they played were abysmal on offense. Of those five, the one respectable offense they faced was the Cowboys and they gave up 31 points in that game.
  3. The Panthers Should be Running the Ball Early and Often - I pointed out last week that the Panthers have insisted on basing their offense on the passing game, in spite of how turnover prone Jake Delhomme has been and how many games he has cost them with multiple interceptions. It appears that Carolina finally got the message last week when they ran the ball 43 times vs. just 17 passes against Arizona. As a result, Delhomme registered his first turnover free game, Panthers runners totaled 270 yards, and Carolina won easily. Maybe they should keep doing that.
  4. Michael Vick Has Had Less Than Zero Impact in the First Half of the Season - I've said since the day he was signed that Michael Vick's second stint in the NFL would have zero impact. At this point though, it would be more proper to say that his impact has been even less than zero. At this point he's managed to complete 2 out of 6 passes for a grand total of 6 yards along with 11 rushes for 25 yards, a whopping 2.3 ypc. His appearances in Philly's offense have done nothing but disrupt the momentum of the team without anything positive in return. It's no wonder his playing time has been progressively decreasing as the season has gone on.

It's enough to make a grown man cry in Cleveland
It's enough to make a grown man cry in Cleveland

Have Your Say

Which Prediction Do You Think is Most Likely to Happen?

  • Things will just keep getting worse and more bizarre in Cleveland.
  • New Orleans looks due for a letdown at some point in the next few games.
  • The Eagles defense is going to get put to the test against the Cowboys.
  • The Ravens are proven winners in November.
  • Something else. (Put it in the comments.)
See results without voting

Predictions for Week Nine

  1. Every Time You Think the Browns Have Hit Bottom They Drop Another Level - Last week was one of those rare instances where I didn't have an item about something ridiculously stupid happening in or around the Cleveland Browns organization. So of course they went all out this week. First it started slow with Erin O'brien, who was imported from the Jets along with Eric Mangini, being fired as the director of team operations. Then it picked up steam with newly hired general manager George Kokinis, who had been hand-picked by Mangini for the job, being fired due to a reported power struggle between the two. Subsequently, things took on an air of strangeness that could only exist in Cleveland (or possibly Oakland) when owner Randy Lerner denied that Kokinis had been fired although he was "no longer active" in the Browns organization.
  2. The Saints are Due for a Loss - First have to issue a bit of a disclaimer. New Orleans has an incredibly easy schedule from here on out. Plus with the possible exception of the Colts, the Saints are far and away the best team in the league and I wouldn't be at all surprised if they went 16-0 or even 19-0, once all is said and done. However, the past couple weeks they've come out with really slow starts then came back to pull it out after trailing early. They definitely have the firepower to come back, but one of these days they may just wake up a bit too late. With three easy games coming up before they play a big game against the Patriots they may just get caught looking ahead. And even if they don't, New England, Atlanta, and Dallas are very capable of pulling the upset.
  3. The Eagles Defense Will Face a Big Test This Week - There's no doubt the Eagles have pulled together on offense since Mcnabb returned to the lineup. However, the one remaining question is where exactly they stand on defense. So far they've only faced two good offenses in the first half of the season. The Giants had already began slumping before they met so that was somewhat of a technicality. In the other game against the Saints they gave up 48 points, but that was one of the games Mcnabb sat out with fractured ribs and Kevin Kolb threw three interceptions. So this weeks' game against the Cowboys will be the first time the Eagles have faced a top flight offensive team without any extenuating circumstances. In addition, Philadelphia shored up their biggest defensive weakness by trading with St. Louis for LB Will Witherspoon. He's had an immediate impact in the two games he has been with the Eagles, but will be facing his most stern test against pro bowl tight end Jason Witten, as well as the highly rated Cowboys rushing attack.
  4. The Ravens Will Most Likely Get Right Back in the Mix During November -The way the Ravens played in the past three games made them look like a lamb headed for the slaughter going into their game against the Broncos. They came out blitzing though and took it to Denver winning a surprisingly easy victory. Perhaps it shouldn't have been so surprising though. Baltimore has a habit of playing well in November. Including the blowout of the Broncos, they are now 6-1 in November over the past two seasons.

My Picks for the 2009 Week Nine NFL Games

Sun, Nov. 8
10:00 AM (PST)
11:00 AM (MST)
12:00 PM (CST)
1:00 PM (EST)
Favorite
Underdog
Point Spread
Straight Up
Against the Spread
Atlanta
Washington
10.0
Atlanta
Atlanta
Chicago
Arizona
3.0
Chicago
Arizona
Baltimore
Cincinnati
3.0
Baltimore
Baltimore
Indianapolis
Houston
9.0
Indianapolis
Indianapolis
New England
Miami
10.5
New England
Miami
Green Bay
Tampa Bay
9.5
Green Bay
Green Bay
Jacksonville
Kansas City
6.5
Jacksonville
Jacksonville
Sun, Nov. 8
1:00 PM (PST)
2:00 PM (MST)
3:00 PM (CST)
4:00 PM (EST)
New Orleans
Carolina
13.5
New Orleans
Carolina
Seattle
Detroit
10.0
Seattle
Seattle
New York Giants
San Diego
4.5
New York Giants
San Diego
San Francisco
Tennessee
4.0
San Francisco
San Francisco
Sun, Nov. 8
5:20 PM (PST)
6:20 PM (MST)
7:20 PM (CST)
8:20 PM (EST)
Philadelphia
Dallas
3.0
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Mon, Nov. 9
5:30 PM (PST)
6:30 PM (MST)
7:30 PM (CST)
8:30 PM (EST)
Pittsburgh
Denver
3.0
Pittsburgh
Denver
Teams with byes in week nine: Buffalo, Cleveland, Minnesota, New York Jets, Oakland, St. Louis

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5 comments

Rich Brown 6 years ago

I can't believe the Ravens got swept by Cincy...I am now a believer


EYEAM4ANARCHY profile image

EYEAM4ANARCHY 6 years ago from Las Vegas, NV. Author

Unfortunately, the sad thing for me is that I had a hunch about most of the upsets. I just couldn't pull the trigger and it cost me. The only game that really surprised me was the Niners getting beat by the Titans and that was actually pretty minimal.


acanderson24 profile image

acanderson24 6 years ago

Hey, first let me say thanks for checking out my hub...yeah, i had a pretty good day...i really like the way you have some your pages filled with some good links..


ocbill profile image

ocbill 6 years ago from hopefully somewhere peaceful and nice

the superpowers. Indy vs New england too bad John Madden is gone from broadcasting. can't wait till Brett Favre loses in the playoffs. the vikes are not an elite team like NE, Indy or New Orleans.


EYEAM4ANARCHY profile image

EYEAM4ANARCHY 6 years ago from Las Vegas, NV. Author

Thanks acanderson. I took a beating yesterday. I could end up with a losing record straight up if Pitt loses tonight, which might be the first time ever. I actually had a few games (Arizona, Tampa Bay, San Diego) I had some reservations about, but I couldn't quite make the commitment to pick an upset. I really should have gone with my instincts.

That is gonna be a great game and a big test for Indy ocbill. I do think the Vikings qualify as one of the elite teams at this point, but they have a real weakness on defense against the pass, especially the long ball. That doesn't bode well for them against any one of those three teams and possibly against Philly, Arizona, or Dallas either. Even in the games against Green Bay, they allowed Rodgers to collect a lot of yards. It could be a short stay if they face a team with a good offensive line and a top QB in the playoffs.

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