2009 NFL Football Week Ten Preview and Picks

2009 NFL Football Week Ten Preview and Picks
2009 NFL Football Week Ten Preview and Picks

Who Will Win Each Game, and More Importantly, Who Will Cover the Spread

I had several games last week that I was really on the fence about. However instead of going with my instincts and picking the upsets, I played it safe and went with the favorites and it really cost me. Overall, I took a pretty good beating. In fact, in straight up picks this was my worst week ever. Luckily, Pittsburgh came through with a victory in the Monday night game to keep me from posting a losing record picking the winners. Unfortunately, I wasn't quite so lucky against the spread. Instead, the Steelers covering the number cost me a winning record.

So once all was said and done, I came out of it with a 7-6 record straight up (winners) and a 6-7 record against the spread. Which leaves with a season record of 81-47 straight up and 65-62-1 against the spread. Which means I'm still on the winning side against the line, although I don't have much of a cushion left anymore. I need a coupe good weeks to get me over that hump.

Chargers Vs. Giants Highlights

You always remember your first time
You always remember your first time

Have Your Say

What did you like most about week nine?

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What I Liked in Week Nine

  1. Josh Freeman's First Game as the Starting QB in Tampa Bay - I've never been a big fan of the theory that the way to prepare your quarterback of the future is to have them stand on the sidelines holding a clipboard while the team loses one game after another. It's always a good idea to do whatever you can to keep the pressure off of a young QB by running the ball, but when you get right down to it the only way they learn is by getting out there and throwing the ball. Regardless, once you reach a certain point and the season is lost you might as well see what the new guy can do. I think the Bucs actually reached that point about three games ago, but at least they finally turned the keys over to Josh Freeman. His test run didn't turn out too bad either with a 14 of 31 passing effort for 205 yards and three touchdowns with just one interception during a 38-28 victory over Green Bay.
  2. Carson Palmer Owning the Ravens - Maybe it shouldn't be such a big surprise that the Bengals swept the Ravens after all. Cincinnati QB Carson Palmer has an 8-3 career record against Baltimore. When you consider how mediocre the Bengals have been during that time that is a pretty significant stat. It doesn't hurt when you have Cedric Benson averaging over a hundred yard a game against the Ravens this season, either.
  3. The Bengals Defense Playing Like the Ravens Used To - Seems like the big resurgence of the Baltimore defense lasted for all of one game. The Bengals defense though, looks like they are for real this season. For the second time this season, the Cincinnati defense shut Baltimore down. This time, they registered four sacks and two interceptions while holding the Ravens scoreless until the fourth quarter. The Bengals defense can be vulnerable against the pass, but the one thing they don't do is give up points.
  4. Michael Turner Finally Coming to Life - After being hailed as the free agent steal of the year last season, Michael Turner was pretty mediocre in the first seven weeks of this season. After six games he had just 403 yards and was averaging just 3.4 yards per carry. But that all changed against New Orleans when he averaged 7.6 YPC in gaining 151 yards. Then in week nine, he proved it wasn't a fluke by gaining 166 yards against Washington. Between those two games alone, Turner has rushed for 317 yards on 38 carries (a 8.34 yard average) along with three scores.

It's no fun driving home like that after the Bears get beat by 20 points
It's no fun driving home like that after the Bears get beat by 20 points

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What did you like the least about week nine?

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What I Didn't Like in Week Nine

  1. Chicago's Defense Has Been Unbearable Lately - The "Monsters of the Midway" haven't exactly been very monstrous these days. In fact, it has gotten down right brutal lately with them giving up 45 points to the Bengals in week seven and then 41 points to the Cardinals last week. Ken Whisehunt even jokingly stated, "we didn't let 'em off the hook," in reference to Denny Green's infamous rant. That's just sad when a team comes to your home field, kicks dirt in your face, and then mocks you on the way out.
  2. The NFL Fining Ocho Cinco for a Joke - I started watching the NFL back in the eighties, so I can understand the reason for the excess celebration rules. However, it's getting to the point where you have to question if maybe the league's priorities are in the wrong place. First, Chad Ocho Cinco gets fined $20,000 for an innocent (and somewhat funny) joke where he pretended to bribe the referees during a review of a play. Then they only fine Tommie Harris $7,500 for sucker punching a player who is laying on the ground. And just for good measure, they put the kibosh on a marketing deal that would have funneled a bunch of money to the fund for financially strapped retired players (giving Captain Morgan a ton of free publicity in the process). Between this and the constant horrendous looking throwback uniforms, someone in the NFL's PR department is asleep at the wheel.
  3. Desean Jackson Signing With Drew Rosenhaus - Speaking of PR disasters, it isn't exactly the best of news for Eagles fans to hear that Philadelphia's number one receiver has signed with the infamous Drew Rosenhaus. That particular combination has some really bad memories attached to it if you are an Eagles fan. Hopefully, the Eagles front office knows enough to not low-ball Jackson too much and he knows enough not to play hardball unnecessarily. Avoiding a sit up demonstration in Desean's driveway would be a good thing.
  4. Joselio Hanson's Suspension for Banned Substances - With the announcement of Hanson's four game ban after he "accidentally" took a diuretic because he ate something that gave him a tummy ache back in January (according to his agent), the Eagles are now forced to play without two of their top four corners (Ellis Hobbs injured his neck earlier in the season) . This doesn't really bode well for the Philadelphia defense as they get ready to face Philip Rivers along with San Diego receivers Vincent Jackson, Kassim Osgood, and Malcom Floyd, all of whom are 6 foot 5 inches tall. Not to mention Antonio Gates, who is one of the top TE's and also happens to be 6 feet 4 inches tall. Not a real good time for a team to be short on cornerbacks.

Scoring in the second half against Denver is no longer a rarity
Scoring in the second half against Denver is no longer a rarity

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What is the most significant thing you learned in week nine?

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What I Learned in Week Nine

  1. The Broncos no Longer Own the Second Half - The past two weeks the Broncos have went into the half in the midst of close competitive games. Judging by their first six games, when they outscored their opponents by a combined 73-16 score in the second half, you would think it was going to be in the bag for Denver. Unfortunately, that has been anything but the case against the Ravens and Steelers. In fact, it would be pretty fair to say that they have done a complete turn around in the past two games. In those two games the Broncos have been outscored 45-14 in the second half. Against the Steelers, it was so bad that they were even held to just one yard rushing after halftime. Kinda makes you wonder if they are going to keep the Broncos tradition of fading during the second half of the season alive also.
  2. The Eagles Failed the Test in Dallas - I predicted last week that the game against the Cowboys would be a big test for the Eagles' defense. It actually ended up being more of an all around failure for the whole team. Mcnabb didn't have a particularly spectacular game and the offense in general was pretty underwhelming. On defense, they pretty much managed to stay in the game for the most part right up until Miles Austin broke their back with a 49 yard TD catch in the fourth quarter. The fact it was that close had a lot more to do with Dallas not taking advantage of opportunities than it had to do with anything Philadelphia did, though. All night long they missed tackles, committed silly penalties, and blew coverages. Philly defenders even literally ran into each other several times.
  3. Brian Westbrook is Probably Close to Done in Philly - Brian Westbrook is one of the most explosive players when he's healthy. Unfortunately, he has always been fairly injury prone and the past few years especially he's been suffering from one ailment or another almost constantly. So far this season, he has already missed 3 of 8 games and it could be argued he shouldn't be playing yet after suffering a major concussion only two weeks ago against the Redskins. The Eagles have a history of cutting players loose once they start to get a bit long in the tooth. With Westbrook being over thirty (which is when running backs usually hit the wall) and having such a history of injuries don't be surprised if he is a former Eagle soon. Especially after they declined to pick up the option on his contract that would have kept him signed through 2012 instead making him a free agent after 2010.
  4. The Dogfight is Over in the AFC East - For the first four games it looked like things were going to be tough for the Patriots in the AFC East this season. Miami was making some noise and the Jets were looking like they just might topple New England. Then the Dolphins became kinda ordinary, New York completely fell apart, and the Patriots just kept right on winning. In the end, it's right back to the way it has been for the past decade with New England winning the division and everyone else fighting over second place. And it is shaping up to be a distant second.

Another one almost got away from the Saints in week nine
Another one almost got away from the Saints in week nine

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What is the thing you were least surprised by in week nine?

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What I Already Knew

  1. The Saints are Really Due for a Loss - For the third week in a row New Orleans has let themselves get outplayed early and then came roaring back at the end. Obviously they have the talent to score a bunch when they have to and the teams they are facing the next two weeks (St. Louis and Tampa Bay) aren't exactly world beaters. There's the old saying though: on any given Sunday in the NFL. It looks like they are believing the headlines a little too much and they just might end up waiting too long to come storming back in one of these games. Even if they don't though, it's not a good idea to lose their sense of urgency before they go up against the Patriots in three weeks.
  2. Vince Young Should Have Been Starting Sooner - It is a bit of a different situation with Vince Young being a vet, but this kinda falls into that same category as with Josh Freeman, where after a certain point you might as well just put him in there and see what happens. In yet another similarity to the Tampa Bay situation, I think Jeff Fisher should have reached that point a couple weeks earlier instead of waiting until they were 0-6 and the season was pretty much over. It's pretty clear who should be the starter next season at this point, though.
  3. Running the Ball is a Good Idea in Carolina - I said a couple weeks ago that it might be a good idea for the Pathers not to have Jake Delhomme throwing the ball 40 or 50 times a game since he has a habit of turning the ball over constantly and they were actually more effective running the ball anyway. Even though they didn't get the victory last week against the Saints, they did stay with the run based offense and for the second straight week Delhomme has not thrown an interception. Plus, DeAngelo Williams has averaged 153.5 yards per game in the last two weeks. Maybe they should stick with that game plan.
  4. The Natives Are Restless Again in Cleveland - It really wouldn't be a week in the NFL without some sort of scandal emanating from Cleveland. This week it's Jamal Lewis saying that Mangini is working the team too hard in practice and that they are worn out by the time Sunday rolls around and it's time to play the game. Mangini, of course, immediately denied that was the case, but it was kinda hard to hear him over the sound of the rest of the Browns chanting "J-Lew, J-Lew, J-Lew," in front of Jamal Lewis' locker.

The Chargers are breaking away from the competition in the second half yet again
The Chargers are breaking away from the competition in the second half yet again

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Which Prediction Do You Think is Most Likely to Happen?

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Predictions for Week Ten

  1. San Diego is About to Make Their Annual Second Half Charge - It's almost getting as predictable as Denver winning early and then falling apart in the second half of the season. Every year San Diego digs itself a giant hole by playing mediocre or worse in the first half of the season. Then they embark on a miraculous resurrection over the second half of the season and somehow make the playoffs. After pretty much being left for dead with a 2-3 record while the Denver was undefeated and looking unstoppable, they have now climbed right back into it at 5-3 just one game behind the suddenly very beatable Broncos.
  2. Expect the Typical Squeaker in Indy - Much like the situation with Denver and San Diego, things are shaping up just like you would expect them to around this time of year for the Colts and Patriots. While I think the Saints are clearly the best team in the league at this point, the Patriots, Colts, and Steelers are as usual on a level above any of the other teams in the NFL. In all likelihood one of those three teams will meet New Orleans in the Super Bowl in February. In this particular game, I think it will be close but I give the Patriots the edge right now. With the injuries on defense that the Colts have suffered, especially now that they have had to make rookies Jarraud Powers and Jacob Lacey the starting corner backs, I just don't see them holding up against the Patriots offense.
  3. Giants Def. Coordinator Bill Sheridan is on the Way Out - It might not happen right away or even until the end of the season, but if the Giants keep losing they are going to need to put someone's head on the chopping block. Being that the defense hasn't played particularly well during their four game skid, Bill Sheridan looks to be the guy to get thrown to the wolves. And even though there have been some key injuries (defensive backfield), it's not unfair at all to put most of the blame at Sheridan's feet. The defense this season has lacked the aggression that it had when Spagnola was calling the plays and that ability to pressure the QB was the key to the Giants' success on defense.
  4. Buffalo Would be Going From Bad to Worse with Vick - Even though on paper the Eagles gave Michael Vick a two year deal that was just for salary cap reasons. From day one it was really only a one year deal and it either would have been redone at the end of the year or Vick would have been cut depending on how he played. So with the grand total of 27 yards he has contributed to the Eagles offense, Vick definitely will be looking for a new team during the offseason. A big part of the reason Michael Vick ended up in Philadelphia in the first place is because Tony Dungy convinced both Vick and the Eagles that it would be a good place for him to go to make a fresh start. Which is why, when Dungy says "I think a dark horse is Buffalo. They talked originally. There was some communication there. I think that could be a good spot,'' while discussing possible places for Vick to go next season, you have to give it some credence. It's also why you have to just cringe when hearing that if you are a Bills fan. Michael Vick was well on his way to washing out of the league when he was with Atlanta and he has done nothing but reinforce that in Philadelphia. Buffalo would be even worse off with Vick as their QB than they are now with Edwards.

My Picks for the 2009 Week Ten NFL Games

Sun, Nov. 15
10:00 AM (PST)
11:00 AM (MST)
12:00 PM (CST)
1:00 PM (EST)
Favorite
Underdog
Point Spread
Straight Up
Against the Spread
@Tennessee
Buffalo
6.5
Tennessee
Tennessee
New Orleans
@St. Louis
13.5
New Orleans
St. Louis
@Miami
Tampa Bay
10.0
Miami
Miami
@Minnesota
Detroit
16.5
Minnesota
Detroit
@New York Jets
Jacksonville
7.0
New York Jets
Jacksonville
@Pittsburgh
Cincinnati
7.0
Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Denver
@Washington
3.5
Denver
Denver
Atlanta
@Carolina
1.5
Atlanta
Atlanta
Sun, Nov. 15
1:00 PM (PST)
2:00 PM (MST)
3:00 PM (CST)
4:00 PM (EST)
@Oakland
Kansas City
1.5
Kansas City
Kansas City
Dallas
@Green Bay
3.0
Dallas
Dallas
@Arizona
Seattle
8.5
Arizona
Seattle
@San Diego
Philadelphia
2.0
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Sun, Nov. 15
5:20 PM (PST)
6:20 PM (MST)
7:20 PM (CST)
8:20 PM (EST)
@Indianapolis
New England
3.0
New England
New England
Mon, Nov. 16
5:30 PM (PST)
6:30 PM (MST)
7:30 PM (CST)
8:30 PM (EST)
Baltimore
@Cleveland
11.0
Baltimore
Baltimore
Teams with byes in week ten: Houston and the New York Giants

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2 comments

Rich Brown 7 years ago

I like Atlanta too, however I don't understand why the line in this game is only 2 points. Atlanta is better in the passing game, defense, special teams, and are a push in the running game. I think this is one of those games that Vegas makes a killing on


EYEAM4ANARCHY profile image

EYEAM4ANARCHY 7 years ago from Las Vegas, NV. Author

I was pretty surprised myself when I saw that it was only a two point spread in that game. I think it must just be because Carolina has played a lot better the past two weeks and it's a division game. I still think it's a steal.

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