2013 Top 100 Fantasy Baseball Keeper Rankings
It's hard to explain. He's been exceptional. He's lived up to the hype and then some. He's had one of the most incredible seasons of all-time. The front-runner for MVP in the AL. He's also pretty handsome(Yes, I said it). The obvious Rookie of the Year. I'm talking about the one and only, Mike Trout. The season he's having is one for the ages. It's hard to take it all in(Don't take this the wrong way). He's really only 21 years-old? No need to delve into the history he is making in the MLB. All we care about is how he stacks up as a keeper in fantasy baseball leagues, right? You might be surprised where I have him ranked. There are just so many studs to choose from. You have guys like Ryan Fawn, Matt Pemp, Piguel Cabrera, and Domo Arigato Mr. Joey Votto that you just have to flat out respect on this list. It was really hard choosing where to place Trout, but here's what I went with.
Update: Have made quite a few changes since making the hub. Names such as Edwin Encarnacion, Yoenis Cespedes, Jurickson Profar, and Jason Kipnis have been added. Certain players have been switched in the rankings like Jay Bruce, Bryce Harper, Justin Upton, Justin Verlander, Clayton Kershaw, Carlos Santana, Brett Lawrie, Matt Wieters, Joe Mauer, and Jason Heyward. The list will be constantly updated whenever there is a change in production, injury, etc..
The Top-100
1. Ryan Braun
2. Mike Trout
4. Joey Votto
5. Andrew McCutchen
6. Albert Pujols
7. Carlos Gonzalez
8. Robinson Cano
9. Justin Verlander
10. Matt Kemp
11. Stephen Strasburg
12. Giancarlo Stanton
13. Prince Fielder
14. Justin Upton
15. Bryce Harper
16. Dustin Pedroia
17. Clayton Kershaw
18. Josh Hamilton
19. Ian Kinsler
20. Jered Weaver
21. Jose Bautista
22. Buster Posey
23. Felix Hernandez
24. Madison Bumgarner
25. Matt Holliday
26. David Price
27. Troy Tulowitzki
28. Jason Heyward
29. Adrian Beltre
30. David Wright
31. Adrian Gonzalez
32. Jose Reyes
33. Evan Longoria
34. Ryan Zimmerman
35. Hanley Ramirez
36. Cole Hamels
37. Edwin Encarancion
38. Jacoby Ellsbury
39. Billy Butler
40. Cliff Lee
41. Chris Sale
42. Matt Cain
43. Jay Bruce
44. Roy Halladay
45. Curtis Granderson
46. Pablo Sandoval
47. CC Sabathia
48. Matt Moore
49. Zack Greinke
50. Aroldis Chapman
51. Paul Konerko
52. Matt Wieters
53. Mark Teixeira
54. Brandon Phillips
55. Adam Jones
56. Starlin Castro
57. Austin Jackson
58. Michael Bourn
59. Nelson Cruz
60. Yu Darvish
61. Joe Mauer
62. R.A. Dickey
63. Tim Lincecum
64. Chase Headley
65. Yovanni Gallardo
66. C.J. Wilson
67. Freddie Freeman
68. Josh Johnson
69. Shin-Soo Choo
70. Elvis Andrus
71. Carlos Santana
72. Adam Wainwright
73. David Ortiz
74. Mark Trumbo
75. Craig Kimbrel
76. Asdrubal Cabrera
77. Jon Lester
78. Alex Gordon
79. Jose Altuve
80. Brett Lawrie
81. Gio Gonzalez
82. Eric Hosmer
83. Jordan Zimmerman
84. Ben Zobrist
85. Jimmy Rollins
86. Mat Latos
87. David Freese
88. Brandon Morrow
89. Tommy Hanson
90. Melky Cabrera
91. Paul Goldschmidt
92. Yoenis Cespedes
93. Jurickson Profar
94. Kris Medlen
95. Brian McCann
96. Jesus Montero
97. Dan Haren
98. Jason Kipnis
99. Mike Moustakas
100. Mike Napoli
Breakdown of the Top-100
Mike Trout, OF, Los Angeles Angels
You are probably wondering why I have him so high. Then again, you might be wondering why I don't have him #1. What it all boiled down to was that Trout was a highly touted, elite prospect, and he's playing like it this year. The reason why I put Braun #1 is because Braun is just too good. Braun is hitting his prime and don't be surprised if he threatens 40/40 like Kemp a year ago. But back to Trout. On a team as great as the Angels, and The Machine hitting two spots behind him, I just see no reason why he can't keep it up. He's gonna get good pitches to hit, and he's getting driven in. I'd expect about 130 runs from Trout next season, and that's being generous. Barring injuries. Look for a .320 average, 25 HRs, 130 runs, 90 RBIs, and 50 steals next season.
Justin Upton, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
Say what? Why in the heck do I have this guy so high? Simple. Think back to Kemp's season the year before his last season. Still with me? Upton is flat out having a season well below of what is expected of him, after just having sort of a breakout season last year. I'm betting money the Upton of last year shows up and then some. He's also still just a mere 24 years-old. I think next season is the year that Upton puts it all together and gets 40 HRs and 100+ RBIs with a great average to boot.
Update: Justin Upton no longer in the top 10.
Stephen Strasburg, SP, Washington Nationals
Assuming he gets through this season unscathed, there will be no pitching limit and therefore the sky's the limit. Don't be surprised if Strasburg threatens 300 Ks. He really has that type of upside.
Hanley Ramirez, SS, Los Angeles Dodgers
Just a gut feeling, but I think the Hanley of old is back.
Roy Halladay, SP, Philadelphia Phillies
I'm one of Doc's biggest fans, but it's been real. I still think he has one more great season left in him, but don't expect much after next season. Father time doesn't discriminate. Doc is showing signs of declining and it's a shame. Hopefully he bounces back next season and has a shot at a ring.
Aroldis Chapman, RP, Cincinnati Reds
I don't know if you know this but umm, Chapman has 100 Ks, in just 53.2 innings pitched. That is good for a K/9 of 16.8. That is muy ridiculo. He just might be a starter next season, and if I was for sure he would be one, he'd be higher on this list. With Chapman's Ks alone, you could make a case that he's a keeper even if you knew going into next season that he would be a closer.
Eric Hosmer, 1B, Kansas City Royals
Do you think this can last? There's a storm coming, my friends. You and your friends better batten down the hatches, because when he hits, you're all gonna wonder how you ever thought you could live so large and leave so little for the rest of us.
Update: Hosmer has dropped in my rankings substantially, but I still like him to bounce back next year.
Bryce Harper, OF, Washington Nationals
I don't like him as much as most. I know he's an elite prospect, but I don't like him. He's too brash, and he doesn't swing the bat nearly as well as Trout. He could be a nice power threat, but I don't think he'll ever be a .300 hitter. He could be the next Jeff Francoeur or he could become the next Matt Kemp.
Update: Thank you for making me look stupid.
Matt Moore, SP, Tampa Bay Rays
Look for Moore to improve coming off of his rookie campaign. He's already shown in the 2nd half that he is ready take over the #2 role and truly make James Shields expendable. He has a 1.46 ERA so far in the 2nd half. He's quietly taking care of business, and don't forget about this guy. If you can steal him from somebody, go ahead and do it. Price and Moore should be a sick 1-2 punch for years to come.
Yu Darvish, SP, Texas Rangers
Y u no like Yu? It's hard to given the season he's had. I must admit, I wasn't high on Yu Darvish coming into this season. I thought he would have a tough time pitching in the big leagues, and would be just an average pitcher long-term. So far, he hasn't really done anything to disprove that theory. But there is something I really like about him. His K upside. The man can seriously strike out some batters. If you can do that in this league with above average control, you can do some damage. I expect Darvish to improve next season. I think this year was a great experience for him, and he will look to improve this offseason. With better control, Yu has the chance to be a mid-3 ERA pitcher with around 230+ Ks a season. I think that is worthy of a #2 three starter in your fantasy line up. Don't give up on him because of this season. There's a lot of upside here. He's only 25 years-old and in his first stint in America, he has a K/9 over 10. Buy, don't sell.
Update: In September/October Yu had a 2.21 ERA, 0.73 WHIP, 5.57 SO/BB, and a K/9 of 9.6. It gets me excited about Yu's upside next season. Of course he won't have an ERA and WHIP that low pitching in Arlington, but if he can limit his walks and not try to strike everyone out, he could become a dominant pitcher.
David Freese 3B, St. Louis Cardinals
I was a believer before the World Series run. I was a believer after the World Series run. I'm a believer. He's the real deal. All Mr. Freese does is hit.
Tommy Hanson, SP, Atlanta Braves
I still won't give up on you Hanson. Even if you rarely give me quality starts. Even if you always get hurt. I won't give up on you. I still love you. Just for once give me that elite season I've been waiting for. Well, we're waiting.
Melky Cabrera, OF, San Francisco Giants
It's not that I don't like Melky, because I do. I think he's underrated and is having an incredible season, but I can't justify putting him in my top-50. I just can't. I think he comes down to earth some next year, but still a top-100 keeper.
Update: Now with Melky being suspended for 50 games, his value takes quite a hit.
R.A. Dickey, SP, New York Mets
If you notice, I left him completely off the list. There's no doubt he's had an outstanding season and one of the best seasons for a "knuckleballer" of all-time. The man has certainly perfected that pitch, but it's hard to think that this type of success is sustainable. There are probably some people I could have replaced with him, but I just don't see it for Dickey next season. I'd be more than happy to be wrong about him because he's just a very likeable and intelligent guy, but it's hard to say he's a top-100 keeper. I still think he'll be solid next season and a bonafide QS machine, but he just doesn't crack my list.
Update: Robert Allen Dickey is now on the list. It's just too hard not to respect the #1 pitcher in most fantasy leagues. He had a huge season and there shouldn't be too much of a drop off. He's not striking out 200 batters again, but he could come close. Worst case scenario: He's a mid-3.00s ERA pitcher who racks up a ton of QSs with 160+ Ks and 15 wins. That is still valuable in most leagues.
Concerns about the Top-100
Do you think Trout is too high and Harper is too low?
There you have it. The top-100 keepers for the 2013 season. Hopefully Trout doesn't make me look like a complete idiot next season and has a sophomore slump. Wouldn't be the first time and won't be the last. I wouldn't also mind if Bryce Harper proves me wrong and turns into one of the best players in the league. But I think he will never live up to those lofty expectations.
Update: Bryce Harper is improving, and because of that, he has been moved him up in the rankings. With more maturity, Harper could become a top 5 player in baseball. His average and OBP leave a lot to be desired, but a large improvement next season wouldn't be a surprise. After all, he is only 19 years old.
Sources
- ESPN: The Worldwide Leader In Sports
ESPN.com provides comprehensive sports coverage. Complete sports information including NFL, MLB, NBA, College Football, College Basketball scores and news. - Keith Law Blog - ESPN
Keith Law Blog on ESPN.com - The Official Site of Major League Baseball | MLB.com: Homepage
Major League Baseball - Baseball Statistics and Analysis | FanGraphs Baseball
Baseball statistics for Major League baseball and Minor League baseball with statistical analysis, graphs, and projections