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Employment Projections to 2016, 2018 and 2020
Employment and Labor Statistics
An interested person asks - Can you direct me to the source for the top ten jobs to 2016? I have looked for the reference on the labor statistics sites and haven't found it. Thank you. [asked by eaubaby] on the Hub Top 10 Hot Jobs in Seattle.
Thanks for asking the question! The Hub mentioned above currently contains stats for Seattle for 2006 - 2016, but they may or may not be available online at this date in 2010. In 2010, the related statistical projections fo employment for 2006 - 2016 are already out of date. Usually these figures are updated for the nation every two years by the federal government and some states and counties add their own projections in different sets of stats. Occasionally, a city or group of cities in a mega-metropolis ot megaplex will come up with their own projections.
Current employment statistics on the Bureau of Labor Statistics site currently describe expectations for the decade 2008 - 2018, although some US States show projections already for 2009 - 2019. Some healthcare-jobs projections have been set for 2010 - 2020, and I have even extended one such set on my own to 2050.
Deciphering the Code
At first look, employment projections may look like the Code of Hammurabi without a legend.
When you look at employment projections, you may find them not as straightforward as expected. You can find a Top 100 Jobs, or a Top 50 Jobs, or even ALL jobs ranked from 1 to 1,000 or whatever may be the correct number of job titles.
One problem with looking at these longer tables or Excel files is that sometimes they are in alphabetical order only, but have the expected number of percentage increases for each job title listed. However, they cannot be reordered at all on screen. Cutting and pasting into another Excel document sometimes works and sometimes does not. Regardless, you are reading through 1,000 or more jobs.
Another problem is that some of these projections include Job Clusters and Job titles in the same list. What you want is Job Title and you have to know enough about the difference between job cluster and job (title) to weed out the clusters or the job titles for your particular analysis. For instance, what is "Cleaners, all other" or "Managers, all Other"? The best place to go is the Department of Labor Occupational Handbook for 2010 - 2011 and read it all. A new one is published online yearly and I've been reading them for over a decade and find them pretty interesting. They are completely public records.
Employment Projections vs. Job Market
I often like to look at the current job listings spidered from all Internet Sources for USA or Canada and compare them with Employment Projections (federal, state, or local) or Job futures, as they are known in Canada. You might find none of the current high-demand jobs matching the projections -- Only once in several years did I find a city's high demand jobs to all match federal projections. Alternatively, you might find several high demand jobs matching the projections listed in certain years. New jobs emerge, old jobs become obsolete, all sorts of issues arise and projections are redone across the board every two years. In the 2010s, sometimes every year at the state level.
- Hot Jobs in High Demand 2009 - 2016 - Economic Recovery
What jobs are available and in high demand now and in the future?
Employment projects for a single US State may exist for 2006 - 2016, 2008 - 2018, and 2009 - 2019. Projections in 2010 for top jobs from 2010 - 2020 are usually available through a number of business and economic analysts, usually online magazines. You may find considerable overlap among the projections for these decades.
A dramatic change from one set of decade projections to the next, newer group of figures may be attributable to some sort of sweeping change in a market area. This might include a huge advancement in technology and an explosion of jobs (New Town ND oil wells in the 2010s) or a catastrophe wiping out an economy (Hurricane Katrina and other flooding events). The financial failure of many auto manufacturers and resultant job losses in 2009 is another example. Money invested in the Ohio Space Corridor and its resulting new types of jobs from Cincinnati to Dayton and Columbus is another positive instance. The mix of jobs in projections can cange quickly.
Resources to Call
If you cannot locate a US State list of employment projections, call the statehouse in the State Capitol and inquire. For a county or city, call the Chamber of Commerce, City Hall, or Economic Development entity. Another place to call is the county or city workforce/jobs department - it may be located at the Jobs and Family Services or similar division at the county or city level.
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