High Demand Future Jobs 2016 - 2050: How To Read The Signposts And Make Sense Of Articles
Aerospace, Healthcare, Information Technology, Commercial Business
The Future of Business and Employment is in Aerospace, Aerospace and Earth-side Health & Medical, Information Technology, and New Types of Commercial Businesses.
Space Will Provide Thousands of JobsClick thumbnail to view full-size
Spaceports Are Open For Business
The United States of America already has 12 Spaceports operating and open to the public within its borders. Canada also has one.
Many of these ports will be used in the asteroid mining business, alng with private spaceports under construction in Texas. Additional companies plan to build spaceports across the USA.
Look for many new articles about air flight and aerospace industries in the future.
Get to Know What the Numbers Mean
It is very important to understand how statistics are used and misused in news articles to the extent that they give a mistaken or purposely false picture of employment trends in the United States. This knowledge is simple to acquire, if readers who dislike mathematics will use some very simple techniques for understanding.
Opinions, Projections, and Propaganda
A reader of screen name kirodan asks this question regarding furture employment trends:
- "What is more in demand in the future, Business or Health Care?
- IF I'M TO CHOOSE THE BEST CAREER FOR THE FUTURE, WHAT WOULD IT BE?
It is interesting to read across the menu of Top Jobs advocated by a group of individuals and agencies; business analysts and forecasters, financial analysts, employment specialists, marketing pros, labor unions, government officials and departments, and leading business, financial, and economic publications in print and on the Internet.
Each group gathers information and arranges it to make sense in a certain trend and recommendations, and presents it in various ways - some pretty solid, others rather biased, and some incorrect or manipulative.
It is important to look closely at some articles that recommend jobs for now and in the future.
One fact to consider is that government projections or forecasts include several categories and the ones I see referenced most often are
- Numbers of new jobs estimated to be created within a decade of years and
- Percentage increase in jobs from start to finish of a 10-year period.
A Closer Reading Required
An instructor once taught my class : "You can't just read news articles, you have to read news articles, and by that I mean analyze their validity."
One question to approach when reading about hot jobs is how the opinion was formed and what facts contributed to it.
To whit, if an article presents a Top 5 Jobs for the Future, are all the right statistics there? --
- Is every one of the 5 percentages of increase over a projected decade (like 1900 - 1910) listed, along with the total numbers of new jobs expected in the same 10 years for each of the five jobs? Or
- At least one set of 5 percentages or one set of 5 numbers-of-jobs ?
If some of the data is missing or if some percentages and some numbers are used, then the 5 jobs titles can be put into any order and a reader might assume that the first listed is the fastest increasing job. This may be intentional, sloppy, a result of a lack of time, or something else.
A Recent Example of Confusion About Jobs
The title of one article I read included the feature "Five Hot Jobs", but listed and discussed seven separate job titles in seven different industries and did not list a 1,2,3,4,and 5 hottest job ranking, or any ranking at all.
This presentation was disconcerting and likely confused many readers who kept looking for numbers 6 and 7 in the ranking...which was not evident, either.
After looking up all the percentages and numbers-of-increase with the US Department. of Labor, BLS, and various stats agencies, I noticed that the job title listed first in the article was one that will likely increase substantially in numbers, but these numbers can be overtaken by a more high-tech job title by the end of a 10-year period examined.
The article spoke of:
- Percentage increase in one job title and
- Numbers of new jobs in another job title, but
- These two cannot be compared with each other -- One must compare a) percentages with percentages and b) numbers of jobs with numbers of jobs. Comparing a percentage in one job with a raw number in a another job yields what is classified officially as a meaningless statistic.
We know that 50% may equal 5 jobs in one case, yet 5,000 in another case and still be 50% in both (Example : 50% of 10 = 5, but 50% of 10,000 = 5,000. Which would be the "hotter" job?).
At the same time, we may see a 2% increase in one job title that represents a greater NUMBER of jobs than a 10% increase in another (Example: 2% of 518, 000 = 51,800, while 10% of 4,200 = 420. Which job is increasing fastest?).
You can use either the Percentage or the Numbers, as long as you are as consistent as possible within a report.
Occasionally, a percent or a number is just not available or has not been computed yet. In addition, US States and Communities may have a different opinion about growth in different jobs in their local areas.
Does It Make Sense?
How many articles in the past year have you read that make no sense statistically or otherwise?
Example: Number of Physical Therapist Job Openings
Fourth QTR 2012:
263,000 physical therapy job openings, up by +20,000 over same period 2010.
Fourth QTR 2015:
270,000+ Job listings were presented throughout the quarter.
Largest number of PT jobs are consistently located in Houston, Texas and the largest number of any state remains in Texas.
Largest Companies Hiring:
- Genesis Rehabilitation
- HCA Health Care
- Advanced Medical
- Career Management Services and Staffing
- US Navy and Navy Reserve
- Genesis Healthcare
- HCR Manorcare
Healthcare Employment Opportunities Surge
Some bias in Internet reporting has represented that Nurses comprise the top hot job in the country through 2018. However, this is only a 22.37% increase from 2008 to 2018. That's approximately 581,500 new jobs, but the percentage was not stated in the article. The percentage is no match for the 72% increase in Biomedical Engineers projected from 2008 - 2018, which is already felt in certain major metropolitan areas, such as the Ohio Space Corridor.
Biomedical Engineers is the government-predicted top hot job by percentage increase at least until 2018 and my opinion - given privatized space flight and the need for these professionals on earth and in space - is that the job title will expand job vacancies through 2050. So will Nursing increase openings, but I think it will probably be overtaken by the first, more high-tech, broader-ranged health/medical job title.
At the same time, Physical Therapist (PT) has been the hottest job in the USA from 2000 - 2014, in highest demand in all-sources Internet job postings. In 2014, PT was finally overtaken by new Truck Driving jobs.
Healthcare and Business will both increase in the future, because both include Services that people need now and will need in the future. Much of Healthcare crosses over into Business.
National Institutes of Biomedical Imaging and Bioengineering
The Top 5 Projected Lineup (Federal Forecast)
I regularly hear from IT people that ask why Software Engineers or Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts are not in the Top 5 or 10 Hot Jobs in all states and cities -- The following table will be pleasant news.
Table 1. Top 5 Jobs by % Increase (Federal Projections)
Percentage Increase 2008 - 2018
Numbers Increase 2008 - 2018
TOP 5 JOBS
Network Systems and Data Communication Analysts
Home Health Aides
Personal and Home Care Aides
Links to Data Related to Table 1.
The demand for IT professionals has become proverbial.
The Article Presents Some Inaccuracies in Reporting
Interestingly, an article I read concerning the top 5 Hot Jobs through 2018 listed these jobs titles in this order: Nurses, Biomedical Engineers, Networks Systems and Data Communications Analysts, Veterinarians, and Software Engineers (that's 6).
Even by numbers of increase, the Top 5 Jobs are:
- Registered Nurses
- Home Health Aides
- Customer Service Representatives
- Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers
- Personal and Home Care Aides
In the end, the article made these errors:
- Compared some Percentages with Numbers (cannot do this legitimately) and
- Left out either Percentages or Numbers for a few job titles.
- It also chose 6 job titles that were not all in the actual Top 5 for either percentage rank or number rank.
This was a poorly designed and written article that confused the public.
Final Answer: My Forecast For the Future
My opinion is that good career choices through 2018 and even to 2050 in Health and Aerospace will include
- Biomedical Engineers - Read journal and online news media concerning the development of these jobs and the industries that support them (for example, Health/Medical, Business, Aerospace).
- Other Health/Medical positions - You may even start as a nurse but keep studying to become a Nurse Practitioner, Physician, Physical Therapy Supervisor -- or open your own PT Clinic. An aging and growing population needs more health/medical services.
- IT Jobs - Software Engineers and Network positions in a wide range of fields, including Health and Aerospace
- Business and Finance Analysts/Examiners (IT)
- Retail, Food and other Sales/Services - Advancement available into in management and ownership.
See the information presented below to learn what major economic forecasters agree with me.
Employment Forecast by Kiplinger Through 2024
The Kiplinger magazine and newsletter was followed by its internet site in the late 1990s to provide accurate economic and employment forecasts for America. The careers this respected organization recommends through the year 2024 include:
- Speech Language Pathologist - This is a high demand occupation in the 2010s and many college students are either entering into its study or adding a core of its study to another health care profession.
- Community Service Manager - Social services became high demand during the Great Recession and with the aging populations among Baby Boomers and Generation X, along with low incomes, tghese services have spawned additional Community Based Organizations that need effective management.
- Computer Systems Analyst (IT) - The demand for IT professionals has become proverbial. This job title is similar in nature and related to the government forecast of "Network Systems and Data Communication Analysts" (see material in Table I.)
- Applications Developer (IT)
- Registered Nurse (RN License) - Might be RN, BSN, MSN, or higher educational attainment. We have a severe nursing shortage.
- Information Security Analyst (IT)
- Health Services Manager - Healthcare is a major issue in USA and the world.
- Medical Sonographer - An Associate's Degree can get you over $66,000 median annual salary!
- Physical Therapist (PT) - This was the Number One Job from 2000 - 2012, but is still in high demand and is a lucrative career.
- Nurse Practitioner (NP) - These professionals lower the cost of healthcare overall, perform cutting edge research, and earn a salary of $90,000+ annual at the median.
Other Opinions About Employment 2024
"US News and World Reports" adds Finance and Entrepreneurship to the list of high demand career fields noted by "Kiplinger."
The Forbes corporation predicts additional success for Retail Salespeople and Customer Service Reps; Home Health Aides (HHAs), Office Clerks, Food Service and/or Prep Workers, Truck Drivers (already highest demand in USA), and University/College/Vocational School Instructors.
© 2010 Patty Inglish