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Our Assumptions On Aliens Are Probably All Wrong
Reasons We Probably Can't Find ET
First off, I want to apologize to my readers for taking such a long break from Hub-pages. I have not been happy with the traffic this site has generated for me and I feel like the content I posted on here is wasted. Now on to the article.
If they exist, where are they?
This is the most common thing I see AP writers and Yahoo writers talking about. On top of using false information in their reports, they also lack the scientific knowledge to write about the topic. Often these writers will quote so called science experts who do not even hold a degree in mathematics or a relevant scientific field. The answer to this question is complicated by a lot of details. The following are the facts about ET and real reasons we probably haven't made known contact with them.
- Reported UFO's Almost Daily- UFO reports are far more common than you see in the media. The rise in these reports are related to advances in our technology. While hoaxers make up a portion of these new reports, they do not account for all of them. All being told, the last time an official inquiry into UFO's were made, the US Government admitted it could not discredit or explain almost 10% of the reports. That number may not sound like a lot but it accounts for almost eleven thousand reports. Now take into account that the inquiry only looked into a fraction of these reports and those stats are based off of that fraction. This includes reports from top military officials. There is no indication that direct contact has ever been made and many governments in the UK have admitted that the issue was serious enough to draw real hard inquiries and resources. There has been no confirmation that a government has ever recovered a UFO but many countries have questioned German, American, and Russian advances in science and engineering.
- They Don't Care Or Can't Talk To Us- Recently there have been a lot of articles detailing that SETI has been searching for radio signals for years. The fact that only a few signals have ever emerged and none have lasted for long is an argument some writers use to suggest ET's are all extinct. We live in a world where for the majority of humanity we could not communicate with each other due to language barriers. There are still writings that we can not decipher because the language is known as a dead language. That is on Earth alone. Now if we look just at the Milky Way, we are talking a possible 100 thousand more Earths, all are likely using different ways to communicate. The bottom line is that unless one of those civilizations is using our radio technology ate our exact frequencies and searching for signals like we are, it's probably we may not find any signals until we advance to different a spectrum of communication and technology. In other words, we are just missing each other. If you read down to the space section you can also get an understanding of why we may not of heard from another species yet as well. It takes 1500 years of broadcast to reach about 30% of our galaxy. Unless we are assuming these species are 5 thousand years older than us and have advanced at the same rate, we can't assume they must not exist. Again, that's if they are even using radio waves as a form of communication.
- Physics and Mathematics Could Be Different- We are extremely naive to believe that because we can't create a law to explain it, it's impossible. It is only impossible based on what we know. An Alien species may have the technology to advance beyond the speed of light but find our weapons technology far superior. It would make sense that different civilizations would be motivated differently, thus the technology gap in each would differ. We imagine ET flying in with Independence Day type of weapon capabilities when the reality is they may not have any notable defenses at all. This is unlikely but it could explain the lack of communication.
- We May Appear As Ants To Them- An ET species could be so advanced that they simply can not communicate even if they try. This kind of plays into my last two reasons but imagine trying to talk to an ant. You likely wouldn't even notice an ant but if you did how could you communicate? You couldn't. It would take decades of science dedicated to communicating with that ant and in the end you probably couldn't tell it much. Why would an advance species waste that kind of time? Dr Michio Kaku, theoretical physicist and author, indicated this may be the case is his book, Physics of the Impossible.
- Space- The cosmos is a violent and strange place. Each day it seems we learn something new about it. One issue is that we assume our communications spread out in space over time. The reality is that from the first Radio communication until today, our communications haven't really made it that far into space. Our first broadcast have reached an estimated 8,300 stars out of 2-400 billion in our galaxy and that is only if they haven't encountered issues that could degrade the integrity of such signals. In mathematical terms that is only about 1% of 1% of our entire galaxy. Given the vast distances in space, it's possible that not many ET species have even thought about our tiny solar system in the middle of nowhere. It is not as if we circle some amazing star and, compared with other planets we have found in our Galaxy, we appears rather boring and insignificant. Meaning none of our planets stick out as incredible or uncommon with the exception of Earth which is relatively small and maybe hard to see.
- Autobots!- Consider the size of the galaxy for a moment and consider where humanity is going with our technology. It is more likely that an Alien species is using robots that land on other planets and set up factories to build more robots. This would allow a species to send robots across the universe while not having to deal with exploration issues of resources and time. Maybe the reason that UFO's aren't communicating with Earth is because they are just drones. This will be humanities likely path to exploring the universe. Sure , we will send some Star Trek ships out but the majority of our exploration will be robots as it is today.
Where should we even look?
We Can Only See A Small Fraction Of Space
We are not looking at all of space. The reality is that we haven't even identified the majority of asteroids around our solar system, let alone seen all of space. We are advancing technology and spending billions on new telescopes but we simply only have the ability to effectively scan a portion of our night sky. This means that the opportunity to find an Alien species is decreased significantly for us even without the barriers of technology, science, and communication.
When you take that into account, it is irresponsible to theorize that most alien species are dead as some scientist have recently suggested. It would be like walking into a room with a flash light pointed at the ground and assuming the room is empty because there is nothing on the ground in front of you. A flick of the light switch could reveal a room filled with furniture and other items.
Until we can scan at least 30% of our galaxy, I believe we should hold off judgement on the idea of Alien species being extinct already. We are currently seeing around four percent in random locations and considering the size of just our galaxy, you may have a better shot of hitting the lottery than our current odds of finding a civilization.
We Are Special
Maybe We Are The Oldest
This is a theory of mine that is almost as irresponsible as saying all Aliens are extinct but why not. The idea that millions of Alien species exist is entirely possible but perhaps they have not evolved as quickly as we have. Perhaps the first Aliens to buzz space and venture to different planets is going to be us. There may be many planets where creatures have just begun walking out of the sea and many others where cavemen have emerged. Perhaps we are the oldest and while, given the age of the universe, that seems unlikely, it could be that a hotter and more violent universe didn't favor the ability for life to develop. When I think of Aliens I do not think of grey little men but the possibility that they may look a lot like us. This goes against common scientific theory but given the variables we have, which aren't many, I find it more plausible that life on other planets may look a lot like us. I come to that conclusion because so far on Earth all of the life we have found has been carbon based. This is where little grey men became popular to begin with as science has tried to imagine life forms that breathe nitrogen or methane instead of oxygen. People have ran with these ideas in many stories but given how rare life seems to be, it may be more likely that other life on other planets could be all carbon based as well.
It's hard to accept for many who believe we are too self centered and some of my other postings in the article have attacked those notions. We are self centered but perhaps we are accidentally right. Perhaps we are the beginning. It's something to think about while we are throwing theories around.