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Oscar Predictions of 2013 part 1 of 2

Updated on February 14, 2013


Another year has passed, and the time has come to unveil my Oscar predictions for 2013. I remember when I first started doing these prediction hubs on hubpages, I was something of an amateur at this, but I got better over time; while taking in a lot of constructive criticism during my time on this site.

Although I can't say all my predictions have been perfect, but I do try to make the best with what I have. For those that don't know how I do these prediction hubs, then I'll gladly explain it first.

For starters, I only do predictions for the main categories such as "Best Picture", "Best Animated Feature", "Best Actress" and etc. Therefore, if you're expecting me to do predictions for something "Best Cinematography", "Best Short Documentary" or something along those lines, then you'll be very disappointed.

Don't get me wrong, I'd love to do predictions for all the categories someday, but I often burden myself every year, to always watch all the films nominated for screenplays and "Best Picture"; while also seeing all the movies that feature the actors that were nominated for Oscars.

Granted, I know I don't have to watch all those movies to do a prediction hub, as I could easily be like some of my competitors on hubpages, and just write a Oscar prediction without it. However, as many of my readers know, I always try to be fair when it comes to reviewing movies; hence I just feel the only accurate way to depict a film's chances is to actually see it firsthand before predicting anything. Sadly, this ends up being very time consuming to say the least; hence I can only do the main categories. Perhaps someday, I'll find more time to do all the other ones too, but for now, lets just focus on what we have for the moment.

Although having said all that, I do make a huge exception when it comes to predicting the "Best Visual Effects" category. The reason is that when I was a kid, science-fiction and fantasy films were what I mainly grew up with, so there's always a certain nostalgic feel to watching special effects movies. Therefore, I often make visual effects the one exception in addition to the main nominations.

Anyways, during each Oscar category, I often put down who I feel will win the Oscar for that particular category; based on my research of that particular film, as I cite my reasons to the reader.

After that, I list the "Possible Upsets", which generally mean people/films that have a legitimate shot at winning the Oscar, in the unlikely event the favorite doesn't win.

Finally, we have "Runner Ups"; which implies films/people that have no shot at winning the nomination it's up for.

Also, this hub will be divided into two chapters. With part one, we'll be going over my predictions for "Best Visual Effects", all the acting nominations, and screenplay nods as well. While in part 2, we'll be going over "Best Animated Feature", "Best Director", and "Best Picture."

Anyways, I hope all my readers enjoy reading this prediction hub, and thank you all for joining me today. Now without further delay lets get started...

Best Visual Effects


Marvel's The Avengers- Although I wouldn't dare say the special effects, in this film, are groundbreaking like we've seen from other blockbuster movies of the past such as "Terminator 2: Judgment Day", "Jurassic Park" and etc.

However, it was one of the biggest blockbuster films of last year. And let's be honest, everyone knows how much the Academy Awards has been struggling these past few years to capture the younger audiences; hence it would only make sense to give the Oscar to a film that was well received by many of today's younger generation.

Not saying that "The Avengers" didn't deserve it's nomination, as it certainly did. If anything, I wouldn't be disappointed, or upset, if it won the Oscar for "Best Visual Effects", as it definitely features a lot of great visuals.

Possible Upsets:

Life of Pi- Out of all the movies mentioned in this category, "Life of Pi" features not only some of the most impressive visuals that you'll ever find in a movie, but it also manages to mesh a solid story arc to match.

Since it's initial release, "Life of Pi" has been getting a lot of Oscar buzz; which might bode well in it's favor. Not only was it a box office hit, but it was also very well received by both critics and audiences. Although the film is nominated in other categories like "Best Adapted Screenplay" and "Best Picture."

Chances are that it might not win either of those categories, and if it doesn't, then Oscar voters may want "Life of Pi" to walk away with at least something before the show is over. Therefore, I wouldn't count out "Life of Pi" in this category.

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey- Another film that was a box office smash was none other than "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey." Although the film wasn't anywhere near as successful as it's predecessor, when it came to being openly praised by both critics and audiences. However, it still made a lot of money last year, and it featured great visual effects to mesh well with it's story arc.

And if that wasn't enough, the franchise still has Gollum in it; arguably the best CGI rendered character of all time. That alone makes this film a threat.


Prometheus- Great science fiction movie, with a lot of suspense and chills. Not only does this prequel redeem the follies of it's lackluster spin offs and sequels, but it also adds to what was already a great film franchise.

For those that don't know, "Prometheus" was a prequel to the 1979 film, "Alien", and it didn't disappoint. The film pretty much explains the origins of the "Aliens"; while ignoring the continuity of the "Alien vs Predator" movies...(Thank God)...

Sadly though, the Oscar buzz around this movie has been relatively quiet, and it wasn't as big of a blockbuster as the previous films mentioned either. Don't get me wrong, it still made a lot of money, but it wasn't as big of a hit, as the other three movies that were mentioned.

And even though the film did feature some great visual effects, the sad reality is that it's nothing that most movie audiences haven't seen before. Not saying that "The Avengers" is any different, as you could make the same argument with that movie too. However, as I said before, "The Avengers" was considered one of the top blockbusters of last year; whereas "Prometheus" was a hit, but it wasn't as big of a hit as it's competition.

Snow White and the Huntsman- Out of all the movies nominated in this category, "Snow White and the Huntsman" is arguably the least successful. Granted, it was a moderate success, but it wasn't anywhere near the success as the other films mentioned. To make matters worse, the special effects weren't groundbreaking in the least, as they were pretty much what you'd expect them to be for a fantasy epic like this. Nothing more, or less.

Although I'm sure it'll be a nice nomination for DVD/Blue-Ray sales of "Snow White and the Huntsman", but I wouldn't count on this movie pulling off an upset here.

Best Visual Effects Poll

Which film deserves the Oscar for "Best Visual Effects?"

See results

Best Adapted Screenplay


Lincoln- With all the hype surrounding this movie around Oscar time, then it wouldn't be too hard to imagine "Lincoln" taking home the prize for "Best Adapted Screenplay."

And since "Lincoln" seems to be the favorite coming into the Oscars with the most nominations, then chances are that it might win this award.

Of course, the movie also preaches a strong anti-racism stance as well, as it focuses on Abraham Lincoln's attempt to end slavery during the Civil War; hence that might win over a lot of Oscar voters this year, in light of it's subject matter.

Possible Upsets:

Life of Pi- Another movie that's gaining a lot of hype around this time of year is "Life of Pi."

Although it still has a shot to win "Best Picture" this year, there's still a good chance it might not win it.

Therefore, it's reasonable to assume there's still a chance it could walk away with the Oscar for "Best Adapted Screenplay" for it's trouble.

Not only has "Life of Pi" been gaining a lot of nominations for other award ceremonies, but it's also hailed as one of the best films of last year by a lot of film critics.

Therefore, I wouldn't count out the film's chances.

Argo- Although "Life of Pi", "Lincoln" and "Silver Linings Playbook" have been among the most talked about movies at this year's Oscars, "Argo" is another movie that's been gaining a lot of press as well.

Not only has "Argo" been popular among other award ceremonies, but it also won "Best Picture" and "Best Director", at this year's Golden Globe Awards.

Not to mention that it also won " Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture" at this year's "Screen Actor's Guild Awards."

Therefore, I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if "Argo" pulled off the upset here.

Silver Linings Playbook- It's been known for quite sometime that "Silver Linings Playbook" has been getting a lot of hype around Oscar time.

Although it's doubtful it'll win "Best Picture", there's still a good chance that it'll take home an Oscar in at least one of the categories mentioned.

Although more than likely it'll be from Jennifer Lawrence's performance, but it could still be a contender for "Best Adapted Screenplay"; hence I wouldn't rule it out.


Beasts of the Southern Wild- Although I personally loved this film, the reality is that it's limited exposure in theaters may hinder it's chances at winning any of the Academy Award nomination it's up for.

Sure, it might pull off an upset with it's young star being nominated this year for "Best Actress in a Leading Role."

However, it's highly doubtful it'll win "Best Adapted Screenplay" or even "Best Picture."

It's a nice nomination, and I hope it's publicity, from being nominated in various categories at this year's Oscars, gets it the attention it so richly deserves.

Sadly though in the end, "Beasts of the Southern Wild" doesn't have a great chance at winning the Academy Award for this category, due mainly to it's lack of exposure last year.

Best Adapted Screenplay Poll

Which film deserves to win "Best Adapted Screenplay?"

See results

Best Original Screenplay


Zero Dark Thirty- In an era where the Academy is struggling to maintain ratings this year, I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if "Zero Dark Thirty" takes home the Oscar. Does it deserve it? Certainly not, but who said that the results of the Academy Award show were always fair?

It's been no secret that "Zero Dark Thirty" has been generating a lot of buzz this year, due to it's controversial pro torture stance towards terrorist prisoners. Some have called it in bad taste, while others see it as a harsh look at reality at how things are. As I stated in my review of this, I honestly can't answer whether torture should be deemed a necessary practice or not by our military. However, I will say it's because of all the controversy that surrounds this film, it could also mean a lot of ratings for the Academy if it were to take home an Oscar.

I mean let's be honest, this film has almost no shot to win "Best Picture"; in spite of it's nomination in that category. Therefore, it stands to reason that Oscar voters will want to give "Zero Dark Thirty" some sort of Oscar, to possibly boost it's ratings.

Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying that "Zero Dark Thirty" was a bad movie by any means, as I did give it a positive review. However, would I say it deserves the Oscar for "Best Original Screenplay?" Absolutely not, but who said life was fair?

Possible Upsets:

Flight- Although I doubt there's going to be an upset in this category, one contender to watch out for might be "Flight." Although it's uncertain whether Denzel Washington will win the Oscar for his performance in the movie, it's not entirely hard to imagine that "Flight" could still win this category. After all, it has garnered a lot of attention around Oscar time, and it doesn't contain the intense violent scenes that "Django Unchained" features. Therefore, if there is an upset, then it could be "Flight."

Runner Ups:

Django Unchained- Although this was one of my favorite films of last year, and arguably one of Tarantino's best, I'd be very surprised if the Oscar voters gave Tarantino the award for "Best Original Screenplay." That's not to say this isn't a great movie, as it's definitely one of the best westerns that I've seen.

Sadly, most of Tarantino's films aren't often recognized by the Academy, as he's only gotten one Oscar out of five nominations; which came courtesy of a screenplay nod for "Pulp Fiction." Is "Django Unchained" as good as "Pulp Fiction?" Don't be ridiculous, as "Pulp Fiction" is still clearly his best film by far. However, "Django Unchained" is an entertaining film to watch. Also, it doesn't help that the movie is loaded with violent scenes, which normally turns off most Oscar voters.

Although there have been violent films before that have took home Oscar glory, in the past, like "Lord of the Rings: Return of the King", "Gangs of New York" and etc. However, more often than not, Oscar voters will normally try to play it safe. Therefore, I wouldn't bet on this film taking home the prize for this nomination.

Moonrise Kingdom- For whatever reason, Oscar voters don't tend to favor Wes Anderson films at all. He's only received three nominations throughout his film career, when it comes to the Academy. Yet, every time he's nominated, he never takes home the prize. Heck, even when he clearly makes the superior film nominated in that category, he still never wins. For example, when he his animated film "Fantastic Mr. Fox" was released, it was clearly the superior animated film, but "Up" still took home the prize anyway. Not saying that "Up" wasn't a good movie, as I still enjoyed both films, but "Fantastic Mr. Fox" was clearly the superior animated movie, but nobody at the Academy acknowledged that.

Anyways, the point is that Wes Anderson's latest film, "Moonrise Kingdom" was an excellently well written love story. One that deserved it's nomination, but I wouldn't bet on it winning "Best Original Screenplay." To make matters worse, this film was released around the beginning of summer, so chances are that the voters may have forgotten about this movie. If it were up to me, I'd give the Oscar to Wes Anderson for this movie, but it's not...

Amour- Quite possibly one of the more touching romantic foreign films out there. Although I doubt it'll appeal to most mainstream moviegoers with it's relatively slow pacing, it's still a fairly enjoyable movie to watch if you're into foreign films. Sadly, that's part of the problem.

Oscar voters rarely ever shed that much love to foreign movies; thus I wouldn't count on "Amour" taking home the Oscar either for this category. It's a nice nomination, and it definitely ensures that movie will win "Best Foreign Language Film"; especially considering that it's also has a nomination for "Best Picture." However, the sad reality is that "Amour" has no chance to win this award.

Best Original Screenplay Poll

Which film deserves the award for "Best Original Screenplay?"

See results
Amy Adams (The Master)
Amy Adams (The Master)
Sally Field (Lincoln)
Sally Field (Lincoln)
Anne Hathaway (Les Misérables)
Anne Hathaway (Les Misérables)
Helen Hunt (The Sessions)
Helen Hunt (The Sessions)
Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook)
Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook)

Best Supporting Actress


Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)- If she doesn't win the Academy Award for this part, then I'll be very surprised. Not only has "Les Miserables" been one of the most critically acclaimed movies of last year, but it's also been garnering a lot of hype around Oscar season as well.

Plus, with Anne Hathaway recently winning a "Screen Actor's Guild" award for this same role, then it's safe to say she already has this part in the bag for herself. In fact, it's her role that most people have been talking about, since "Les Miserables" made it's debut.

Possible Upsets:

Sally Field (Lincoln)- Although I doubt there will be an upset in this category, but I wouldn't bet against Sally Field for her role in "Lincoln." The reason being is that "Lincoln" has the most nominations out of all the other films mentioned for "Best Picture", so that automatically makes it the heavy favorite to compete against.

Plus, the last two times that Sally Field was nominated for her roles in "Norma Rae" and "Places in the Heart" respectively, she won those only two other times she was nominated for an Oscar. Could "Lincoln" end up landing her a third Academy Award? I guess we'll have to wait and see, but she has a good chance to pull off the upset here.


Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook)- Although Jacki did a great job playing the sympathetic mother figure in "Silver Linings Playbook", the sad reality is her performance was overshadowed by her costars, Bradley Cooper, Jennifer Lawrence and Robert De Niro. If anything, they all have a better shot than her to win an Oscar this year; which is really sad because Jacki Weaver was great in "Silver Linings Playbook."

Helen Hunt (The Sessions)- Speaking of romance movies, "The Sessions" was also a pretty good film, but it got very limited exposure; hence I doubt Helen Hunt will win an Oscar for her role in this. Granted, she played her part well, but the sad reality is that "The Sessions" hasn't been generating a lot of hype around Oscar season, so the odds aren't in her favor.

Amy Adams (The Master)- Like Jacki Weaver in "Silver Linings Playbook", Amy Adams is overshadowed by her costars in "The Master." Don't get me wrong, I loved her performance in the film, even though I'm still not sure if I'd call it "Oscar-worthy", but it was still good nonetheless. However, the sad reality is she's has no chance to win an Oscar this year.

Best Supporting Actress Poll

Which one of these ladies deserves the Oscar for "Best Supporting Actress?"

See results
Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook)
Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook)
Alan Arkin (Argo)
Alan Arkin (Argo)
Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)
Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)
Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)
Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)
Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained)
Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained)

Best Supporting Actor


Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)- Seeing as how Tommy Lee Jones just came off his "Screen Actor's Guild" victory for "Best Actor in a supporting role", and considering how much hype "Lincoln" is getting around Oscar time, then I think it's safe to say that this award is Tommy Lee Jones' to lose.

Although I wouldn't say that his award is a sure thing, but I wouldn't bet against him at this point.

Possible Upsets:

Alan Arkin (Argo)- Another film that's been getting a lot of hype around Oscar time is "Argo." Not only has it been widely speculated that "Argo" might be the first film since "Titanic" to win "Best Picture", in spite of it's lack of a directing nomination, but Alan Arkin has been generating a lot of hype as well for his performance in the movie.

Generating not only a nomination in both the BAFTA and SAG awards, but he's also garnered a Golden Globe nomination as well. Therefore, if there is an upset in this category, then Alan Arkin does seem poised to take it this year.

Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook)- Like "Argo" and "Lincoln", "Silver Linings Playbook" is another film that's generating a lot of buzz around Oscar time, so it stands to reason that Robert De Niro might have a shot at this award.

Sure, he hasn't exactly been great in recent years, but even I have to admit that this is arguably one of his best performances ever. Therefore, I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if he pulled off the upset here.

Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)- Although "The Master" had such a limited release, I wouldn't rule out Philip Seymour Hoffman's chances to win "Best Supporting Actor" for this year's Oscars. After all, he's still been getting quite a few nominations in other various award ceremonies this year for his role in "The Master", so I wouldn't rule him out either.

Runner Ups:

Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained)- To be honest, I thought "Django Unchained" was arguably the best film of 2012, and definitely one of Quentin Tarantino's best movies. However, the sad reality is that I'll be very surprised if any of the nominations that "Django Unchained" is nominated for wins any Oscar gold this year. Let's be honest, it's very rare when Oscar voters will pick a movie that glorifies violence. Sure, there's a few exceptions here and there, but it's very rare. Sure, it's a nice nomination for Waltz, but I wouldn't count on him winning an Oscar for this part.

Best Supporting Actor Poll

Which one of these gentlemen deserves the Oscar for "Best Supporting Actor?"

See results
Naomi Watts (The Impossible)
Naomi Watts (The Impossible)
Quvenzhané Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild)
Quvenzhané Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild)
Emmanuelle Riva (Amour)
Emmanuelle Riva (Amour)
Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)
Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)

Best Actress in a Leading Role


Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)- With "Silver Linings Playbook" gaining a lot of hype before the Oscars, it seems like Jennifer might be the actress to beat. Not only did she put on a great performance, but she also won the "Screen Actor's Guild" award for "Best Actress", so it would be hard to argue otherwise.

Plus, with the stiff competition that "Silver Linings Playbook" has to compete against, in other categories like "Best Picture" and etc, then it's possible that the Oscar voters will want the film to walk away with at least something.

Possible Upsets:

Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)- Another film that's been garnering a lot of hype around Oscar time is "Zero Dark Thirty." Not only was it one of the most interesting movies of last year, but it told a bold story about the events that led up to Osama's death. Granted, it wasn't a pretty story, but it was still intriguing nonetheless.

Like "Silver Linings Playbook", "Zero Dark Thirty" may have stiff competition in it's other nominated categories; which could lend Oscar voters to wanting the new Kathryn Bigalow film to win something at least.

Plus, it's been no secret that Oscar voters do tend to favor movies that are based on real life stories, at times. Therefore, it wouldn't be too surprising if Jessica Chastain pulled off the upset.

Quvenzhané Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild)- Stellar performance by a natural actress. Not only was her performance raw and captivating, but it was also very genuine and heartfelt. As many readers probably know, the Academy Awards has been struggling for years to maintain it's ratings, so what better way to increase interest then to make history.

If this young lady won, then it would not only shock the world, but it would also make her the youngest to ever win the Academy Award in this category. Granted, her nomination alone already sets the record for being the youngest nominated, but it might increase viewership even more if she actually won though; hence I wouldn't rule her out of this.


Emmanuelle Riva (Amour)- Although she gave a terrific performance in this film, the sad reality is that "Amour" had very limited exposure; along with the Academy rarely favoring foreign films. Granted, it's a nice nomination, and I wouldn't bet on Emmanuelle winning this category.

Naomi Watts (The Impossible)- Although I loved Naomi Watts in "The Impossible", the sad reality is her movie got very limited exposure, and her film isn't garnering the same level of hype that "Zero Dark Thirty" and "Silver Lining Playbook" is receiving. Don't get me wrong, "The Impossible" is a great film by all means, but the sad reality is that Naomi Watts won't win her first Oscar this year.

Best Actress Poll

Which one of these ladies do you think deserves to win "Best Actress?"

See results
Hugh Jackman (Les Misérables)
Hugh Jackman (Les Misérables)
Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)
Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)
Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook)
Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook)
Joaquin Phoenix (The Master)
Joaquin Phoenix (The Master)
Denzel Washington (Flight)
Denzel Washington (Flight)

Best Actor in a Leading Role


Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)- As I mentioned earlier with Tommy Lee Jones, it would be very hard to argue against Daniel Day Lewis' chances at winning an Academy Award for "Lincoln." After all, the man just came off a "SAG Award" victory for "Lincoln", and it's already garnered the most nominations out of any other film that's mentioned for "Best Picture."

Therefore, I think it's fairly safe to say that his chances are great to win it this year; especially considering that humanizing such an iconic historical figure wouldn't be easy for any actor to pull off. However, Daniel Day-Lewis makes it look easy as he breaths life into good old "Honest Abe."

Possible Upsets:

Hugh Jackman (Les Miserables)- Although I doubt "Les Miserables" will win an Oscar this year for "Best Picture", there's still a chance it could walk away with something other than "Best Supporting Actress"; courtesy of Anne Hathaway's performance.

Recently coming off his from winning a Golden Globe award for "Best Actor in a Musical or Comedy", and it's been no secret that "Les Miserables" has been one of the hottest films of last year; while garnering considerable hype around Oscar season.

Plus, it doesn't hurt that many film critics and audiences are saying how "Les Miserables" is arguably one of the best musicals of all time.

Therefore, I wouldn't bet against Hugh Jackman either. Although I still say that Daniel Day-Lewis' is the clear favorite in this category, I wouldn't rule out the possibility of Hugh Jackman pulling off an upset here.

Joaquin Phoenix (The Master)- Although it's highly unlikely that Joaquin Phoenix could pull off the upset here, but it's possible. "The Master" was critically acclaimed, and garnered a lot of nominations among other award ceremonies, so Joaquin Phoenix could be a potential contender in this category.

Denzel Washington (Flight)- It's fairly uncertain whether Denzel will win a third Oscar for this movie or not. However, what is certain though is that many film critics have hailed his performance, in "Flight", as arguably one of Denzel's best performance yet, and I have to say I don't disagree in the slightest. Not only did Denzel carry the movie quiet well, but I'd dare even say that his performance was almost as great as Daniel Day-Lewis' performance was in "Lincoln."

Plus, seeing how popular "Flight" is among other award ceremonies, it's reasonable that Oscar voters may want the film to walk away with something this year; especially if it fails to win "Best Original Screenplay."


Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook)- Like Jacki Weaver, Bradley has the misfortune of being over shadowed by his costars in "Silver Linings Playbook." Don't get me wrong, I thought he did a great job in the film, and certainly had a lot of good chemistry with Jennifer Lawrence. However, he's not going to win an Oscar this year. Sure, it's great that he finally managed to nab his first nomination for an Academy Award, but if he wins, then I'll be very surprised to say the least.

Best Actor Poll

Which one of these gents do you feel deserves the Oscar for "Best Actor?"

See results


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