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The 2013 Oscars: Will Silver Linings Playbook Win the Major Awards?

Updated on February 22, 2013

Finally, all the speculation and jockeying will come to an end this Sunday. But, we already have a pretty good image of who is going to win at the Oscars. Today, I will be looking at the six most important categories: Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor, and Best Supporting Actress. There are some that have heavy favorites (Daniel Day-Lewis, anyone?), but there are some categories that are wide open.

Okay, let's begin!

Best Picture:

The nominees: "Argo," "Silver Linings Playbook," "Lincoln," "Zero Dark Thirty," "Life of Pi," "Les Miserables," "Django Unchained," "Amour," "Beasts of the Southern Wild."

Who should win (opinion): "Silver Linings Playbook"

Who will win: "Argo"

Possible upset: "Silver Linings Playbook"

Here's why: "Silver Linings Playbook" has been nominated for every actor category and has received acclaim for its portrayal of mental illness. It's a heartwarming and funny movie that aims to remove the stigma around mental illness. That's not to say that "Argo" isn't a fantastic movie, as well. It's shows how Hollywood helped during the Iranian hostage crisis in the 1970s. It's prospects of winning seemed to have been boosted when Ben Affleck was snubbed for Best Director by the Academy. "Argo" has won pretty much all the precursor awards that usually point to a movie winning Best Picture, so expect to see it win.

Best Director:

The nominees: Steven Spielberg ("Lincoln"), Ang Lee ("Life of Pi"), David O. Russell ("Silver Linings Playbook"), Michael Haneke ("Amour"), Ben Zeitlin ("Beasts of the Southern Wild").

Who should win: Steven Spielberg

Who will win: Steven Spielberg

Possible upset: Ang Lee or David O. Russell

Here's why: Spielberg has been the favorite since the beginning. Perhaps he would have more competition if Ben Affleck had not been snubbed for his "Argo." The legendary director brought the 16th President to life in a way no one else has before. Of course, it could not have been done without Daniel Day-Lewis playing Lincoln. The role was actually written for him and was simply waiting his involvement for years. Look for Spielberg to win it, unless there is a major upset. The Oscar campaign for "Silver Linings Playbook" has been masterfully executed. With it's focus on mental illness and general likability, it has a chance for some upsets on Oscar night. Most likely a Spielberg win, but David O. Russell has an outside shot.

Best Actor:

The nominees: Bradley Cooper ("Silver Linings Playbook"), Daniel Day-Lewis ("Lincoln"), Hugh Jackman ("Les Miserables"), Joaquin Phoenix ("The Master"), Denzel Washington ("Flight").

Who should win: Daniel Day-Lewis

Who will win: Daniel Day-Lewis

Possible upset: Abraham Lincoln himself. Or, no one.

Here's why: This one is a lock. Or as close to a lock as possible. Daniel Day-Lewis is one of those masterful actors who only does a movie once every few years or more. But, when he does, he wins awards. I don't see any possibility for an upset here. His portrayal of the 16th President was nothing short of amazing. It's a shame for Bradley Cooper and Hugh Jackman. Both gave career best performances, but sadly, they just happened to coincide with a Daniel Day-Lewis performance. Without Day-Lewis in the mix, either one would win the Oscar. But, they have many more chances to win Oscars.

Best Actress:

The nominees: Jessica Chastain ("Zero Dark Thirty"), Jennifer Lawrence ("Silver Linings Playbook"), Emmanuelle Riva ("Amour"), Naomi Watts ("The Impossible"), Quvenzhané Wallis ("Beasts of the Southern Wild").

Who should win: Jennifer Lawrence

Who will win: Jennifer Lawrence

Possible upset: Emmanuelle Riva

Here's why: She's Hollywood's "it girl" right now. There's a very good reason for that: She's an incredible actress. She first came to prominence in the movie "Winter's Bone," which was quite the bleak affair, but showed off her acting chops. Then she landed the mega blockbuster, "The Hunger Games." But, "Silver Linings Playbook" is her career best performance. She portrays a young widow, who develops into a sex addict, as a coping mechanism. The raw emotion she shows on screen is amazing. More amazing than that, though, is that she hasn't taken an acting class. So, look for her to win the award. I won't say it's a lock, but she is the heavy favorite. Emmanuelle Riva has some momentum on her side, but that seems like last minute jockeying to keep the interest alive, and not a real threat. But, you never know.

Best Supporting Actor:

The nominees: Robert De Niro ("Silver Linings Playbook"), Tommy Lee Jones ("Lincoln"), Christoph Waltz ("Django Unchained"), Philip Seymour Hoffman ("The Master"), Alan Arkin ("Argo").

Who should win: Robert De Niro

Who will win: Tommy Lee Jones

Possible upset: Christoph Waltz or Robert De Niro

Here's why: Tommy Lee Jones is the current favorite, but his odds have dropped quite a bit since the nominations were announced. Christoph Waltz looks more and more likely to upset Jones, but you can't count De Niro out yet, also. De Niro has the superb Oscar campaign of "Silver Linings Playbook" to help him. Waltz is an academy favorite since winning for Inglorious Basterds. But, Tommy Lee Jones delivered a great performance in a movie that is nominated for 12 Oscars, so who knows? This is the most competitive category of the night.

Best Supporting Actress:

The nominees: Anne Hathaway ("Les Miserables"), Helen Hunt ("The Sessions"), Jacki Weaver ("Silver Linings Playbook"), Sally Field ("Lincoln"), Amy Adams ("The Master").

Who should win: Anne Hathaway

Who will win: Anne Hathaway

Possible upset: No one, really.

Here's why: She gave an amazing performance. After seeing the movie, I had no doubt she would win in this category. Sally Field also gave a great performance, but not on the level of Anne Hathaway's part in "Les Miserables." This isn't to the level of a Day-Lewis lock, but it's close. Expect her to win, unless there's a calamity of some sort.

So, there you have it!

So, the chances of "Silver Linings Playbook" sweeping the awards are slim. Jennifer Lawrence will win for her role in it, so it won't go empty handed. It does have a shot at the other awards, however. As I stated earlier, its Oscar campaign had been magnificent compared to the others. It's appealing to the mental illness aspect of the movie and how it is currently on the minds of Americans. It's also a heartwarming story. So, who knows? There may be a few surprises on Sunday night. One thing we can be sure of, though, is that Daniel Day-Lewis will win for Best Actor. No doubt about that. The rest are a little murkier, but not that one.

Now to wait until Sunday night. Cheers.


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