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How To Make Profit: Team Fortress 2

Updated on December 5, 2014

Making Profit

Have you ever wondered how some people have pages and pages of unusuals and promotional items in their backpacks? Everyone had to start somewhere, and for some of you, that is right here! This guide will show you the basics of how to make profit both in-game and financially (that's right, real money!) Team Fortress 2 requires dedication and persistence to be successful, but the rewards can be totally worth it! I have received many Steam games in exchange for TF2 items and other services. I was able to sell hats for gift cards and even cash via Paypal! Making quick profit is easier than you think!

If you like this article, I invite you to join us on Facebook. You can join the Facebook Group to keep in touch with me and discuss your tactics with other readers. In addition, due to popular demand, I have created a Steam group where readers can get together to post comments, share stories, and ask questions about making profit. Plus, you'll be able to join in on exclusive events and giveaways. Don't miss out on this great opportunity to join the Steam group and talk to me and other readers through Steam. Alright, enough chit-chat, let's make some profit!

Price-Checking

So you have a bunch of items in your backpack, and you don't know what to do with them. Where do you begin? First of all, you should figure out what your items are actually worth. To do this, you can conduct a search online. There are several resources at your disposal when price checking, so let's take a look at what we've got.

The Spreadsheet: For most items, you can refer to various spreadsheets to obtain an approximate value for your items. There are two spreadsheets which I find particularly helpful, but as with any spreadsheets, you will find some discrepancies. In the past, the Trade Empire Spreadsheet was the most prominent, however the Backpack.tf Spreadsheets are leading the market at this time. The latter spreadsheet also covers Unusual hat prices, but take note that this should not be your only source of information, and I will cover why in just a minute. Do not use the spreadsheet as a set-in-stone value of any item. All spreadsheets that exist, including the ones listed, should be used as references, not exact prices.

Outpost Search: Tf2 Outpost is, in my opinion, the most valuable tool for price checking. Not only can this site help you with prices, you can find trades on the spot, too! If you head over to their site, you can search for any item in the game, and you can see what other traders want for their identical items (and what they're actually being traded for.) I find this method the most effective way to price check Unusual hats. When price checking Unusual hats, keep in mind owners often overprice their buyouts. You should take note of the current offers, both quality and quantity. The more people interested in an item, the more profit a trader can milk out of it. If there are ten Blizzardy Storm Nanobalaclavas on Outpost, and all of the owners are asking for 2 Buds, you can estimate the actual price you're going to get for that item is lower than their asking price. If 2 Buds was a good price for that hat, there wouldn't still be ten of them on the market at that price. Of course, this is merely an example with made-up circumstances, but you get the picture.

Asking People: One of the most common ways people price check their items (especially unusuals hats) is to go on a trade server and ask the approximate value of an item. For the spreadsheet items, you can usually get a quick and accurate answer (but you could also look it up yourself just as quick.) For Unusual hats, level-specific items, and craft number items, you will get mixed answers. In my trading experience, this is the least accurate method of price checking, as many people don't understand how to properly price check a non-spreadsheet item and they resort to other less accurate resources (such as a friend asks a friend who has an unusual...) I owned an Eerie Fire Larrikin Robin, and several people on a trade server claimed I could get no more than 2 Buds for it no matter how hard I tried. However, I received several offers greater than 2 Buds almost immediately after I began advertising it. If you want the most accurate price check, conduct the first two methods and you will be good to go.

The Steam Market: The Steam Market allows players to sell their items for Steam Wallet funds. This is the safest way to make real money on your items, but the money will be limited to Steam purchases. Additionally, the Steam Market can be used to price check items for real-money trades. Even if you opt for the less safe Paypal transaction, you can at least find a monetary value on some of your items before trading. The Steam Market is a work in progress, so not all items are able to be sold just yet, but we can expect Valve to change that in the near future.

Buying in Bulk

You can buy items in bulk from established players who are looking to clear their inventories. Try to find items with a fairly consistent price, and buy them in bulk at a discount price. If an item can easily be sold for 1 refined, try to buy 3 of that item for 2 refined + 2 reclaimed, and sell them on your own, making yourself 1 reclaimed profit. This is a very easy and low-risk method of making profit. If you see an item that is at a low and has reason to increase in the future, make an investment! It could pay off big! Remember, every little bit adds up!

Don't Stick To Trade Servers

There is a time to trade on specified trade servers, and there is a time to stray from them. For example, if you are trying to sell Bill's Hat for several Keys, you will want to head to a trade server. Not many non-traders just horde Keys in their backpack. However, competitive servers are great for small-scale trades. Many players who are searching for a specific weapon will offer to pay a scrap or more for convenience. You can also pick up tools cheap from competitive players who could care less about the trading aspect of the game. Decal tools and Name Tags can often be bought at a low price, then resold for their value to someone on a trade server.

Exchanging Craftable Hats

This is one of my favorite methods of making profit. Enter a trade server with two craftable hats. Tell people on the server that you are going to craft the hats and you would be willing to trade each one for any craftable hat plus something extra (often called a sweetener). Take any deal that doesn't include crates. There are many instances in which you can get an extra reclaimed metal from a person who prefers your class-specified hat over theirs.

Trade Example: Handyman's Handle (Pyro) for Master's Yellow Belt + Paint Can

Someone who has a Yellow Belt dislikes playing as a Sniper. If that player prefers Pyro, he will likely be willing to include at least a weapon or two extra. Just be sure the person trades you a craftable hat in return for yours. You can find out whether a hat is craftable by hovering the mouse over the item. If the description shows "This item cannot be used in crafting," ask politely for a craftable hat in its place.

Hold Off On Crafting Metal

One of the easiest ways to obtain more metal is to craft the item drops you receive. However, as a trader, you should hold off on crafting metal until you can make a worthwhile amount. Many people request specific weapons during gameplay, and most players are willing to trade a scrap for the sake of convenience. You could potentially double your profit by trading rather than crafting. This trading method actually works quite well in combination with the Exchanging Craftable Hats trading method. Something as simple as saying "Trading a bunch of weapons, just ask!" on a competitive server is a great way to sell a weapon for a scrap or more.

Provide An Alternate Service

I was able to make a lot of profit by providing a Steam Avatar service. Using Photoshop, I completed avatar requests in return for donations. I received as little as Dalokohs Bar for one of my avatars, but I also received as much as two hats for a set of six avatars. Runescape and other online games are also very common in trade scenarios. People will do anything in exchange for Runescape gold. I never found interest in that game, but keep in mind what your computer abilities are and which game is more important to you. Be very cautious when using this method. Scamming is common, and you should find a trusted middle-man if you feel it is necessary.

I made a lot of profit by creating custom avatars and sprays for other users
I made a lot of profit by creating custom avatars and sprays for other users

Use of Forums

Forums are an easy and free way to advertise items you have for sale. While you play the game, keep posts on multiple forums with items you are trading, what you are expecting in return, and how they can contact you. I recommend leaving your Steam ID on each post. Steam can alert you when a new player adds you to his/her Friends List and you can discuss terms of trade. Forums are also useful in finding a middleman. Keep an eye on the thread rating and how others react to his/her service. Sometimes middle men require a small fee. Other times you can complete trades for free. Once again, be cautious about who you choose for this job.

I recommend you use the same username on all forums. Many people jump from one forum to another, and it is surprising how quickly you can become well-known by the quality of your trades. This strategy helps traders prove their reliability because it is easy to post a link to alternate forums. As long as you still have the same username, people will generally trust you.

Make Friends

I noticed a lot of my friends no longer play Team Fortress 2. From asking around my friends list, I was able to get two Bill's Hats, two cans of white paint, and a bunch of other random paints as well as rare vintage weapons for free. It is a wise idea to make friends on other games, especially those with old promotional items. You never know when you can pick up a rare item for no cost. Make the most of the items that are only collecting dust in your friends' backpacks. You can view your friend's backpack by visiting his/her profile and clicking "View Inventory." Keep an eye out, and remember to always ask nicely.

Nuts & Bolts is very valuable on Engineer hats
Nuts & Bolts is very valuable on Engineer hats

Unusual Hats

Possibly the biggest source of monetary profit from Team Fortress 2 comes from the rare Unusual hats. These hats are obtained only by opening Mann Co. Crates using Keys. You have a 1% chance of uncrating an Unusual hat, so I don't recommend buying a bunch of Keys. People generally want Earbuds and Bill's Hat offers for their Unusual hats. Most Unusuals cost at least one Earbud, though there are a few exceptions. Unusual hats can be valued anywhere from $15 to well over $1000. You can sell Unusual hats over the Steam Marketplace for Steam Wallet Funds, or you could take a chance by selling for money on Paypal. The latter method is a bit more risky unless both parties are well-known for completed trades of this nature. I personally prefer to sell for Steam Wallet funds because it is safe, and I find myself buying most of my games from Steam, anyway. This is just a more convenient way for me to add funds into my Wallet without digging into my checking account.

As far as trading Unusuals go, be aware that Unusual hats are a slowly declining market. You can't buy much of anything for the long run, and it's usually best to sell out for promotional items (such as Earbuds) and restart whenever it is profitable. There are general tiers of effects and classes that you should be aware of when trading, and you must be able to recognize the current trends in order to make profit (some effects are "in," while others are "out," much like fashion styles.)

Some class-hats are generally more well-liked than others. Though nothing is set in stone, Soldier and Demo hats seem to be the most valuable while Heavy and Engineer Unusuals are the least valuable.

Some Unusual hats have themes, but before I go any further, let me explain something very clearly. Traders can make up a theme out of ANYTHING. If you have any doubt, it's probably not a themed hat. What do I mean by themed? A Dead Cone with Bubbles can be seen as a Wet Floor symbol. However, if someone tries to pass off an Unusual Batter's Helm with Purple Energy as a "Purple Flurp" theme from Jimmy Neutron, you can see why not everyone would make the connection. Nuts & Bolts is one of the lowest-tier effects, but that effect is highly valuable on Engineer hats. The Nuts & Bolts effect is a theme for the Engi, as is Hearts with Medic, and Burning Flames with Pyro. You should only consider a hat themed when the theme is very obvious. Remember, not everyone has your imagination!

Finally, I would like to conclude with some small trading tips that you may already know. When you advertise and leave your Steam ID, people will add you. Nine times out of ten, they will be lowballing you. Your best option is to hear their offer, but be patient and check with a friend if you have any doubts. If the person gets mad and says he's giving you a good deal but can't wait, your mental red flag should raise because 99 times out of 100, he's lowballing you. People that make these low offers opt to add you rather than offer wherever you're advertising because they don't want to be seen lowballing in the public eye. Adding people to discuss trade terms is more personal and is usually more successful than just throwing out an offer onto their post.

Also, be cautious of the old switcheroo. I know it's a lame trick and you feel invulnerable to it, but hear me out. One trader offered his Hearts Private Eye plus a bunch of lesser items for my Bubbling Crown. Knowing this was a fantastic deal even without his sweets, I accepted his trade. Before we traded, he asked for 2 or 3 crates to unbox. As I occupied myself searching for the crates, he switched out his Unusual Private Eye for a regular Private Eye. I very nearly accepted the trade, but one last glance over the terms and I had caught him. It was very sneaky, and I reported him to Steam. I'm guessing I'm not the only person he tried this trick on, as his trade status was listed as "Probation." Check every user's profile page before you trade with him. If the person is under trade probation, proceed with caution. ALWAYS check over the trade terms one last time before accepting an offer.

Promotional Hats/Items

There are a few hats in the game that can only be obtained via promotion, such as Genuine items, Bill's Hat, the Monday Night Combat set, and Earbuds. The value of Genuine items seems to be decreasing as the yellow-text versions are released and multiply. I advise you to sell Genuine items before the yellow-text versions are released. Items such as Bill's Hat, Earbuds, Lumbricus Lid, and Essential Accessories are valuable and can be stored until the value increases even more. All of these items have doubled their original value. I do not doubt that as long as Team Fortress 2 is popular, these hats will continue to increase in value.

As I've told many of my readers, investing in promotional items is like investing in the stock market. Prices rise and fall very often. If you can buy when they're cheap and sell when the price rises, you will be in good shape. During one of Valve's Christmas updates, the BMOC and Ebenezer hats were released, and they were difficult to obtain. The BMOC was relatively expensive, but I noticed the Ebenezer's value was dropping like a rock about halfway through the update. The price averaged as low as 2 keys for this promotional item that was going to be cut off, so I bought in before it was no longer obtainable by means other than trading. I was able to double my investment on the Ebenezers within a week or two. Keep up with the start and end dates of promotional items, and take notice whether the price is increasing or decreasing in value.

Crafting Quickly

It seems as if the Christmas update was the end of Vintages as we know it. I myself invested heavily in the summer items only to find they were never to upgrade to the coveted blue text. However, certain craft weapons can sell for a high price, that is, if you're lucky enough to get them on an early attempt. For example, The Maul still has no blueprint. That means the only way to get it is to smelt 3 weapons into a melee token, 3 more weapons into a class token, then combine the tokens and add an additional scrap for a small chance at crafting The Maul. Naturally, this weapon is much more valuable than common drop items.

After the discontinuation of Vintage weapons, Valve introduced a "craft number" for the first 100 of each hat and weapon randomly crafted. For example, the first ever Original (rocket launcher) crafted by a player received the permanent name "The Original #1." This item was dubbed 'the original Original' and is on the market for a fortune. The craft number item market is very unstable and can be a good source of profit if you can buy cheap. For instance, I bought Sultan's Ceremonial #49 with my Outback Intellectual + Ornament Armament (at that time my items were worth up to 9 refined, but I knew they would decrease over time.) Within a few weeks, I turned Sultan #49 around for 5 keys. I did a similar trade with Stocking Stuffer #23, buying low at 6 Refined and reselling for 10 refined. Note these prices were from a totally different time in the Tf2 market, and you should not use them as a present-day reference with regards to prices.

I bought the All-Father #25 for a Bud, Kringle Kollection #25 for 7 keys, and resold for 4 Buds!
I bought the All-Father #25 for a Bud, Kringle Kollection #25 for 7 keys, and resold for 4 Buds!

The Oddly-Leveled Items Market

Back when Team Fortress 2 was a new game, weapons and hats were found at random levels. Some people are very intent on getting specific levels on their items, whether it be their birthday, favorite number, or something vaguely significant to them. Ironically enough, a lot of people trade oddly-leveled weapons without realizing/caring. There are many people who will trade good items to get a specific leveled item. The price on these oddly-leveled items varies greatly between traders, but Level 0 and Level 100 seem to be the most significant. Trade these for a duplicate item of a regular level plus a nice sweetener.

Vintage Hats and Weapons that are level 0 or 100 can go for very high prices. They are among the rarest items in Team Fortress 2 and should not be sold for anything short of a fortune. If you see an opportunity to trade someone for these items, capitalize on this quick, then sell it for more!

Advertising Online

There are many forums and other websites that promote trading in Team Fortress 2. However, two sites that I have found really stick out from the rest. These resources will have you log in through Steam. From there, you will be able to display up to 8 items from your backpack and choose from a list of possible items that you want in return. Real people can view these trades and usually respond fairly quick.

The first resource is the Team Fortress 2 Trade Post. This resource is very helpful due to extremely high traffic. However, its main pro was also its main con. This site was often slow to load, and one motivated web developer decided to capitalize on this obvious flaw. The Team Fortress 2 Outpost was designed similar to the Trade Post with a few distinct differences. When it released, it was much faster than the Trade Post. As people converted to Outpost, traffic decreased on Trade Post. Both resources are, in my opinion, equally valuable for trading. The most unique feature about the Trade Post is that nobody can see offers made on your items but you, so there is no need to worry about a 3rd party stealing your trade. This does inhibit your ability to price check, though.

Strategically, you should approach trading on these two resources in two ways. First, propose a trade naming EXACTLY what you want. You'd be surprised to know how often someone just happens to have the specific items you are looking for. If you don't know exactly what you want, sometimes it's best to leave your items "open to offers." It is not uncommon to make more profit by doing just that. Leaving an item open to offers requires some persistence, as you will likely be rejecting most offers.

Don't just propose your trade and run away! Make sure you check out the recent offers by others. If you see a good deal, take it immediately or it will be gone before you can blink! Don't miss out on these important opportunities. They do not appear as often as you'd like them too, but then again, I wouldn't be writing this if trading was easy.

Events

Those wishing to make profit may benefit greatly from the wonders of gift-hording. I'm talking about the Halloween event, featuring infinite gifts over an extended period of time. Here's a marketing tip. Horde all the Halloween items you can, and sell them before the event ends. Then, when Halloween is over, the community suddenly doesn't care about the Halloween-restricted items, and you can buy them back much cheaper than what you sold them for. This marketing strategy will remain true for any and every holiday-restricted event for the duration of Team Fortress 2's life. Give it a try! Sometimes, you have to skip looking wealthy in one update to make profit for the future!

Steam Sales are a great resource for profit-making
Steam Sales are a great resource for profit-making

The Game-Trading Market

Steam games can make you tons of profit, but only if you're smart about what you trade for the games and when you trade for them. I did some experimenting of my own during the 2012 Steam Summer Sale, and it really paid off! By the time the sale was over, I was a more wealthy TF2er and had five games to spare (not counting the two that I kept for myself.) So what's my strategy?

First of all, I found that the Game-trading market is easiest to enter and exit during Steam sales, and I recommend waiting for a big sale to do the bulk of your trading in this area. I started the sale with about 20 keys to spend on whatever I wanted, so I got a few people to buy me some $2.49 flash deals. In return for these games, I traded one Key and one Refined Metal for each game. This was very easy because Keys are in the Mann Co. Store for $2.49. When I offered the extra Refined, some traders were quick to collect the reward. I was able to turn most of these games around for 2-3 keys. This method is a bit more difficult with the Steam Market now in place, but you can make the same kinds of trades using the lowest market price for keys as your base like I used the store price in the past. As a trader, you should try to capitalize on the people that have no intention of reselling the game. The players that want to keep the games are usually the ones that are willing to let you make your profit.

I advise you to sell all the unwanted games in your inventory by the end of the Steam Sale. Once the sale is over, demand for Game-trades takes a nosedive for a few reasons. Most people, by the end of the sale, have a new game or two installed and are ready to play. Players don't need games piling up in their libraries, so demand for games declines. Traders also like to bump up the price of games after a sale, so fewer people are willing to buy at that time.

I prefer sticking to the cheap games when I go for profit. It's low-risk, and even if you fail to resell, you got a new game out of the deal! Advertising on TF2 Outpost worked well for me, but I sold most of my games on Trade Servers. Because I was dealing in cheap games, I didn't have to bother finding an Unusual Trade Server. My asking price for each game was affordable by the majority of all TF2 players, and by making a key or two profit from each game, Steam Sales will be a resource for me in the years to come.

A Note On Idling

A lot of people use idling servers to let their game sit open while they go about their business elsewhere to ensure they get all of their item drops for the week. While Valve has done a bit to fix the broken system they used to have by adding a drop item cap and making the player accept the new drop item before getting more, people continue to utilize idling servers. I don't recommend idling unless you're just starting out and are really in need of a couple extra weapons to craft metal. When you get to the point where you're selling higher-tier items like festive stranges and unusuals, the profit you make from idling becomes negligible.

Avoiding Scams

Throughout the history of trading, not just in TF2, man has devised methods to target the ignorant and unwary. You'd like to think trading started honest and fair, but simple human nature would prove you wrong. I would like to give you some tips to keep you on the cutting edge of trading. Everyone will get scammed at some point, but a good trader will learn how to counter the loss and make up for it in profit.

First off, keep up with the TF2 Spreadsheets. Not just one, but take a look at several of them (especially when trading Unusuals.) If you have any doubts about the value of your item, conduct a search on TF2 Outpost and see what other people are doing. Between spreadsheets and your own research, you will get a pretty good idea what your item is worth.

I'm not going to list every type of scam; that would lead to people submitting new method after new method, and suddenly this article would be "How to Scam on TF2." I don't want that. I strongly encourage honest trading because the purpose of this article is to help you make honest profit. You may wonder how it's possible to make ANY good profit without ripping a person off to some degree. Here's the kicker. If you make an honest trade with a fellow TF2er, and both parties are satisfied, you can make legitimate profit. There is a catch though, and I would like to introduce you to a term that may or may not be new to you: Sharks.

Whether you've experienced these people first-hand or not, you're probably familiar with the concept of sharking. This is a scam method in which players search for others with one or two valuable items in their inventory and try to fake a good deal for them. A common practice is to find players with one Earbud and nothing else of value. That player probably got the Buds when they released, and stopped playing the game since. Therefore, the player does not know the value of Buds, and would trade them for just about anything that looks nicer. Sharking IS scamming, and you can get banned for doing it. I've seen it happen.

You have the item(s) of value, and you need to guard them from dishonest traders. If you feel uncertain about a trade, you should always think twice about pressing the big green trade button. Take a moment to talk it over with a friend, or even post here. Chances are, if the person is "in a hurry" to trade, he's trying to prevent you from discussing with another player that may advise you against accepting it. You should also take a moment to check the person's Steam profile. If the player is listed on Probation or has a private backpack, you should proceed with caution.

Be smart, avoid scammers, and don't scam. You can get banned for scamming. I've seen this happen to a guy with tons of unusuals. He lost EVERYTHING. Valve locked his account and those items have gone to waste. The best way to avoid being scammed is to keep up with the values by conducting your own research. Always be honest, and nothing will ever come back to haunt you.

Understanding The Market

The Observant Stuff That Economists Do

There are an infinite number of methods people use to make profit in their own ways. My goal is to help readers like you get the edge by understanding the market; that is, which items increase over time, and which will decrease.

Let us begin with an example. Vintage Hats, the once-coveted blue-texted apparel have become drastically less valuable over time. As new hats are released, players begin to realize the blue text doesn't mean as much as the extra refined metal or two they can get from downgrading to non-vintage or "unique." This extra metal is in turn gathered and traded for new items. Hats are all about showing off your wealth. What's more frustrating than getting owned by some jerk who taunts using the newest weapons and apparel? Face it, Vintage Hats are old school, and taunting at your dead opponent doesn't show them your hat is Vintage. The lesson here: most hats decrease in value over time.

Now, let me contradict everything I just said. There are hats and miscellaneous items that are increasing as time goes on. These hats include Earbuds and Bills. Earbuds were a promotional item first introduced to Mac users simply by logging in to Steam from a Mac. Earbuds were once as worthless as Alien Swarms. What happened? Valve, without any prior indication, cut off the promotion. Suddenly, Earbuds were worth a fortune! Since the termination of the Mac promo, Earbuds have remained the main trading unit of "big sales." As Earbuds increase in value, everything else drops in comparison. For example, Max's Severed Head was once valued at five Earbuds. At this point, people are growing tired of Max Heads, and their value is decreasing (Another possible source of this decreased value is a duplication scam in November 2011 where Max Heads and other items were somehow cloned and resold into the market.) But the question remains: why hasn't anyone grown tired of Earbuds? One update to the game allowed players to equip two miscellaneous items at the same time. Suddenly, players could show off their Buds and their License to Maim. These twists in gameplay promote the use of certain items, in this case miscellaneous items, and we see an exponential increase in their values.

Now that we have some kind of understanding of the past, how do we predict for the future? Think of items that people want that are suddenly hard to obtain. Observe the items that are increasing in value, and try to understand why. Name and Description Tags have increased dramatically because they were primarily obtained by unboxing a crate that doesn't drop anymore. Don't be fooled by this increase and invest heavily in these items! Because they are available in the Mann. Co store, they will hit a price ceiling and will probably increase and decrease with the value of metal and keys. Try to predict which items will be demanded in the future that no longer have a stable means of supply. If you invest in such items, you could cash in big!

Contact Me

I would like to close this article by giving you the opportunity to talk to me directly. Let me know which methods worked for you, and which ones just aren't going so well. You can leave a comment below and even join us on Facebook to get the latest news and updates. Feel free to advertise your stuff on the page, too. You might as well take advantage of free advertising wherever you can, and Facebook is a great place for that! If you've made it this far, you're going to be ready for the competitive trades in no time at all! I wish you the best of luck, and don't hesitate for a second if you have a question. I am always happy to help!

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© 2011 Shane

Questions, Comments, Smart Remarks

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    • shwheelz profile image
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      Shane 2 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @sdfasd You can trade for Paypal funds if you trust the person, otherwise use the Steam Market: http://steamcommunity.com/market

    • profile image

      sdfasd 2 years ago

      How do you even trade tf2 items for money?

    • profile image

      ILIKEFREETF2HATS 3 years ago

      i went onto dota 2 made friends with somebody played a good game and i friend him and he retired from tf2 and he gave me a few ref for free nice guide

    • profile image

      Inthezone00 3 years ago

      OK thx man loved your guide now i have an unusual frenchmans beret Stormy storm

    • shwheelz profile image
      Author

      Shane 3 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @Inthezone00: Agreed with VatocOx; the killstreak weapons will only lose value as more people get hold of them. I'd recommend starting to invest in the unusual market. Be very patient, and make sure you get a good deal on your first trade. You're investing pure keys, so you should be able to buy anything under the market price.

    • profile image

      VatocOx 3 years ago

      @Inthezone00: I don't think so, they'll only be dropping so it's not worth the investment.

    • profile image

      Inthezone00 3 years ago

      I have 17 keys and a White painted bills what should i do from here, and Laos is it smart to buy an strange killstreaks medi gun with mean green sheen?

    • profile image

      Inthezone00 3 years ago

      White painted

    • profile image

      Inthezone00 3 years ago

      I have 17 key sand a Whitney painted bills what's hold i do from here and sloss do you think its a smart buy to buy a strange killstreaks medi gun with mean green?

    • profile image

      KnightOfPurgatory 3 years ago

      @anonymous: When starting trading, losing a refined is like losing an unusual. So yes, it is scamming still

    • profile image

      KnightOfPurgatory 3 years ago

      This is a good trading guide for beginners,even though I figured out all this myself. Would recommend to read if you're new. + rep

    • shwheelz profile image
      Author

      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: BMOC might increase in a month or two, so investing in one or two of them might not be a bad choice.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Hey Shwheelz ,

      I must say I am very impressed with your guide and advice. You seem to have an excellent and perceptive understanding of TF2 trading. Anyway, I recently acquired 7 keys, what do you think would be the best use of them? Perhaps crate #50 item? A bill's? Thanks.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Is it smart to sell my bud now or do I have to wait longer. I bought it a long time ago for 28 keys. And do you think its smart to buy a B.M.O.C and Ebenzers for next christmas?

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Actually, I don't see either of those two as a very good investment at the present time. I recently sold a Bills for 6 keys, and even that took a couple days to sell. The salvaged crates are dropping while keys are rising, so save your keys and save up your other items to make investments!

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: That's great! I'm glad you're having so much success with your trading!

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Em. Where do I start. I bought a White Bill's Hat for 8 keys pure, sold it and now I'm at around 14 keys. I use the quicksell method, by buying for really cheap(To the content of the owners of course) and sell it for about 1-2 rec under the lowest price for the items. its epic~!

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      @anonymous: Uh, you lost like a ref. That's far from anything you could call a scam, rip or shark.

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Great suggestion! Maybe you have a resource other readers can check out if they are interested in how to get started up? Also note that these advertisements can be skipped if the user connects via the console.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      It's also possible to make profit by running a gaming community. Between website traffic and MOTD traffic, it's pretty easy to get about 15,000 hits/day, and this can be monetized by advertisements. Just pick some decent quickplay maps and fake some clients so you're always in the quickplay queue (found this useful data off of reddit: ranndesigns.com/blog/team-fortress-2-map-data/). If you force them to watch a video advertisement, you can make about $500-1000/mo per server.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      I find that a pretty nice way to make profit is with the Polycount hats. Just go to a pub and say "Selling Polycount hats!" and players will usually offer more than the spreadsheet prices. Once I sold a Familiar Fez to a player for a key, which I then sold for 5.44, then bought another Fez for 3.66. Quick profit.

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Which hat are you trying to quicksell? Maybe I can give you a hand figuring out a price. Sometimes even when you quicksell, it takes a few days for it to catch. Make sure it's under the lowest price on Outpost. If you use the prices listed on backpack.tf, see if you can sell for the low end (and market your hat that way, too!) If you show users that you only want the low end price for your hat, they will probably check the spreadsheet to confirm your price and then check the competition. If you give people room to maneuver, you are more likely to sell your hat.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      @anonymous: Hello Shwheelz,

      How do you know what's a good quicksell price? I try to "quicksell" my hat for under the market value, and nobody is still offering or paying. Do I just have to wait now?

      Merci!

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      @shwheelz: Okay, thanks for telling me! I thought patience would pay off, but I never considered the overall market.

      Again, thanks a bunch!

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: A good time to quicksell an unusual is when you see the value dropping through your offers and other peoples' offers on your hat. Tf2 Outpost is a great resource to get a feel for the value of your unusual. If you aren't getting many offers on your hat, you might consider "quickselling" it because a low amount of offers may be related to an overpriced hat.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Hey Schweelz, when is it a good time to quicksell an unusual?

      Thanks!

    • profile image

      anonymous 4 years ago

      Thanks for the guide it helped me get hatz n other stuff thanks guys

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: I actually just had this conversation with a reader not too long ago about miscs, and the answer is more or less the same for Stranges! The popularity of an item is going to impact the demand for that item significantly. Not many Snipers use the Sydney Sleeper on a regular basis due to its inability to perform headshots, and I would argue that roughly the same amount of people use the Tribalman's Shiv as the Bushwaka, consequently driving down the demand for any one of those melee weapons. As for the Eternal Reward, it is probably the most popular knife because the perks that come with the Saharan Spy set are invaluable to many spies. Because the Shotgun can be used by multiple classes, it is in higher demand than other secondary weapons such as the Family Business. When you are ever in doubt about the value of an item, ask yourself which you would rather have.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Hey Schweelz,

      Your guide is getting pretty popular!

      By the way, I just have a question: why are stranges like Your Eternal Reward and the Shotgun a lot more expensive than stranges like the Sydney Sleeper and the Bushwaka? To my knowledge, they don't come from crates 30, 40, or 50, so why are they so expensive?

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      @shwheelz: Oh, and what hats would you recommend for me to do this with?

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      @shwheelz: Hmm. I chose to sell these two hats because I thought they looked nice :/

      I guess only for me.

    • shwheelz profile image
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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: I think you just ended up with two hats that are tough to sell. The Beret is a very old hat, and the Rack isn't well-liked. Maybe you should try your luck in crafting them and see what you get!

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      I can't, for the life of me, do your technique about exchanging craft hats. I type something like "Going to craft Frenchman's Beret and Exquisite Rack, trade me if you would like to swap hats (you add a small sweet)". I change servers about every 15-20 minutes, and I haven't gotten a single trade. Am I doing something wrong, or am I getting terribly unlucky?

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: That might be a good idea. Know that you can probably make good profit as it stands, but I'm sure they will be in higher demand during the Christmas season. I highly doubt they will be released again, but if they are, the prices will drop like a rock.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Hey Schweelz! I have two strange festives and I wasn't here during the Christmas updates, should I keep them and wait to sell them during next Christmas?

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: The Essential Accessories were only obtainable through a promotion, and the Last Breath is a misc. Typically miscs are worth more than hats, and the really nice-looking miscs are expensive because they are in high demand. It really just comes down to which hats people tend to like more. If you had a choice between wearing a Last Breath and wearing a Connoisseur's Cap, which would you choose? (Despite the fact that the Last Breath is worn like a hat, it is a misc equip so you can even wear your favorite hat on top of it.)

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Shweelz, why is it that some hats and miscs, such as The Essential Accessories and The Last Breath, are valued higher than others such as Ze Goggles or Connoisseur's Cap?

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Yea, breaking even on this one wouldn't be bad at all.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      @shwheelz: Yeah, I did search for people buying a Merc's Muffler, but everybody's lowballing and buying for 1 key. So would you recommend that I sell out for 2 keys (which is what I bought it for)?

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: 2 Keys seems to be the going price for that item. People tend to ignore lesser paints, so your essentially asking for full price on it. I would recommend doing an Outpost search for people who are looking for that item. Keep in mind you can add the Merc's Muffler to the right side of a search in Outpost to see people who are seeking that item. If you can't find a buyer at the price you're looking for, you may have to compromise its value slightly. Hope this helps, and good luck!

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Hi Shweelz. I'm trying to sell a Ye Old Rustic Colour Merc's Muffler for only 2 keys and 2 scrap on Outpost but nobody seems to be noticing my trade, while I've seen others sell non-painted Mufflers at 3 keys. I try advertising it on trade servers, but nobody offers on it. Any advice?

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      @shwheelz: Thanks man. But about the retired hats, people on Outpost are highballing them and selling them for more than a key just because they're retired. I searched up trades selling Football Helmets and every single trade offered clean ones for at least 3 refined. I guess that, at this rate, the retired hats could increase a bit due to inflation.

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Key investments would work well the way you mentioned. Make sure to scope out and bookmark a few trades on Outpost before selling yours. The old hats could increase someday, but the way keys are growing in value, I wouldn't expect it to happen anytime soon.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      @shwheelz: The only thing I have other than keys are 2 craft hats. I'm sort of poor, my old account got hacked so I'm starting from scratch :P So should I just sell keys for, say, 5 refined, and buy them at 4.77 refined? Also another question: do you thing the retired hats will eventually increase dramatically in value?

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      I just recently scammed myself when I started trading. I had found a desc tag, and not knowing its price, traded it along with 2 recs and a scrap, for only 1 strange shortstop. I will now price check before ANY trading.

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Keys are pretty valuable at the moment, and their prices are skyrocketing. Is there anything else in your backpack that you might be able to sell? If not, just keep an eye on the http://backpack.tf spreadsheet prices. Buy low, and sell high. If necessary, you could cash a key or two out for Refined metal in order to invest, but I don't recommend keeping Refined in the long-term.

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: You could certainly try for a low-tier unusual. Try to go for 1.5 - 2x whatever you pay for it.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Hi Shweelz,

      I read your guide and it helped me make profit. I made 4 keys out of profit by buying craft hats at trade servers for 1.11 then selling them at 1.33. Now that I have 4 keys, is there a quicker way to make profit?

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      @shwheelz: How much do you think I could get for a whole set? I saw someone say they traded 1-100 vintage pyrovision goggles for a really low unusual.

    • shwheelz profile image
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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: That's not a bad idea. Just keep track of how much you spend so you can make sure you profit from this collection!

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Should I invest money into getting a full 1-100 vintage provision goggles? I've got about 30 or so goggles and I already have all of the expensive numbers. Managed to get them really cheap.

    • shwheelz profile image
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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: There's quite a bit of skepticism about the future of TF2 trading. Personally, I think now is a bad time to sell out. Buds have seen decreases before, and I expect them to settle in a little higher before too long. I think they will increase to 25-26 keys within two weeks or so. Keep in mind the price of keys are regulated by the Mann Co. Store, but Refined Metal is being devalued in terms of monetary value. If you have metal, now is a good time to convert to keys/promos.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Hey Shweelz,

      My backpack was around the 150$ worth. I didn't trade for a few months and see a massive decrease of my backpack's total value. Earbuds dropped 5 keys and almost everything I have that's valuable dropped much in price. Do you think the items will rise after some time or is the tf2 economy going to lose people and value? Do I have to sell my stuff now for real money? Or do I have to wait a bit longer so it's value can rise a bit more?

      Thanks,

      Tf2 Economy

    • shwheelz profile image
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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: It's just inflation. It happened this quickly when keys were worth 1 Refined, too. Keys are going nowhere but up, but I don't think you should expect another dramatic increase for a little while yet.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      @shwheelz: Thanks Shweelz! But another question: why do you think the key prices are going up? Like a month ago the price was around 4 ref and now it's 5 ref!

    • shwheelz profile image
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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Prices of almost everything are going down with the recent spike in key value. Keys are in high demand now. Get them if you can, but don't seriously compromise the value of any of your items. I don't think this trend is going to continue much longer and key values will stop increasing soon.

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Well said. Like I mentioned in the post above, there is an overabundance of strange weapons on OP and TP and people that search there are going to look for the lowest price offered. If you want to sell for spreadsheet price, your best bet is to get on a trade server.

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Outpost is overloaded with people who have their trades auto-bumped, so your posts will typically get about a second of time on the front page. Trading Post offers more time on the front page, but at the expense of less viewers. In order to trade a strange, you're going to have to set a price lower than those who bump around the same time as you (usually a page or two padding on either side.) It's easier to sell stranges on servers than it is on OP or TP due to the sheer number of people selling them.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      @anonymous: You should advertise that strange shotgun in trade servers and see if people will actually buy it at that price. Just cause a spreadsheet tells you a price, doesn't mean people will pay that. Also you should let people offer. They might even offer more then 2 keys on those servers. It all takes time.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Hello Shweelz;

      I find that when I put up trades on Outpost or Trading Post, nobody seems to notice me. For example I put up my Strange Shotgun for 2 keys and no one is even looking at the trade. Any suggestions?

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Hello Shweelz;

      I find that when I put up trades on Outpost or Trading Post, nobody seems to notice me. For example I put up my Strange Shotgun for 2 keys and no one is even looking at the trade. Any suggestions?

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Hello;

      I just sold 2 keys for a Strange Shotgun and 1.33 refined. I think this was a good deal. Now, do you think that the Strange Shotgun prices will go up? Because I'm wondering if I should sell it for 2 keys now or wait a bit.

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Vintage Hats and Strange Festives are pretty dynamic at the moment. If you can find low prices on Outpost and sell for just a bit more each time, you'll make quick profit that way. Keep it up, you're almost to that Bud!

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      What should I do with about ten keys to make profit?

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Once you get that Bud, profit will be much easier to make! And keep in mind, many unusuals are worth less than a Bud nowadays. Have a look around TF2 Outpost and see what cheap purple hats you can find!

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Your best bet is to keep saving up keys and don't spend them on anything silly. I know how tempting it is to open crates along the way, but if you really focus on investing, you'll get Buds in no time at all! If you link me to your profile, perhaps I could help you out a bit more.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      I really want some earbuds, any tips? Steam name is That Guy

    • profile image

      anonymous 4 years ago

      @shwheelz: Thanks! I traded about 5 craft hats and finally got enough money to trade for 4 keys. It's a long, long road to even a bud, let alone an unusual.

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @MindWrap: You want to trade a craft hat for a different craft hat + 1 reclaimed. Make the other person add the metal, or else you're losing! As far as your metal goes, I would convert to keys ASAP. Metal is becoming more difficult to trade as time progresses, but keys are continuing to increase.

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      MindWrap 4 years ago

      My name is QuickDraw Inc. I have a Workaholics poster as my profile picture. Hope you can help me out.

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      MindWrap 4 years ago

      Hello Shweelz,

      I've having trouble with trading. I saw one of the ways you posted to make money was by trading craft hats. You said to trade a craft hat and 1 rec to make a good profit per hat. I also have an abundance of metal, anything I can do with it?

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Selling hats might be beneficial. Scrap banking is the smallest way to make profit, so making 2 scrap each time will, mathematically, quadruple your profits. Just keep working your way up any way you can. Any amount of profit is still profit!

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      @anonymous: I seemed to have this problem as well. The thing is, You aren't doing much by just trading people scrap for two weapons. Its not worth it. People usually find the items they need through randomly playing the game. Go over to scrap.tf and sign in eith your steam id. Bank your weps with the auto bots and give them 2 weps for a scrap. 6 weps for a rec and 18 weps for a ref. Simplicity at its best. That way you can just play the game and every time you get two weapons, bank them for a scrap.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      So after scrapbanking for a month I have turned 1 rec worth of weapons into 2 stranges 2 ref 2 rec and a scrap I also have 102 spare weapons in my backpack.But I do not want to continue like this.It's too time taking.Can I move to like :Buying hats for 1.11ref.....later...:Selling hats for 1.33 ref I feel ill make more profit?

    • shwheelz profile image
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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Why do you need a !bp command? And you don't have to list all of them. You can just say something along the lines of "selling many weapons, trade me if you need anything!"

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      @shwheelz: I tried selling them on competitive servers, but there is no !bp command, and i can't really list them all in chat. So im not sure what to do :(

    • shwheelz profile image
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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Scrap banking isn't a very efficient way to make profit, but generally the weapons are easiest to sell on competitive servers. People on trade servers generally won't be looking for weapon trades.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Hi, i saw some other guides saying that you should scrap bank, then sell weapons for one scrap each, but no one seems to be buying my weapons for 1 scrap each. Any advice on where to sell/ who to sell to?

    • shwheelz profile image
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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: You're not going to get very far with only weapons. Continue to save up until you can craft a few refined metals that you can use for investing.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      I need help, I have just random weapons and don't know where to go from there. Can you add me and help? My username is SuperBroGuyDude

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Sell for 8-9 keys and reinvest the keys. It's easier to make a little bit of profit at a time with the keys than it is to make good profit with one Bill's hat. You may want to consider entering the game market in the future if you have keys. Save up as many keys as you can before the summer sale, and see if you can make some profit in the game market then. I would recommend making small, low-risk investments until you see sale games you feel confident in reselling. I've had some good success with buying Counter Strike: Source for 2 keys and selling for 3, so perhaps that is something you might want to try (especially when Gary's Mod is on sale.) Good luck with your trading!

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Hey Shwheelz, I have a bills and I'm looking to make profit. What are some good things to do with a bills?

    • shwheelz profile image
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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: If you feel anything has a dynamic price, it is a good idea to capitalize on the opportunity for profit. I like the way you think; don't try to sell for the full 14 keys -- even a key or two profit is a win.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Hi, Thanks a lot for that guide.

      Here's my backpack : steamcommunity.com/profiles/76561198043428826/inventory/

      I got 17 ref, 7 keys and a bunch of weapons. And I would like to know what should I do now. Should I buy a strange holy mackerel / strange sapper ? Their prices seems to be really dynamic. Some people are buying s. sapper at 8 keys. But I can also see people selling it at around 12 - 14 keys... and it's pretty much the same with the s. fish.

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: You're right about the Salvaged crates, and there are a few others that are valuable, too. Remember the Refreshing Summer Crate that was released a few years ago? Or maybe the Scorched crate from the Meet the Pyro update? Though they are no longer able to be opened, people who have not signed into TF2 since before those crates expired still have them in their inventories. They can be sold to collectors at slowly rising price. But as far as the other crates go, none of them are worth a significant amount. Some people value the older crates that contain a certain color paint or strange weapon. For instance, Crate #19 was worth a good amount at one point because there seemed to be a shortage of Strange Grenade Launchers, but with Valve re-releasing strange weapons in later crates and in bot-killer form, the need for these items has died down tremendously. Hope that helps, let me know if you have any further questions!

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Hi. I understand that some crates are more valuable than others, I know about the salvaged ones, but someone told me that there were others series that were valuable as well. Could you tell me which ones these are please? And btw I found your guide really useful, thnx!

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Thanks a lot for that well written and helpful guide. I'd like to ask one question though: Right now I have 2 bills and a couple of keys - should I get into the unusual market, or maybe invest in some strange festives? I already have an offer, that is to buy a N&B stout shako for 17-18 keys - do you think that's a reasonable price?

    • shwheelz profile image
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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: I would recommend you saving up for a Bud before entering the Unusual market. There are a plethora of unusuals you can buy with one bud that could potentially be very profitable. I'm afraid if you invest in unusuals now, you'll get stuck with something you can't resell easily.

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: If you're ever in a position where you can't sell your hat for it's full worth, sell out fro promos. Sometimes you just have to take the loss, but be careful with the investments you make in the future. Patience is key in the unusual market!

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Thanks a lot for that guide, it is well written and very informative. I have one question though: Right now I have 2 bills and 4 keys (and could sell some stuff to get some more keys) and was thinking about either entering the unusual market or investing in some of the new strange festives - what do you think?

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      I finally got into the Unusual market, bought my first unusual hat for a mid price, and now I can't seem to sell it. Orbiting Fire Helmet without a Home. I learned after the fact that most people regard it as a cancer hat. I thought it was cool, after I watched Meet the Dumpster Diver, but apparently no one shares my feelings. So I've been stuck with a hat worth 1-1.3 buds for a while and I was wondering what my best options would be.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      @shwheelz: Ok thank you ^^

    • shwheelz profile image
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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Haha no, that's not sharking. That's just trying to find a good deal. While there is no set limit for being considered a "shark", I think there is a fine line between trying to find a good deal and blatantly scamming someone. That being said, Outpost mods don't care if you lowball and you won't get banned unless you start spamming posts with bad offers.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      I have a serious question. to what degree is it called sharking?

      Some ppl on tf2outpost are reporting you for scamming if you offer a price that is 2 rec under the backpack.tf pricesheet. I mean... is THIS really sharking? if yes, i wont even try getting into it ._.

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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Ensure you downloaded the right version (Windows 32-bit) from each of my links provided. When you open VMware Player, you want to choose "Create New Virtual Machine" and select the second option, "Install Disk Image File (iso)." You're not installing the operating system on your computer itself, just the virtual machine. If you want to install Ubuntu on your computer itself alongside Windows (TF2 would actually run this way), you can install Wubi. VMware Player will get you to the point where you can get the item, but you won't be able to play the game. Wubi will let you play TF2 and is a reasonably easy installation as well. If you're having problems with VMware after following these steps, try installing Linux using Wubi.

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      @shwheelz: I made virtual driver, choose Linux's iso file (Ubuntu), when running system - automatic restart.

      I have Win 7 32bit and i want Tux but looks like my PC don't want to let me :'(

    • shwheelz profile image
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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: Where are you having problems, specifically, and exactly what is happening? What operating system are you running?

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      anonymous 4 years ago

      Have you got some instructions about wtf should i do with this VMware? First it stuck in DOS (maybe i was just impatient). Now when i'm trying to install it my computer resets.

    • shwheelz profile image
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      Shane 4 years ago from Pennsylvania

      @anonymous: I think Vintage hats are a solid investment at the moment. I think it's fair to assume Valve is going to continue to retire old hats, so now is the time to buy whether you're a collector or just looking to capitalize on a future sale. I personally don't use any one site to track market trends, but there are a few sites out there that try to follow them. I recommend just keeping up to date on prices using Trade Empire (formerly blogspot) Spreadsheet. If you find a site that tracks market trends, I advise you to carefully monitor its accuracy using a combination of TF2 Outpost and the spreadsheet.