ArtsAutosBooksBusinessEducationEntertainmentFamilyFashionFoodGamesGenderHealthHolidaysHomeHubPagesPersonal FinancePetsPoliticsReligionSportsTechnologyTravel

Stay Safe From The H1N1 Mexican Swine Flu: Germophobia Is Good

Updated on April 26, 2009

Among famous figures who have been dyed in the wool germophobes we can include physics genius Nikola Tesla; entertainers Jerry Seinfeld and Howie Mandel; billionaires Donald Trump and Howard Hughes; even dictators Saddam Hussein and Adolf Hitler! I assure you that there is nothing I can possibly agree with Hitler or Saddam or even The Donald on, but when it comes to taking precautions bordering on the germophobic in the H1N1 age, I'm afraid that I have to concur.

The person standing or sitting next to you could be fully H1N1 contagious although to all outwards appearances, they look and act in a perfectly healthy manner!

Here are some examples of how many people you could run into close proximity on any given day:

Homemaker going shopping: 100
Worker on a commuter train for a day in the office: 400
Tourist spending a day sightseeing in a major city: 1,200
Sports fan in major league stadium: 1,500
Driver of a city bus: 1,800
Airline clerk at a major airport: 3,500
Concession stand worker in major league stadium: 8,500
Trade Show Exhibitor at major event: 15,000
Club-crawler in Manhattan: 20,000
Visitor to the major Las Vegas Casinos: 34,000

Now let's do a little math. Let's assume that each one of these people is out and about performing those activities for ten hours a day. And let us also assume that at the time of calculation, the world is in the midst of a WHO Level 6, full-blast H1N1 pandemic.

Here are the odds on arriving back home at the end of that day after having duly been exposed to infection (no, junior mathematicians, let's not get into precise statistical deviations. . . this is just a rudimentary approximation):

Homemaker going shopping: 1 to 1 (50/50 chance)
Worker on a commuter train for a day in the office: 1 to 4
Tourist spending a day sightseeing in a major city: 1 to 12
Sports fan in major league stadium: 1 to 15
Driver of a city bus: 1 to 18
Airline clerk at a major airport: 1 to 35
Concession stand worker in major league stadium: 1 to 85
Trade Show Exhibitor at major event: 1 to 150
Club-crawler in Manhattan: 1 to 200
Visitor to the major Las Vegas Casinos: 1 to 340

Now especially for the visitor to the Las Vegas casinos, I'm sure that they would never place in their right minds make a bet of a single dollar where the chances of winning were one and their chances of losing were three hundred and nineteen! The worst bet in Vegas is Any Seven on a Craps table where the Casino advantage is 16.7%. That means that if you bet one dollar 100 consecutive times on Any Seven, the odds are you'll only have $83.30 at the end. 1 to 340 is an advantage (or disadvantage to you) of 99.7%! That's like betting one dollar 100 consecutive times and ending up with about 25 cents!

So why would they bet their lives on the same odds? We're not talking about catching a minor cold in this instance. H1N1 isn't your typical minor flu bug that gives you the sniffles and aches and pains for a few days and then goes away. Some medical pandemic experts estimate that it could cause the death of over 5% of the entire population of the world. That's about four times the number of people that lost their lives in World War I and World War II combined.

Believe me, you don't want to be one of them.

You are not a germophobic Howie Mandel-clone who even refuses to shake hands with other people if you practice reasonable safety precautions.

You'll be laughing last!

Continued in:
Stay Safe From The H1N1 Mexican Swine Flu: Soap Is Not Anti-Viral

Back To Start

Comments

    0 of 8192 characters used
    Post Comment

    • Hal Licino profile imageAUTHOR

      Hal Licino 

      9 years ago from Toronto

      You're welcome. Be careful out there!

    • Christa Dovel profile image

      Christa Dovel 

      9 years ago from The Rocky Mountains, North America

      Thanks for the heads-up.

    working

    This website uses cookies

    As a user in the EEA, your approval is needed on a few things. To provide a better website experience, hubpages.com uses cookies (and other similar technologies) and may collect, process, and share personal data. Please choose which areas of our service you consent to our doing so.

    For more information on managing or withdrawing consents and how we handle data, visit our Privacy Policy at: https://hubpages.com/privacy-policy#gdpr

    Show Details
    Necessary
    HubPages Device IDThis is used to identify particular browsers or devices when the access the service, and is used for security reasons.
    LoginThis is necessary to sign in to the HubPages Service.
    Google RecaptchaThis is used to prevent bots and spam. (Privacy Policy)
    AkismetThis is used to detect comment spam. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide data on traffic to our website, all personally identifyable data is anonymized. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Traffic PixelThis is used to collect data on traffic to articles and other pages on our site. Unless you are signed in to a HubPages account, all personally identifiable information is anonymized.
    Amazon Web ServicesThis is a cloud services platform that we used to host our service. (Privacy Policy)
    CloudflareThis is a cloud CDN service that we use to efficiently deliver files required for our service to operate such as javascript, cascading style sheets, images, and videos. (Privacy Policy)
    Google Hosted LibrariesJavascript software libraries such as jQuery are loaded at endpoints on the googleapis.com or gstatic.com domains, for performance and efficiency reasons. (Privacy Policy)
    Features
    Google Custom SearchThis is feature allows you to search the site. (Privacy Policy)
    Google MapsSome articles have Google Maps embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    Google ChartsThis is used to display charts and graphs on articles and the author center. (Privacy Policy)
    Google AdSense Host APIThis service allows you to sign up for or associate a Google AdSense account with HubPages, so that you can earn money from ads on your articles. No data is shared unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Google YouTubeSome articles have YouTube videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    VimeoSome articles have Vimeo videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    PaypalThis is used for a registered author who enrolls in the HubPages Earnings program and requests to be paid via PayPal. No data is shared with Paypal unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook LoginYou can use this to streamline signing up for, or signing in to your Hubpages account. No data is shared with Facebook unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    MavenThis supports the Maven widget and search functionality. (Privacy Policy)
    Marketing
    Google AdSenseThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Google DoubleClickGoogle provides ad serving technology and runs an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Index ExchangeThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    SovrnThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook AdsThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Unified Ad MarketplaceThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    AppNexusThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    OpenxThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Rubicon ProjectThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    TripleLiftThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Say MediaWe partner with Say Media to deliver ad campaigns on our sites. (Privacy Policy)
    Remarketing PixelsWe may use remarketing pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to advertise the HubPages Service to people that have visited our sites.
    Conversion Tracking PixelsWe may use conversion tracking pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to identify when an advertisement has successfully resulted in the desired action, such as signing up for the HubPages Service or publishing an article on the HubPages Service.
    Statistics
    Author Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide traffic data and reports to the authors of articles on the HubPages Service. (Privacy Policy)
    ComscoreComScore is a media measurement and analytics company providing marketing data and analytics to enterprises, media and advertising agencies, and publishers. Non-consent will result in ComScore only processing obfuscated personal data. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Tracking PixelSome articles display amazon products as part of the Amazon Affiliate program, this pixel provides traffic statistics for those products (Privacy Policy)