8 Turks Dead, 3 Egyptians Dead, Israeli Embassy Raped: A Gathering Storm in the Middle East
Little things in life. The Beatles were even aware of it in their 1965 song, Every Little Thing. Little things often cause a series of chain events, most of them, unforeseen. One never knows what another person, another country, will do. What actions are political and what are not.
The Middle East is edging toward the edge of a crevice. To many, it has gone unnoticed but to those watching, the area is on high simmer. It could lead to a regional war, dragging in more countries than expected.
Eight Turks were killed by the Israeli action of preventing Turkish ships running a Israeli blockade months ago. After an independent investigation as to who was to blame, Turkey authorized the ship to run the blockade resulting in Israeli warnings being ignored and eight deaths. Turkey, up to then, had a great relationship with Israel. They demanded an apology and Israel expressed regrets but defended their action.Like a spoiled child turned bully, Turkey demanded it. Israel ignored it. Now, because of the gas and oil deposits off the coast of Israel, Turkey is challenging Israel by sending naval warships escorting civilian ships to give the Palestinians aid on the Gaza strip. They still want an apology. It is a ploy to provoke. Israel reacted by saying they will intercept aid ships to search them upon entering Israeli waters with their blockade.
Along the southern part of the Gaza strip, IDF forces killed three Egyptians attempting to enter Israel. Documents show they were actually terrorists on a mission from Hamas. Israel acted in self defense but did show its regrets. Radical Islamists within Egypt responded by ransacking and taking over the Israeli Embassy. It happened so fast that much of the staff was smuggled out through the angry crowd disguised as Egyptians to Israeli aircraft at the airport. It was only after the US applied pressure on Egypt that their police tried to contain the huge mob storming the embassy. Now, the military in charge after the Mubarak fall, it forbidding public gatherings and visas to tourists.
Syria continues to try to destroy the opposition uprising and has tried to provoke Turkey into military action by entering Turkey briefly. The two countries hate one one another. Iran, Syria's buddy, will have 1-2 nuclear bombs ready by Spring of 2012. While they were advising Syria in their actions, they now fear that losing Syria is far worse. Now, they advise Assad to quit killing and talk about some reform to placate the masses.
Iranian groups within Iraq have in their possession many Russian Scud missile systems. Iraqi forces are unable to find them or could care less because they are mobile. Several of the missiles were fired on Kuwait because Iraq is angry that Kuwait is building a new port that could impede commerce their own port further inland. Tensions are high there. Kuwait has vowed to continue.
In Libya, 20,000 portable man-held surface to air missiles are missing and are being sold on the black market for $1000. These missiles can shoot down an aircraft from 11,000 ft. Civilian airliners are helpless against them. There is no doubt some will be bought by al-Qaeda, who controls parts of Tripoli itself now, armed with advanced NATO weapons left behind.
What if the Arab Spring results end up in more radical anti-Israeli hands, the common enemy in their eyes? Israel is feeling more and more isolated today. Its former friend, Turkey, is now challenging them and wants to be the leader for the Islamists. The Egyptian Spring is turning into another military dictatorship and slowly turning its back on Israel. They are no longer so pro-West.
The boiling point may be the in the Spring of 2012, when Iran starts to achieve its nuclear ambitions. There is a lot of friction in the middle east being stirred and wars can suddenly flash and spin out of control.