805 Billion Spent, 4500 Killed: America Exits from Iraq
Iraq is known for being the cradle of civilization, yet, it was just that it was unable to have for eight years. President Obama thinks that leaving Iraq now, with no American troops remaining, will help elect him in another year for he promised to end the Iraq war.
He knows the gamble. He knows he is rolling the dice and hoping for "snake eyes" because leaving an unstable Iraq is iffy at best. Yet, Obama is a man of his word-right or wrong. If he is wrong, God forbid the mess coming. Iraq cannot fend for itself militarily nor in its police force. It is well documented. PM Maliki, Iraq's leader, actually wanted the US to stay longer into 2012-13, with fewer troops to provide a safe transition. He knows they are not ready. Yet, the Iraqi parliament, now occupied with half pro-Iranian or anti-American positions, voted for all US troops to leave and if any stayed, there would be no immunity for their actions under the cover of "military". Obama tried to insist on immunity, if the US was to stay, but despite Maliki's attempt to sway the positions of its members, he failed.
Iraq in 2012, will face a bad fate. Iran did not wait for the US to leave, they were already in the Parliament and voted in via democracy by those more extreme elements. Some of the extreme groups in Iraq are very well armed and some have Scud-Missiles, which recently were fired at Kuwaits new port that is being built. The Iraqi police or military are pathetic without American troops, for the most part. Iran will now test the water by challenging Iraqi forces over water and oil rights near the border-some things do not change. With America out of the way, Iran will press all the Iraqi buttons to see how they react before they do something far worse like seize parts of Iraq. Think, what would Iraq do? They have no real military force when compared to Iran. I am sure Iran is looking at Iraq like a lion seeking prey: easy target. In 2012, Iran will have four atomic bombs. How would Iraq respond to that threat? How would Iraq respond to Iranian air attacks? Iraq has no real airforce. No doubt, the USA will be called for help, so why, then, leave? Why not leave a small force as a buffer.
While the war is over, Iraq is not ready to handle anything. They cannot even provide electricity to its citizens for 24\7. At most, some areas only get 8-10 hrs. The sewer is deplorable as is the Tigris River. Terror attacks have not gone, they will no doubt now switch targets to Iraqis to destabilize the government. And who might the terrorist be? Iran, has the most to gain.
This will be a decision that Obama wished he had not made. In the short term, it looks great and for the US forces there, it is. But for those in intelligence, they know the worse is still yet to come.