ArtsAutosBooksBusinessEducationEntertainmentFamilyFashionFoodGamesGenderHealthHolidaysHomeHubPagesPersonal FinancePetsPoliticsReligionSportsTechnologyTravel

Anything to Avoid War with Iran: Good Policy?

Updated on November 21, 2013

The current freakish rush to reach a nuclear arms agreement with Iran by the West is a repeat of history in 1938. Then, it was Britain and France desperately seeking a treaty with Hitler, which was a new menace on the horizon. They thought that Hitler could be contained from further ambitions and Hitler played them quite well, knowing full well, what his true intentions were. Both France and Britain were afraid of Germany's expansion and use of new weapon developments tested in the Spanish Civil War. Then, Hitler declared that part of Czechoslovakia was really part of Germany. He threatened to take what he thought was German by using force and massed his still new army near the border. The treaty was reached in the last minute and the photo ops then made every one think "peace". Hitler got what he wanted and in 1939, he seized Poland, claiming it was part of the German empire. Then, in 1940, he blitzed through France and took it.

Now, the West rushes for a similar deja-vu. Despite all the rhetoric, it is still a rush to avoid the worse- a military attack. The sanctions are really working well, which is why Iran wants to negotiate. They do not fear the West because attacking them will be very costly and difficult. They fear internal discontent and public unrest because life in Iran is very expensive and harder because of the government's stance on nuclear enrichment. They want the bomb. They are determined to get it. So, any agreement without the full removal of key elements allowing for making a bomb is an agreement that is moot. It will be a placebo for the West of wishful compliance just as it was in 1938.

The West failed to challenge Iranian leader Ayatollah Khamenei’s vow on Day One of the Geneva talks that Iran will not step back “one iota” from its nuclear rights, and his Nazi-like barbaric rant against Israel as “the roguish, filthy, rabid dog of the region,” whose regime is “doomed to extinction?” seemed to not matter at all to the West. Not one leader of the West, France, Britain or U.S. said anything about this. Why? Probably because they want a deal bad, even a bad deal, in their eyes, is better than none.

Is it?

If Iran does not dismantle its heavy water complex at Arak, it still can produce plutonium for a bomb. This is the only use for such a plant. If Iran does not remove most of its 18000 centrifuges the weaponize uranium, they still can do it over time AND get sanctions lifted. Obviously, Iran wants its cake and eat it, too.

If there is no treaty at the end of the day, the also, bad military option returns. If a treaty does happen, albeit, a bad one, eventually the military option comes up again because over time Iran will have the bomb or more bombs. It all seems to come back to the same thing if the West does not want Iran to have a nuclear bomb.

That said, why wait?


    0 of 8192 characters used
    Post Comment
    • perrya profile imageAUTHOR


      5 years ago

      @Happy- what comment?

    • kschang profile image


      5 years ago from San Francisco, CA, USA

      "War is a mere continuation of politics by other means" Von Clausewitz

    • Mr. Happy profile image

      Mr. Happy 

      5 years ago from Toronto, Canada

      Haha ... I just noticed my previous comment is not here. Someone can't handle different opinions and I got censored. Weakness.

      Good luck though, on singing to the choir!

    • lions44 profile image

      CJ Kelly 

      5 years ago from Auburn, WA

      There is much credence to your argument and I'm always skeptical on Iran. However, in this case I think Iran is being forced to the table because of the economic sanctions and an energy crunch. We are poised to become a world leader in energy production again, and this puts us in a much better position for bargaining. Of course, there is so much we don't know, like what is our level of support for the opposition or do we have operatives within the Iranian government helping us. I suspect we do. Once again, thought provoking. Voted up.


    This website uses cookies

    As a user in the EEA, your approval is needed on a few things. To provide a better website experience, uses cookies (and other similar technologies) and may collect, process, and share personal data. Please choose which areas of our service you consent to our doing so.

    For more information on managing or withdrawing consents and how we handle data, visit our Privacy Policy at:

    Show Details
    HubPages Device IDThis is used to identify particular browsers or devices when the access the service, and is used for security reasons.
    LoginThis is necessary to sign in to the HubPages Service.
    Google RecaptchaThis is used to prevent bots and spam. (Privacy Policy)
    AkismetThis is used to detect comment spam. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide data on traffic to our website, all personally identifyable data is anonymized. (Privacy Policy)
    HubPages Traffic PixelThis is used to collect data on traffic to articles and other pages on our site. Unless you are signed in to a HubPages account, all personally identifiable information is anonymized.
    Amazon Web ServicesThis is a cloud services platform that we used to host our service. (Privacy Policy)
    CloudflareThis is a cloud CDN service that we use to efficiently deliver files required for our service to operate such as javascript, cascading style sheets, images, and videos. (Privacy Policy)
    Google Hosted LibrariesJavascript software libraries such as jQuery are loaded at endpoints on the or domains, for performance and efficiency reasons. (Privacy Policy)
    Google Custom SearchThis is feature allows you to search the site. (Privacy Policy)
    Google MapsSome articles have Google Maps embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    Google ChartsThis is used to display charts and graphs on articles and the author center. (Privacy Policy)
    Google AdSense Host APIThis service allows you to sign up for or associate a Google AdSense account with HubPages, so that you can earn money from ads on your articles. No data is shared unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Google YouTubeSome articles have YouTube videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    VimeoSome articles have Vimeo videos embedded in them. (Privacy Policy)
    PaypalThis is used for a registered author who enrolls in the HubPages Earnings program and requests to be paid via PayPal. No data is shared with Paypal unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook LoginYou can use this to streamline signing up for, or signing in to your Hubpages account. No data is shared with Facebook unless you engage with this feature. (Privacy Policy)
    MavenThis supports the Maven widget and search functionality. (Privacy Policy)
    Google AdSenseThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Google DoubleClickGoogle provides ad serving technology and runs an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Index ExchangeThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    SovrnThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Facebook AdsThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Unified Ad MarketplaceThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    AppNexusThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    OpenxThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Rubicon ProjectThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    TripleLiftThis is an ad network. (Privacy Policy)
    Say MediaWe partner with Say Media to deliver ad campaigns on our sites. (Privacy Policy)
    Remarketing PixelsWe may use remarketing pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to advertise the HubPages Service to people that have visited our sites.
    Conversion Tracking PixelsWe may use conversion tracking pixels from advertising networks such as Google AdWords, Bing Ads, and Facebook in order to identify when an advertisement has successfully resulted in the desired action, such as signing up for the HubPages Service or publishing an article on the HubPages Service.
    Author Google AnalyticsThis is used to provide traffic data and reports to the authors of articles on the HubPages Service. (Privacy Policy)
    ComscoreComScore is a media measurement and analytics company providing marketing data and analytics to enterprises, media and advertising agencies, and publishers. Non-consent will result in ComScore only processing obfuscated personal data. (Privacy Policy)
    Amazon Tracking PixelSome articles display amazon products as part of the Amazon Affiliate program, this pixel provides traffic statistics for those products (Privacy Policy)