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Barack Obama to Replace Joe Biden as Vice President
Who is to Replace Joe Biden?
Will Obama Win a Second Term?
When I read an article that Joe Biden was going to be relieved of his duties as Vice President of the United States in 2012, I had to keep reading. Now mind you, this is only a prediction but the facts are clear. President Barack Obama will announce that he will appoint vice president Joe Biden to succeed Hillary Clinton as Secretary of State.
Two weeks before the Democratic National Convention in North
Carolina in early September, Obama will announce that his Vice
Presidential running mate will be that state's junior U.S.
Senator, Democrat Kay Hagan.
The two reasons why Hagan will be selected are:
1. North Carolina is the decisive state in the 2012 election: whoever wins that state will win the election.
2. Hagan unseated former North Carolina Senator Elizabeth Dole in 2008, thus demonstraing her outstanding poltical and communication skills.
However, in the video that I have inserted below, those skills seem to go unnoticed when she is verbally attacked by someone who doesn't seem to share Hagan's political opinions.
Here's a look at the electoral map:
The Republican 2012 Presidential nominee will most likely win all the states won by John McCain in 2008. Obama on the other hand, will most certainly lose certain states won by him in 2008.
Real estate values are declining in Florida and Obama's swing toward the Arabs in the Middle East has resulted in a major loss of support for him in the state's large Jewish community. All the polls suggest that Florida voters will vote against him in 2012.
It is unlikely in the year 2012 that the president will carry either Ohio or Indianna. The U.S. economic recovery doesn't seem to be going too well for these two states that Obama won over in 2008. Former President George W. Bush planted these two important states in his back pocket in 2000, 2004 and the Republicans are on target to get them back in 2012.
It is seeming more and more likely that Virginia will go back to the Republicans after Obama captured that prize in 2008. No Democratic presidential candidate has done that since Lyndon Johnson in 1964 and so, it appears that the writing is on the wall for Obama in the great state of Virginia.
The 2010 state elections have shown us a strong anti-Obama trend that will likely carry on through 2012. Only the state of North Carolina is showing a 50-50 chance to keep Obama.
In the 2012 Presidential race, in North Carolina, history favors the Republicans. However, demographics and recent trends favor Obama. And so the prediction goes, if Obama selects Kay Hagan as his running mate, he will be a definite favorite to win North Carolina, the decisive state in the 2012 Presidential race, and with that, his reelection.