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Can Joe Biden Capitalize on a Politically Weakened Trump?

Updated on June 30, 2020
emge profile image

The author is a keen political observer and commentator who has a ringside seat to the turbulent years of the present political scenario

Background

Donald Trump and Joe Biden are the two likely nominees for the 2020 presidential election. A point to be noted is that both are respectively the oldest and second oldest major party presumptive nominees in US history. If Biden wins the election he will become the oldest serving president. Many do not consider this a plus point. It will also mean going back to the status quo of years back but to many, this is acceptable as they feel that Trump has failed as a president.

Trump had sailed through the last election, though the opinion polls gave Hillary Clinton the advantage. Trump did lose the popular vote but the peculiar structure of the electoral college ensured that he entered the White House.

The 2020 election will be a unique collection as it will be held at a time when the coronavirus pandemic has taken deep roots in America and has affected the American economy to a great extent. How President Trump has handled this virus will be one of the biggest factors in the coming election.

Generally, Trump has not been a popular president and he has evoked strong feelings for and against him. To his credit, the popular right-wing base is solidly behind him. Also, his supporters are more enthusiastic about his election than those supporting Biden.

Things appeared to go very well till January this year. Trump was basking in the glow of a resurgent economy and the lowest unemployment rate in US history. The coronavirus changed all this and in a short time, Donald Trump has become the underdog.

The latest opinion polls show that Joe Biden has been consistently increasing his lead nationally as well as in the swing states. Trump is hogging the headlines, no doubt, but this is for the wrong reasons and the gap between him and Joe Biden has been increasing every day.


Polling graph. blue- Biden
Polling graph. blue- Biden

Coming election

The attention of the world is riveted on the 2020 presidential election. Whoever wins, the problem of China and its expansionist designs as well as the spread of coronavirus are daunting problems that may be difficult to solve.

Opposition to Trump is by far the biggest factor propelling support for the presumptive Democratic nominee. As on date, nationwide surveys show that Biden leads Trump by 12 percentage points 53 to 41.

One factor going in favor of Trump is the significant enthusiasm among his supporters which is almost double of the enthusiasm among supporters of Biden. As things stand Biden is ahead mainly because there is no alternative other than him to defeat Trump.

To reach the White House he will have to generate more enthusiasm among democratic groups as well as young people. In this connection, his choice of a running mate will be crucial as well as his performance in the coming debates with the Republican presumptive candidate Donald Trump.

There are two factors going against Donald Trump which has hardened opposition to the President. Firstly his handling of Covid-19 is being faulted and secondly, his response to demonstrations demanding racial justice and changes in policing have put him in the dock.

A clue to the election is the Coronavirus pandemic.Dr. Fauci has said that though he was reluctant to make predictions, yet there are 40,000 cases per day now, and there are troubling signs coming out of states in the South and West. In case the virus spreads it could very well be the end of the campaign of Donald Trump despite his committed voter base.


Last word

A fact that has come out is that on handling the coronavirus, those surveyed overwhelmingly say Biden would do a better job than Trump 57% to 33%. Job Biden needs to capitalize on his present lead by selecting a running mate who can add impetus to his campaign.

Biden has said again that he will name his pick for a running mate in early August. The top three picks are Val Deming's, Elizabeth Warren, and Kamala Harris. Many are encouraging Biden to pick a minority running mate.

Some are predicting that the pandemic infection may reach 100,000 a day. This will have a big bearing on the election. But despite this Biden will have to marshall his resources and make himself more acceptable and in that respect, his running mate is very important. He has also to generate more enthusiasm among his supporters because Donald Trump has a committed voter base and he has been pandering to it with his presumed racist comments and requirement of strong-arm tactics to put down the demonstrations all over the country after a black was strangled to death in a knee hold by the police.

When Biden, if at all enters office he will go on record as the oldest serving president to enter the office. One hopes he will have the energy for the job which is the toughest in the world and is tougher now with China breathing fire all around.


Comments

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    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      4 weeks ago from Singapore

      Denise, thanks for commenting

    • PAINTDRIPS profile image

      Denise McGill 

      4 weeks ago from Fresno CA

      It is a tough job, but I think he could handle it if given half a chance. The far-right is beginning to wake up to the facts that Trump is not doing all he can for the country. It will be an odd and unique election, that's for sure.

      Blessings,

      Denise

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      Mona, sweet of you to spare time and comment.

    • grand old lady profile image

      Mona Sabalones Gonzalez 

      5 weeks ago from Philippines

      Hi MG. This is a very informative article and it has gotten a whole lot of comments from both sides as well. May I say that I'm so used to listening to the music that Flourish Anyway writes about in her hubs, that it is very nice for a change, to see her here expressing strong, well-articulated opinions. I totally agree with her on everything she said.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      AB, thanks , I have read about this connection but one hopes as President he will do better. Its just a thought.

    • abwilliams profile image

      A B Williams 

      5 weeks ago from Central Florida

      Oh dear MG, look into Hunter Biden and his connections/dealings with China, while his Dad was VP.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      Joe Biden seems to have got his priorities clear as far as China is concerned. Yesterday he made a statement that if elected he wil restore H1B visa ( now suspended) and India will be the ally against China. It shows he has the strategic grasp.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      Leslie, you are welcome

    • abwilliams profile image

      A B Williams 

      5 weeks ago from Central Florida

      Okay, love, I am sure that you were giving what you were receiving in return, but that's water under the bridge. Take care.

    • lovemychris profile image

      Leslie McCowen 

      5 weeks ago from Cape Cod, USA

      Yes. She called me trash. You deleted my response. So don’t pretend to be “fair and balanced”, or care about free speech.

      You are on the side of dictatorship, imo.

      Hence, the upside down flag.

    • abwilliams profile image

      A B Williams 

      5 weeks ago from Central Florida

      I do not delete your comments! Maybe once way back, when you and Paula were having a cat fight.

      Why do have an upside down American flag...never mind, I am sure that I don't want to know.

    • lovemychris profile image

      Leslie McCowen 

      5 weeks ago from Cape Cod, USA

      Why try and talk with you ab? You delete my comments.

      And I don’t think Vlad will like Biden. He’s NATO all the way. And China.....they do all kinds of business with Trump inc. if it’s a weak USA you want, vote Trump.

      Thanks for letting me make my point, mg. I see hubpages going back to all rightwing, all the time. Too bad.

      They really don’t like differing opinions, do they?

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      Thanks, Leslie, you made your point.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      Leslie, thanks, you have an opinion that must be considered. My take is to agree with what one commentator who made a simple comment about going to the farm in the countryside and raising ducks. That goes for both contenders.

      China and Russia will be jumping with joy whosever becomes president from these two.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      Thanks, AB Williams

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      Thank you, Chitra for commenting

    • abwilliams profile image

      A B Williams 

      5 weeks ago from Central Florida

      Love, long time no talk, are you in distress?

    • lovemychris profile image

      Leslie McCowen 

      5 weeks ago from Cape Cod, USA

      It’s really funny to see people act as if Hollywood didn’t give you Trump. Mark Burnett, gave you TV Trump, successful business man.

      He is now TV president. He hawks himself like he hawks Trump wine, Trump steaks, Trump “modeling agency”.

      Trust this: China is not stupid. I’m sure they know exactly how to play TV Trump......and more succinctly, business partner Trump.

      When Trump put tariffs on China, Ivanka’s factories In China were exempt.

      C’mon.....who are they trying to kid?

      China wants Trump, and, as was exposed, Trump has already asked them for help in 2020.

      SMH at gullible Americans. “There’s a sucker born every minute”

    • lovemychris profile image

      Leslie McCowen 

      5 weeks ago from Cape Cod, USA

      “China is trying all it has to see Trump retire and go home.”

      This is not true.

      "If Biden is elected, I think this could be more dangerous for China, because he will work with allies to target China, whereas Trump is destroying U.S. alliances," said Zhou Xiaoming, a former Chinese trade negotiator and former deputy representative in Geneva. Four current officials echoed that sentiment, saying many in the Chinese government believed a Trump victory could help Beijing by weakening what they saw as Washington's greatest asset for checking China's widening influence.“

      https://www.aljazeera.com/ajimpact/years-china-tru...

      A former Chinese trade negotiator told Bloomberg: "If Biden is elected, I think this could be more dangerous for China, because he will work with allies to target China, whereas Trump is destroying US alliances."

      China wants a weakened USA, as does Russia. Trump is complying nicely.

      USA a is no longer a super power, but a laughingstock.

      The whole world sees Trump is owned by Putin. What’s he going to do about China or Russia? Nothing. He’s in business with one, owned by the other.

      Trump is weak, and compromised. Biden comes with the full force of our allies and a darn backbone.

    • ChitrangadaSharan profile image

      Chitrangada Sharan 

      5 weeks ago from New Delhi, India

      Your articles on current affairs are interesting and informative. I make it a point to read them, and the reader’s comments, to know about the different opinions.

      Thank you for sharing another interesting one.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      AB Williams, the present election will be a watershed in American history as America for the first time is on the back foot. China is trying all it has to see Trump retire and go home.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      Ken, there are lot of divisions in America at this time and China is looming in the background. This is the first time after World War II that America seems to be on the back foot. Even during the days of the USSR it was never as bad as now. China will be happy to see the back of Trump. To my mind Biden is too soft a leader to take on China and maybe a maverick like Trump way yet pull the chestnuts out of the fire

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      AB Williams, your comment is welcome.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      AB Williams, I agree and I do not see Biden being more effective than Trump. We need a more effective leader and I can't think if America can get another Kennedy at this juncture.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      AB Williams, I am looking forward to the debates between the two contenders. They may decide who will sit in the White House.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      Flourish, thanks for commenting but I wonder how Biden is better than Trump both of them to me appear to be over the hill and not the right people to read America at this critical juncture when for the first time after World War II a belligerent nation like China is on the horizon.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      Ruby thanks for commenting. I feel America could do with a younger man to lead forward someone like John Kennedy.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      Pamela, yes the debates will make a difference and Trump may have the edge there. As far as opinion polls are concerned they were proved wrong last time and again I can't say that sure shot Biden will win. Kamala Harris? I have my doubts that she will be able to add to the impetus for Biden. Come to think of it both the contenders are a bit too old and as Clive has mentioned in his comment it would be nice if they could go to the farm in the countryside and raise ducks. America can't find a younger man to lead them forward? Like Kennedy?

    • abwilliams profile image

      A B Williams 

      5 weeks ago from Central Florida

      Flourish, you seem to have a particular disdain for the President, were you a Hillary supporter?

      How do feel about the deep state and do you feel that Biden will do a better job than Trump at exposing the corruption in D.C.? Are you not curious at all as to why so many career politicians (R & D) have worked tirelessly to destroy Trump? How do feel about the Marxists movement, do you think Biden will settle them down? Will he discourage Dem led cities wishing to defund the police?

    • FlourishAnyway profile image

      FlourishAnyway 

      5 weeks ago from USA

      MG - It's an unraveling of his own making, a leadership debacle for the history books.

    • abwilliams profile image

      A B Williams 

      5 weeks ago from Central Florida

      Trump has graciously offered to give Biden an extra half an hour, up to an hour, in the debates, to answer. I am looking forward to the debates, but I doubt the venue overseers will allow for one hour answers! ;)

    • Pamela99 profile image

      Pamela Oglesby 

      5 weeks ago from Sunny Florida

      I think who Biden picks for a vice president will make a big difference. I think Kamala Harris might be his best choice.

      I don't think Biden will necessarily do well in a debate against Trump, but people do not like Trump's tweets. I don't pay attention to the polls as they were wrong in 2016, but who knows?

    • abwilliams profile image

      A B Williams 

      5 weeks ago from Central Florida

      Ken, the kool-aid drinkers don't care!

    • always exploring profile image

      Ruby Jean Richert 

      5 weeks ago from Southern Illinois

      I, for one, wish Biden was 20 years younger. It's going to be very important who he picks for his running mate. Is it possible for Hillary to be his running mate? I honestly do not know if she would be allowed to be, if so, they've got my vote. Trump is done period! He lacks the good sense to put a sentence together. He is an embarrassment to our country. Thanks for writing about this important subject.

    • Ken Burgess profile image

      Ken Burgess 

      5 weeks ago from Florida

      One has to keep in mind Biden is just a front man, a puppet.

      The MSM (minus Fox) the Social Platforms (Twitter, Facebook, Google) are all working against him 24/7. They aren't even trying to hide it, they are outright labeling him a racist, sexist, evil man.

      Just as they are working to paint the mobs (BLM, Antifa) as heroes, and the Police as criminals. Every bit of news is slanted to support their agendas, and anything that detracts from their goals does not get reported, or gets falsely reported.

      Corporations, Hollywood, Social Media, all are pushing the SJW and anti-Trump agendas. Funded by a variety of sources, from mega-billionaires like Jeff Bezos to Chinese billionaire businessmen, the wealth and effort being put forth to not only get Trump out of office but transform America dwarfs anything we have ever spent on any war at any time... in other words, a unbelievable amount of wealth and power is being directed towards transforming America into a nation willing to accept the control of an International body over it.

      That is the ultimate end goal... getting rid of Trump is the first major obstacle, then swiftly following that will be globalist agendas like removing the dollar as the International Reserve and stripping America of its Sovereignty in favor of International bodies and International (UN, WB, WHO) law.

    • abwilliams profile image

      A B Williams 

      5 weeks ago from Central Florida

      It is funny how the Dems (which includes media) were calling Trump every name in the book for his move against Covid-19 at the start.

      When they (the Dems) realized that it was

      legit, needed to be contained and that they had royally screwed up, by calling the President racist and xenophobic and an orange loser and so on and so forth.....

      BAM, blame it on Trump's dragging his feet...the people aren't paying attention, they are gullible and will believe whatever they are told.

      Some people, that actually vote...slurp up the garbage and the propaganda like kool-aid.

      They have no idea what comes with a Biden Presidency. But looking around at the destruction in the Democratically run cities, as they phase out law and order, should give them a clue!

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      Clive, I really loved your comment.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      Flourish, yes I agree he had a harrowing time earlier also but the coronavirus may prove his nemesis.

    • clivewilliams profile image

      Clive Williams 

      5 weeks ago from Jamaica

      They both are very very senior citizens and should be somewhere on a farm raising ducks.

    • FlourishAnyway profile image

      FlourishAnyway 

      5 weeks ago from USA

      I wouldn’t say things appeared to go very well until January. He became the third President in history to be impeached, had very low approval ratings throughout his Presidency, the a Democrats took back the House on his watch, he almost caused WW3, and as you point out now the pandemic now. He’s a fat orange race baiting, Putin loving, clown who has sold out his country. Joe Biden isn’t perfect but he’s a decent person who will stabilize this country.

    • emge profile imageAUTHOR

      MG Singh 

      5 weeks ago from Singapore

      Thanks for commenting Robin, this election is significant and unique with a virus in the background and resultant loss of us prestige globally.

    • profile image

      ROBIN SMITH 

      5 weeks ago

      This is the in subject these days. Trump is having a bad time and there is no doubt is trailing behind Joe Biden. In an American election, nothing is cut and dried till the last vote is cast so Trump can still have some hope as he has a committed vote bank.I am not too much enamored of the Democratic candidate Biden because so far he has done nothing significant to merit the Presidentship of America. Generally the upper-class, the minorities, and the blacks Do not support Trump.That doesn't mean Biden will win. He stands a good chance but but there is many a slip between the cup and the lip.

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