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False Peace: Iranian Nuclear Treaty May Not Last

Updated on November 23, 2013

There are two reasons why any treaty between the West and Iran over its nuclear enrichment is yield only a false peace: Iran, itself and the alliance of Saudi Arabia and Israel.

The coming deal serves the two sides different needs. For the West, they lift some oil and banking sanctions for Iran's promise to halt enrichment. The six month "trial period" will show the West if iran can be trusted. But Iran has a great deal. They promise, yet iran has proven in the past of secret enrichment facilities in their quest for a bomb. The treaty does not dismantle anything, not the heavy water plant nor removal of its 18000 centrifuges. Monitoring will, as always be difficult. iran, in the meantime, can continue secretly to inch its way in nuclear bomb technology they may not have. If after Iran has what it needs after six months, you can be sure they will violate the treaty.Once the Geneva agreement is signed, the military option will be back on the table for the Israelis-Saudis.

The second more ominous fact is the very real Saudi-Israeli pact to act on Iran if the treaty is not to their liking.Mossad agents have made arrangements with Saudi leaders to carry out a joint attack upon Iran. Saudi Arabia has alerted Pakistan that it may want and obtain nuclear warheads from Pakistan for its own nuclear weapons. Iran is Shiite, Saudis are Sunni. The Saudis are still fuming over the cold feet Obama had over Syria because most of the Arab nations were willing to support an attack on Syria. The reported deal between the two countries will involve not just Saudi airspace and refueling facilities for Israeli combat aircraft, but direct involvement of the Saudi air force, should the two attack Iran.

Unlike the media is portraying it, there are many Middle East countries very unhappy with a deal with Iran and the impression is America is becoming less involved in this area, so many Arab countries are now turning to Russia and China. China has been large investments in Israel to obtain their technology. Egypt has turned to Russia, its former ally of the 70's. So, the countries that can act without the USA approval and in self-defense act against Iran's quest for a nuclear bomb, will do so. There seems to be a parting of alliances now over this deal. Should there be an Israeli-Arab airstrike on Iranian facilities when there is a treaty, one can bet that all bets are off. Allowing Israeli aircraft to land and refuel in Saudi Arabia shortens the travel time and distance to Iran considerably.

In any attack, the repercussions are as bad as if Iran does have the nuclear bomb. Iranian response would no doubt fire rockets to destroy the Saudi oil production and declare war on Israel from Lebanon. The US would not doubt be on the Israel-Saudi side. The results are totally armageddon-like. But, if Iran does get a bomb or several, think about what would happen if they used them, the same war would occur. It really does seem like there is a war coming to the Middle East on a scale not seen before. America has been quietly selling a thousand bunker-buster GBU-39 bombs to the Saudis and 5,000 to the UA, also, sophisticated air-launched cruise missiles that can hit targets from a long distance. They have also bought hundreds of Standoff Land Attack missiles, or SLAM-ERs, and Joint Standoff Weapons.These advanced missiles will enable their warplanes to hit radar installations and other targets from beyond the range of air defense systems.

So, as America signs a treaty with Iran, they are fully aware of what Israel and Saudi Arabia might do and have sold them the weapons to try. America hopes for the best but prepares for the most likely.

It might be the one the Bible states as Armageddon.


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    • MG Singh profile image

      MG Singh 

      4 years ago from Singapore

      The deal won't last. Its perhaps known to the US administration. Its sign that the days of gunboat diplomacy is over and the US has. a leader who may be the Gorbachev of America.

    • perrya profile imageAUTHOR

      perrya 

      4 years ago

      Thanks, I see that a deal has been made.

    • jainismus profile image

      Mahaveer Sanglikar 

      4 years ago from Pune, India

      You are absolutely right. Nice analysis.

    • swordsbane profile image

      William Grant 

      4 years ago from Wisconsin

      Of course it won't last. This isn't the Soviet Union and MADD is dead and gone. If Iran thinks that they can get a nuclear deterrent up and running before we lose patience and invade, they will... treaty or no treaty. I'm sure that decision has already been made. The treaty's only purpose was to make the west relax. Their only problem is getting to that brass ring before we can (or will) do something about it. The direct approach didn't seem to work. Now they're trying something different.

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